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RTX Corporation
RTX - NYSE - $173.99 (as of ) ▼ -1.18%
-
Earnings Mon 19 Oct

RTX opens the
books on Monday evening.

The median of 1 price targets is $227[FMP target], stock is $174, +30.5% vs the analyst consensus median. Q1 FY26 EPS $1.78 vs $1.51 estimate: beat (+17.9%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -3.3%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
B
Council 4/6 - Historical V1 score 40

B — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

RTX Corporation (RTX) Q2 consensus: revenue $23.8B[FMP est], EPS $1.73[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$1.73 EPS Estimate Last year $1.56 - +11% YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q1 FY26 EPS $1.78 vs $1.51 estimate: beat (+17.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -3.3%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

4 metrics stand out this quarter.

$500 million Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Sales Guidance Increase

fy26_sales_guidance_increase

RTX raised its FY2026 sales outlook by $500 million to a new range of $92.5 billion to $93.5 billion, driven by strong Q1 performance at Raytheon.

"On the top line, we're raising our full year adjusted sales outlook by $500 million to a new range of $92.5 billion to $93.5 billion, up from our prior range of $92 billion to $93 billion, driven by the performance we saw at Raytheon in the first quarter as well as slightly lower sales eliminations for the year."

- Neil Mitchill, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 21, 2026
$0.10 Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Eps Guidance Increase

fy26_eps_guidance_increase

RTX increased its FY2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook by $0.10 to a range of $6.70 to $6.90, driven by drop-through on higher sales at Raytheon and lower interest expense.

"On the bottom line, we are increasing our adjusted earnings per share outlook $0.10 on both the low and high end of the range. This increase is driven by approximately $0.05 of drop-through on the higher sales at Raytheon, with the rest coming from a couple of below-the-line items, including lower interest expense."

- Neil Mitchill, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 21, 2026
2,700 Investor Focus

Pratt Gtf Engine Growth

pratt_gtf_engine_growth

Pratt & Whitney reported that GTF-powered aircraft surpassed 2,700 deliveries, with Pratt powering about 45% of the A320 deliveries to date, ahead of its roughly 40% sold program share.

"During the quarter, GTF-powered aircraft surpassed 2,700 deliveries, with Pratt powering about 45% of the A320 deliveries to date, ahead of our roughly 40% sold program share."

- Christopher Calio, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 21, 2026
40% Investor Focus

Munitions Output Increase

munitions_output_increase

Raytheon reported further progress on munitions output in Q1 2026 with total deliveries up over 40% year-over-year, building on the increased production it drove in 2025.

"For example, we saw further progress on munitions output at Raytheon in Q1 with total deliveries up over 40% year-over-year, building on the increased production we drove in 2025."

- Christopher Calio, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 21, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +30.5%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 31
Klarman value - target upside +30.5%
Buffett quality - ROE score 4/5
Munger valuation - target upside +30.5%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
30.6 RSI 30.6 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-11.30 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$196 stock 11.3% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$179 stock 2.7% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
-32% decrease - low participation
Resistance
$227
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$174
Pre-earnings position
Support
$152
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$152-$227 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$1.56 vs $1.44 est · Next-day price move: +4.9%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.70 vs $1.41 est · Next-day price move: +2.9%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.55 vs $1.47 est · Next-day price move: -0.9%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.78 vs $1.51 est · Next-day price move: -3.3%

Q1 FY26 (April 21, 2026) EPS $1.78 vs $1.51 estimate: beat (+17.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -3.3%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $1.68 (no guidance)

Q1 FY26 EPS $1.78 vs $1.51 estimate: beat (+17.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -3.3%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $644.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 11.6%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q2 EPS > $1.73 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $1.73[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $227[FMP target]; high target $240[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $1.73 + CapEx < $644.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $1.73[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $644.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $174[FMP] and median $227[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $1.68 or CapEx >= $644.0M
Threshold: EPS < $1.68[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $174 — below SMA200 $179 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 1 price targets · 23 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$227
12-month median target price (+30.5% gap to the analyst consensus median)
15
BUY
7
HOLD
1
SELL
Risk Management
$152
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$196 - 50-day MA (below, -11.3%)
$179 - 200-day MA (below, -2.7%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - RTX Q2 FY26
B

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Monday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Monday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q2 EPS threshold $1.73[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $644.0M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Oct 19, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Oct 20, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 14, 2026FILING10-Q due within 40–45 days of quarter end (by Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 14, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Jan 19, 2027EARNINGSQ3 FY26 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the RTX Q2 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This RTX Corporation (RTX) Q2 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in RTX Q2 FY26 earnings?

RTX Corporation (RTX): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

RTX Corporation (RTX): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

RTX Corporation (RTX): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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