On the stock market since 1993, it operates in the world of consumer spending. It has 4,500 employees. Now — the numbers.
The company closed last year at a loss: costs ran above sales. The picture changes only if spending is reined in.
The biggest line carries real weight, but it doesn’t decide everything on its own.
An average decline of 14% a year over the last 4 years — the most striking risk in this picture. Red columns mark years that ended in a loss.
Before the clock runs out, either sales must climb sharply or new money must come in. This is the most critical line in the whole picture.
We compared this company with its own sector across five subjects.
A score of 50 means class average.
Clearly below the class average.
Clearly below the class average.
Clearly below the class average.
Clearly below the class average.
The stock has been running stronger than the market lately.
Valuation: The stock trades at a price that looks expensive next to its earnings; that can cap future returns.
Business Quality: Profit power and business quality trail similar companies in the sector.
An investor who bought at the very peak is down 67% today. The business is the same; what changed most is the price — and the expectations — the market pins on it.
Over the last 12 months, company executives reported 27 buys and 8 sells. Management buying with its own money is usually read as a good sign.
The average analyst price target is $8.00 — 43% above today’s price.
A loss of $78.3M against $1.0B in annual sales. And on top of that, sales fell from the year before.
At the current pace of spending, the cash lasts about 1.2 years. After that, the company needs to find new money.
On our five-subject report card, FOSL sits behind the class. A low grade doesn’t mean “doomed” — it means “big claim, small proof.”
The takeaway: FOSL has solid sales but closed last year at a loss. The road back to profit runs through spending discipline.
The total grade weighs these five subjects against the sector — it isn’t a simple average of the five.
Analysts’ average target sits above today’s price, yet the valuation grade (11/100) says the stock isn’t cheap.