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Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) Stock Analysis

$1.11 +$0.01 (+0.91%) |Weak · 28
Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (38/100) while the AI fundamental score is 28/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.
MCap: $38.6M| P/E Ratio: 12.9| Vol: 212.8K| Target: $3.42 (+208.6%)| 52-wk range: $1.01 – $2.18
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) trades at $1.11 with AI Score 28/100 (Grade F). Heritage Global Inc. is a financial services company specializing in asset transactions, including market making and secured lending. Market cap: $38.6M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Heritage Global Inc. is a financial services company specializing in asset transactions, including market making and secured lending. Founded in 1983, it has evolved to focus on monetizing both tangible and intangible assets.

HGBL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $3.42 for Heritage Global Inc., suggesting 208.6% upside from the current price of $1.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 28/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the HGBL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 38/100 · D

HGBL: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 28/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) Financial Services Profile

CEORoss Dove
Employees86
HeadquartersSan Diego, CA, US
IPO Year1993

Heritage Global Inc. is a leading asset services company that specializes in financial and industrial asset transactions, providing a comprehensive suite of services including market making, acquisitions, and secured lending, with a strong emphasis on monetizing diverse asset types.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for HGBL?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Heritage Global Inc. presents a compelling investment thesis driven by its strong market position and diversified service offerings. With a market cap of $38.6M and a P/E ratio of 12.9, the company has demonstrated a profit margin of 6.4% and a gross margin of 38.5%. Key growth catalysts include the increasing demand for asset valuation and monetization services, particularly in the industrial sector, which is expected to grow as companies seek to optimize asset utilization. Additionally, Heritage Global's focus on secured lending positions it to capitalize on the growing trend of businesses seeking financing solutions amid economic uncertainties. The company's ongoing efforts to expand its service portfolio and enhance operational efficiencies further bolster its growth potential. However, investors should remain cognizant of risks such as market volatility and competition within the asset services sector, which could impact profitability and growth trajectories.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HGBL Key Highlights

Market cap of $38.6M with a P/E of 12.9 indicates a favorable valuation relative to peers.

  • Profit margin of 6.4% reflects efficient operational management in asset transactions.
  • Gross margin of 38.5% showcases the company's ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures.
  • Beta of 0.52 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, appealing to risk-averse investors.
  • No dividend yield currently, indicating a focus on reinvestment for growth.

Who Are HGBL's Competitors?

HGBL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
HIG The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. $137.12 -0.30% $37.6B 93
C Citigroup Inc. $130.89 -1.50% $224B 33
GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. $1021.65 -1.81% $301B 32
MS Morgan Stanley $207.58 -3.10% $327B 38
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. $351.55 -1.60% $942B 85
PLUT Plutus Financial Group Limited $2.64 -2.94% $40.5M 53
GSIW Garden Stage Limited provides financial services in Hong Kong, including securities dealing and brokerage, underwriting and placing, and asset management. The company $16.80 -0.74% $23.7M 61
BBKCF BIGG Digital Assets Inc. $0.05 -6.09% $16.5M 62

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are HGBL's Key Strengths?

Established brand with a long history in the asset services sector.

  • Diverse range of services catering to various asset types.
  • Strong operational efficiency reflected in profit margins.
  • Expertise in both financial and industrial asset transactions.

What Are HGBL's Weaknesses?

Limited market presence compared to larger financial institutions.

  • No dividend yield may deter income-focused investors.
  • Relatively small employee base may limit scalability.
  • Dependence on economic conditions affecting asset valuations.

What Could Drive HGBL Stock Higher?

Expansion of service offerings to include new asset classes, enhancing revenue potential.

  • Increased demand for asset valuation services driven by economic recovery.
  • Strategic partnerships with technology firms to improve service delivery and client engagement.
  • Launch of marketing initiatives aimed at attracting new clients in emerging markets.
  • Continuous improvement in operational efficiencies to boost profit margins.

What Are the Key Risks for HGBL?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -3.54 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Economic downturns that could negatively impact asset valuations and transaction volumes.
  • Regulatory changes that may affect operational practices and compliance costs.
  • Increased competition from larger financial services firms offering similar services.
  • Market volatility that could lead to fluctuations in client demand for services.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for HGBL?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The increasing demand for asset valuation services in the industrial sector is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach $5 billion by 2028. Heritage Global's expertise in this area positions it to capture a larger market share as businesses seek to optimize asset performance and value.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The trend towards secured lending is gaining momentum, with the market anticipated to expand at a CAGR of 6% over the next five years. Heritage Global's established reputation in providing financing solutions will enable it to attract more clients seeking reliable funding options amid economic uncertainties.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The rise of e-commerce and digital platforms is creating new opportunities for asset monetization, particularly in the realm of intellectual property. Heritage Global's capabilities in valuing and brokering IP assets will allow it to tap into this burgeoning market, projected to exceed $10 billion by 2026.
  • Growth opportunity 4: As companies increasingly focus on sustainability, the market for surplus industrial machinery and equipment is expected to grow. Heritage Global's ability to facilitate transactions in this niche market will enhance its service offerings and attract environmentally-conscious clients.
  • Heritage Global's advisory services in acquisitions and dispositions will enable it to play a vital role in this expanding market, driving revenue growth.

What Opportunities Does HGBL Have?

  • Growing demand for asset monetization services in various sectors.
  • Expansion into emerging markets with increasing industrial activity.
  • Potential partnerships with technology firms for enhanced service offerings.
  • Increased focus on sustainability driving demand for surplus asset transactions.

