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Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$2.38 -$0.03 (-1.24%) |Weak · 14
Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (28/100) and AI Score (14/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $94.7M| Vol: 9.2K| 52-wk range: $2.30 – $4.91

Market cap $94.7M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.39: the stock has moved about 61% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 18, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) trades at $2.38 with MoonshotScore 14/100 (Grade F). Empire Petroleum Corporation is an oil and gas exploration and development company with assets in multiple US states. Market cap: $94.7M, Sector: Energy.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 18, 2026
Empire Petroleum Corporation is an oil and gas exploration and development company with assets in multiple US states. The company focuses on acquiring and optimizing producing properties.

Analyst Coverage for EP: EP does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates EP against Energy peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Watch the EP film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 28/100 · F

EP: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 14/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Negative). Weakest side: Financial Safety (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Negative
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOMichael R. Morrisett
Employees61
HeadquartersTulsa, US
IPO Year1999
SectorEnergy

Empire Petroleum Corporation, established in 1983, focuses on the exploration and development of oil and gas properties across multiple states, including Louisiana, New Mexico, and Texas. With a small team, Empire aims to optimize existing assets in the competitive energy sector, demonstrating a high gross margin despite negative profitability.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 18, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for EP?

AI-written as of Mar 18, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Empire Petroleum Corporation presents a speculative investment opportunity within the oil and gas sector. The company's high gross margin of 91.7% indicates efficient extraction processes, but its negative P/E ratio of -1.45 and negative profit margin of -210.7% raise concerns about overall profitability. Key to the investment thesis is Empire's ability to improve its bottom line through increased production, cost reductions, or strategic acquisitions. Upcoming catalysts include potential increases in oil and gas prices, which would directly benefit Empire's revenue. Potential risks include fluctuating commodity prices and operational challenges in its diverse geographic locations. Investors should closely monitor Empire's production volumes, operating expenses, and any news regarding acquisitions or divestitures.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

EP Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 18, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $94.7M indicates a small-cap company with potential for growth but also higher volatility.

  • Gross margin of 91.7% demonstrates efficient extraction and production processes.
  • Negative P/E ratio of -1.45 reflects current unprofitability, requiring careful monitoring of future earnings.
  • Beta of 0.39 suggests the stock is less volatile than the overall market, potentially offering downside protection.
  • Operations across multiple states (Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas) provide geographic diversification.

Who Are EP's Competitors?

EP is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ANNA AleAnna, Inc. $3.38 -2.59% $138M 435-pillar
EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. $6.30 -0.16% $191M 375-pillar
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. $10.73 -2.54% $379M
IMPP Imperial Petroleum Inc. $5.79 +3.30% $218M 905-pillar
LSE Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd. $5.45 +6.65% $92.8M
EPM Evolution Petroleum Corporation $3.71 -3.39% $133M 455-pillar
INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited $3.17 +0.32% $48.8M
PED PEDEVCO Corp. $14.48 -1.16% $193M

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are EP's Key Strengths?

High gross margin (91.7%) indicates efficient operations.

  • Geographic diversification across multiple states.
  • Experience in acquiring and optimizing existing assets.
  • Relatively low beta (0.39) suggests lower volatility.

What Are EP's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin (-210.7%) indicates significant unprofitability.

  • Small market capitalization ($94.7M) limits access to capital.
  • Dependence on fluctuating commodity prices.
  • Limited number of employees (63) may constrain growth.

What Could Drive EP Stock Higher?

Potential increase in oil and gas prices due to geopolitical events.

  • Strategic acquisitions of undervalued oil and gas assets.
  • Implementation of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques to boost production.
  • Cost reduction initiatives to improve profitability.

What Are the Key Risks for EP?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -4.58 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $21.7M recently.
  • Fluctuations in oil and gas prices could negatively impact revenue and profitability.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny and environmental concerns could lead to higher operating costs.
  • Competition from larger, more established oil and gas companies.
  • Operational challenges in diverse geographic locations could disrupt production.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for EP?

