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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/evrg
last_updated: 2026-05-09T14:22:11.139Z
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# Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) Q1 FY2027 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T14:22:10.606Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $81.78 (▼ -1.15%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $18.9B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $63.29 – $85.27 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Thu 6 Aug | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $0.87 (+6% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $1.4B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 1/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B- (overall 3/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $89 (+8.8% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 37/100 | derived |
| Council | 1/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Fairly Valued | derived |

## Evergy, Inc. — Q1 FY2027 Expectations

Q1 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$1.4B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$0.87</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 1 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** B- · **Stance:** HOLD · **Council:** 1/6 · **Moonshot:** 37

= MoonshotScore <strong>37</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>1/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (5 metrics)

### 1. Long Term Eps Growth Target

Evergy is reaffirming its long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6% to 8% plus through 2030 off of the 2026 midpoint and expects adjusted EPS growth to exceed 8% annually beginning in 2028 through 2030.

> "We are also reaffirming our long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6% to 8% plus through 2030 off of the 2026 midpoint of $4.24. We expect adjusted EPS growth to exceed 8% annually beginning in 2028 through 2030."
> — David Campbell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 2. Retail Load Growth

Evergy anticipates 7% to 8% annual retail load growth through 2030.

> "This Tier 1 demand enables a transformative growth opportunity, supporting our revised estimate of 7% to 8% annual retail load growth through 2030."
> — David Campbell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 3. Eps Growth Reaffirmation

Evergy reaffirms its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.14 to $4.34.

> "With this solid start, we are reaffirming our 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.14 to $4.34 per share."
> — David Campbell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 4. Esa Total Peak Load

Evergy has executed ESAs for 5 data center projects under our LLPS tariffs, securing approximately 2.5 gigawatts of steady-state peak load, including the 450 megawatts of steady-state peak load from non-LLPS customers, such as the Panasonic electric vehicle battery manufacturing plant, the total reaches 3 gigawatts.

> "In aggregate, we have executed ESAs for 5 data center projects under our LLPS tariffs, securing the strong protections that the tariff requires for our existing customers. These 5 ESAs include steady-state peak load of approximately 2.5 gigawatts, including the 450 megawatts of steady-state peak load from non-LLPS customers, such as the Panasonic electric vehicle battery manufacturing plant, the total reaches 3 gigawatts."
> — David Campbell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 5. Q1 Weather Normalized Demand

Evergy's weather-normalized demand was strong in the first quarter, growing 4.7%.

> "Reflecting our exceptional business fundamentals, weather-normalized demand was strong in the quarter, growing 4.7%, while mild winter weather resulted in fewer heating degree days compared to prior year and versus normal, impacting EPS by approximately $0.06 compared to budget."
> — W. Buckler, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.0 | weak | Q1 vs Q2: growth slowing (+1.2%, below threshold) |
| Gross Margin | 7.0 | strong | Q1: very high margin (67.5%, software/cloud territory) |
| Operating Leverage | 2.0 | weak | op margin healthy (22.1%) |
| Cash Runway | 3.0 | weak | FCF negative ($-0.5B, external financing needed) |
| R&D Intensity | 3.0 | weak | low R&D investment (0.0%, weak innovation) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 49.9 balanced, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 6.0 | medium | majority buy (57%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +8.8% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 50 |
| Klarman | neutral | value · target upside +8.8% |
| Buffett | neutral | quality · ROE score 3/5 |
| Munger | neutral | valuation · target upside +8.8% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Fairly Valued
- **Financial Health:** Moderate
- **Margin of Safety:** Weak
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Tight

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 49.9 — dengeli — yön sinyali zayıf
- **50d MA:** $82 — hisse %0.3 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $77 — hisse %6.6 üstünde — uzun vadeli destek
- **Volume (10d):** +40%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY25 | $0.82 | $0.78 | BEAT | -0.6% |
| Q3 FY25 | $2.03 | $2.08 | MISS | +0.0% |
| Q4 FY25 | $0.42 | $0.55 | MISS | +0.9% |
| Q1 FY26 | $0.69 | $0.63 | +9.5% EPS | -1.1% |

Q1 (May 7, 2026): EPS $0.69 vs $0.63 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +9.5% beat. D+1 movement: -1.1%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $0.87 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $0.87<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $89<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $99<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $0.87 + CapEx < $851.9M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $0.87<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $851.9M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $82<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $89<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $0.84 or CapEx ≥ $851.9M**

Threshold: EPS < $0.84<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $82 below SMA200 $77<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $65<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q1: EPS $0.69 vs $0.63 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock -1.1% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q1 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $851.9M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q1 op margin 22.1%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $89 (+8.8% upside vs current $82)
- **High / Low:** $99 / $82
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 8 / 6 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 7 (last quarter), 28 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. eps_growth_reaffirmation

**Claim:** Evergy reaffirms its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.14 to $4.34.

**Evidence (transcript):** "With this solid start, we are reaffirming our 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.14 to $4.34 per share."

**Numbers:** $4.14, $4.34

### 2. long_term_eps_growth_target

**Claim:** Evergy is reaffirming its long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6% to 8% plus through 2030 off of the 2026 midpoint and expects adjusted EPS growth to exceed 8% annually beginning in 2028 through 2030.

**Evidence (transcript):** "We are also reaffirming our long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6% to 8% plus through 2030 off of the 2026 midpoint of $4.24. We expect adjusted EPS growth to exceed 8% annually beginning in 2028 through 2030."

**Numbers:** 6%, 8%, 2030, 2026, $4.24, 8%, 2028, 2030

### 3. new_esa_data_center

**Claim:** Evergy announced a new ESA with a premier developer for a new data center project in our Kansas Central service territory.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Today, I'm excited to announce a new ESA with a premier developer for a new data center project in our Kansas Central service territory that will drive affordability benefits for our customers."

**Numbers:** —

### 4. esa_total_peak_load

**Claim:** Evergy has executed ESAs for 5 data center projects under our LLPS tariffs, securing approximately 2.5 gigawatts of steady-state peak load, including the 450 megawatts of steady-state peak load from non-LLPS customers, such as the Panasonic electric vehicle battery manufacturing plant, the total reaches 3 gigawatts.

**Evidence (transcript):** "In aggregate, we have executed ESAs for 5 data center projects under our LLPS tariffs, securing the strong protections that the tariff requires for our existing customers. These 5 ESAs include steady-state peak load of approximately 2.5 gigawatts, including the 450 megawatts of steady-state peak load from non-LLPS customers, such as the Panasonic electric vehicle battery manufacturing plant, the total reaches 3 gigawatts."

**Numbers:** 5, 2.5, 450, 3

### 5. retail_load_growth

**Claim:** Evergy anticipates 7% to 8% annual retail load growth through 2030.

**Evidence (transcript):** "This Tier 1 demand enables a transformative growth opportunity, supporting our revised estimate of 7% to 8% annual retail load growth through 2030."

**Numbers:** 7%, 8%, 2030

### 6. q1_weather_normalized_demand

**Claim:** Evergy's weather-normalized demand was strong in the first quarter, growing 4.7%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Reflecting our exceptional business fundamentals, weather-normalized demand was strong in the quarter, growing 4.7%, while mild winter weather resulted in fewer heating degree days compared to prior year and versus normal, impacting EPS by approximately $0.06 compared to budget."

**Numbers:** 4.7%, $0.06


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
