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Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis

$284.25 -$0.41 (-0.14%) |Exceptional · 83
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (61/100) while the AI fundamental score is 83/100 (grade A+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $81.8B| P/E Ratio: 24.8| Vol: 855.6K| Target: $267.29 (-6.0%)| 52-wk range: $238.82 – $303.16
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) trades at $284.25 with AI Score 83/100 (Grade A+). Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a global manufacturer of industrial products and equipment, operating across seven segments. Market cap: $81.8B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a global manufacturer of industrial products and equipment, operating across seven segments. Founded in 1912, ITW has established a strong market presence in diverse sectors including automotive, food equipment, and construction.

ITW stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $267.29 for Illinois Tool Works Inc., suggesting 6.0% downside from the current price of $284.25. The AI MoonshotScore is 83/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ITW film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

ITW: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 83/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOChristopher A. O'Herlihy
Employees44,000
HeadquartersGlenview, IL, US
IPO Year1973

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) stands as a leading global manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, offering a diverse range of products across multiple segments, including automotive, food equipment, and construction, with a strong emphasis on innovation and efficiency.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ITW?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) presents a compelling investment thesis driven by its robust market position and diversified product offerings. With a market capitalization of $81.8B and a P/E ratio of 24.8, ITW demonstrates strong profitability, evidenced by a profit margin of 19.3% and a gross margin of 44.1%. The company's ongoing focus on innovation and efficiency is expected to drive growth across its seven segments, particularly in the Automotive OEM and Food Equipment sectors, which are poised for expansion as global demand for advanced manufacturing solutions increases. Additionally, ITW's commitment to sustainability and operational excellence positions it favorably in a competitive landscape. Potential risks include fluctuations in raw material costs and economic downturns affecting industrial spending. Overall, ITW's strategic initiatives and solid financial metrics underscore its potential for sustained growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ITW Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $81.8B, reflecting strong investor confidence.

  • P/E ratio of 24.8, indicating robust earnings relative to share price.
  • Profit margin of 19.3%, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • Gross margin of 44.1%, exceeding industry averages and highlighting product value.
  • Dividend yield of 2.48%, providing a return to shareholders amidst growth initiatives.

Who Are ITW's Competitors?

ITW is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. $274.75 -3.08% $110B 89
CMI Cummins Inc. $593.46 -2.45% $81.9B 68
JCI Johnson Controls International plc $143.74 -0.83% $87.1B 53
CSX CSX Corporation $50.68 +0.88% $93.9B 75
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. $94.83 +0.41% $83.4B 54
EMR Emerson Electric Co. $157.61 -0.11% $88.3B 71
AME AMETEK, Inc. $243.22 -2.71% $55.8B 82
PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation $1023.25 -1.79% $129B 81

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ITW's Key Strengths?

Strong market position with a diverse product range across multiple segments.

  • High profit margins and robust financial performance.
  • Established brand reputation and customer loyalty.
  • Global presence with extensive distribution networks.

What Are ITW's Weaknesses?

Dependence on cyclical industries, exposing ITW to economic downturns.

  • Potential supply chain vulnerabilities affecting production capabilities.
  • Challenges in adapting to rapid technological changes in manufacturing.
  • Limited exposure to emerging markets compared to some competitors.

What Could Drive ITW Stock Higher?

Continued investment in R&D to drive innovation across product segments.

  • Expansion of the Automotive OEM segment to meet rising demand for electric vehicle components.
  • Strategic partnerships with key players in the food equipment sector to enhance market penetration.
  • Launch of new eco-friendly products in the Polymers & Fluids segment to capture sustainability-focused customers.
  • Implementation of advanced manufacturing technologies to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs.

What Are the Key Risks for ITW?

Economic downturns impacting industrial spending and demand for ITW's products.

