Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) trades at $167.66 with AI Score 43/100 (Grade C). Waste Connections, Inc. is a leading provider of non-hazardous waste management services in the United States and Canada. Market cap: $42.60B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026WCN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $205.00 for Waste Connections, Inc., suggesting 22.3% upside from the current price of $167.66. The AI MoonshotScore is 43/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
WCN: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.
How is this calculated? →Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Industrial Operations Profile
Waste Connections, Inc. is a prominent North American integrated waste services company, providing collection, disposal, and recycling solutions. With a strong network of facilities and a focus on operational efficiency, WCN serves diverse markets, positioning itself as a key player in the waste management sector amidst increasing environmental concerns.
What Is the Investment Thesis for WCN?
Waste Connections presents a compelling investment case based on its established market position, integrated service model, and consistent financial performance. With a market capitalization of $42.60B and a P/E ratio of 24.9, the company demonstrates financial stability. A gross margin of 39.1% and a profit margin of 11.0% indicate efficient operations. Ongoing: The company's focus on strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies should drive future growth. Upcoming: Increasing regulatory focus on waste management and sustainability will likely boost demand for Waste Connections' services. Potential: Economic downturns could impact industrial waste generation, posing a risk.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
WCN Key Highlights
- Market Cap of $42.60B reflects Waste Connections' significant presence and investor confidence in the waste management sector.
- P/E Ratio of 24.9 indicates a premium valuation, reflecting expectations of future earnings growth.
- Gross Margin of 39.1% demonstrates efficient cost management and pricing strategies.
- Profit Margin of 11.0% showcases the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
- Dividend Yield of 0.90% provides a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are WCN's Competitors?
WCN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. | $215.36 | -0.91% | $66.26B | 72 |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1354.31 | +0.84% | $63.94B | 94 |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | $69.57 | -0.71% | $57.78B | 55 |
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | $237.03 | +1.03% | $54.33B | 80 |
| FERG Ferguson plc | $227.21 | -1.32% | $44.06B | 50 |
| YDDL One and one Green Technologies. Inc | $2.11 | +1.00% | $96.74M | 56 |
| SCPJ Scope Industries | $325.00 | +8.33% | $297.71M | 55 |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | $295.08 | +1.33% | $15.59B | 52 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are WCN's Key Strengths?
- Integrated service model with collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services.
- Extensive network of facilities across the United States and Canada.
- Strong relationships with municipal governments through long-term contracts.
- Expertise in E&P waste management.
What Are WCN's Weaknesses?
- Exposure to economic cycles, which can impact waste generation volumes.
- Dependence on landfill capacity, which can be constrained by regulatory approvals.
- Potential for environmental liabilities related to landfill operations.
- Geographic concentration in certain regions.
What Could Drive WCN Stock Higher?
- Increasing environmental regulations are driving demand for advanced waste treatment and recycling solutions.
- Population growth and urbanization are increasing waste generation volumes.
- Potential infrastructure spending on waste management facilities.
- Expansion of recycling programs and initiatives.
What Are the Key Risks for WCN?
- Economic downturns could reduce waste generation volumes and impact revenue.
- Stricter environmental regulations could increase compliance costs.
- Public opposition to landfill expansions could constrain disposal capacity.
- Competition from other waste management companies could pressure pricing.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for WCN?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of Recycling Services: Waste Connections can capitalize on the growing demand for recycling services driven by increased environmental awareness and stricter regulations. By investing in advanced recycling technologies and expanding its recycling infrastructure, the company can attract environmentally conscious customers and generate additional revenue streams. The global recycling market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars by 2030, offering a substantial growth opportunity for Waste Connections.
- Growth opportunity 2: Strategic Acquisitions: Waste Connections has a history of successful acquisitions, and further strategic acquisitions can drive growth by expanding its geographic footprint and service offerings. By acquiring smaller regional waste management companies, Waste Connections can consolidate its market position and gain access to new customer bases. The waste management industry remains fragmented, providing ample opportunities for consolidation through acquisitions.
- Growth opportunity 3: Focus on E&P Waste Management: Waste Connections can leverage its expertise in E&P waste management to capitalize on the growing demand for specialized waste treatment and disposal services in the oil and gas industry. By expanding its E&P waste facilities and service offerings, the company can attract E&P customers and generate higher-margin revenue. The E&P waste management market is expected to grow, driven by increased oil and gas production activity.
