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Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) — MoonshotScore 95/100 (Exceptional band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $7.45 (+1.50%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $7.96B. Expected results Nov 11, 2026.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$7.45 +$0.11 (+1.50%) Market Cap $7.96B

Ultrapar Participações S.A. · UGP · NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

95 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Ultrapar Participações (UGP)

Exceptional
Business Quality Solid (65)
Financial Safety Sound (76)
Valuation Cheap (95)
Growth Durability Growing (72)
Momentum Surging (96)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

A strong balance sheet and durable growth, at a dirt-cheap price, though quality is only decent; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Surging.

  • quarterly revenue $8.12B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 5 of 8
  • Altman Z 4.70 · Piotroski F 8

Helping: balance-sheet strength, an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for UGP (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
96Exceptional
95Exceptional
95Exceptional
95Exceptional
95Exceptional
95Exceptional

The score was 95 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 95 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0). This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$7.45
Change on the day+1.50%
52-week range$3.60 – $7.78
Market capitalisation$7.96B
Price / earnings (trailing)11.99
Shares traded on the day5.54M
Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500)0.26
Dividends per share (last 12 months)$0.38
Dividend yield (last 12 months)5.08%

Price & events

Weekly closing price with reported quarters marked Weekly closing price from Sep 5, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026: low $3.68, high $7.58, latest $7.45. 3 reported quarters marked, 2 above and 1 below the recorded estimate. 1 other dated event marked. $7.58 $3.68 high $7.58 Nov 12, 2025 · Earnings results · reported above the recorded estimate · close $4.171Mar 4, 2026 · Earnings results · reported below the recorded estimate · close $4.992Aug 12, 2026 · Earnings results · reported above the recorded estimate · close $6.163Aug 13, 2026 · Earnings call · management outlook · no recorded estimate to compare · close $6.164 Sep 5, 2025 Oct 2, 2026 · $7.45 $3.90Sep 5, 2025$3.89Sep 19, 2025$3.93Oct 3, 2025$3.88Oct 17, 2025$3.96Oct 31, 2025$4.17Nov 14, 2025$4.11Nov 28, 2025$3.92Dec 12, 2025$3.74Dec 26, 2025$3.94Jan 9, 2026$4.63Jan 23, 2026$5.09Feb 6, 2026$5.35Feb 20, 2026$4.99Mar 6, 2026$4.91Mar 20, 2026$5.62Apr 2, 2026$5.93Apr 17, 2026$5.97May 1, 2026$5.73May 15, 2026$5.18May 29, 2026$4.89Jun 12, 2026$4.96Jun 26, 2026$6.00Jul 10, 2026$6.43Jul 24, 2026$6.12Aug 7, 2026$6.74Aug 21, 2026$7.28Sep 4, 2026$7.58Sep 18, 2026$7.45Oct 2, 2026

Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.

Events behind the price

  • · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
  • · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
  • · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
  • · Earnings call · management outlook

Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.

Upcoming events

As of

  1. Next results dueProvider estimate

Management outlook

  • As a result, we expect margins to be below the level reported in the second quarter of 2026 and closer to those observed in the first quarter of this year.

    Alexandre Palhares · Statement from

Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.

Read management statements

Other perspectives

Council score for Ultrapar Participações (UGP): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Weak
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Strong
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Moderate
Price Momentum Moderate
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

6 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated) Jim Simons Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Favorable read

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Neutral
Debt/Equity Weak
ROE Moderate
Gross Margin Negative

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the UGP film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Ultrapar Participações (UGP), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage. Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is listed on NYSE. Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is classified as Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. SEC filing business address: AV Brigaderio Luiz Antonio 1343, 8 Andar SAO Paulo, SP Brazil 01350-900, D5. It employs 11,481 people and is led by Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $8.12B and net income of $303M. The market values it at $7.96B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Ultrapar Participações (UGP)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $8.12B. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 5 of 8 reports.

Did results meet expectations?

Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.

Latest report · revenue
$8.07B Aug 12, 2026
Latest report · revenue estimate
$8.18B Aug 12, 2026
Latest report · revenue vs estimate
Below estimate Aug 12, 2026
Latest report · EPS vs estimate
Above estimate Aug 12, 2026
Did results meet expectations? — reported evidence
Report dateRevenue · reportedRevenue · estimateEPS · reportedEPS · estimate
Aug 12, 2026$8.07B$8.18B$0.2800$0.2700
Mar 4, 2026$7.58B$6.77B$0.0600$0.0700
Nov 12, 2025$7.08B$6.63B$0.1200$0.0900
Aug 13, 2025$6.45B$5.95B$0.1700$0.0600

Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter (converted from BRL)
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$8.12B$303M$0.28 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$7.03B$167M$0.15 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$7.26B$62M$0.06 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$7.08B$136M$0.12 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Ultrapar Participações (UGP)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate balance-sheet strength, an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum as strengths. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 4.70 · Piotroski F 8. Trailing ratios: ROE 20.8% · ROA 6.6% · current ratio 1.64 · earnings yield 8.6% · free-cash-flow yield 15.5%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Ultrapar Participações (UGP)?

