BAER — Stock Film
STOCK FILMSCENE 1/10BAER · $1.04
Stock Expert AI presents
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc
~5 min film100% real numbersplain English
WHAT DOES THIS COMPANY DO?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. What it actually does.

Provide aerial wildfire management services to U.S. State Governments. Offer firefighting support through a fleet of specialized aircraft. Now — the numbers.

235 employees
$59.9M market value
Revenue last year:
$122.8M
The net profit left over:
$4.1M
Out of every $100 in sales, $3 stays as net profit.
THE SLICE THAT TURNS INTO PROFIT: 3%

This is an established company with proven profits.

THE SALES TREND
Sales are growing, year after year.

Average growth of 33% a year over the last 4 years. Red columns mark years that ended in a loss.

$39.4M
2021
2022
2023
2024
$122.8M
2025
THE PRICE TAG
MARKET VALUE / ANNUAL PROFIT
14.5×

The market pays 14.5× for every dollar of annual profit — around what a business like this usually costs.

Against companies in its own sector, it looks cheaper than 8% of them.

Analysts' average target sits 253% above today's price.

INSIDE THE REPORT CARD

We compared this company with its own sector across five subjects.

A score of 50 means class average.

BUSINESS QUALITY
24
very weak

Clearly below the class average.

FINANCIAL STRENGTH
5
very weak

Clearly below the class average.

VALUATION
8
very weak

Clearly below the class average.

GROWTH
68
strong

Clearly above the class average — a step short of the very top.

PRICE MOMENTUM
13
very weak

Clearly below the class average.

WORTH WATCHING

Financial Strength: The cash-and-debt balance is thin; the buffer for hard times is slim.

Valuation: The stock trades at a price that looks expensive next to its earnings; that can cap future returns.

THE FIVE-YEAR JOURNEY
A big climb, then a hard fall.

An investor who bought at the very peak is down 95% today. The business is the same; what changed most is the price — and the expectations — the market pins on it.

1
THE BRIGHT SIDE · 1/2
Sales keep climbing

Over the last 4 years, sales grew about 33% a year on average.

2
THE BRIGHT SIDE · 2/2
Executives are buying their own stock

Over the last 12 months, company executives reported 44 buys and 14 sells. Management buying with its own money is usually read as a good sign.

1
THE RISKS · 1/3
A thin financial cushion

The balance sheet offers little cushion against a rough stretch. Report-card grade: 5/100.

2
THE RISKS · 2/3
The price runs ahead of the earnings

Today’s price already includes part of tomorrow’s optimism. Report-card grade: 8/100.

3
THE RISKS · 3/3
The stock has lost its spark

Buyers haven’t stepped back in yet; the price hasn’t found its footing. Report-card grade: 13/100. For a turnaround signal, the stock first needs to close the gap with the market.

FINALE · THE GRADE
F
21 / 100 · MoonshotScore

On our five-subject report card, BAER sits behind the class. A low grade doesn’t mean “doomed” — it means “big claim, small proof.”

The takeaway: BAER does earn real profits — but on our report card it still sits behind its class. The real debate isn’t the quality of the business — it’s whether the price paid for the stock is too high.

Analysts’ average target sits above today’s price, yet the valuation grade (8/100) says the stock isn’t cheap.

What would you like to do next?
Open the stock page →

Not covered, because the filings we hold do not carry it: the revenue breakdown.

This was a film — not investment advice.
Data: FMP & company filings
Sep 11, 2026 · stockexpertai.com · Stock Film