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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/jkhy
last_updated: 2026-05-09T16:18:12.591Z
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# Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Q1 FY2027 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T16:18:12.130Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $145.84 (▼ -0.13%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $10.6B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $141.81 – $193.39 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Tue 18 Aug | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $1.45 (-17% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $629.7M | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 5/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | A (overall 4/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $201 (+37.5% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 50/100 | derived |
| Council | 4/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Undervalued | derived |

## Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. — Q1 FY2027 Expectations

Q1 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$629.7M</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$1.45</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 5 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** A · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 4/6 · **Moonshot:** 50

= MoonshotScore <strong>50</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>4/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (6 metrics)

### 1. Market Share Growth

Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%.

> "Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%."
> — Gregory Adelson, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q2 FY2026

### 2. Fy26 Revenue Guidance

Jack Henry increased full year GAAP revenue growth guidance to a range of 5.6% to 6.3% for fiscal '26.

> "Full year GAAP revenue growth guidance increased to a range of 5.6% to 6.3%."
> — Mimi Carsley, CFO and Treasurer, Expectation / Guide · Q2 FY2026

### 3. Revenue Growth

Jack Henry produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter.

> "We produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter."
> — Gregory Adelson, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q2 FY2026

### 4. Margin Expansion

Jack Henry's non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2.

> "Our non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2."
> — Gregory Adelson, President and CEO, Risk Indicator · Q2 FY2026

### 5. Core Sales Wins

Jack Henry's core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets.

> "Our core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets"
> — Gregory Adelson, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q2 FY2026

### 6. Trifecta Wins

68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25.

> "68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25."
> — Gregory Adelson, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q2 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.0 | weak | Q3 vs Q4: moderate growth (+3.4%) |
| Gross Margin | 4.0 | medium | Q3: average margin (42.8%) |
| Operating Leverage | 2.0 | weak | op margin healthy (24.4%) |
| Cash Runway | 10.0 | strong | FCF very strong ($0.2B, 10.3× CapEx) |
| R&D Intensity | 5.0 | medium | average R&D (6.7%) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 35.9 weak momentum, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 8.0 | strong | strong buy consensus (75%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +37.5% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 36 |
| Klarman | bull | value · target upside +37.5% |
| Buffett | bull | quality · ROE score 5/5 |
| Munger | bull | valuation · target upside +37.5% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Undervalued
- **Financial Health:** Strong
- **Margin of Safety:** Strong
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Healthy

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 35.9 — momentum zayıf — oversold yakınında değil ama alıcı baskısı az
- **50d MA:** $158 — hisse %7.7 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $165 — hisse %11.6 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** +12%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY25 | $1.75 | $1.58 | BEAT | +2.0% |
| Q1 FY26 | $1.97 | $1.71 | BEAT | +4.9% |
| Q2 FY26 | $1.72 | $1.43 | BEAT | +4.6% |
| Q3 FY26 | $1.71 | $1.43 | +19.6% EPS | -4.3% |

Q2 (February 4, 2026): EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +19.6% beat. D+1 movement: -4.3%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $1.45 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $1.45<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $201<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $220<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $1.45 + CapEx < $16.5M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $1.45<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $16.5M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $146<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $201<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $1.41 or CapEx ≥ $16.5M**

Threshold: EPS < $1.41<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $146 below SMA200 $165<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $140<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q2: EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock -4.3% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q3 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q2 CapEx $16.5M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q2 op margin 24.4%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $201 (+37.5% upside vs current $146)
- **High / Low:** $220 / $165
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 12 / 4 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 4 (last quarter), 27 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. revenue_growth

**Claim:** Jack Henry produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter.

**Evidence (transcript):** "We produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter."

**Numbers:** $611 million, 6.7%

### 2. margin_expansion

**Claim:** Jack Henry's non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Our non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2."

**Numbers:** 25.1%, 355

### 3. core_sales_wins

**Claim:** Jack Henry's core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Our core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets"

**Numbers:** 22, 4, $1 billion

### 4. trifecta_wins

**Claim:** 68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25.

**Evidence (transcript):** "68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25."

**Numbers:** 68%, 45%, 25

### 5. market_share_growth

**Claim:** Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%."

**Numbers:** 8, 17%, 40%

### 6. fy26_revenue_guidance

**Claim:** Jack Henry increased full year GAAP revenue growth guidance to a range of 5.6% to 6.3% for fiscal '26.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Full year GAAP revenue growth guidance increased to a range of 5.6% to 6.3%."

**Numbers:** 5.6%, 6.3%, 26


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