Short answer · as of

The next earnings report is expected on Nov 11, 2026. Current published price targets run low $5.80 · high $7.90 · consensus $6.85 · median $6.85 against a quoted price of $7.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What management is planning

Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.

  1. As a result, we expect margins to be below the level reported in the second quarter of 2026 and closer to those observed in the first quarter of this year.

    Alexandre Palhares ·

What the records here don't tell us

  • Detailed statement figures are not shown because their conversion to USD has not been verified.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Ultrapar Participações compare with its peers?

Short answer

Ultrapar Participações's score ranks tied for 3rd of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Same industry, near in market value$84.00 Oct 2, 2026$4.21B99 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Same industry, near in market value$113.36 Oct 2, 2026$20.2B98 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Ultrapar Participações (UGP) — this page$7.45$7.96B95
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) Same industry, near in market value$80.78 Oct 2, 2026$9.58B95 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) Same industry, near in market value$74.19 Oct 2, 2026$4.55B86 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Named competitor$64.25 Oct 2, 2026$6.70B81 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Named competitor$53.50 Oct 2, 2026$6.64B74 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
CrossAmerica Partners LP (CAPL) Same industry, near in market value$21.78 Oct 2, 2026$831M71 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Sunoco LP (SUN) Same industry, near in market value$74.73 Oct 2, 2026$10.2B67 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
CVR Energy, Inc. (CVI) Same industry, near in market value$54.83 Oct 2, 2026$5.51B64 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Valaris Limited (VAL) Named competitor$78.39 Oct 2, 2026$5.43B59 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Archrock, Inc. (AROC) Named competitor$30.33 Oct 2, 2026$5.32B58 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
California Resources Corporation (CRC) Named competitor$52.43 Oct 2, 2026$4.66B56 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

Screen more Energy stocks

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$5.80 – $7.90
Consensus target
$6.85
Median target
$6.85

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $7.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 24, 2026

Transactions
43
Identified insiders
14
Purchases
0
Sales
5
Other transactions
38

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

Who holds the shares?

Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.

Institutional ownership
5.4% Period end Jun 30, 2026
Previous quarter · ownership
5.8% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
Reporting holders
180 Period end Jun 30, 2026
Previous quarter · holders
156 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
Who holds the shares? — reported evidence
Holders in provider snapshotShares
Bizma Investimentos Ltda7,330,544
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd5,623,847
Blackrock, INC.5,578,601
Morgan Stanley4,888,789
American Century Companies INC4,044,297

Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.

What has been published about Ultrapar Participações (UGP)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About UGP (Energy)

Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.

What does Ipiranga contribute to Ultrapar beyond fuel sales?

Ipiranga combines fuel distribution with service stations, convenience stores, automotive services, a payment application and a loyalty program. Those adjacent offerings deepen the customer relationship, but the network remains tied to physical fueling activity.

Sources (as of 2026-09-13): Business description; Named officers

How do Ultracargo and liquefied petroleum gas change Ultrapar's business mix?

Ultracargo adds liquid-bulk storage exposure, while gas distribution reaches residential, commercial and industrial customers. Ultrapar therefore spans terminal throughput, fuel-station demand and delivered-gas consumption rather than relying on a lone channel.

Sources (as of 2026-09-13): Business description

Does Abastece Aí turn Ultrapar into a financial technology company?

Abastece Aí supports payments within Ultrapar's fuel ecosystem, alongside its loyalty program. The underlying economics still come primarily from distributing fuel and gas, operating related retail services, and storing liquid bulk products.

Sources (as of 2026-09-13): Business description; Sector / industry (provider taxonomy)

What is the UGP stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is $7.45, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the UGP price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is $6.85 (range $5.80 to $7.90, median $6.85), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

Does UGP pay a dividend?

Yes. Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 5.08%, as of Oct 2, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (58 figures)

The 58 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls

OFFICIAL facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
prod.outlookManagement outlook — call excerptsAlexandre Palhares (Aug 13, 2026): As a result, we expect margins to be below the level reported in the second quarter of 2026 and closer to those observed in the first quarter of this year.OFFICIALCompany earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording.
id.hqSEC filing business addressAV Brigaderio Luiz Antonio 1343, 8 Andar SAO Paulo, SP Brazil 01350-900, D5OFFICIALSEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "Brigadeiro Luis AntOnio Avenue, 1343, São Paulo, SP, 01317-910, BR".

