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Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$24.08 -$0.35 (-1.43%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 59 · B
Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (59/100) while the AI fundamental score is 45/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Seth Klarman bullish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $37.1B| P/E Ratio: 12.85| Vol: 500| Target: $16.90 (-29.8%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $23.79 – $33.44

P/E 12.85 means the share price is 12.85 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $37.1B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.83: the stock has moved about 17% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 16, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) trades at $24.08 with MoonshotScore 45/100 (Grade C). Market cap: $37.1B, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Fortescue Metals Group Limited is an Australian iron ore company involved in exploration, development, production, and sales, primarily in Australia and China. With a significant presence in the Pilbara region, the company is expanding its operations and exploring opportunities in copper and gold.

FSUGY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $16.90 for Fortescue Metals Group Limited, suggesting 29.8% downside from the current price of $24.08. The AI MoonshotScore is 45/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FSUGY film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 59/100 · B

FSUGY: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Strong
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEODino Otranto
Employees15,642
HeadquartersEast Perth, AU
IPO Year2012

Fortescue Metals Group, a major Australian iron ore producer, focuses on exploration, development, and sales in key markets like Australia and China. Operating the Chichester and Solomon Hubs, Fortescue is expanding its mining operations and diversifying into copper and gold exploration, while maintaining a strong dividend yield of 6.14%.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FSUGY?

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's high dividend yield of 6.14% offers an attractive return for investors. Key value drivers include the ongoing development of the Eliwana mine, which is expected to increase production capacity, and the exploration of copper and gold deposits, which diversifies the company's revenue streams. However, investors may want to evaluate the cyclical nature of the iron ore market and potential fluctuations in commodity prices as potential risks. With a P/E ratio of 12.85 and a profit margin of 22.9%, Fortescue demonstrates financial stability, but its beta of 0.83 indicates moderate volatility relative to the market. The company's growth strategy and operational efficiency support a positive outlook, contingent on stable commodity prices and successful diversification efforts.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSUGY Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $37.1B, reflecting its significant presence in the iron ore market.

  • P/E ratio of 12.85, indicating a potentially undervalued stock relative to its earnings.
  • Profit margin of 22.9%, showcasing strong profitability in the iron ore sector.
  • Gross margin of 39.4%, demonstrating efficient cost management in its operations.
  • Dividend yield of 6.14%, providing an attractive income stream for investors.

Who Are FSUGY's Competitors?

FSUGY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
AAUKF Anglo American plc $56.50 0.00% $60.5B
CRECF Critical Elements Lithium Corporation $0.24 -4.00% $55.7M
CXOXF Core Lithium Ltd $0.25 -2.72% $809M
GLNCY Glencore plc $16.14 -5.06% $94.7B 499-signal
TCKRF Teck Resources Limited $69.46 +0.62% $33.2B 469-signal
VALE Vale S.A. $15.28 -1.00% $65.2B 625-pillar
SMMYY Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. $15.60 -0.58% $16.9B 489-signal
SOUHY South32 Limited $18.11 -0.49% $16.2B 519-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are FSUGY's Key Strengths?

Low-cost iron ore production.

  • Significant infrastructure investments.
  • Strategic location in the Pilbara region.
  • Strong relationships with Chinese steel manufacturers.

What Are FSUGY's Weaknesses?

Reliance on iron ore prices.

  • Geographic concentration in Western Australia.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes in Australia.
  • Limited diversification beyond iron ore.

What Could Drive FSUGY Stock Higher?

Development of the Eliwana mine, expected to increase iron ore production capacity.

  • Exploration of copper and gold deposits in Ecuador and Argentina, diversifying revenue streams.
  • Implementation of autonomous mining technologies to improve operational efficiency.
  • Potential strategic partnerships with key players in the steel industry.
  • Investment in green energy projects, including hydrogen production.

What Are the Key Risks for FSUGY?

Fluctuations in iron ore prices impacting revenue and profitability.

  • Increased competition from other iron ore producers.
  • Environmental regulations and community opposition affecting mining operations.
  • Geopolitical risks in key markets like China.
  • Currency exchange rate fluctuations affecting the value of ADR.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FSUGY?

  • Expansion of Iron Ore Production: Fortescue is developing the Eliwana mine in the Pilbara region, which will significantly increase its iron ore production capacity. This expansion allows the company to capitalize on growing demand from China and other international markets. The project is expected to contribute substantially to revenue growth, with a timeline for full operational capacity within the next 1-2 years.
  • Diversification into Copper and Gold: Fortescue is actively exploring for copper and gold deposits in Ecuador and Argentina. This diversification strategy reduces the company's reliance on iron ore and opens up new revenue streams in the precious metals market. Successful exploration and development could significantly enhance the company's long-term growth prospects, with initial results expected within the next 2-3 years.
  • Technological Innovation: Fortescue is investing in autonomous mining technologies and digitalization to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. These innovations enhance productivity and optimize resource utilization, providing a competitive advantage in the iron ore market. The implementation of these technologies is ongoing and expected to yield significant cost savings over the next 3-5 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Fortescue is forming strategic partnerships with key players in the steel industry and infrastructure development sectors. These partnerships enhance market access and facilitate the sale of iron ore to major consumers. Collaborative ventures also provide opportunities for knowledge sharing and technological advancements, supporting long-term growth. These partnerships are ongoing and expected to strengthen Fortescue's market position.
  • Green Energy Initiatives: Fortescue is investing in green energy projects, including hydrogen production, to reduce its carbon footprint and align with global sustainability trends. These initiatives not only enhance the company's environmental credentials but also create new business opportunities in the renewable energy sector. The company aims to become a major player in the green hydrogen market over the next 5-10 years.

