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canonical_url: https://www.stockexpertai.com/tr/earnings/azo
last_updated: 2026-07-13T06:14:00.486Z
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# AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Q1 FY2027 Bilanço Önizleme

> Bu içerik FMP canlı veri + Q3 FY2026 earnings call transcript ile otomatik üretildi. Üretim: 2026-07-13T06:13:59.970Z. Eğitim aracıdır, yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.

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## Hızlı Özet

| Alan | Değer | Kaynak |
|---|---|---|
| Fiyat | $3072.64 (▲ 2.07%) | fmp:quote |
| Market Cap | $50.2B | fmp:profile |
| 52w aralık | $2928.11 – $4388.11 | fmp:quote |
| Bilanço | Sal 22 Eylül | fmp:earnings-history |
| EPS beklenti | $54.51 (+%12 YoY) | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Gelir beklenti | $6.7B | fmp:earnings-estimate |
| Beat serisi | 2/4 | fmp:earnings-history |
| Rating | B- (overall 2/5) | fmp:ratings |
| Analyst median target | $3909 (+%27.2 upside) | fmp:price-target-consensus |
| MoonshotScore | 46/100 | derived |
| Council | 3/6 bullish | derived |
| Munger verdict | Undervalued | derived |

## AutoZone, Inc. — Q1 FY2027 Beklentileri

Q1 konsensüs: gelir <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvgLabel">$6.7B</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.revenueAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>, EPS <strong data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">$54.51</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg" title="FMP est">[FMP est]</sup>. 2 çeyrek üst üste beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.beatStreakCount" title="FMP earnings">[FMP earnings]</sup>.

## Quick Take

**Skor:** B- · **Stance:** BUY · **Council:** 3/6 · **Moonshot:** 46

= MoonshotScore <strong>46</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="moonshot.score" title="9 pillar formül">[9 pillar formül]</sup> + Council <strong>3/6</strong><sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="council.bullishCount" title="6 lens kuralı">[6 lens kuralı]</sup>. Form 4: 0 işlem<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:insider-trading" data-field="insider.txCount" title="FMP Form 4">[FMP Form 4]</sup>.

## İzleme Listesi (0 metrik)

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## MoonshotScore Pillars

| Pillar | Score | Level | Kanıt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.0 | weak | Q3 vs Q4: büyüme negatif (-%22.5, kontraksiyon) |
| Gross Margin | 5.0 | medium | Q3: yüksek marj (%52.2) |
| Operating Leverage | 2.0 | weak | op marj sağlıklı (%19.1) |
| Cash Runway | 9.0 | strong | FCF güçlü ($0.5B FCF, CapEx'i karşılıyor) |
| R&D Intensity | 3.0 | weak | düşük R&D yatırımı (%0.0, inovasyon zayıf) |
| Price Momentum | 4.0 | medium | RSI 47.1 dengeli, 50g altı |
| News Sentiment | 9.0 | strong | güçlü buy konsensüsü (85%) |

**Formula:** sum(pillar.score) / (count * 10) * 100. Each pillar deterministic from FMP. Source maps in pillar.formula.

## Council (7-Lens)

| İsim | Stance | Bağlam |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Dalio | bull | macro · target upside +%27.2 |
| Ken Griffin | bear | flow · 50g MA altında |
| Jim Simons | neutral | quant · RSI 47 |
| Klarman | bull | value · target upside +%27.2 |
| Buffett | neutral | quality · ROE skor 1/5 |
| Munger | bull | valuation · target upside +%27.2 |

**Formula:** Each lens uses deterministic rule on bundle data. Logged in member.contextTr.

## Munger Lens

- **Verdict:** Undervalued
- **Financial Health:** Weak
- **Margin of Safety:** Strong
- **Interest Coverage:** Adequate
- **ROIC vs WACC:** Tight

**Formula:** verdict=upside>25?Undervalued:>0?Fairly Valued:Overvalued. Each lens deterministic from FMP ratings + priceTarget.

