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Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis

$225.08 +$1.50 (+0.67%) |Strong · 66
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (62/100) and AI Score (66/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
MCap: $90.0B| P/E Ratio: 31.6| Vol: 1.92M| Target: $244.00 (+8.4%)| 52-wk range: $194.11 – $248.13
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) trades at $225.08 with AI Score 66/100 (Grade B+). Waste Management, Inc. is a leading provider of waste management and environmental services in North America. Market cap: $90.0B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Waste Management, Inc. is a leading provider of waste management and environmental services in North America. The company operates a vast network of landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

WM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $244.00 for Waste Management, Inc., suggesting 8.4% upside from the current price of $225.08. The AI MoonshotScore is 66/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the WM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 62/100 · B+

WM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 66/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Neutral
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOJames C. Fish Jr.
Employees61,700
HeadquartersHouston, TX, US
IPO Year1988

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is North America's largest waste management company, providing comprehensive collection, disposal, and recycling services. With a vast infrastructure network and a focus on sustainability, WM serves diverse customer segments, maintaining a strong market position in the essential waste management sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for WM?

As of May 9, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Waste Management presents a compelling investment case due to its dominant market position and essential service offerings. The company's extensive infrastructure network and focus on sustainability drive long-term value. With a P/E ratio of 31.6 and a dividend yield of 1.59%, WM demonstrates financial stability. Growth catalysts include increasing waste generation, expanding recycling initiatives, and strategic acquisitions. Potential risks include regulatory changes and economic downturns affecting waste volumes. Waste Management's commitment to environmental solutions positions it favorably for sustained growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

WM Key Highlights

Market Cap of $90.0B reflects Waste Management's dominant position in the waste management industry.

  • Profit Margin of 11.0% indicates efficient operations and strong pricing power.
  • Gross Margin of 32.1% showcases the company's ability to manage costs effectively.
  • Beta of 0.55 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a relatively stable investment.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.59% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are WM's Competitors?

WM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. $102.86 +0.91% $87.4B 55
JCI Johnson Controls International plc $143.74 -0.83% $87.1B 53
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation $581.28 -0.27% $82.6B 65
EMR Emerson Electric Co. $157.61 -0.11% $88.3B 71
MMM 3M Company $180.61 -0.18% $93.1B 68
RSG Republic Services, Inc. $221.04 +1.88% $68.0B 66
VEOEF Veolia Environnement S.A. $39.20 +0.36% $28.7B 45
CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. $325.22 +1.79% $17.2B 66

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are WM's Key Strengths?

Largest waste management company in North America.

  • Extensive network of landfills, MRFs, and transfer stations.
  • Strong customer relationships and long-term contracts.
  • Experienced management team and regulatory expertise.

What Are WM's Weaknesses?

Capital-intensive business model.

  • Exposure to economic cycles and waste volume fluctuations.
  • Potential environmental liabilities and regulatory risks.
  • Dependence on landfill capacity and permitting processes.

What Could Drive WM Stock Higher?

Increasing focus on sustainability and recycling driving demand for WM's services.

  • Population growth and urbanization leading to increased waste generation.
  • Potential infrastructure bill investments in waste management and recycling infrastructure.
  • Strategic acquisitions expanding WM's geographic footprint and service offerings.

What Are the Key Risks for WM?

Economic downturns reducing waste generation and impacting WM's revenue.

  • Stricter environmental regulations increasing compliance costs.
  • Public opposition to landfill development and expansion.
  • Competition from regional and local waste management companies.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices affecting recycling revenue.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for WM?

  • Expansion of Recycling Services: Waste Management can capitalize on the increasing demand for recycling services driven by environmental concerns and regulations. Investing in advanced recycling technologies and expanding its network of MRFs can increase its market share in the recycling sector. The global recycling market is projected to reach $97.76 billion by 2028, presenting a significant growth opportunity.
  • Landfill Gas-to-Energy Projects: Waste Management can further develop its landfill gas-to-energy facilities to generate renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This aligns with the growing focus on renewable energy sources and can provide a new revenue stream. The landfill gas-to-energy market is expected to grow as governments and corporations seek to reduce their carbon footprint.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Waste Management can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller waste management companies to expand its geographic footprint and service offerings. This can provide access to new markets and customers, as well as synergies in operations and costs. The waste management industry is fragmented, presenting opportunities for consolidation.
  • Technological Innovation: Investing in innovative technologies such as waste sorting automation, route optimization, and data analytics can improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. These technologies can also enhance customer service and provide a competitive advantage. The adoption of digital technologies is transforming the waste management industry.
  • Sustainable Waste Management Solutions: Waste Management can develop and promote sustainable waste management solutions such as waste reduction, composting, and anaerobic digestion. These solutions can appeal to environmentally conscious customers and help the company meet its sustainability goals. The demand for sustainable waste management solutions is growing as businesses and consumers become more aware of environmental issues.

