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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/cdw
last_updated: 2026-05-09T15:13:30.873Z
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# CDW Corporation (CDW) Q1 FY2027 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T15:13:30.443Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $104.79 (▼ -4.91%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $13.4B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $104.41 – $192.30 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Wed 5 Aug | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $2.71 (+4% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $6.2B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 0/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B+ (overall 3/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $147 (+40.3% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 36/100 | derived |
| Council | 5/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Undervalued | derived |

## CDW Corporation — Q1 FY2027 Expectations

Q1 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$6.2B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$2.71</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 0 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** B+ · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 5/6 · **Moonshot:** 36

= MoonshotScore <strong>36</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>5/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (5 metrics)

### 1. Gross Margin Outlook

Due to a slightly higher mix of hardware products, gross margins are expected to be approximately in line with 2025 levels.

> "Based on a slightly higher mix of hardware products for 2026 than we originally anticipated, we now expect gross margin to be -- margins to be approximately in line with 2025 levels."
> — Albert Miralles, CFO, Expectation / Guide · Q1 FY2026

### 2. Infrastructure Hardware Growth

Hardware increased 10%, with networking, servers, and enterprise storage each up more than 20%.

> "Hardware increased 10%. Growth was led by infrastructure with networking, servers and enterprise storage each up more than 20%."
> — Christine Leahy, CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 3. Commercial Segment Growth

The Commercial segment had a strong start, up 10%, driven by demand for infrastructure hardware and software.

> "Commercial had an excellent start to the year, up 10%. Growth was broad-based across all sizes of customers, driven by demand for infrastructure hardware and software, reflecting both AI demand and the desire to manage supply constraints."
> — Christine Leahy, CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 4. International Growth

International operations delivered 18% growth, with strong performance in the U.K. and Canada.

> "In our U.K. and Canada operations, which we report together as other, the teams executed with focus and speed and together delivered 18% growth in U.S. dollars."
> — Christine Leahy, CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 5. Gross Profit Outlook

The company now expects gross profit to grow in the range of low to mid-single digits for the full year 2026.

> "Factoring in market conditions, our first quarter performance and the elevated backlog entering the second quarter, we now expect gross profit to grow in the range of low to mid-single digits for the full year 2026."
> — Albert Miralles, CFO, Expectation / Guide · Q1 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.0 | weak | Q1 vs Q2: growth negative (-5.0%, contraction) |
| Gross Margin | 2.0 | weak | Q1: low margin (21.0%, capital-intensive or commodity) |
| Operating Leverage | 1.0 | weak | op margin average (6.6%) |
| Cash Runway | 10.0 | strong | FCF very strong ($0.2B, 9.4× CapEx) |
| R&D Intensity | 3.0 | weak | low R&D investment (0.0%, weak innovation) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 26.3 oversold, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 5.0 | medium | majority buy (55%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +40.3% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | bull | quant · RSI 26 |
| Klarman | bull | value · target upside +40.3% |
| Buffett | bull | quality · ROE score 5/5 |
| Munger | bull | valuation · target upside +40.3% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Undervalued
- **Financial Health:** Moderate
- **Margin of Safety:** Strong
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Healthy

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 26.3 — oversold (RSI 26.3) — tepki alımı potansiyeli
- **50d MA:** $125 — hisse %16.3 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $143 — hisse %26.8 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** +13%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY25 | $2.60 | $2.49 | BEAT | -2.2% |
| Q3 FY25 | $2.71 | $2.62 | BEAT | +3.3% |
| Q4 FY25 | $2.57 | $2.44 | BEAT | +1.9% |
| Q1 FY26 | $2.28 | $2.28 | +0.0% EPS | +1.1% |

Q1 (May 6, 2026): EPS $2.28 vs $2.28 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +0.0% beat. D+1 movement: +1.1%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $2.71 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $2.71<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $147<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $180<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $2.71 + CapEx < $26.4M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $2.71<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $26.4M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $105<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $147<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $2.63 or CapEx ≥ $26.4M**

Threshold: EPS < $2.63<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $105 below SMA200 $143<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $122<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q1: EPS $2.28 vs $2.28 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock +1.1% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q1 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $26.4M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q1 op margin 6.6%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $147 (+40.3% upside vs current $105)
- **High / Low:** $180 / $123
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 6 / 5 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 3 (last quarter), 16 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. commercial_segment_growth

**Claim:** The Commercial segment had a strong start, up 10%, driven by demand for infrastructure hardware and software.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Commercial had an excellent start to the year, up 10%. Growth was broad-based across all sizes of customers, driven by demand for infrastructure hardware and software, reflecting both AI demand and the desire to manage supply constraints."

**Numbers:** 10%

### 2. international_growth

**Claim:** International operations delivered 18% growth, with strong performance in the U.K. and Canada.

**Evidence (transcript):** "In our U.K. and Canada operations, which we report together as other, the teams executed with focus and speed and together delivered 18% growth in U.S. dollars."

**Numbers:** 18%

### 3. infrastructure_hardware_growth

**Claim:** Hardware increased 10%, with networking, servers, and enterprise storage each up more than 20%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Hardware increased 10%. Growth was led by infrastructure with networking, servers and enterprise storage each up more than 20%."

**Numbers:** 10%, 20%

### 4. ai_driven_productivity

**Claim:** AI-powered modernization investments through the Geared for Growth initiative will lead to productivity improvements in operations and enhance the cost structure.

**Evidence (transcript):** "The AI-powered modernization investments we've been making under Geared for Growth are focused on transforming how we operate and particularly as it supports our long-term durable and scalable growth."

**Numbers:** —

### 5. gross_profit_outlook

**Claim:** The company now expects gross profit to grow in the range of low to mid-single digits for the full year 2026.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Factoring in market conditions, our first quarter performance and the elevated backlog entering the second quarter, we now expect gross profit to grow in the range of low to mid-single digits for the full year 2026."

**Numbers:** 2026

### 6. gross_margin_outlook

**Claim:** Due to a slightly higher mix of hardware products, gross margins are expected to be approximately in line with 2025 levels.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Based on a slightly higher mix of hardware products for 2026 than we originally anticipated, we now expect gross margin to be -- margins to be approximately in line with 2025 levels."

**Numbers:** 2026, 2025


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
