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Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT)

$4.30 $-0.12 (-2.60%) |Weak · 27
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans HOLD (36/100) while the AI fundamental score is 27/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $567.81M| P/E Ratio: 32.2| Vol: 768.8K| Target: $7.30 (+69.6%)| 52-wk range: $4.18 – $6.72
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) trades at $4.30 with AI Score 27/100 (Grade F). Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is an energy company focused on managing private funds with interests in oil and gas exploration and production across various U. S. Market cap: $567.81M, Sector: Energy.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is an energy company focused on managing private funds with interests in oil and gas exploration and production across various U.S. plays. Based in Dallas, Texas, the company operates with a small team and aims to capitalize on market opportunities in the oil and gas sector.

GRNT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $7.30 for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc, suggesting 69.6% upside from the current price of $4.30. The AI MoonshotScore is 27/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 36/100 · D

GRNT: 4/7 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOTyler S. Farquharson
Employees3
HeadquartersDallas, TX, US
IPO Year2020
SectorEnergy

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. specializes in managing private funds for oil and gas exploration and production, emphasizing strategic investments in key U.S. plays such as the Midland and Delaware basins, while maintaining a focus on operational efficiency and market adaptability.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GRNT?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. presents a unique investment thesis centered on its strategic focus on oil and gas exploration and production in several key U.S. plays. The company operates with a market capitalization of approximately $0.70 billion and a dividend yield of 8.80%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. With a gross margin of 23.6%, Granite Ridge demonstrates its ability to maintain profitability despite the challenges of the energy sector, where profit margins can be volatile. The company’s diversified interests across multiple plays provide a buffer against localized downturns, while its operational efficiency, evidenced by a low beta of 0.22, suggests resilience in turbulent market conditions. Growth catalysts include potential increases in oil prices driven by global demand recovery and strategic asset acquisitions in high-potential regions. However, risks such as fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory challenges in the energy sector must be carefully monitored. Overall, Granite Ridge's focused approach and strong financial metrics position it well for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GRNT Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $567.81M reflects a stable presence in the energy sector.
  • Profit margin of -7.1% indicates current challenges but highlights potential for operational improvements.
  • Gross margin of 23.6% demonstrates efficiency in managing production costs.
  • Dividend yield of 8.80% showcases commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
  • Low beta of 0.22 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Who Are GRNT's Competitors?

GRNT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
PXD Pioneer Natural Resources Company $269.62 +0.73% $63.00B 44
EOG EOG Resources, Inc. $129.65 -0.86% $69.06B 95
CLR Continental Resources, Inc. $74.27 +0.04%
EXE Expand Energy Corporation $89.09 -1.80% $21.31B 72
ATUUF Tenaz Energy Corp. $31.44 -2.60% $1.03B 68
VIST Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. $61.57 +2.00% $6.42B 68
CNX CNX Resources Corporation $33.22 -1.83% $4.70B 67
NZEOF Echelon Resources Limited $0.21 +5.00% $47.03M 58

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are GRNT's Key Strengths?

  • Focused investment strategy in high-potential oil and gas plays.
  • Strong operational efficiency with a low employee count.
  • Commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends.

What Are GRNT's Weaknesses?

  • Small team size may limit operational capacity and scalability.
  • Current negative profit margin indicates challenges in cost management.
  • Dependence on commodity price fluctuations can impact profitability.

What Could Drive GRNT Stock Higher?

  • Increased drilling activity in the Midland Basin as oil prices stabilize.
  • Strategic asset management initiatives to optimize production efficiency.
  • Potential regulatory changes that could favor oil and gas exploration.

What Are the Key Risks for GRNT?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.73 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-5.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Fluctuating oil prices may impact revenue and profit margins.
  • Environmental regulations could impose additional operational costs.
  • Competition from larger firms may limit market share growth.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GRNT?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The Midland Basin is projected to see significant investment growth, with estimates suggesting a market size increase of 15% annually over the next five years. Granite Ridge's established presence in this region positions it to benefit from increased drilling activity and production enhancements, leveraging its operational expertise to maximize returns.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The Delaware Basin continues to attract attention due to its rich reserves and favorable geology, with the market expected to grow by 12% per year. Granite Ridge's strategic investments in this area can yield substantial returns as the demand for oil and gas persists, providing a competitive edge in exploration efforts.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The Bakken play remains a vital area for oil production, with forecasts indicating a market growth rate of 10% annually. Granite Ridge's involvement in this play allows it to tap into ongoing innovations in extraction technologies, enhancing production efficiency and profitability.
  • Growth opportunity 4: The Eagle Ford Shale is anticipated to experience a resurgence, with projections of a 9% annual growth rate as operators seek to optimize production techniques. Granite Ridge's investments in this region can capitalize on the increasing operational efficiencies being implemented by industry players.
  • Growth opportunity 5: The Haynesville play is poised for growth, driven by rising natural gas demand, with market expansion expected at 8% per year. Granite Ridge's strategic focus on this area aligns with broader energy trends, positioning the company to benefit from increased natural gas production and associated revenue streams.

What Opportunities Does GRNT Have?

  • Growing demand for oil and gas amid global economic recovery.
  • Potential for technological advancements to enhance production efficiency.
  • Strategic acquisitions in emerging oil and gas regions.

What Threats Does GRNT Face?

  • Volatility in oil and gas prices can adversely affect revenues.
  • Regulatory challenges and environmental concerns in the energy sector.
  • Competition from larger integrated oil companies with greater resources.

What Are GRNT's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established presence in multiple high-potential oil and gas plays.
  • Operational efficiency demonstrated by a low beta, indicating stability.
  • Strategic focus on asset management and investment optimization.