  • Geographic Expansion: Empire Petroleum can expand its operations into new regions with proven oil and gas reserves. The Permian Basin, for example, represents a significant opportunity for increased production. Investing in new leases and drilling programs in this region could substantially increase Empire's reserves and production volumes. The timeline for realizing this growth opportunity is dependent on securing financing and obtaining necessary permits, but could potentially contribute to increased revenue within the next 2-3 years. The market size for oil and gas production in the Permian Basin is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, offering substantial upside potential for Empire.
  • Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Techniques: Implementing EOR techniques in existing wells can significantly increase production rates and extend the lifespan of mature fields. Investing in technologies such as CO2 injection or waterflooding can unlock previously unrecoverable reserves. The timeline for implementing EOR projects is typically 1-2 years, with the potential for immediate increases in production upon completion. The market for EOR technologies is growing, driven by the need to maximize production from existing assets. Empire's expertise in optimizing well performance positions it well to capitalize on this opportunity.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Acquiring smaller, underperforming oil and gas assets can provide Empire with immediate production and reserve growth. Identifying and acquiring undervalued properties with upside potential can be a cost-effective way to expand its asset base. The timeline for completing acquisitions varies depending on the availability of suitable targets and the negotiation process, but strategic acquisitions could contribute to increased revenue within the next 6-12 months. The market for oil and gas asset acquisitions is dynamic, with opportunities arising from distressed companies or operators seeking to divest non-core assets.
  • Technological Innovation: Investing in advanced drilling and production technologies can improve efficiency and reduce operating costs. Implementing real-time data analytics and automation can optimize well performance and minimize downtime. The timeline for adopting new technologies is ongoing, with continuous improvements and upgrades. The market for oil and gas technology is rapidly evolving, with new solutions emerging to address challenges in exploration, production, and transportation. Empire's willingness to embrace innovation can provide a competitive advantage and drive long-term growth.
  • Infrastructure Development: Investing in infrastructure improvements, such as pipelines and processing facilities, can enhance operational efficiency and reduce transportation costs. Upgrading existing infrastructure or developing new infrastructure can improve the reliability and capacity of Empire's operations. The timeline for infrastructure projects can range from several months to several years, depending on the scope and complexity of the project. The market for oil and gas infrastructure is substantial, with ongoing investments required to maintain and expand existing networks. Empire's strategic investments in infrastructure can support its long-term growth and profitability.

What Are EP's Competitive Advantages?

  • Geographic diversification across multiple oil and gas producing regions.
  • Expertise in optimizing production from existing wells.
  • Established relationships with refineries and distributors.

What Does EP Do?

Empire Petroleum Corporation, originally founded as Americomm Resources Corporation in 1983, transitioned to its current identity in August 2001. Headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, the company is engaged in the exploration and development of oil and gas interests across several key regions within the United States, including Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas. Empire Petroleum focuses on acquiring and enhancing the value of producing oil and gas properties. The company's operations encompass a range of activities, from identifying potential acquisitions to optimizing production from existing wells. With a relatively small team of 63 employees, Empire Petroleum navigates the complexities of the oil and gas industry, striving to increase its reserves and production through strategic investments and operational efficiencies. The company's geographic diversification across multiple states helps mitigate risk and capitalize on regional opportunities within the energy sector. Empire Petroleum's business model centers on acquiring undervalued or underperforming assets and applying technical expertise to improve production rates and lower operating costs. The company's ability to generate a high gross margin, despite overall negative profitability, suggests a focus on efficient operations at the wellhead. As of 2026, Empire Petroleum continues to seek opportunities to expand its asset base and enhance shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and operational excellence.

What Products and Services Does EP Offer?

  • Explores for oil and gas resources in various U.S. states.
  • Develops oil and gas properties to extract reserves.
  • Acquires existing oil and gas assets to expand its portfolio.
  • Optimizes production from existing wells using various techniques.
  • Manages and operates oil and gas leases.
  • Transports and sells extracted oil and gas.

How Does EP Make Money?

  • Acquires oil and gas leases and properties.
  • Explores and develops these properties to extract oil and gas.
  • Generates revenue through the sale of produced oil and gas.

What Industry Does EP Operate In?

Empire Petroleum Corporation operates within the highly competitive oil and gas exploration and production industry. The industry is characterized by fluctuating commodity prices, complex regulatory environments, and significant capital expenditures. Market trends include increasing demand for energy, particularly in developing economies, and growing pressure to reduce carbon emissions. Empire competes with both large integrated oil companies and smaller independent producers. The company's success depends on its ability to efficiently extract and produce oil and gas, manage costs, and adapt to changing market conditions. The industry is subject to cyclical trends, with periods of high prices and profits followed by downturns. As of 2026, the industry is navigating a transition towards cleaner energy sources, which presents both challenges and opportunities for companies like Empire Petroleum.

