---
canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ypf
last_updated: 2026-07-20T00:00:00Z
doc_version: "1.0"
language: ko
title: YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — AI Stock Analysis
description: "YPF Sociedad Anónima(YPF) 주식 분석 — AI 기반 투자 인사이트, 재무 지표 및 성장 전망."
author: "Sedat ANAK, 창립자 겸 편집장"
publisher: Stock Expert AI
ticker: YPF
exchange: NASDAQ
---

# YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — AI Stock Analysis

> **출처:** Stock Expert AI ([https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ypf](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ypf))  
> **마크다운 피드:** https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ypf.md  
> **최종 업데이트:** 2026-07-20T00:00:00Z  
> **면책 조항:** 이것은 재무 조언이 아닙니다. 교육 목적으로만 사용됩니다.

YPF Sociedad Anónima(YPF) 주식 분석 — AI 기반 투자 인사이트, 재무 지표 및 성장 전망.

## 빠른 답변

YPF는 YPF Sociedad Anónima를 나타내며, 주가 $50.48($19.79B 시가총액)의 에너지 기업입니다. 성장 잠재력, 재무 건전성, 모멘텀에서 42/100(신중)으로 평가됩니다.

YPF Sociedad Anónima, 아르헨티나's leading integrated energy company, engages in upstream and downstream oil and gas operations. With extensive reserves, refining capacity, and a vast retail network, YPF serves as a key player in the Argentine energy market, navigating fluctuating 원자재 가격 and evolving energy policies.

## 스냅샷

- **Price:** $50.48 (+0.80 / +1.61%)
- **Market Cap:** $19.79B
- **Sector:** 에너지
- **Industry:** 통합 석유·가스
- **MoonshotScore:** 42/100 (Grade C)
- **P/E Ratio:** 71.25
- **Analyst Target Price:** $47.00
- **Volume:** 829.6K
- **ADR Home Country:** Buenos Aires, AR

## 정보 YPF Sociedad Anónima

YPF Sociedad Anónima, founded in 1977 and headquartered in Buenos Aires, is 아르헨티나's largest integrated energy company. Its operations span the entire oil and gas value chain, from exploration and production to refining, marketing, and distribution. The company's upstream activities involve the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, 천연가스, and 천연가스 liquids (NGLs). As of December 31, 2021, YPF had interests in 119 oil and gas fields, holding approximately 643 million barrels of oil and 2,447 billion cubic feet of gas. YPF's downstream operations include refining crude oil into various petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. It owns and operates three refineries with a combined annual refining capacity of approximately 120 million barrels. The company also has a vast retail distribution network of 1,654 YPF-branded service stations across 아르헨티나. In addition to its core oil and gas business, YPF participates in 발전, operating 21 발전 plants with an aggregate installed capacity of 3,091 megawatts. YPF also produces and markets a range of petrochemicals, LPG, and bio-fuels, further diversifying its energy portfolio.

## 주요 사실

- **CEO:** Horacio Daniel Marin
- **Headquarters:** Buenos Aires, AR
- **Employees:** 21594
- **IPO:** 1993

## 사업 내용

- Explores for and produces crude oil, 천연가스, and 천연가스 liquids (NGLs).
- Refines crude oil into gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.
- Markets and distributes petroleum products through a network of service stations.
- Transports crude oil and refined products through pipelines and other 인프라.
- Participates in 발전, operating power plants with a total capacity of 3,091 megawatts.
- Produces and markets petrochemicals, LPG, and bio-fuels.
- Supplies diesel, fertilizers, lubricants, and other products to the agricultural sector.

## 비즈니스 모델

- YPF operates as an integrated energy company, generating revenue from both upstream and downstream activities.
- The company earns revenue from the sale of crude oil, 천연가스, and NGLs produced from its oil and gas fields.
- YPF generates revenue from the sale of refined petroleum products through its retail network and wholesale channels.
- The company also earns revenue from 발전 and the sale of petrochemicals, LPG, and bio-fuels.

## 투자 논거

YPF presents a complex 투자 근거. With a 시가총액 of $16.30 billion, YPF operates in a sector vital to 아르헨티나's economy. While the company possesses significant oil and gas reserves and a substantial retail network, its profitability is hampered by a negative 순이익률 of -1.4%. Growth 촉매제 include potential increases in production from its oil and gas fields, particularly in the Vaca Muerta shale formation. However, investors must consider the ongoing risks associated with 아르헨티나's economic and political instability, which could significantly impact YPF's operations and financial performance. The company's 베타 of 0.03 suggests low 변동성 relative to the market, but this may not fully capture the specific risks associated with operating in 아르헨티나.