What Does GRNT Do?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. was established to manage private funds with a strategic focus on oil and gas exploration and production. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and has developed a portfolio that includes interests in several prominent oil and gas plays, including the Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville regions. Over the years, Granite Ridge has positioned itself as a nimble player in the energy sector, leveraging its expertise to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities in these high-potential areas. With a small team of just three employees, the company emphasizes operational efficiency and strategic decision-making to navigate the complexities of the oil and gas market. Granite Ridge's investment strategy is centered on acquiring and managing assets that can yield strong returns in a fluctuating market environment. The company's focus on exploration and production allows it to tap into the growing demand for energy resources while managing risks associated with price volatility in the oil and gas sector. As the energy landscape continues to evolve, Granite Ridge remains committed to adapting its strategies to ensure sustainable growth and profitability.

What Products and Services Does GRNT Offer?

  • Manage private funds focused on oil and gas exploration and production.
  • Invest in key U.S. oil and gas plays including Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville.
  • Identify and capitalize on strategic investment opportunities in the energy sector.
  • Focus on operational efficiency to maximize returns on investments.
  • Navigate market complexities to ensure sustainable growth.

How Does GRNT Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through investments in oil and gas exploration and production.
  • Leverage expertise to identify high-potential assets for acquisition.
  • Manage operational costs effectively to maintain profitability.
  • Return capital to shareholders through dividends and strategic asset management.

What Industry Does GRNT Operate In?

The oil and gas exploration and production industry is characterized by significant fluctuations in commodity prices, driven by global supply and demand dynamics. As of 2026, the industry is experiencing a recovery phase following previous downturns, with increasing demand for fossil fuels amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions. Companies like Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. are strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends by focusing on high-potential areas such as the Midland and Delaware basins, which are known for their rich reserves. The competitive landscape includes both large integrated oil companies and smaller independent operators, with each vying for market share in a sector that is expected to grow steadily over the next decade, driven by rising energy needs.

Who Are GRNT's Key Customers?

  • Institutional investors seeking exposure to oil and gas markets.
  • Private equity funds looking for strategic partnerships in energy investments.
  • Energy companies requiring capital for exploration and production activities.
AI Confidence: 65% Updated: May 10, 2026

How Granite Ridge Resources, Inc Is Valued

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc carries a market capitalization of $567.81M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, GRNT's quantitative score of 27/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

Company Profile

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Dallas, US. The company is led by CEO Tyler S. Farquharson. GRNT has traded publicly since 2020.

ROE -5%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc stands at -5.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -18.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.93 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -5.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 2/9Financial Health

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc's Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.73 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Granite Ridge Resources, Inc revenue of about $578.8M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.47.

GRNT Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+18.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+29.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
+28.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-72.4%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-5.3%
Current Ratio
0.9
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Insider buying activity has increased, signaling confidence from management about the company's future prospects.
  • Recent community sentiment has turned positive, with discussions highlighting the potential for growth in the energy sector.
  • Analysts have noted strong fundamentals in the company's operational efficiency and asset management, which could lead to improved profitability.
  • The market perception is shifting towards favoring energy stocks, as demand for resources continues to rise amidst global economic recovery.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about regulatory changes in the energy sector have led to increased skepticism among investors in recent weeks.
  • Social sentiment has shown some volatility, with bearish discussions focusing on potential overvaluation in the current market environment.
  • Recent negative news regarding environmental concerns has dampened enthusiasm, causing some investors to rethink their positions.
  • The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with many investors wary of potential economic downturns impacting resource companies.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · February 2026

GRNT Latest News

GRNT Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GRNT.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $7.30

GRNT MoonshotScore

27/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates GRNT's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Tyler S. Farquharson

CEO

Tyler S. Farquharson has extensive experience in the energy sector, having held various leadership roles in oil and gas exploration and production companies. He holds a degree in Petroleum Engineering and has a strong background in managing investment funds focused on energy assets. His strategic vision has been instrumental in guiding Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. through the complexities of the oil and gas market.

Track Record: Under Tyler's leadership, Granite Ridge has successfully navigated challenging market conditions while maintaining a focus on operational efficiency and shareholder returns. His strategic decisions have positioned the company for growth in key U.S. oil and gas plays.

What Investors Ask About Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) — Energy

What does Granite Ridge Resources, Inc do?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. specializes in managing private funds that invest in oil and gas exploration and production. The company focuses on key U.S. plays such as the Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville regions, aiming to capitalize on market opportunities and generate returns for its investors.

What do analysts say about GRNT stock?

Analysts generally view Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. as a company with potential due to its strategic focus on high-potential oil and gas plays. Key valuation metrics indicate a market cap of $567.81M and a dividend yield of 8.80%, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns. However, analysts also note the risks associated with fluctuating commodity prices and operational challenges.

What are the main risks for GRNT?

The primary risks for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. include fluctuating oil prices, which can significantly affect revenue and profit margins. Additionally, ongoing environmental regulations may impose operational costs that impact profitability. The competitive landscape poses another risk, as larger firms may limit Granite Ridge's ability to capture market share in the oil and gas sector.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GRNT?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) holds an AI score of 27/100 (low). P/E: 32.2x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $7.30 (+70%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does GRNT data refresh on this page?

GRNT prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven GRNT's recent stock price performance?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focused investment strategy in high-potential oil and gas plays. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GRNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) trades at 32.2x earnings. Analysts target $7.30 (+70%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying GRNT?

Before investing in Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available financial and operational information.
Data Sources

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