What Are WM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive Infrastructure Network: Waste Management's vast network of landfills, MRFs, and transfer stations creates a significant barrier to entry for competitors.
  • Strong Customer Relationships: Long-term contracts with residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers provide a stable revenue stream.
  • Regulatory Expertise: Waste Management has extensive experience navigating complex environmental regulations, providing a competitive advantage.
  • Economies of Scale: The company's large scale of operations allows it to achieve cost efficiencies and offer competitive pricing.

What Does WM Do?

Waste Management, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Originally known as USA Waste Services, Inc., the company changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. The company provides waste management environmental services to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in North America. Waste Management's services include collection, disposal, and recycling. Its collection services involve picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from the point of generation to transfer stations, material recovery facilities (MRFs), or disposal sites. The company owns and operates a significant infrastructure network, including 255 solid waste landfills, 5 secure hazardous waste landfills, 96 MRFs, and 340 transfer stations as of December 31, 2021. Waste Management also operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities. In addition to its core waste management services, Waste Management provides materials processing and commodities recycling services, recycling brokerage services, construction and remediation services, fly ash disposal, in-plant services, and specialized disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations.

What Products and Services Does WM Offer?

  • Collects and transports waste and recyclable materials from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Operates a network of landfills for the disposal of solid waste.
  • Operates material recovery facilities (MRFs) for processing recyclable materials.
  • Operates transfer stations for consolidating waste before transport to landfills or MRFs.
  • Develops and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities.
  • Provides recycling brokerage services for third parties.
  • Offers construction and remediation services.
  • Provides specialized disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations.

How Does WM Make Money?

  • Waste Collection Fees: Generates revenue from collecting and transporting waste and recyclable materials from customers.
  • Landfill Disposal Fees: Charges fees for the disposal of waste at its landfills.
  • Recycling Revenue: Generates revenue from the sale of recyclable materials processed at its MRFs.
  • Energy Sales: Generates revenue from the sale of electricity produced at its landfill gas-to-energy facilities.

What Industry Does WM Operate In?

Waste Management operates in the essential waste management industry, which is driven by population growth, urbanization, and increasing consumption. The industry is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the capital-intensive nature of infrastructure development and stringent environmental regulations. Waste Management is the largest player in North America, competing with regional and local waste management companies. The industry is also seeing a growing focus on sustainability and recycling, which presents both opportunities and challenges for waste management companies.

Who Are WM's Key Customers?

  • Residential Customers: Provides waste collection and recycling services to individual households.
  • Commercial Customers: Serves businesses of all sizes with waste management solutions.
  • Industrial Customers: Provides waste management services to manufacturing plants, construction sites, and other industrial facilities.
  • Municipal Customers: Contracts with local governments to provide waste collection and disposal services to communities.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Waste Management, Inc. operates in the Waste Management industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Houston, US. The company is led by CEO James C. Fish Jr.. WM has traded publicly since 1988.

ROE 29%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Waste Management, Inc. stands at 28.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 6.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. WM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 31.62, roughly in line with the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.91 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 3.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

WM Valuation & Market Position

With a $90.0B market cap, Waste Management, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, WM's quantitative score of 66/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 62/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Waste Management, Inc.

