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Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) Stock Analysis

$95.43 -$0.87 (-0.90%) |CouncilSplit View · 49 · C
Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (49/100) and AI Score (50/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Moon AI bearish.
MCap: $6.20M| Vol: 1.2K|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) trades at $95.43 with AI Score 50/100 (Grade B). Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) focuses on investing in U. S. Treasury securities, either directly or through other ETFs. Market cap: $6.20M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) focuses on investing in U.S. Treasury securities, either directly or through other ETFs. The fund aims to provide a hedge against deflationary periods, offering investors exposure to the fixed income market.

Analyst Coverage for BNDD: BNDD does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates BNDD against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.

Watch the BNDD film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 49/100 · C

BNDD: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bearish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) Financial Services Profile

IPO Year2021

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) is a non-diversified fund providing exposure to U.S. Treasury securities of various maturities, seeking to hedge against deflationary environments. The fund operates within the asset management sector, offering investors a specialized fixed-income investment option focused on government bonds.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for BNDD?

As of Mar 16, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) presents a focused investment opportunity for those seeking to hedge against deflationary risks. With a beta of 1.23, BNDD exhibits higher volatility compared to the broader market. While BNDD does not offer a dividend yield, its value proposition lies in its potential to appreciate during periods of economic deflation, when investors typically flock to the safety of U.S. Treasury securities. The fund's performance is closely linked to macroeconomic factors, particularly inflation expectations and interest rate movements. A key catalyst for BNDD is the potential for unexpected deflationary shocks, which could drive increased demand for Treasury bonds and, consequently, boost the fund's value. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures pose significant risks, as they could diminish the appeal of Treasury bonds and negatively impact BNDD's performance. Investors should carefully consider their macroeconomic outlook and risk tolerance before investing in BNDD.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BNDD Key Highlights

BNDD offers targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury securities, providing a potential hedge against deflationary economic conditions.

  • The fund is non-diversified, concentrating its investments in a specific sector of the fixed-income market.
  • BNDD's performance is closely tied to interest rate movements and inflation expectations.
  • With a beta of 1.23, BNDD exhibits higher volatility compared to the broader market.
  • BNDD does not offer a dividend yield, focusing instead on potential capital appreciation during deflationary periods.

Who Are BNDD's Competitors?

BNDD is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF $82.34 -0.82% $41.6B 44
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF $93.00 -0.41% $47.2B 47
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF $82.06 +0.05% $25.1B 44
IDKFF ThreeD Capital Inc. $0.07 +13.85% $6.98M 70
ALTEX Firsthand Alternative Energy Fund $12.93 -1.90% $8.98M 82
BCG Binah Capital Group, Inc. $1.40 +0.72% $23.5M 78
ALISR Calisa Acquisition Corp Right $0.64 +0.00% 79
EEA The European Equity Fund, Inc. $11.15 -0.59% $74.7M 67

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are BNDD's Key Strengths?

Targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury securities.

  • Potential hedge against deflationary risks.
  • Liquid and transparent ETF structure.
  • Established presence in the fixed-income market.

What Are BNDD's Weaknesses?

Non-diversified nature increases volatility.

  • Performance is highly dependent on macroeconomic conditions.
  • No dividend yield.
  • Higher beta compared to the broader market.

What Could Drive BNDD Stock Higher?

Unexpected deflationary shocks could drive demand for Treasury bonds.

  • Persistent economic uncertainty may increase demand for deflation hedges.
  • Expansion of distribution channels could lead to increased inflows.

What Are the Key Risks for BNDD?

Rising interest rates and inflationary pressures could diminish the appeal of Treasury bonds.

  • Increased competition from other fixed-income ETFs could erode market share.
  • Changes in government policy affecting the Treasury market could impact performance.
  • The non-diversified nature of the fund increases volatility.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for BNDD?

  • Increased investor demand for deflation hedges: As economic uncertainty persists, there is a growing demand for investment strategies that can protect against deflationary risks. BNDD is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend by offering a targeted investment vehicle focused on U.S. Treasury securities. The market for deflation hedges is expected to grow as investors become more aware of the potential for economic downturns and the importance of portfolio diversification. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Expansion of distribution channels: BNDD can expand its reach by partnering with financial advisors and wealth management firms to distribute its ETF to a wider audience. By increasing its visibility and accessibility, BNDD can attract new investors who are seeking to manage deflationary risks. The market for ETFs is constantly evolving, with new distribution channels emerging to cater to different investor segments. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of complementary investment products: Quadratic can develop additional investment products that complement BNDD, such as ETFs that focus on specific maturities of Treasury bonds or strategies that combine deflation hedging with other investment objectives. By expanding its product line, Quadratic can offer investors a more comprehensive suite of investment solutions. The market for specialized ETFs is growing rapidly, with investors seeking more targeted and customized investment strategies. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic partnerships with institutional investors: BNDD can forge strategic partnerships with institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, to provide them with a tailored deflation hedging solution. By working closely with institutional investors, BNDD can gain access to a large pool of capital and establish itself as a trusted partner in the fixed-income market. The institutional investment market is highly competitive, but there is a growing demand for specialized investment strategies that can meet the unique needs of these investors. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging digital marketing and social media: BNDD can utilize digital marketing and social media platforms to educate investors about the benefits of deflation hedging and promote its ETF. By creating engaging content and building a strong online presence, BNDD can attract new investors and establish itself as a thought leader in the fixed-income market. The digital marketing landscape is constantly evolving, with new platforms and strategies emerging to reach different investor segments. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are BNDD's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized focus on deflation hedging provides a unique value proposition.
  • ETF structure offers liquidity and transparency to investors.
  • Established presence in the fixed-income market.