## 성장 기회

- Vaca Muerta Shale Development: YPF has a significant opportunity to increase its oil and gas production through the development of the Vaca Muerta shale formation. This vast shale deposit holds substantial reserves of unconventional oil and gas. Increased investment in drilling and 인프라 could significantly boost YPF's 생산량s and revenue. The timeline for realizing this growth potential depends on factors such as access to capital, 규제 승인s, and 인프라 development. The market size for shale oil and gas is substantial, with potential for both domestic consumption and export.
- Expansion of Retail Network: YPF can expand its retail network by opening new service stations in underserved areas and upgrading existing facilities. This would allow the company to increase its 시장 점유율 in the retail fuel market and generate additional revenue. The market size for retail fuel in 아르헨티나 is significant, driven by the country's large population and transportation needs. The timeline for expanding the retail network depends on factors such as site acquisition, construction costs, and 규제 승인s. This expansion could also include offering electric vehicle charging stations, positioning YPF for future energy trends.
- Increased Refining Capacity: YPF can increase its refining capacity to meet growing demand for petroleum products in 아르헨티나 and neighboring countries. This would involve investing in new refineries or expanding existing facilities. The market size for refined petroleum products in the region is substantial, driven by transportation, industrial, and residential needs. The timeline for increasing refining capacity depends on factors such as capital investment, technology upgrades, and 환경 규제. This would allow YPF to reduce reliance on imported refined products.
- Power Generation Expansion: YPF can expand its 발전 capacity by investing in new power plants, particularly those powered by 천연가스 or renewable energy sources. This would allow the company to diversify its 수익원s and contribute to 아르헨티나's energy security. The market size for 발전 in 아르헨티나 is significant, driven by growing electricity demand from households and businesses. The timeline for expanding 발전 capacity depends on factors such as 규제 승인s, financing, and technology selection. This could include investing in solar and wind power projects.
- Export Market Development: YPF can increase its exports of crude oil, 천연가스, and refined petroleum products to neighboring countries and international markets. This would allow the company to generate additional revenue and reduce its reliance on the domestic market. The market size for energy exports is substantial, driven by global demand for oil and gas. The timeline for developing export markets depends on factors such as 인프라 development, trade agreements, and geopolitical considerations. This includes developing 인프라 for LNG exports.

## 주요 하이라이트

- YPF has a 시가총액 of $16.30 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Argentine energy sector.
- The company's 매출총이익률 stands at 27.2%, indicating its ability to generate revenue from its operations after accounting for the cost of goods sold.
- YPF operates 1,654 branded service stations, providing a substantial retail distribution network across 아르헨티나.
- The company has interests in 119 oil and gas fields, with approximately 643 million barrels of oil and 2,447 billion cubic feet of gas reserves as of December 31, 2021.
- YPF's 베타 of 0.03 suggests low 변동성 compared to the overall market, though specific country risks should be considered.

## 경쟁 우위

- Integrated Operations: YPF's integrated business model, spanning upstream and downstream activities, provides a 경쟁 우위.
- Extensive Retail Network: The company's vast network of service stations provides a strong distribution channel for its products.
- Significant Reserves: YPF's substantial oil and gas reserves provide a 장기 source of supply.
- Dominant Market Share: YPF holds a leading 시장 점유율 in the Argentine energy market.

## 경쟁사

- **[TechnipFMC plc](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/fti):** Provides engineering and construction services for energy projects.
- **[Ecopetrol S.A.](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ec):** A major integrated oil and gas company in Colombia.
- **[Coterra Energy Inc.](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/ctra):** An independent oil and gas company focused on shale development in the 미국.
- **[Viper Energy, Inc.](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/vnom):** A mineral interest company focused on oil and gas properties in the Permian Basin.
- **[Western Midstream Partners, LP](https://www.stockexpertai.com/ko/stock/wes):** A midstream energy company that provides gathering, processing, and transportation services.

## SWOT 분석

### 강점

- Large integrated oil and gas company
- Significant oil and gas reserves
- Extensive retail network in 아르헨티나
- Dominant 시장 점유율 in the Argentine energy market

### 약점

- Negative 순이익률
- Exposure to political and economic instability in 아르헨티나
- Dependence on domestic market
- Limited international presence

### 기회

- Development of Vaca Muerta shale formation
- Expansion of retail network
- Increased refining capacity
- Export market development

### 위협

- Fluctuations in 원자재 가격
- Government regulations and policies
- Competition from other energy companies
- Environmental concerns and regulations

## 촉매제(강세 시나리오)

- Ongoing: Development of the Vaca Muerta shale formation, which could significantly increase YPF's oil and gas production.
- Ongoing: Expansion of YPF's retail network, which could increase its 시장 점유율 in the retail fuel market.
- Upcoming: Potential for increased exports of crude oil, 천연가스, and refined petroleum products to neighboring countries.
- Ongoing: Government policies supporting domestic energy production, which could benefit YPF.
- Upcoming: Potential for new discoveries of oil and gas reserves, which could increase YPF's 자산 기반.