What Are FSUGY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Low-cost production: Fortescue operates large-scale, efficient mines that enable it to produce iron ore at a low cost.
  • Established infrastructure: The company has invested heavily in infrastructure, including railways and port facilities, which provides a competitive advantage.
  • Strategic location: Fortescue's mines are located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, which is a major iron ore producing region.
  • Long-term supply contracts: The company has secured long-term supply contracts with key customers, providing a stable revenue stream.

What Does FSUGY Do?

Fortescue Metals Group Limited, established in 1983 and headquartered in East Perth, Australia, is a global leader in the iron ore industry. The company engages in the exploration, development, production, processing, and sale of iron ore, primarily serving markets in Australia, China, and other international locations. Fortescue's core operations are centered in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, where it owns and operates the Chichester Hub, comprising the Cloudbreak and Christmas Creek mines, and the Solomon Hub, which includes the Firetail, Kings Valley, and Queens Valley mines. The company is currently developing the Eliwana mine, further expanding its production capacity in the region. Beyond iron ore, Fortescue is actively exploring for copper and gold deposits, holding a portfolio of properties in Ecuador and Argentina. In addition to its mining operations, Fortescue provides port towage services, contributing to its integrated supply chain. With a market capitalization of $37.1B, Fortescue demonstrates a significant presence in the global iron ore market.

What Products and Services Does FSUGY Offer?

  • Explores and develops iron ore deposits.
  • Produces and processes iron ore in Western Australia.
  • Sells iron ore to customers in Australia, China, and internationally.
  • Operates the Chichester Hub and Solomon Hub mines.
  • Develops new mining projects like the Eliwana mine.
  • Explores for copper and gold deposits in South America.
  • Provides port towage services.

How Does FSUGY Make Money?

  • Extracts iron ore from its mines in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.
  • Processes the iron ore to increase its iron content.
  • Sells the processed iron ore to steel manufacturers, primarily in China.
  • Generates revenue through long-term supply contracts and spot market sales.

What Industry Does FSUGY Operate In?

Fortescue Metals Group operates within the industrial materials sector, specifically in the iron ore mining industry. The global iron ore market is influenced by factors such as demand from China, infrastructure development, and global economic conditions. Key competitors include GLNCY (Glencore), AAUKF (Anglo American), and CCOB (China Coal Energy). The industry is characterized by cyclical demand and price volatility, impacting profitability. Fortescue's position is strengthened by its efficient operations and strategic focus on key markets like China, allowing it to capitalize on the growing demand for iron ore.

Who Are FSUGY's Key Customers?

  • Steel manufacturers in China.
  • Steel manufacturers in Australia.
  • International steel producers.
  • Infrastructure development companies.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 60/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 73 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 45?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 45
2026-08-26 45
2026-08-29 45
2026-09-01 45
2026-09-04 45
2026-09-07 45
2026-09-10 45

What changed?

The score has stayed at 45.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.8%.

Company Profile

Fortescue Metals Group Limited operates in the Industrial Materials industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Perth, AU. The company is led by CEO Dino Otranto. FSUGY has traded publicly since 2012.

ROE 19%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Fortescue Metals Group Limited stands at 18.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 12.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FSUGY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 12.85, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 9.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.03 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 9.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

FSUGY Valuation & Market Position

With a $37.1B market cap, Fortescue Metals Group Limited sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $16.90 to $16.90, with a consensus of $16.90. At the current price of $24.08, that implies roughly 30% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, FSUGY's quantitative score of 45/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 51/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Fortescue Metals Group Limited

Revenue for Fortescue Metals Group Limited came in at $8.56B during Q4 FY2026, a 1.2% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $959.2M, with diluted EPS of $0.62. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, FSUGY averaged $1.01 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Fortescue Metals Group Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.91 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

4/4 beats

Earnings Track Record

Fortescue Metals Group Limited has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 4 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 173.9% above estimates on average.

FSUGY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+10.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-14.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
-14.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+9.8%
P/E (TTM)
12.85
Return on Equity (TTM)
+18.8%
Current Ratio
3.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
4.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Low-cost iron ore production.
  • Significant infrastructure investments.
  • Strategic location in the Pilbara region.
  • Strong relationships with Chinese steel manufacturers.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on iron ore prices.
  • Geographic concentration in Western Australia.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes in Australia.
  • Limited diversification beyond iron ore.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 FY2026 $8.56B $959M $0.62
Q2 FY2026 $8.45B $1.92B $1.24
Q4 FY2025 $7.91B $1.82B $1.18
Q2 FY2025 $7.64B $1.55B $1.01

Q4 FY2026 · filed 30 Jun 2026 · Financial Modeling Prep

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSUGY Latest News

FSUGY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FSUGY.