- Growth opportunity 4: Technological Innovation: Investing in innovative waste management technologies can improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance service offerings. By adopting technologies such as automated waste collection systems, advanced landfill management techniques, and waste-to-energy conversion processes, Waste Connections can gain a competitive advantage and attract environmentally conscious customers. Technological innovation is transforming the waste management industry, creating opportunities for companies to improve their operations and sustainability.
- Growth opportunity 5: Municipal Contracts: Securing long-term municipal contracts provides a stable revenue stream and enhances Waste Connections' market position. By bidding on municipal waste collection and disposal contracts, the company can gain access to large customer bases and generate recurring revenue. Municipal contracts typically have long durations, providing a predictable revenue stream for Waste Connections.
What Opportunities Does WCN Have?
- Expansion of recycling services to capitalize on growing environmental awareness.
- Strategic acquisitions to consolidate market share.
- Growth in E&P waste management driven by increased oil and gas production.
- Adoption of innovative waste management technologies.
What Threats Does WCN Face?
- Stricter environmental regulations that increase compliance costs.
- Competition from other waste management companies.
- Economic downturns that reduce waste generation volumes.
- Public opposition to landfill expansions.
What Are WCN's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong network of collection operations, transfer stations, and landfills creates a barrier to entry.
- Long-term municipal contracts provide a stable revenue stream.
- Expertise in E&P waste management provides a competitive advantage in a specialized market.
- Strategic acquisitions have expanded the company's geographic footprint and service offerings.
What Does WCN Do?
Waste Connections, Inc., founded in 1997 and based in Woodbridge, Canada, has grown into a significant player in the North American waste management industry. The company provides a comprehensive suite of services, including non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and resource recovery. Waste Connections serves a wide array of customers, spanning residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) sectors. Its service offerings include the collection of waste, landfill disposal, and recycling of materials like compost, cardboard, paper, plastics, and metals. Waste Connections operates an extensive network of facilities, including collection operations, transfer stations, and landfills. They also offer specialized services for the E&P industry, treating and disposing of waste generated from oil and natural gas activities. As of December 31, 2021, the company's assets included 334 solid waste collection operations, 142 transfer stations, 61 municipal solid waste landfills, and 71 recycling operations. The company continues to expand its infrastructure and service offerings to meet the evolving needs of its customer base and capitalize on growth opportunities within the waste management sector.
What Products and Services Does WCN Offer?
- Collects non-hazardous waste from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
- Operates transfer stations to consolidate and transport waste.
- Manages municipal solid waste (MSW) landfills for waste disposal.
- Provides recycling services for various materials, including paper, plastic, and metal.
- Offers waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services for the E&P industry.
- Provides intermodal services for the rail haul movement of cargo and solid waste containers.
How Does WCN Make Money?
- Generates revenue through waste collection fees from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
- Earns revenue from landfill disposal fees.
- Generates revenue from the sale of recycled materials.
- Provides specialized waste treatment and disposal services to the E&P industry.
What Industry Does WCN Operate In?
Waste Connections operates within the waste management industry, which is experiencing steady growth driven by increasing urbanization, industrial activity, and environmental awareness. The industry is characterized by a mix of large national players and smaller regional operators. Waste Connections competes with companies like Republic Services, Inc. (RSG). The market is also influenced by regulatory trends, with stricter environmental regulations driving demand for advanced waste treatment and recycling solutions. The global waste management market is projected to reach significant value in the coming years, presenting substantial opportunities for companies like Waste Connections.
Who Are WCN's Key Customers?
- Residential households
- Commercial businesses
- Municipal governments
- Industrial facilities
- Exploration and production (E&P) companies
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Waste Connections, Inc. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 20 sales and 9 purchases. On net that is roughly 30K shares acquired (about $4.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Waste Connections, Inc. revenue of about $9.70B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $5.34. The estimate reflects 20 contributing analysts.
F-Score 7/9Financial Health
Waste Connections, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.01 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
ROE 13%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Waste Connections, Inc. stands at 12.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. WCN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.89, below the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.69 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 2.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Valuation Context
Valued at $42.60B, WCN is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, WCN's quantitative score of 43/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.
