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last_updated: 2026-05-05T21:40:59.198Z
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# Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) Q4 FY2026 Earnings Preview

> **[stale-preview-note]** Note: this preview was published before the 2026-05-07 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

> This content was automatically generated with FMP live data + Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript. Generated: 2026-05-05T21:40:58.975Z. Educational tool, not investment advice.

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## Quick Summary

| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $112.54 (▼ -0.12%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $47.5B | fmp:profile |
| 52w range | $111.27 – $172.23 | fmp:quote |
| Earnings | Thu 7 May | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS estimate | $1.61 (+9% YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Revenue estimate | $2.3B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat streak | 8/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B+ (overall 3/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $138 (+22.6% upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 56/100 | derived |
| Council | 2/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Fairly Valued | derived |

## Zoetis Inc. — Q4 FY2026 Expectations

Q4 consensus: revenue <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$2.3B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$1.61</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 8 consecutive quarters of beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Score:** B+ · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 2/6 · **Moonshot:** 56

= MoonshotScore <strong>56</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9-pillar formula">[9-pillar formula]</sup> + Council <strong>2/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6-lens rule">[6-lens rule]</sup>. Form 4: 0 transactions<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## Watchlist (6 metrics)

### 1. Dermatology Franchise Growth

Our key dermatology franchise grew 6% operationally for the year with strong international contributions, reflecting the durability of the category we built.

> "Our key dermatology franchise grew 6% operationally for the year with strong international contributions, reflecting the durability of the category we built."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 2. Companion Animal Diagnostics Growth

Companion animal diagnostics delivered broad-based 13% operational revenue growth for the year, even with ongoing pressure on clinic visits.

> "Companion animal diagnostics delivered broad-based 13% operational revenue growth for the year, even with ongoing pressure on clinic visits."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 3. Simparica Franchise Growth

The Simparica franchise grew 12% operationally for the year, with double-digit performance in both the U.S. and International markets.

> "Our Simparica franchise grew 12% operationally for the year, with double-digit performance in both the U.S. and International markets."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 4. Livestock Growth

We delivered 8% organic operational revenue growth for the year, with especially strong double-digit contribution internationally.

> "We delivered 8% organic operational revenue growth for the year, with especially strong double-digit contribution internationally."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 5. Oa Pain Decline

Turning to OA pain. The franchise declined 3% operationally for the year, and we remain committed to returning it to growth.

> "Turning to OA pain. The franchise declined 3% operationally for the year, and we remain committed to returning it to growth."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025

### 6. Simparica Trio Performance

Trio continued to be a key driver, growing 13% operationally. In the U.S. sales surpassed $1 billion with continued gains at initiation and the highest puppy share in the clinic.

> "Trio continued to be a key driver, growing 13% operationally. In the U.S. sales surpassed $1 billion with continued gains at initiation and the highest puppy share in the clinic."
> — Kristin Peck, Investor Focus · Q4 FY2025


## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.0 | medium | Q4 vs Q1: moderate growth (+7.5%) |
| Gross Margin | 7.0 | strong | Q4: very high margin (68.9%, software/cloud territory) |
| Operating Leverage | 3.0 | weak | op margin very strong (34.6%, scale leverage) |
| Cash Runway | 10.0 | strong | FCF very strong ($0.7B, 4.5× CapEx) |
| R&D Intensity | 5.0 | medium | average R&D (7.4%) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 37.4 weak momentum, 50d below |
| News Sentiment | 6.0 | medium | majority buy (62%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| Name | Stance | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +22.6% |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50d MA below |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 37 |
| Klarman | neutral | value · target upside +22.6% |
| Buffett | bull | quality · ROE score 5/5 |
| Munger | neutral | valuation · target upside +22.6% |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Fairly Valued
- **Financial Health:** Moderate
- **Margin of Safety:** Moderate
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Healthy

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Technical Levels

- **RSI(14):** 37.4 — momentum zayıf — oversold yakınında değil ama alıcı baskısı az
- **50d MA:** $119 — hisse %5.6 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200d MA:** $132 — hisse %14.6 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Volume (10d):** -6%

## Past Performance (4 Quarters)

| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Result | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY25 | $1.48 | $1.41 | BEAT | +4.1% |
| Q2 FY25 | $1.76 | $1.62 | BEAT | +0.3% |
| Q3 FY25 | $1.70 | $1.62 | BEAT | -3.2% |
| Q4 FY25 | $1.48 | $1.40 | +5.7% EPS | +0.8% |

Q4 (February 12, 2026): EPS $1.48 vs $1.40 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +5.7% beat. D+1 movement: +0.8%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Decline despite beat — market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

## 3 Scenarios

### Scenario A · Beat
**Q4 EPS > $1.61 + Companion Animal ≥ 5%**

Threshold: EPS > $1.61<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup> and Companion Animal ≥ 5%<sup class="cite" data-source="transcript:q-prev" data-field="transcript.azureGuidanceUpper">[Wetteny Joseph transcript]</sup>.

