The defense super-cycle: budgets locked against political winds, for years.
The primes offer lower-volatility exposure to rising defense budgets; the specialists offer higher growth. The risk is political: budgets can be cut, and many names lean on a single government customer.
This is not a normal budget wave but a multi-year, structural super-cycle. The US made space a national security priority; the Space Force budget reached $40.2B for 2026 (+40% YoY) and the Golden Dome missile shield carries $15.7B — a durable demand signal for the primes and the specialists.
L3Harris is a direct beneficiary of the multi-year, structural defense super-cycle, particularly the Space Force and Golden Dome initiatives. Management's focus on sustained growth positions the company for continued success.
RTX (Raytheon) is positioned to benefit from the defense super-cycle, particularly the growth in space-related defense spending. The company's missile defense capabilities align with the increasing demand for space-based assets protection.
Kratos is positioned to capitalize on the expanding space economy, driven by increased national security spending and demand for advanced satellite command and control systems. Their OpenSpace software is expected to contribute meaningfully to profitability in Q3 and Q4.
Lockheed Martin is positioned to capitalize on the defense super-cycle, particularly within the burgeoning space economy, driven by sustained government investment and escalating global demand for advanced defense technologies. The company's established role in missile defense and the 'Golden Dome' provides a stable foundation for growth.
Northrop Grumman is positioned to capitalize on the defense super-cycle, particularly within the burgeoning space economy, fueled by locked-in government spending. The company's established position as a Golden Dome contractor provides a multi-year, structural advantage.
General Dynamics benefits from the defense super-cycle, particularly the expansion of the Space Force budget and related 'Golden Dome' initiatives. Strong Q1 2026 results and backlog growth signal continued momentum.
While a Space Force contract was terminated, AeroVironment is pivoting to commercialized space solutions, aligning with a broader, more profitable market. This strategic shift leverages their core strengths in autonomous systems and scalable manufacturing.
HEICO is a steady compounder leveraged to increased flight and defense activity, including the burgeoning space economy. Sustained growth and consistent profitability result directly from the talent, dedication, and hard work of HEICO's team members.