## 리스크(약세 시나리오)

- Ongoing: Fluctuations in 원자재 가격, which can impact YPF's revenue and profitability.
- Ongoing: Political and economic instability in 아르헨티나, which can create uncertainty for investors.
- Potential: Government regulations and policies that could negatively impact YPF's operations.
- Potential: Environmental concerns and regulations that could increase YPF's operating costs.
- Potential: Competition from other energy companies, which could reduce YPF's 시장 점유율.

## 경영진

**Horacio Daniel Marin** — CEO

Horacio Daniel Marin is the CEO of YPF Sociedad Anónima. His extensive background in the energy sector includes various leadership roles. He brings a wealth of experience in strategic planning, operational management, and financial performance. Marin's expertise is crucial for navigating the complexities of Argentina's energy landscape and driving YPF's growth strategy. His leadership is focused on enhancing YPF's operational efficiency and expanding its market presence.

**실적:** Since becoming CEO, Horacio Daniel Marin has focused on improving YPF's financial performance and operational efficiency. Key initiatives include streamlining operations, optimizing capital expenditures, and increasing production from the Vaca Muerta shale formation. Marin has also emphasized the importance of sustainability and environmental responsibility in YPF's operations.

## ADR 분석

- **ADR이란:** An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a certificate representing shares of a foreign company trading on U.S. stock exchanges. YPF, as an ADR, allows U.S. investors to easily invest in the Argentine company without the complexities of cross-border transactions. Each YPF ADR represents a specific number of YPF shares traded on its home market in Buenos Aires.
- **본국 시장:** Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos (BYMA), Buenos Aires, Argentina
- **환율 리스크:** As an ADR, YPF's value is subject to currency fluctuations between the U.S. dollar and the Argentine Peso. A weakening Peso can negatively impact the dollar value of YPF's earnings and assets, reducing the ADR's value for U.S. investors. Investors should monitor exchange rate movements and consider hedging strategies to mitigate this risk.
- **ADR 레벨:** YPF is a Level III ADR, which means the company has listed on a U.S. exchange (NYSE) and has raised capital in the U.S. market. This provides greater visibility and liquidity for U.S. investors compared to Level I or II ADRs, but also requires more stringent regulatory compliance.
- **세금 영향:** Dividends paid on YPF ADRs are subject to foreign dividend withholding tax by the Argentine government. The standard withholding tax rate is typically around 30%, but this may be reduced by tax treaties between the U.S. and Argentina. U.S. investors may be able to claim a foreign tax credit on their U.S. tax return for the amount of tax withheld.
- **거래 시간 차이:** Trading hours for YPF's home market (Buenos Aires) and the NYSE differ significantly. The Buenos Aires Stock Exchange typically operates from 11:00 AM to 5:00 PM local time (GMT-3), while the NYSE operates from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST (GMT-5). This means there is a period when the home market is closed while the ADR is still trading in the U.S., potentially leading to price discrepancies.

## 자주 묻는 질문

### What does YPF Sociedad Anónima do?

YPF Sociedad Anónima is an integrated energy company based in 아르헨티나, involved in the exploration, production, refining, distribution, and marketing of oil, gas, and other energy products. The company operates through upstream and downstream segments, managing oil and gas fields, refineries, and a vast retail network of service stations. YPF also participates in 발전 and produces petrochemicals, playing a crucial role in 아르헨티나's energy sector and economy.

### What do analysts say about YPF stock?

애널리스트 컨센서스 on YPF stock is mixed, reflecting the inherent risks and opportunities associated with operating in 아르헨티나's energy sector. Key valuation metrics often focus on YPF's reserve base, 생산량 성장 potential from Vaca Muerta, and exposure to 원자재 가격 fluctuations. Growth considerations include the company's ability to increase production, expand its retail network, and capitalize on export opportunities. However, 아르헨티나's economic and political instability remains a significant factor in analyst assessments.

### What are the main risks for YPF?

YPF faces several key risks, including 원자재 가격 변동성, political and economic instability in 아르헨티나, and government regulations. Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact YPF's revenue and profitability. Political and economic uncertainty in 아르헨티나 can create instability for investors and affect YPF's operations. Government regulations and policies can also impact YPF's business, particularly those related to pricing, taxation, and environmental standards. Competition from other energy companies also poses a risk to YPF's 시장 점유율.

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