  • Fluctuations in raw material prices affecting production costs and profit margins.
  • Supply chain disruptions that could hinder manufacturing capabilities.
  • Regulatory changes that may impose additional compliance costs and operational challenges.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ITW?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The Automotive OEM segment is expected to see significant growth as electric vehicle production ramps up, with the global electric vehicle market projected to reach $800 billion by 2027. ITW's expertise in providing advanced components positions it to capture a substantial share of this expanding market, especially as automotive manufacturers seek reliable suppliers for innovative parts.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The Food Equipment segment is poised for growth, driven by increasing consumer demand for convenience foods and enhanced food safety standards. ITW's comprehensive solutions in food processing and equipment maintenance will enable it to capitalize on this trend.
  • Growth opportunity 3: ITW's Test & Measurement and Electronics segment is set to benefit from the rise of smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0, with the global market for industrial automation expected to exceed $300 billion by 2026. ITW's innovative testing solutions will play a crucial role in meeting the demands of this evolving landscape.
  • Growth opportunity 4: The Polymers & Fluids segment is likely to expand as industries increasingly adopt eco-friendly materials. The global adhesives and sealants market is projected to reach $70 billion by 2027, driven by demand in automotive and construction applications. ITW's commitment to sustainability will enhance its competitive position in this market.
  • Growth opportunity 5: The Construction Products segment is anticipated to grow due to increased infrastructure spending and housing demand. The global construction market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% through 2027, providing ITW with opportunities to expand its engineered fastening solutions and capture new business in residential and commercial projects.

What Opportunities Does ITW Have?

  • Growing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly industrial solutions.
  • Expansion into emerging markets with increasing industrialization.
  • Technological advancements driving automation and smart manufacturing.
  • Strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings and market reach.

What Threats Does ITW Face?

  • Intense competition from both established players and new entrants.
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs impacting profitability.
  • Economic uncertainties affecting industrial spending and investment.
  • Regulatory changes impacting manufacturing and environmental standards.

What Are ITW's Competitive Advantages?

  • Diverse product portfolio across multiple industrial segments reduces dependency on any single market.
  • Strong brand reputation built on quality and reliability enhances customer loyalty.
  • Established distribution networks facilitate efficient product delivery and customer service.
  • Ongoing investment in R&D fosters innovation, keeping ITW at the forefront of industry advancements.

What Does ITW Do?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW), founded in 1912, has evolved from a small tool manufacturer into a global leader in the industrial products sector. Headquartered in Glenview, Illinois, ITW operates through seven distinct segments: Automotive OEM, Food Equipment, Test & Measurement and Electronics, Welding, Polymers & Fluids, Construction Products, and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment is particularly noteworthy, providing a wide array of plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemblies for automobiles and light trucks. The Food Equipment segment enhances food service operations by offering warewashing, refrigeration, and cooking equipment, alongside maintenance services. In the Test & Measurement and Electronics segment, ITW produces essential equipment and software for materials testing and electronic subassembly production. The Welding segment contributes to industrial processes with advanced arc welding equipment and consumables. Additionally, the Polymers & Fluids segment supplies vital adhesives and lubricants, while the Construction Products segment focuses on engineered fastening solutions for various construction markets. The Specialty Products segment rounds out ITW's offerings with beverage packaging and product coding solutions. With a workforce of approximately 44,000 employees, ITW distributes its products directly to industrial manufacturers and through independent distributors, maintaining a strong presence in both domestic and international markets.

What Products and Services Does ITW Offer?

  • Manufacture and sell industrial products and equipment worldwide.
  • Operate through seven segments, including Automotive OEM and Food Equipment.
  • Provide advanced components for automotive and industrial applications.
  • Offer a wide range of food processing and kitchen equipment.
  • Produce testing and measurement equipment for various industries.
  • Supply welding equipment and consumables for industrial applications.
  • Develop adhesives and fluids for automotive and industrial maintenance.
  • Deliver engineered fastening solutions for construction markets.

How Does ITW Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the sale of industrial products across multiple segments.
  • Distribute products directly to manufacturers and through independent distributors.
  • Leverage innovation and efficiency to enhance product offerings and reduce costs.
  • Focus on customer relationships to drive repeat business and brand loyalty.
  • Invest in research and development to stay ahead of industry trends and competitors.

What Industry Does ITW Operate In?

The industrial machinery sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in automation, increased demand for sustainable manufacturing practices, and a global push towards infrastructure development. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is well-positioned within this landscape, leveraging its extensive product portfolio and innovative capabilities to capture market share. Competitors such as Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM), Cummins Inc. (CMI), and Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) are also vying for leadership, but ITW's diversified segments provide a competitive edge. The global industrial machinery market is projected to grow substantially, driven by rising industrial output and technological advancements, further enhancing ITW's growth prospects.

Who Are ITW's Key Customers?

  • Automotive manufacturers and OEMs.
  • Commercial food service operators and processors.
  • Construction companies and contractors.
  • General industrial manufacturers across various sectors.
  • Automotive aftermarket service providers.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 10, 2026
Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Illinois Tool Works Inc. insiders filed 13 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 11K shares acquired (about $2.9M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Illinois Tool Works Inc. revenue of about $16.81B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $11.41. The estimate reflects 10 contributing analysts.

