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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/hsic
last_updated: 2026-05-09T16:49:38.016Z
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# Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC) Q1 FY2027 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T16:49:37.567Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $70.82 (▲ 0.45%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $8.1B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $61.95 – $89.29 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Tue 4 Aug | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $1.19 (+8% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $3.4B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 3/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B+ (overall 3/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $86 (+21.4% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 30/100 | derived |
| Council | 2/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Fairly Valued | derived |

## Henry Schein, Inc. — Q1 FY2027 Expectations

Q1 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$3.4B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$1.19</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 3 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** B+ · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 2/6 · **Moonshot:** 30

= MoonshotScore <strong>30</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>2/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (5 metrics)

### 1. Ecommerce Platform Rollout

Henry Schein has successfully rolled out its global e-commerce platform, henryschein.com to our Canadian and U.S. laboratory customers and expects to complete the U.S. rollout by the end of August.

> "We have also successfully rolled out our global e-commerce platform, henryschein.com to our Canadian and U.S. laboratory customers. We are well advanced in implementation across the U.S. with over 80% of our U.S. dental e-commerce sales now transacted over henryschein.com. We expect to complete the U.S. rollout by the end of August"
> — Frederick Lowery, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 2. Operating Income Improvement

Henry Schein is committing to the company's goal of achieving greater than $200 million of annual operating income improvement within the next few years with $125 million run rate by the end of 2026.

> "Therefore, I am committing to the company's goal of achieving greater than $200 million of annual operating income improvement within the next few years with $125 million run rate by the end of 2026."
> — Frederick Lowery, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 3. Ai Clinical Workflow

Henry Schein's next-generation AI clinical workflow is a clear signal that our customers are ready to embrace these tools and that Henry Schein is well positioned to lead that transition.

> "The broad level of interest in our AI solutions was a clear signal that our customers are ready to embrace these tools and that Henry Schein is well positioned to lead that transition."
> — Frederick Lowery, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 4. Market Share Gains

Henry Schein is gaining market share in the U.S. dental market, and dental markets overall remain stable and healthy.

> "The dental markets remain stable and healthy, and we are gaining market share."
> — Frederick Lowery, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 5. Dso Investment Equipment

Dental practices and, in particular, DSOs are continuing to invest in equipment, and we are seeing DSOs gaining market share in the overall dental market.

> "Dental practices and, in particular, DSOs are continuing to invest in equipment, and we are seeing DSOs gaining market share in the overall dental market."
> — Frederick Lowery, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.0 | weak | Q1 vs Q2: moderate growth (+4.0%) |
| Gross Margin | 3.0 | weak | Q1: average margin (31.8%) |
| Operating Leverage | 1.0 | weak | op margin average (5.4%) |
| Cash Runway | 3.0 | weak | FCF negative ($-0.1B, external financing needed) |
| R&D Intensity | 3.0 | weak | low R&D investment (0.0%, weak innovation) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 35.7 weak momentum, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 5.0 | medium | majority buy (50%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +21.4% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 36 |
| Klarman | neutral | value · target upside +21.4% |
| Buffett | bull | quality · ROE score 4/5 |
| Munger | neutral | valuation · target upside +21.4% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Fairly Valued
- **Financial Health:** Moderate
- **Margin of Safety:** Moderate
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Healthy

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 35.7 — momentum zayıf — oversold yakınında değil ama alıcı baskısı az
- **50d MA:** $76 — hisse %6.4 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $73 — hisse %2.5 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** -23%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY25 | $1.10 | $1.18 | MISS | +2.3% |
| Q3 FY25 | $1.38 | $1.27 | BEAT | +0.6% |
| Q4 FY25 | $1.34 | $1.30 | BEAT | -1.7% |
| Q1 FY26 | $1.32 | $1.20 | +10.0% EPS | -2.6% |

Q1 (May 5, 2026): EPS $1.32 vs $1.20 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +10.0% beat. D+1 movement: -2.6%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $1.19 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $1.19<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $86<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $97<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $1.19 + CapEx < $39.0M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $1.19<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $39.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $71<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $86<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $1.15 or CapEx ≥ $39.0M**

Threshold: EPS < $1.15<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $71 below SMA200 $73<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $62<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q1: EPS $1.32 vs $1.20 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock -2.6% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q1 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $39.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q1 op margin 5.4%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $86 (+21.4% upside vs current $71)
- **High / Low:** $97 / $64
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 8 / 7 / 1
- **Analyst count:** 7 (last quarter), 21 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. market_share_gains

**Claim:** Henry Schein is gaining market share in the U.S. dental market, and dental markets overall remain stable and healthy.

**Evidence (transcript):** "The dental markets remain stable and healthy, and we are gaining market share."

**Numbers:** —

### 2. dso_investment_equipment

**Claim:** Dental practices and, in particular, DSOs are continuing to invest in equipment, and we are seeing DSOs gaining market share in the overall dental market.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Dental practices and, in particular, DSOs are continuing to invest in equipment, and we are seeing DSOs gaining market share in the overall dental market."

**Numbers:** —

### 3. ai_clinical_workflow

**Claim:** Henry Schein's next-generation AI clinical workflow is a clear signal that our customers are ready to embrace these tools and that Henry Schein is well positioned to lead that transition.

**Evidence (transcript):** "The broad level of interest in our AI solutions was a clear signal that our customers are ready to embrace these tools and that Henry Schein is well positioned to lead that transition."

**Numbers:** —

### 4. operating_income_improvement

**Claim:** Henry Schein is committing to the company's goal of achieving greater than $200 million of annual operating income improvement within the next few years with $125 million run rate by the end of 2026.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Therefore, I am committing to the company's goal of achieving greater than $200 million of annual operating income improvement within the next few years with $125 million run rate by the end of 2026."

**Numbers:** $200, $125, 2026

### 5. ecommerce_platform_rollout

**Claim:** Henry Schein has successfully rolled out its global e-commerce platform, henryschein.com to our Canadian and U.S. laboratory customers and expects to complete the U.S. rollout by the end of August.

**Evidence (transcript):** "We have also successfully rolled out our global e-commerce platform, henryschein.com to our Canadian and U.S. laboratory customers. We are well advanced in implementation across the U.S. with over 80% of our U.S. dental e-commerce sales now transacted over henryschein.com. We expect to complete the U.S. rollout by the end of August"

**Numbers:** 80%, August


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