FMP — 45 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$7.45FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T20:54:31.286Z.
px.changeChange on the day+1.50%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$7.96BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T20:54:30.145Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
earn.nextNext earnings dateNov 11, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it.
id.business_summaryBusiness description (FMP excerpt)Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage.FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile — Deterministic excerpt derived from id.description; source and date describe the input fact, not a new provider observation
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.11FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$8.12BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)11.99FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day5.54MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.betaBeta0.26FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
id.sectorSector / industry (provider taxonomy)Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile — The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 4924 — Natural Gas Distribution.
id.employeesEmployees11,481FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing
id.ceoChief executiveRodrigo de Almeida PizzinattoFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it.
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$303MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2026-08-12$8.07BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_estimatedRevenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-12$8.18BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2026-08-12$0.2800Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_estimatedEPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-12$0.2700Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2026-03-04$7.58BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.revenue_estimatedRevenue · estimate — report date 2026-03-04$6.77BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2026-03-04$0.0600Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.eps_estimatedEPS · estimate — report date 2026-03-04$0.0700Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2025-11-12$7.08BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.revenue_estimatedRevenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-12$6.63BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2025-11-12$0.1200Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.eps_estimatedEPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-12$0.0900Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2025-08-13$6.45BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_estimatedRevenue · estimate — report date 2025-08-13$5.95BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2025-08-13$0.1700Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_estimatedEPS · estimate — report date 2025-08-13$0.0600Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $5.80 · high $7.90 · consensus $6.85 · median $6.85FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$5.80 – $7.90FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$6.85FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$6.85FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP43 transactions · 0 purchases, 5 sales, 38 other transactions · 14 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 24, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pctInstitutional ownership5.4%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarterPrevious quarter · ownership5.8%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
own.institutions.depth.holdersReporting holders180FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarterPrevious quarter · holders156FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.sharesBizma Investimentos Ltda — shares in provider snapshot7,330,544FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied.
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.sharesQube Research & Technologies Ltd — shares in provider snapshot5,623,847FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied.
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.sharesBlackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot5,578,601FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied.
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.sharesMorgan Stanley — shares in provider snapshot4,888,789FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied.
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.sharesAmerican Century Companies INC — shares in provider snapshot4,044,297FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied.

UNRECORDED — 4 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 5 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-20 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 4.70 · Piotroski F 8UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$3.60 – $7.78UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-03
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 20.8% · ROA 6.6% · current ratio 1.64 · earnings yield 8.6% · free-cash-flow yield 15.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

COMPUTED — 4 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated

COMPUTED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
div.ttm_per_shareDividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted)$0.38COMPUTEDFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 2 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-04, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate.
div.ttm_yieldDividend yield, last 12 months5.08%COMPUTEDFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate.
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_actual.comparisonLatest report · revenue vs estimateBelow estimateReport date · COMPUTEDComputed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($8.07B) with the recorded estimate ($8.18B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns.
earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_actual.comparisonLatest report · EPS vs estimateAbove estimateReport date · COMPUTEDComputed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.2800) with the recorded estimate ($0.2700) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns.

OURS — 3 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v295 of 100 · Exceptional · pillars 65 / 76 / 95 / 72 / 96OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement95 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 95 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
gap.statement_currencyStatement currency limitationDetailed statement figures are not shown because their conversion to USD has not been verified.OURSStock Expert AI currency-basis check

Fact-family notes

  1. Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-12. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs: earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_estimated, earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.revenue_actual.comparison, earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_actual.comparison, earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2026-08-12.eps_estimated, earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.revenue_estimated, earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2026-03-04.eps_estimated, earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.revenue_estimated, earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-11-12.eps_estimated, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_estimated, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_estimated.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections

Sources used for research written 2026-09-13

Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.

EvidenceCaptured valueSource dateSource typeSource
Business description
Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage. Its geographical reach extends across Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American nations, North America (US, Canada), the Far East, and Europe. Through its Gas Distribution division, the company delivers liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial, and industrial clients. This service primarily focuses on the Southern, Southeastern, and Northeastern parts of Brazil. Ultrapar's Fuel Distribution arm is responsible for marketing and distributing a variety of fuels, including gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, and natural gas for vehicles, as well as lubricants. This segment also manages a network of convenience stores and provides specialized automotive services like oil changes. The Storage segment oversees liquid bulk terminals, predominantly located in Brazil's Southeastern and Northeastern regions. By December 31, 2021, Ultrapar's extensive infrastructure included 7,104 Ipiranga service stations, 1,841 AmPm convenience stores, and 1,149 Jet Oil franchised locations. Additionally, it maintained 4 distribution centers and 7 Ultracargo terminals, collectively offering a storage capacity of 983,000 cubic meters. Furthermore, Ultrapar provides digital solutions such as the Abastece Aí payment application and the Km de Vantagens customer loyalty program. Founded in 1937, Ultrapar Participações S.A. maintains its corporate headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil.
2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
Named officers
CEO: Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto; Officers: Rodrigo de Almeida Pizzinatto — Title: Chief Executive Officer & Member of Executive Board, Born: 1977; Leonardo Remiao Linden — Title: CEO of Ipiranga, Born: 1965; Fernanda Teves de Souza — Title: Risks, Compliance & Audit Director; Alexandre Mendes Palhares — Title: Chief Financial & Investor Relations Officer, Born: 1986; Decio de Sampaio Amaral — Title: Chief Executive Officer of Hidrovias do Brasil & Member of Executive Board, Born: 1969; Fulvius Tomelin — Title: President

Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it.

2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived)
Sector / industry (provider taxonomy)
Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 4924 — Natural Gas Distribution.

2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.