## Teknik Seviyeler

- **RSI(14):** 47.1 — dengeli — yön sinyali zayıf
- **50g MA:** $3215 — hisse %4.4 altında — kısa vadeli direnç
- **200g MA:** $3567 — hisse %13.9 altında — uzun vadeli baskı
- **Hacim (10g):** -%52

## Geçmiş Performans (4 Çeyrek)

| Çeyrek | EPS Actual | EPS Estimate | Sonuç | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY25 | $48.71 | $50.73 | MISS | +%1.4 |
| Q1 FY26 | $31.04 | $32.75 | MISS | -%2.2 |
| Q2 FY26 | $27.63 | $27.15 | BEAT | +%2.2 |
| Q3 FY26 | $38.07 | $36.22 | +%5.1 EPS | -%2.3 |

Q3 (26 Mayıs 2026): EPS $38.07 vs $36.22 est<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, +%5.1 beat. D+1 hareketi: -%2.3<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP D+1">[FMP D+1]</sup>. Beat'e rağmen düşüş — piyasa rehbere tepki verdi, rakam değil.

## 3 Senaryo

### Senaryo A · Beat
**Q1 EPS > $54.51 + CapEx disiplini**

Eşik: EPS > $54.51<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>.

Hedef: Median target $3909<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP target]</sup> üstüne kırılma; high target $4800<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.high">[FMP]</sup> üst sınır.

### Senaryo B · In-Line
**EPS ≈ $54.51 + CapEx < $345.5M**

Eşik: EPS ≈ $54.51<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est]</sup>, Q1 CapEx < $345.5M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel">[FMP]</sup>.

Hedef: Mevcut $3073<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:quote" data-field="quote.price">[FMP]</sup> ile median $3909<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:price-target-consensus" data-field="priceTarget.median">[FMP]</sup> bandında konsolidasyon.

### Senaryo C · Miss
**EPS < $52.87 veya CapEx ≥ $345.5M**

Eşik: EPS < $52.87<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-estimate" data-field="estimates.next.epsAvg">[FMP est×0.97]</sup>.

Hedef: Mevcut $3073 SMA200 $3567<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:technical" data-field="technical.sma200">[FMP]</sup> altında, reddi sürerse $3032<sup class="cite" data-source="derived" data-field="technical.sma200" data-formula="round(sma200*0.85)">[derived]</sup> destek aktive olur.

## Risk Notları

### Ana segment altı eşik
Q3: EPS $38.07 vs $36.22 beat<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.history.0" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>, hisse -%2.3 D+1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:earnings-history" data-field="earnings.timeline.3.reactionLabel" title="FMP">[FMP]</sup>.

### Backlog konsantrasyonu
Q3 earnings call'da RPO/backlog konsantrasyonu açıklanmadı.

### İçeriden işlem (insider)
Form 4 verisi tablo'da işaretli — bu hisse için sayfa varsayım üretmez.

| Yönetici | İşlem | Tutar | Tarih |
|---|---|---|---|


**Net:** — (0 işlem · 0 satış · 0 alım) · Q3 FY26

### CapEx şoku
Q3 CapEx $345.5M<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:cashflow" data-field="cashflow.qPrev.capexLabel" title="FMP cashflow">[FMP cashflow]</sup>. Q3 op margin %19.1<sup class="cite" data-source="fmp:income" data-field="income.quarters.0.operatingMargin" title="FMP op margin">[FMP op margin]</sup> — Q1'da bu seviye CapEx revize riskine duyarlı.

## Wall Street Konsensüs

- **Median target:** $3909 (+%27.2 upside vs current $3073)
- **High / Low:** $4800 / $3200
- **Buy / Hold / Sell:** 23 / 4 / 0
- **Analyst count:** 9 (last quarter), 122 all-time

## Ek Transcript Insight'ları

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*Veri kaynağı: FMP (canlı sorgu, 2026-07-13), Q3 FY2026 earnings call transcript (Gemini 2.0 Flash ile TR'ye çevrildi). Eğitim aracıdır, yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.*