Target: Break above median target $138<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup>; high target $160<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> upper bound.

### Scenario B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $1.61 + Companion Animal 3-5% + CapEx promise kept**

Threshold: EPS ≈ $1.61<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Companion Animal 3-5%, Q4 CapEx < $161.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Target: Consolidation in the band between current $113<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> and median $138<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup>.

### Scenario C · Miss
**EPS < $1.56 or Companion Animal < 35% or CapEx ≥ $161.0M**

Threshold: EPS < $1.56<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup> or Companion Animal < 35%<sup class="cite" data-source="transcript:q-prev" data-field="transcript.azureGuidanceLower">[Wetteny Joseph guidance lower minus 2]</sup>.

Target: Current $113 below SMA200 $132<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup>, if rejection continues, $112<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> support activates.

## Risk Notes

### Primary segment below threshold
Q4: EPS $1.48 vs $1.40 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, stock +0.8% D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>. Wetteny Joseph Q4 transcript: "Looking ahead to 2026, we are guiding to a range of 3% to 5% organic operational revenue growth and expect 3% to 6% organic operational growth in adjusted net income."<sup class="cite" data-source="transcript:q-prev" data-field="transcript.azureQuoteEn" title="Wetteny Joseph">[Wetteny Joseph]</sup>.

### Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q4 earnings call.

### Insider trading
Form 4 data is marked in the table — this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.

| Executive | Action | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 transactions · 0 sells · 0 buys) · Q4 FY25

### CapEx shock
Q4 CapEx $161.0M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q4 op margin 34.6%<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

## Wall Street Consensus

- **Median target:** $138 (+22.6% upside vs current $113)
- **High / Low:** $160 / $130
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 13 / 8 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 2 (last quarter), 22 all-time

## Additional Transcript Insights

### 1. simparica_franchise_growth

**Claim:** The Simparica franchise grew 12% operationally for the year, with double-digit performance in both the U.S. and International markets.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Our Simparica franchise grew 12% operationally for the year, with double-digit performance in both the U.S. and International markets."

**Numbers:** 12%

### 2. simparica_trio_performance

**Claim:** Trio continued to be a key driver, growing 13% operationally. In the U.S. sales surpassed $1 billion with continued gains at initiation and the highest puppy share in the clinic.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Trio continued to be a key driver, growing 13% operationally. In the U.S. sales surpassed $1 billion with continued gains at initiation and the highest puppy share in the clinic."

**Numbers:** 13%, $1 billion

### 3. dermatology_franchise_growth

**Claim:** Our key dermatology franchise grew 6% operationally for the year with strong international contributions, reflecting the durability of the category we built.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Our key dermatology franchise grew 6% operationally for the year with strong international contributions, reflecting the durability of the category we built."

**Numbers:** 6%

### 4. oa_pain_decline

**Claim:** Turning to OA pain. The franchise declined 3% operationally for the year, and we remain committed to returning it to growth.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Turning to OA pain. The franchise declined 3% operationally for the year, and we remain committed to returning it to growth."

**Numbers:** 3%

### 5. companion_animal_diagnostics_growth

**Claim:** Companion animal diagnostics delivered broad-based 13% operational revenue growth for the year, even with ongoing pressure on clinic visits.

**Evidence (transcript):** "Companion animal diagnostics delivered broad-based 13% operational revenue growth for the year, even with ongoing pressure on clinic visits."

**Numbers:** 13%

### 6. livestock_growth

**Claim:** We delivered 8% organic operational revenue growth for the year, with especially strong double-digit contribution internationally.

**Evidence (transcript):** "We delivered 8% organic operational revenue growth for the year, with especially strong double-digit contribution internationally."

**Numbers:** 8%


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*Data source: FMP (live query, 2026-05-05), Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript (Translated to EN with Gemini 2.0 Flash). Educational tool, not investment advice.*