Revenue for Waste Management, Inc. came in at $6.68B during Q2 2026, a 7.3% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $785.0M, with diluted EPS of $1.95. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, WM averaged $1.77 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Waste Management, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.87 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Waste Management, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 1.0% above estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Waste Management, Inc. revenue of about $26.38B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $8.12. The estimate reflects 19 contributing analysts.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Waste Management, Inc. insiders filed 28 SEC Form 4 transactions — 15 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 4K shares acquired (about $356K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

WM Financials

WM earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+14.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-1.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-1.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+30.4%
P/E (TTM)
31.8
Return on Equity (TTM)
+28.9%
Current Ratio
0.9
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
15.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future growth and stability, indicating that executives believe in the long-term value of Waste Management.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting Waste Management's commitment to sustainability and its role in the green economy.
  • Increased demand for waste management services as cities expand and environmental regulations tighten has fueled optimism about revenue growth.
  • The company's consistent dividend payments reflect strong cash flow and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, bolstering investor confidence.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising operational costs, particularly fuel and labor, have been prevalent in community discussions, potentially impacting profit margins.
  • Some investors are worried about the company's exposure to economic downturns, as waste volumes can decline during recessions, affecting revenues.
  • Recent negative sentiment around environmental regulations could pose challenges, as stricter laws may require costly compliance measures.
  • Market perception has been cautious due to broader economic uncertainties, leading to mixed views on Waste Management's growth prospects in the near term.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

From the Earnings Call

“In the Recycling segment, even though pricing for single-stream commodities declined 27%. Operating EBITDA grew by 18% as we realized automation benefits that lower labor costs and higher quality material and processed 9% more volume.”

— James Fish, CEO

“We First, we grew our Collection and Disposal business, achieving 6.4% operating EBITDA growth, supported by our focus on customer lifetime value, operational excellence and network advantages.”

— James Fish, CEO

WM Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-29

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $6.68B $785M $1.95
Q1 2026 $6.23B $723M $1.79
Q4 2025 $6.31B $742M $1.83
Q3 2025 $6.44B $603M $1.49

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

WM Latest News

WM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for WM.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $244.00

WM MoonshotScore

66/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates WM 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Latest Waste Management, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: James C. Fish Jr.

President and Chief Executive Officer

James C. Fish Jr. serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Waste Management, Inc. He has been with the company for over 20 years, holding various leadership positions in finance, operations, and business development. Fish has a strong background in accounting and finance, and he is a Certified Public Accountant. He is known for his strategic vision and operational expertise.

Track Record: Under James Fish's leadership, Waste Management has focused on strategic growth initiatives, including expanding its recycling services and investing in sustainable waste management solutions. He has overseen the company's efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. Fish has also led Waste Management's acquisitions of smaller waste management companies, expanding its geographic footprint and service offerings.

Common Questions About WM (Industrials)

What does the AI Score mean for WM?

WM holds an AI Score of 66/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Waste Management, Inc. is a leading provider of waste management and environmental services in North America. The company operates a vast network of landfills, transfer stations, and recycling …

What does Waste Management, Inc. do?

Waste Management, Inc. is a leading provider of integrated waste management services in North America. The company's core business involves collecting, transporting, processing, and disposing of waste and recyclable materials for residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers. Waste Management operates a vast network of landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities, providing comprehensive waste management solutions. The company also generates renewable energy from landfill gas and offers environmental consulting services.

What do analysts say about WM stock?

Analyst consensus on Waste Management (WM) stock is generally positive, reflecting the company's stable business model and essential service offerings. Key valuation metrics such as P/E ratio and dividend yield are closely monitored. Growth considerations include the company's ability to expand its recycling services, develop landfill gas-to-energy projects, and make strategic acquisitions. Analysts also consider the potential impact of economic cycles and environmental regulations on WM's performance.

What are the main risks for WM?

Waste Management faces several risks, including economic downturns that can reduce waste generation and impact revenue. Stricter environmental regulations can increase compliance costs and require significant investments in new technologies. Public opposition to landfill development and expansion can limit the company's ability to expand its disposal capacity.

What are the key factors to evaluate for WM?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) holds an AI score of 66/100 (moderate). P/E: 31.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $244.00 (+8%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does WM data refresh on this page?

WM's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven WM's recent stock price performance?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Largest waste management company in North America. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider WM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) trades at 31.6x earnings. Analysts target $244.00 (+8%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research WM before investing?

Before investing in Waste Management, Inc. (WM), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on available data and is subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and financial circumstances.
Data Sources

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