Who Are EP's Key Customers?

  • Refineries that process crude oil.
  • Natural gas distributors.
  • Wholesale energy markets.
Model self-rating on this text: 71% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 18, 2026

Research confidence

High 85/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 91% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 29 days ago
  • No analyst coverage

Why 14?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.15 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • +0.10 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.89 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -2.00 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 20 snapshots

2026-08-23 11
2026-08-27 12
2026-08-31 19
2026-09-04 13
2026-09-08 13
2026-09-11 14

What changed?

The grade moved from 11 to 14 (+3).

What moved it up or down:

  • +2 Growth Durability

Held back by:

  • -23 Momentum
  • -3 Valuation

Over the same 19 days the stock moved -27.2%.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Empire Petroleum Corporation insiders filed 22 SEC Form 4 transactions — 6 sales and 16 purchases. On net that is roughly 8.1M shares disposed (about $21.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Empire Petroleum Corporation

Revenue for Empire Petroleum Corporation came in at $11.1M during Q2 FY2026, a 44.5% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $1.9M, with diluted EPS of $-0.05. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this micro-cap Energy company. Across the four most recent quarters, EP averaged $-0.52 in diluted EPS.

EP Valuation & Market Position

With a $94.7M market cap, Empire Petroleum Corporation sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, EP's quantitative score of 14/100 is below the peer average of 54/100.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -95.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -3.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.59 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -77.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Empire Petroleum Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -4.58 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Company Profile

Empire Petroleum Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Tulsa, US. The company is led by CEO Michael R. Morrisett. EP has traded publicly since 1999.

EP Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-22.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-345.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
-292.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+91.6%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-277.8%
Current Ratio
0.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • High gross margin (91.7%) indicates efficient operations.
  • Geographic diversification across multiple states.
  • Experience in acquiring and optimizing existing assets.
  • Relatively low beta (0.39) suggests lower volatility.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin (-210.7%) indicates significant unprofitability.
  • Small market capitalization ($94.7M) limits access to capital.
  • Dependence on fluctuating commodity prices.
  • Limited number of employees (63) may constrain growth.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $11M -$2M -$0.05
Q1 FY2026 $8M -$7M -$0.18
Q4 FY2025 $7M -$59M -$1.73
Q3 FY2025 $9M -$4M -$0.11

Q2 FY2026 · filed 14 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

EP Latest News

EP Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for EP.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for EP.

EP MoonshotScore

14/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. EP scores 14/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Michael R. Morrisett

CEO

Michael R. Morrisett serves as the CEO of Empire Petroleum Corporation, leading a team of 63 employees. His background includes extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on exploration, production, and asset management. Prior to joining Empire Petroleum, Morrisett held various leadership positions at other energy companies, where he was responsible for overseeing drilling operations, reservoir engineering, and business development. He has a strong understanding of the technical and financial aspects of the oil and gas business.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Michael R. Morrisett has focused on optimizing Empire Petroleum's existing assets and pursuing strategic acquisitions to expand the company's portfolio. Under his leadership, Empire has maintained a high gross margin despite challenging market conditions. Morrisett has also emphasized cost control and operational efficiency to improve the company's bottom line. Key milestones include expanding operations in the Permian Basin and implementing new technologies to enhance production rates.

Empire Petroleum Corporation Energy Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for EP?

EP holds an AI Score of 14/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Empire Petroleum Corporation is an oil and gas exploration and development company with assets in multiple US states.

Is EP a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate EP buy, sell or hold. Empire Petroleum Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 14/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for EP?

Empire Petroleum Corporation faces several key risks inherent to the oil and gas industry. Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.

What are the key factors to evaluate for EP?

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) holds a MoonshotScore of 14/100 (low). Beta of 0.39 suggests the stock is less volatile than the overall market, potentially offering downside protection. Not financial advice.

How frequently does EP data refresh on this page?

EP's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 calculations are scheduled daily at 10:15 UTC; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven EP's recent stock price performance?

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: High gross margin (91.7%) indicates efficient operations. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider EP overvalued or undervalued right now?

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of EP?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track EP's earnings and financial reports?

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for EP earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on publicly available information.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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