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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/has
last_updated: 2026-05-09T15:32:37.064Z
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# Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Q4 FY2026 Earnings Preview

> **[stale-preview-note]** Note: this preview was published before the 2026-05-20 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T15:32:36.561Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $97.78 (▲ 0.40%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $13.8B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $64.00 – $106.98 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Wed 20 May | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $1.09 (+5% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $964.4M | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 8/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | C- (overall 1/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $112 (+14.5% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 73/100 | derived |
| Council | 2/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Fairly Valued | derived |

## Hasbro, Inc. — Q4 FY2026 Expectations

Q4 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$964.4M</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$1.09</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 8 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** C- · **Stance:** HOLD · **Council:** 2/6 · **Moonshot:** 73

= MoonshotScore <strong>73</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>2/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (6 metrics)

### 1. Wizards Of The Coast Growth

Wizards of the Coast stood out with 86% sales growth in the quarter, driven by strong performance in Magic and digital games.

> "Wizards of the Coast capped off a remarkable year with 86% sales growth in the quarter, driven by the combined strength of Magic and Digital."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 2. Record Operating Profit Margin

Adjusted operating profit margin reached a record level above 24%.

> "Adjusted operating profit margin reached a record level above 24%."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Risk Indicator · Q4 FY2025

### 3. Revenue Growth Q4

Hasbro experienced significant growth in the fourth quarter, increasing revenues by more than 30%.

> "In the fourth quarter, Hasbro grew revenues by more than 30%."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 4. Adjusted Operating Profit Growth

Hasbro's adjusted operating profit grew significantly in the fourth quarter, up nearly 180%.

> "Adjusted operating profit grew nearly 180%."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 5. Full Year Revenue Growth

For the full year, Hasbro grew revenue 14%.

> "For the full year, Hasbro grew revenue 14%."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 6. Adjusted Operating Profit Record

Adjusted operating profit exceeded $1.1 billion, also a record.

> "Adjusted operating profit exceeded $1.1 billion, also a record."
> — Chris Cocks, CEO, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.0 | strong | Q4 vs Q1: fast growth (+63.0%) |
| Gross Margin | 7.0 | strong | Q4: very high margin (69.0%, software/cloud territory) |
| Operating Leverage | 2.0 | weak | op margin healthy (22.3%) |
| Cash Runway | 10.0 | strong | FCF very strong ($0.4B, 28.4× CapEx) |
| R&D Intensity | 7.0 | strong | balanced R&D investment (8.2%) |
| Price Momentum | 7.0 | strong | RSI 58.4 positive momentum, 50d above |
| News Sentiment | 8.0 | strong | strong buy consensus (81%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +14.5% |
| Ken Griffin | bull | flow · 50d MA above |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 58 |
| Klarman | neutral | value · target upside +14.5% |
| Buffett | neutral | quality · ROE score 1/5 |
| Munger | neutral | valuation · target upside +14.5% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Fairly Valued
- **Financial Health:** Weak
- **Margin of Safety:** Moderate
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Tight

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 58.4 — yükselişte nötr — overbought sınırının altında, momentum pozitif
- **50d MA:** $94 — hisse %4.2 üstünde — kısa vadeli destek
- **200d MA:** $85 — hisse %15.1 üstünde — uzun vadeli destek
- **Volume (10d):** -19%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY25 | $1.04 | $0.67 | BEAT | +1.0% |
| Q2 FY25 | $1.30 | $0.78 | BEAT | -2.3% |
| Q3 FY25 | $1.68 | $1.66 | BEAT | -1.6% |
| Q4 FY25 | $1.51 | $0.99 | +52.5% EPS | +1.9% |

Q4 (February 10, 2026): EPS $1.51 vs $0.99 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +52.5% beat. D+1 movement: +1.9%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q4 EPS > $1.09 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $1.09<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $112<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $122<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $1.09 + CapEx < $13.7M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $1.09<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q4 CapEx < $13.7M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $98<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $112<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $1.06 or CapEx ≥ $13.7M**

Threshold: EPS < $1.06<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $98 below SMA200 $85<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $72<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q4: EPS $1.51 vs $0.99 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock +1.9% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q4 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q4 FY25

### CapEx shock
Q4 CapEx $13.7M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q4 op margin 22.3%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $112 (+14.5% upside vs current $98)
- **High / Low:** $122 / $99
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 13 / 3 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 6 (last quarter), 39 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. revenue_growth_q4

**Claim:** Hasbro experienced significant growth in the fourth quarter, increasing revenues by more than 30%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "In the fourth quarter, Hasbro grew revenues by more than 30%."

**Numbers:** 30%

### 2. wizards_of_the_coast_growth

**Claim:** Wizards of the Coast stood out with 86% sales growth in the quarter, driven by strong performance in Magic and digital games.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Wizards of the Coast capped off a remarkable year with 86% sales growth in the quarter, driven by the combined strength of Magic and Digital."

**Numbers:** 86%

### 3. adjusted_operating_profit_growth

**Claim:** Hasbro's adjusted operating profit grew significantly in the fourth quarter, up nearly 180%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Adjusted operating profit grew nearly 180%."

**Numbers:** 180%

### 4. full_year_revenue_growth

**Claim:** For the full year, Hasbro grew revenue 14%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "For the full year, Hasbro grew revenue 14%."

**Numbers:** 14%

### 5. record_operating_profit_margin

**Claim:** Adjusted operating profit margin reached a record level above 24%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Adjusted operating profit margin reached a record level above 24%."

**Numbers:** 24%

### 6. adjusted_operating_profit_record

**Claim:** Adjusted operating profit exceeded $1.1 billion, also a record.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Adjusted operating profit exceeded $1.1 billion, also a record."

**Numbers:** 1.1 billion


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*