Price Targets

Low
$16.90
Consensus
$16.90
High
$16.90

Median: $16.90 (-29.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

FSUGY MoonshotScore

45/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FSUGY scores 45/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Leadership: Dino Otranto

CEO

Dino Otranto is the CEO of Fortescue Metals Group Limited, overseeing the company's global iron ore operations and strategic initiatives. He has extensive experience in the mining industry, with a background in engineering and operational management. Prior to his role as CEO, Otranto held various senior leadership positions within Fortescue, demonstrating his deep understanding of the company's operations and culture. His expertise spans across project development, supply chain management, and business strategy.

Track Record: Under Dino Otranto's leadership, Fortescue has focused on expanding its production capacity and diversifying its operations. Key achievements include the ongoing development of the Eliwana mine and the exploration of copper and gold deposits. Otranto has also emphasized technological innovation and sustainability initiatives, positioning Fortescue as a leader in the green energy sector. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's financial stability and growth prospects.

Fortescue Metals Group Limited ADR Information Unsponsored

An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a certificate representing shares of a foreign company trading on U.S. stock exchanges. FSUGY is a Level 1 ADR, meaning it trades over-the-counter (OTC) rather than on a major exchange. This allows U.S. investors to invest in Fortescue Metals Group without dealing with foreign exchanges.

  • Home Market Ticker: Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), Australia
  • ADR Level: 1
  • ADR Ratio: 1:1
  • Home Market Ticker: FSUG
Currency Risk: As an ADR, FSUGY is subject to currency risk. The value of the ADR is affected by fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Australian dollar. If the Australian dollar weakens against the U.S. dollar, the value of the ADR may decrease, and vice versa.
Tax Implications: Dividends paid on FSUGY ADRs are subject to foreign dividend withholding tax in Australia. The standard withholding tax rate is 30%, but this may be reduced under tax treaties between Australia and the U.S. Investors should consult a tax advisor to determine their specific tax obligations.
Trading Hours: Trading hours for FSUGY on the OTC market may not perfectly align with the trading hours of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). U.S. investors should be aware of the time difference and potential impact on trading activity. The ASX typically operates from 10:00 AM to 4:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), which is significantly different from U.S. trading hours.

FSUGY OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the over-the-counter (OTC) market, indicating that Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) may have limited regulatory oversight and reporting requirements compared to companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. Companies in this tier often have minimal financial disclosure, making it more challenging for investors to assess their financial health and operational performance. Investing in OTC Other tier stocks carries higher risks due to the potential for fraud, lack of liquidity, and limited information availability.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Liquidity for FSUGY on the OTC market is likely limited due to its OTC Other tier status. This can result in wider bid-ask spreads and lower trading volumes, making it challenging for investors to buy or sell shares quickly and at desired prices. The potential for price volatility is higher in illiquid markets, increasing the risk of significant losses for investors.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited Financial Disclosure: Lack of comprehensive financial reporting increases the difficulty in assessing the company's financial health.
  • Low Liquidity: Reduced trading volume and wider bid-ask spreads can lead to difficulty in buying or selling shares.
  • Potential for Fraud: Higher risk of fraudulent activities due to less stringent regulatory oversight.
  • Price Volatility: Increased price swings due to lower trading volumes and market participation.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in OTC market regulations can impact the trading and valuation of the stock.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's registration and legal standing.
  • Review available financial statements, if any, and assess their credibility.
  • Research the company's management team and their track record.
  • Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC Other tier stocks.
  • Consult with a financial advisor to evaluate the investment's suitability.
  • Monitor news and regulatory filings related to the company.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established Operations: Fortescue Metals Group has significant mining operations in Australia.
  • Global Presence: The company has a global presence with sales in multiple countries.
  • Industry Recognition: Fortescue is a recognized player in the iron ore industry.
  • ADR Listing: The company has an ADR listing, which provides some level of oversight.
  • Financial Performance: Review available financial data to assess the company's performance.

FSUGY Basic Materials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for FSUGY?

FSUGY holds an AI Score of 45/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Is FSUGY a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate FSUGY buy, sell or hold. Fortescue Metals Group Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 45/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about FSUGY stock?

Analyst consensus on FSUGY stock reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook, acknowledging the company's established position in the iron ore market and its strategic growth initiatives. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 12.85 and a dividend yield of 6.14%, are closely monitored.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FSUGY?

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) holds a MoonshotScore of 45/100 (low). P/E: 12.85x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $16.90 (-30%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FSUGY data refresh on this page?

FSUGY's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FSUGY's recent stock price performance?

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Low-cost iron ore production. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FSUGY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) trades at 12.85x earnings. Analysts target $16.90 (-30%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of FSUGY?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track FSUGY's earnings and financial reports?

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FSUGY earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC market data may have limited availability and reliability.
  • Financial data is based on available information and may be subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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