What Does BNDD Do?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) is designed to provide investors with exposure to the U.S. Treasury market, offering a potential hedge against deflationary economic conditions. The fund achieves this by investing in Treasury securities of various maturities, either directly or through investments in other ETFs that focus on Treasury bonds. As a non-diversified fund, BNDD concentrates its investments in a specific sector of the fixed-income market, making it a targeted investment vehicle for those seeking to manage deflation-related risks. The fund's strategy is rooted in the understanding that during deflationary periods, Treasury bonds tend to perform well as investors seek safe-haven assets. BNDD aims to capitalize on this dynamic by providing a focused investment option in U.S. government debt. The ETF's structure allows investors to easily access the Treasury market through a single investment vehicle, offering liquidity and transparency. BNDD's performance is closely tied to interest rate movements and inflation expectations, making it a tool for investors who have a specific outlook on the macroeconomic environment. The fund's non-diversified nature means that it may be more volatile than broader fixed-income ETFs, but it also offers the potential for more targeted returns during specific economic scenarios.

What Products and Services Does BNDD Offer?

  • Invests in U.S. Treasury securities of various maturities.
  • Provides exposure to the fixed-income market.
  • Offers a potential hedge against deflationary economic conditions.
  • Invests directly in Treasury bonds or through other Treasury-focused ETFs.
  • Operates as a non-diversified fund, concentrating its investments in a specific sector.
  • Provides investors with a liquid and transparent way to access the Treasury market.

How Does BNDD Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
  • AUM growth is driven by inflows from investors seeking deflation protection.
  • Performance is tied to the price movements of U.S. Treasury securities.

What Industry Does BNDD Operate In?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) operates within the asset management industry, specifically targeting the fixed-income segment. The ETF focuses on U.S. Treasury securities, offering investors a specialized tool for managing deflationary risks. The asset management industry is characterized by intense competition, with numerous firms offering a wide range of investment products. BNDD differentiates itself by providing a focused investment strategy centered on deflation hedging. The fund's performance is influenced by macroeconomic trends, including inflation, interest rates, and economic growth. As of 2026, the fixed-income market continues to be a significant component of the broader financial landscape, with investors seeking both yield and safety in an environment of economic uncertainty.

Who Are BNDD's Key Customers?

  • Individual investors seeking to hedge against deflation.
  • Financial advisors looking for fixed-income solutions for their clients.
  • Institutional investors seeking to manage deflationary risks in their portfolios.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) Valuation Context

Valued at $6.20M, BNDD is classified as a micro-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, BNDD's quantitative score of 50/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 57/100.

ROE 0%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Quadratic Deflation ETF stands at 0.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BNDD trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 0.00, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.00 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 0.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

BNDD Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury securities.
  • Potential hedge against deflationary risks.
  • Liquid and transparent ETF structure.
  • Established presence in the fixed-income market.

Bear Case

  • Non-diversified nature increases volatility.
  • Performance is highly dependent on macroeconomic conditions.
  • No dividend yield.
  • Higher beta compared to the broader market.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026

BNDD Latest News

No recent news available for BNDD.

BNDD Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for BNDD.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for BNDD.

BNDD MoonshotScore

50/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates BNDD 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Common Questions About BNDD (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for BNDD?

BNDD holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) focuses on investing in U.S. Treasury securities, either directly or through other ETFs. The fund aims to provide a hedge against deflationary periods, offering …

What does Quadratic Deflation ETF do?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) is designed to provide investors with a targeted investment in U.S. Treasury securities, offering a potential hedge against deflationary economic conditions. The fund invests in Treasury bonds of various maturities, either directly or through other ETFs that focus on Treasury bonds.

What are the main risks for BNDD?

The primary risks for Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) include rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, which could diminish the appeal of Treasury bonds and negatively impact the fund's performance. As a non-diversified fund, BNDD is also subject to higher volatility compared to broader fixed-income ETFs. Changes in government policy affecting the Treasury market could also pose a risk.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BNDD?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) holds an AI score of 50/100 (moderate). Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) presents a focused investment opportunity for those seeking to hedge against deflationary risks. Not financial advice.

How frequently does BNDD data refresh on this page?

BNDD's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven BNDD's recent stock price performance?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury securities. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BNDD overvalued or undervalued right now?

Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research BNDD before investing?

Before investing in Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Why might investors consider adding BNDD to a portfolio?

Key strength of Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD): Targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury securities. Weigh rewards against risks and diversify. Not financial advice.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • AI analysis is pending for BNDD, which limits the depth of financial analysis.
  • The information provided is based on available data as of March 16, 2026, and may be subject to change.
Data Sources

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