WCN Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Waste Connections is seen as a recession-resistant play due to the essential nature of waste management, making it a defensive stock in uncertain times.
- Recent insider buying activity suggests that those with the most knowledge of the company see value at current prices.
- Community sentiment indicates a positive outlook, with many believing the company is well-managed and positioned for long-term growth.
- Waste Connections' strategic acquisitions and focus on operational efficiency are viewed favorably by the market, driving confidence in future performance.
Bear Case
- Increased regulatory scrutiny regarding environmental impact could lead to higher operating costs and potential legal challenges.
- The waste management industry is capital-intensive, potentially limiting Waste Connections' ability to pursue aggressive expansion or acquisitions.
- Rising fuel costs and labor shortages could squeeze margins, impacting profitability despite the essential nature of the business.
- Negative community sentiment regarding waste disposal practices and environmental concerns could impact Waste Connections' reputation and public perception.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
WCN Latest News
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Strategic Buyouts & Investments Aid Corpay Amid High Interest Costs
Yahoo! Finance: WCN News · Jun 19, 2026
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Recurring Revenues & Strategic Buyouts Aid CLH Amid High Rivalry
Yahoo! Finance: WCN News · Jun 18, 2026
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CIBC Looks At Landfill Capacity Trends Out To 2044
Yahoo! Finance: WCN News · Jun 17, 2026
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The Engine Inside Republic Services Stock That Outruns Sales Growth
Yahoo! Finance: WCN News · Jun 16, 2026
WCN Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for WCN.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $205.00
WCN MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates WCN's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Classification
Industry Waste ManagementLatest News
Strategic Buyouts & Investments Aid Corpay Amid High Interest Costs
Recurring Revenues & Strategic Buyouts Aid CLH Amid High Rivalry
CIBC Looks At Landfill Capacity Trends Out To 2044
The Engine Inside Republic Services Stock That Outruns Sales Growth
Leadership: Ronald J. Mittelstaedt
CEO
Ronald J. Mittelstaedt has served as the CEO of Waste Connections, Inc. He possesses extensive experience in the waste management industry, having guided the company through significant growth and strategic acquisitions. Mittelstaedt's leadership has been instrumental in establishing Waste Connections as a leading player in the North American market. His background includes a deep understanding of operational efficiencies and financial management within the waste services sector.
Track Record: Under Ronald J. Mittelstaedt's leadership, Waste Connections has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its geographic footprint through strategic acquisitions and enhancing its service offerings. He has overseen the company's growth in the E&P waste management sector and has focused on improving operational efficiencies. Mittelstaedt's strategic decisions have contributed to Waste Connections' consistent financial performance and strong market position.
Common Questions About WCN (Industrials)
What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?
Waste Connections, Inc. is an integrated waste services company providing collection, disposal, and recycling services in the United States and Canada. The company serves residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and E&P customers. Its services include waste collection, landfill disposal, recycling of various materials, and specialized waste treatment for the oil and gas industry. Waste Connections operates a network of facilities, including collection operations, transfer stations, landfills, and recycling centers, offering comprehensive waste management solutions.
What do analysts say about WCN stock?
Analyst consensus on Waste Connections (WCN) generally reflects a positive outlook, citing the company's consistent financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield, are closely monitored. Growth considerations include the company's ability to expand its recycling services, make strategic acquisitions, and capitalize on the growing demand for E&P waste management. Analysts also consider the potential impact of economic cycles and regulatory changes on the company's performance.
What are the main risks for WCN?
Waste Connections faces several risks, including economic downturns that could reduce waste generation volumes, stricter environmental regulations that increase compliance costs, and public opposition to landfill expansions. Competition from other waste management companies could also pressure pricing. The company's dependence on landfill capacity and potential environmental liabilities related to landfill operations are additional risk factors. Effective risk management and proactive adaptation to changing market conditions are crucial for Waste Connections' continued success.
What are the key factors to evaluate for WCN?
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) holds an AI score of 43/100 (low). P/E: 24.9x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $205.00 (+22%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does WCN data refresh on this page?
WCN prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven WCN's recent stock price performance?
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Integrated service model with collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider WCN overvalued or undervalued right now?
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) trades at 24.9x earnings. Analysts target $205.00 (+22%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying WCN?
Before investing in Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
- Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.