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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/earnings/trmb
last_updated: 2026-05-09T15:02:49.659Z
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# Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q1 FY2027 Earnings Preview

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-09T15:02:49.235Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $60.80 (▼ -1.70%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $14.2B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $59.84 – $87.50 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Wed 5 Aug | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $0.80 (+13% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $951.4M | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 8/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B (overall 3/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $97 (+58.7% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 60/100 | derived |
| Council | 3/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Undervalued | derived |

## Trimble Inc. — Q1 FY2027 Expectations

Q1 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$951.4M</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$0.80</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 8 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** B · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 3/6 · **Moonshot:** 60

= MoonshotScore <strong>60</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>3/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (4 metrics)

### 1. Transportation Growth

The Transportation segment delivered 7% revenue growth and 9% ARR growth despite a constrained freight market.

> "The segment delivered revenue growth of 7% and ARR growth of 9% for the quarter."
> — Phillip Sawarynski, CFO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 2. Field Systems Growth

The Field Systems segment reported 12% ARR and revenue growth, supported by strong performance in infrastructure and data centers.

> "Both ARR and revenue were up 12%. We continue to innovate and execute with end market strength in infrastructure and data centers supporting our growth."
> — Robert Painter, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 3. Aeco Growth

The AECO segment delivered a strong quarter with 14% ARR and revenue growth.

> "The team delivered another outstanding quarter. Both ARR and revenue were up 14%."
> — Robert Painter, President and CEO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026

### 4. Stock Repurchase

Trimble repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock during the first quarter, reflecting the strength of its balance sheet and cash flow.

> "During the first quarter, we repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock, a direct reflection of our balance sheet and cash flow strength, our confidence in the long-term value of our business and our commitment to delivering shareholder returns."
> — Phillip Sawarynski, CFO, Investor Focus · Q1 FY2026


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.0 | medium | Q1 vs Q2: moderate growth (+7.3%) |
| Gross Margin | 7.0 | strong | Q1: very high margin (65.9%, software/cloud territory) |
| Operating Leverage | 2.0 | weak | op margin healthy (15.6%) |
| Cash Runway | 10.0 | strong | FCF very strong ($0.3B, 44.0× CapEx) |
| R&D Intensity | 5.0 | medium | high R&D intensity (17.4%, aggressive) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 30.7 weak momentum, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 10.0 | strong | strong buy consensus (100%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +58.7% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 31 |
| Klarman | bull | value · target upside +58.7% |
| Buffett | neutral | quality · ROE score 3/5 |
| Munger | bull | valuation · target upside +58.7% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Undervalued
- **Financial Health:** Moderate
- **Margin of Safety:** Strong
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Tight

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 30.7 — momentum zayıf — oversold yakınında değil ama alıcı baskısı az
- **50d MA:** $67 — hisse %8.8 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $75 — hisse %19.3 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** +34%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY25 | $0.71 | $0.63 | BEAT | -1.9% |
| Q3 FY25 | $0.81 | $0.72 | BEAT | -2.2% |
| Q4 FY25 | $1.00 | $0.96 | BEAT | -5.4% |
| Q1 FY26 | $0.79 | $0.72 | +9.7% EPS | -2.5% |

Q1 (May 6, 2026): EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +9.7% beat. D+1 movement: -2.5%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $0.80 + CapEx discipline**

Threshold: EPS > $0.80<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $97<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $101<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $0.80 + CapEx < $6.1M**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $0.80<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $6.1M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $61<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $97<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $0.78 or CapEx ≥ $6.1M**

Threshold: EPS < $0.78<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Target: Current $61 below SMA200 $75<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $64<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q1: EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock -2.5% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q1 FY26

### CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $6.1M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q1 op margin 15.6%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $97 (+58.7% upside vs current $61)
- **High / Low:** $101 / $80
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 13 / 0 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 2 (last quarter), 16 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. fy26_guidance_increase

**Claim:** Trimble raised its full year 2026 revenue and EPS guidance after a strong first quarter performance.

**Evidence (transcript):** "We are raising our guidance for the year."

**Numbers:** —

### 2. aeco_growth

**Claim:** The AECO segment delivered a strong quarter with 14% ARR and revenue growth.

**Evidence (transcript):** "The team delivered another outstanding quarter. Both ARR and revenue were up 14%."

**Numbers:** 14%

### 3. field_systems_growth

**Claim:** The Field Systems segment reported 12% ARR and revenue growth, supported by strong performance in infrastructure and data centers.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Both ARR and revenue were up 12%. We continue to innovate and execute with end market strength in infrastructure and data centers supporting our growth."

**Numbers:** 12%

### 4. transportation_growth

**Claim:** The Transportation segment delivered 7% revenue growth and 9% ARR growth despite a constrained freight market.

**Evidence (transcript):** "The segment delivered revenue growth of 7% and ARR growth of 9% for the quarter."

**Numbers:** 7%, 9%

### 5. stock_repurchase

**Claim:** Trimble repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock during the first quarter, reflecting the strength of its balance sheet and cash flow.

**Evidence (transcript):** "During the first quarter, we repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock, a direct reflection of our balance sheet and cash flow strength, our confidence in the long-term value of our business and our commitment to delivering shareholder returns."

**Numbers:** $317 million


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-09), Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*