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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/amp
last_updated: 2026-05-05T22:10:16.499Z
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# Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) Q4 FY2026 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-05T22:10:16.175Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $474.65 (▲ 1.29%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $43.0B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $422.37 – $550.18 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Thu 23 Jul | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $10.58 (+16% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $4.8B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 6/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | A- (overall 4/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $490 (+3.2% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 41/100 | derived |
| Council | 3/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Fairly Valued | derived |

## Ameriprise Financial, Inc. — Q4 FY2026 Expectations

Q4 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$4.8B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$10.58</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 6 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** A- · **Stance:** HOLD · **Council:** 3/6 · **Moonshot:** 41

= MoonshotScore <strong>41</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>3/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (6 metrics)

### 1. Wrap Asset Growth

Wrap assets at Ameriprise increased 16% to $664 billion.

> "Total client assets grew 12% to $1.1 trillion with wrap assets growing 16% to $664 billion."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 2. Aum Growth

Ameriprise's assets under management, administration, and advisement grew 12% to $1.7 trillion, driven by client net inflows and positive markets.

> "In addition, our assets under management administration advisement grew 12% to $1.7 trillion, driven by our client net inflows and positive markets."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 3. Adviser Productivity

Adviser productivity at Ameriprise increased 10% to a record $1.2 million per adviser.

> "As you saw, our advisers again generated meaningful productivity and revenue growth with productivity increasing another 10% in the quarter to a record $1.2 million per adviser."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 4. Record Eps

Ameriprise achieved a record EPS of $11.26, up 19%.

> "For the quarter, adjusted operating revenues were up 11% to $4.8 billion. Earnings and EPS were also up double digits with EPS up 19% to a record $11.26, and we continue to deliver best-in-class ROE, which increased to more than 54%."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 5. Huntington Bank Agreement

Ameriprise signed a multiyear agreement with Huntington Bank, expected to add approximately 260 advisers and $28 billion in assets.

> "During the quarter, we signed a multiyear agreement to become the retail investment program provider the Huntington Bank. This relationship is expected to add approximately 260 advisers and $28 billion in assets with onboarding beginning later this year."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 6. Capital Return

Ameriprise returned 88% of operating earnings to shareholders in the first quarter, and the board approved a 6% increase in the dividend.

> "As a result, as you know, we increased our share repurchases in the fourth quarter and continued our strong return to shareholders with 88% returned in the first quarter, and our board just approved another 6% increase in our dividend."
> — Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.0 | medium | Q1 vs Q2: healthy growth (+8.7%) |
| Gross Margin | 5.0 | medium | Q1: high margin (50.3%) |
| Operating Leverage | 3.0 | weak | op margin healthy (25.1%) |
| Cash Runway | 3.0 | weak | FCF negative ($-2.6B, external financing needed) |
| R&D Intensity | 3.0 | weak | low R&D investment (0.0%, weak innovation) |
| Price Momentum | 7.0 | strong | RSI 58.7 positive momentum, 50d above |
| News Sentiment | 4.0 | medium | mixed (43% buy) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +3.2% |
| Ken Griffin | bull | flow · 50d MA above |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 59 |
| Klarman | neutral | value · target upside +3.2% |
| Buffett | bull | quality · ROE score 5/5 |
| Munger | neutral | valuation · target upside +3.2% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Fairly Valued
- **Financial Health:** Strong
- **Margin of Safety:** Weak
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Healthy

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 58.7 — yükselişte nötr — overbought sınırının altında, momentum pozitif
- **50d MA:** $456 — hisse %4.1 üstünde — kısa vadeli destek
- **200d MA:** $483 — hisse %1.7 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** -40%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY25 | $9.11 | $9.00 | BEAT | +0.8% |
| Q3 FY25 | $9.92 | $9.77 | BEAT | -0.3% |
| Q4 FY25 | $10.83 | $10.34 | BEAT | +1.1% |
| Q1 FY26 | $11.26 | $10.21 | +10.3% EPS | +1.0% |

Q1 (April 23, 2026): EPS $11.26 vs $10.21 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +10.3% beat. D+1 movement: +1.0%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q4 EPS > $10.58 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $10.58<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $490<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $582<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $10.58 + CapEx < $118.0M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $10.58<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q4 CapEx < $118.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $475<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $490<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $10.26 or CapEx ≥ $118.0M**

Threshold: EPS < $10.26<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $475 below SMA200 $483<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $411<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q1: EPS $11.26 vs $10.21 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock +1.0% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q1 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $118.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q1 op margin 25.1%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $490 (+3.2% upside vs current $475)
- **High / Low:** $582 / $467
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 6 / 7 / 1
- **Analyst count:** 6 (last quarter), 32 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. record_eps

**Claim:** Ameriprise achieved a record EPS of $11.26, up 19%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "For the quarter, adjusted operating revenues were up 11% to $4.8 billion. Earnings and EPS were also up double digits with EPS up 19% to a record $11.26, and we continue to deliver best-in-class ROE, which increased to more than 54%."

**Numbers:** 11%, $4.8 billion, 19%, $11.26, 54%

### 2. aum_growth

**Claim:** Ameriprise's assets under management, administration, and advisement grew 12% to $1.7 trillion, driven by client net inflows and positive markets.

**Evidence (transcript):** "In addition, our assets under management administration advisement grew 12% to $1.7 trillion, driven by our client net inflows and positive markets."

**Numbers:** 12%, $1.7 trillion

### 3. adviser_productivity

**Claim:** Adviser productivity at Ameriprise increased 10% to a record $1.2 million per adviser.

**Evidence (transcript):** "As you saw, our advisers again generated meaningful productivity and revenue growth with productivity increasing another 10% in the quarter to a record $1.2 million per adviser."

**Numbers:** 10%, $1.2 million

### 4. huntington_bank_agreement

**Claim:** Ameriprise signed a multiyear agreement with Huntington Bank, expected to add approximately 260 advisers and $28 billion in assets.

**Evidence (transcript):** "During the quarter, we signed a multiyear agreement to become the retail investment program provider the Huntington Bank. This relationship is expected to add approximately 260 advisers and $28 billion in assets with onboarding beginning later this year."

**Numbers:** 260, $28 billion

### 5. capital_return

**Claim:** Ameriprise returned 88% of operating earnings to shareholders in the first quarter, and the board approved a 6% increase in the dividend.

**Evidence (transcript):** "As a result, as you know, we increased our share repurchases in the fourth quarter and continued our strong return to shareholders with 88% returned in the first quarter, and our board just approved another 6% increase in our dividend."

**Numbers:** 88%, 6%

### 6. wrap_asset_growth

**Claim:** Wrap assets at Ameriprise increased 16% to $664 billion.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Total client assets grew 12% to $1.1 trillion with wrap assets growing 16% to $664 billion."

**Numbers:** 12%, $1.1 trillion, 16%, $664 billion


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-05), Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