7/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Illinois Tool Works Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 2.3% above estimates on average.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Illinois Tool Works Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 8.15 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

ROE 97%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Illinois Tool Works Inc. stands at 97.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 19.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ITW trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.82, below the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.19 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Valuation Context

Valued at $81.8B, ITW is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, ITW's quantitative score of 83/100 is above the peer average of 68/100.

ITW Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 2026, ITW generated $4.30B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 7.1%. The company recorded net income of $815.0M, with diluted EPS of $2.84. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, ITW averaged $2.76 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Illinois Tool Works Inc. operates in the Industrial - Machinery industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Glenview, US. The company is led by CEO Christopher A. O'Herlihy. ITW has traded publicly since 1973.

ITW Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+0.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-12.1%
EPS Growth (FY)
-10.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-4.8%
P/E (TTM)
24.8
Return on Equity (TTM)
+97.4%
Current Ratio
1.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
18.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong market position with a diverse product range across multiple segments.
  • High profit margins and robust financial performance.
  • Established brand reputation and customer loyalty.
  • Global presence with extensive distribution networks.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on cyclical industries, exposing ITW to economic downturns.
  • Potential supply chain vulnerabilities affecting production capabilities.
  • Challenges in adapting to rapid technological changes in manufacturing.
  • Limited exposure to emerging markets compared to some competitors.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Looking ahead, ITW is well positioned to deliver strong performance on both the top and bottom line in 2026. Starting with the top line, our organic growth projection is now 3% to 4%, up from 1% to 3%. The updated midpoint of 3.5% represents an increase of 1.5 percentage points versus prior guidance. ...”

— Michael Larsen, Senior Vice President and CFO

“Operating margin expanded by 40 basis points to 26.7%, with a solid 120 basis points contribution from enterprise initiatives. ... And as Chris also said, we are well on our way to our 30% plus enterprise targets by 2030 with the big driver, obviously, still the enterprise initiatives, the organic growth and the operating leverage that comes with it.”

— Michael Larsen, Senior Vice President and CFO

ITW Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-07-28

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $4.30B $815M $2.84
Q1 2026 $4.02B $768M $2.66
Q4 2025 $4.09B $790M $2.72
Q3 2025 $4.06B $821M $2.81

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ITW Latest News

ITW Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ITW.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $267.29

ITW MoonshotScore

83/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ITW 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Christopher A. O'Herlihy

CEO

Christopher A. O'Herlihy has been at the helm of Illinois Tool Works Inc. since 2019, bringing over 30 years of experience in the industrial sector. He holds a degree in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Illinois and has held various leadership positions within ITW, focusing on operational excellence and strategic growth. His extensive background in engineering and management has contributed to ITW's continued success in the global market.

Track Record: Under O'Herlihy's leadership, ITW has achieved significant milestones, including a successful restructuring of its operations to enhance efficiency and profitability. His strategic initiatives have led to increased market share in key segments and a strong commitment to innovation and sustainability.

Common Questions About ITW (Industrials)

What does the AI Score mean for ITW?

ITW holds an AI Score of 83/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a global manufacturer of industrial products and equipment, operating across seven segments. Founded in 1912, ITW has established a strong market presence …

What does Illinois Tool Works Inc. do?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a global manufacturer of industrial products and equipment, operating across seven segments including Automotive OEM, Food Equipment, and Welding. ITW provides a diverse range of products including components for automobiles, food processing equipment, and advanced welding solutions, serving various industries worldwide.

What do analysts say about ITW stock?

Analysts generally view ITW as a strong player in the industrial machinery sector, noting its solid financial performance and diverse product offerings. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 24.8 and a profit margin of 19.3%, which are competitive within the industry. Analysts highlight ITW's focus on innovation and efficiency as critical factors for future growth.

What are the main risks for ITW?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. faces several risks, including potential economic downturns that could affect demand for its products across various sectors. Additionally, fluctuations in raw material prices may impact profit margins, while ongoing supply chain disruptions could hinder operational capabilities. Regulatory changes could also impose additional compliance costs, affecting overall profitability.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ITW?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) holds an AI score of 83/100 (high). P/E: 24.8x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $267.29 (-6%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ITW data refresh on this page?

ITW's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ITW's recent stock price performance?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong market position with a diverse product range across multiple segments. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ITW overvalued or undervalued right now?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) trades at 24.8x earnings. Analysts target $267.29 (-6%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research ITW before investing?

Before investing in Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available information as of May 2026.
Data Sources

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