What Are HGBL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong expertise in both tangible and intangible asset valuation.
  • Established relationships with clients across various industries.
  • Reputation for reliability and integrity in asset transactions.
  • Diverse service offerings that cater to a wide range of client needs.
  • Ability to adapt to changing market conditions and client demands.

What Does HGBL Do?

Founded in 1983 and headquartered in San Diego, California, Heritage Global Inc. operates as a prominent asset services company focused on financial and industrial asset transactions. Originally established as Counsel RB Capital Inc., the company rebranded to Heritage Global, Inc. in August 2013 to better reflect its diversified service offerings. Heritage Global specializes in identifying, valuing, acquiring, and monetizing both tangible and intangible assets, positioning itself as a trusted adviser and principal in the market. The company provides a range of services including market making, acquisitions, dispositions, valuations, and secured lending. Its expertise extends to brokering manufacturing facilities, surplus industrial machinery and equipment, industrial inventories, accounts receivable portfolios, intellectual property, and entire business enterprises. With a dedicated workforce of 86 employees, Heritage Global is committed to delivering high-quality asset services and maintaining strong relationships with clients across various sectors. The company's strategic focus on asset monetization and its extensive market knowledge have allowed it to carve out a significant niche within the capital markets industry, enabling it to effectively serve a diverse clientele and adapt to changing market conditions.

What Products and Services Does HGBL Offer?

  • Provide market making services to facilitate asset transactions.
  • Offer acquisitions and dispositions of industrial assets.
  • Conduct valuations of tangible and intangible assets.
  • Engage in secured lending to support client financing needs.
  • Act as an adviser for businesses looking to monetize their assets.
  • Broker manufacturing facilities and surplus industrial machinery.
  • Manage accounts receivable portfolios for clients.
  • Assist in the sale of intellectual property and entire business enterprises.

How Does HGBL Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through service fees for asset transactions and valuations.
  • Earn income from secured lending activities.
  • Act as a principal in asset acquisitions and dispositions, capturing value from transactions.
  • Provide advisory services for clients looking to optimize asset utilization.
  • Monetize surplus industrial assets on behalf of clients.

What Industry Does HGBL Operate In?

The financial services industry, particularly the capital markets sector, is experiencing significant transformation driven by technological advancements and evolving client needs. The demand for asset services is growing as companies increasingly seek to optimize their asset portfolios and monetize underutilized resources. Heritage Global Inc. operates within this dynamic landscape, leveraging its expertise to provide tailored solutions to clients. The competitive landscape includes various players, but Heritage Global's specialized focus on both tangible and intangible assets differentiates it from traditional financial service firms. As the market for asset transactions expands, driven by economic recovery and increased investment activity, Heritage Global is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends.

Who Are HGBL's Key Customers?

  • Manufacturing companies looking to sell surplus equipment.
  • Businesses in need of asset valuations for financial reporting.
  • Investors seeking to acquire undervalued industrial assets.
  • Companies requiring financing solutions through secured lending.
  • Firms looking to monetize intellectual property and business enterprises.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 10, 2026

How Heritage Global Inc. Is Valued

Heritage Global Inc. carries a market capitalization of $38.6M, placing it in the micro-cap category. Relative to its peer group, HGBL's quantitative score of 28/100 is below the peer average of 56/100.

Company Profile

Heritage Global Inc. operates in the Financial - Capital Markets industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in San Diego, US. The company is led by CEO Ross Dove. HGBL has traded publicly since 1993.

ROE 5%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Heritage Global Inc. stands at 4.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 3.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. HGBL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 12.92, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is -0.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.95 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Heritage Global Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -3.54 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Heritage Global Inc. revenue of about $55.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.15.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Heritage Global Inc. insiders filed 12 SEC Form 4 transactions — 4 sales and 8 purchases. On net that is roughly 139K shares acquired (about $46K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

HGBL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+12.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-30.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
-28.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-130.7%
P/E (TTM)
12.9
Return on Equity (TTM)
+4.9%
Current Ratio
1.9
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established brand with a long history in the asset services sector.
  • Diverse range of services catering to various asset types.
  • Strong operational efficiency reflected in profit margins.
  • Expertise in both financial and industrial asset transactions.

Bear Case

  • Limited market presence compared to larger financial institutions.
  • No dividend yield may deter income-focused investors.
  • Relatively small employee base may limit scalability.
  • Dependence on economic conditions affecting asset valuations.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026

HGBL Latest News

HGBL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for HGBL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $3.42

HGBL MoonshotScore

28/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates HGBL 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Ross Dove

CEO

Ross Dove has extensive experience in the financial services industry, having held various leadership roles throughout his career. He has a strong background in asset management and capital markets, which he leverages to guide Heritage Global Inc. in its strategic initiatives. Dove is known for his commitment to operational excellence and client satisfaction, driving the company’s growth and market presence.

Track Record: Under Ross Dove's leadership, Heritage Global has expanded its service offerings and improved operational efficiencies. He has successfully navigated the company through changing market conditions, positioning it for future growth and profitability.

Heritage Global Inc. Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for HGBL?

HGBL holds an AI Score of 28/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Heritage Global Inc. is a financial services company specializing in asset transactions, including market making and secured lending. Founded in 1983, it has evolved to focus on monetizing both …

How does Heritage Global Inc. make money in financial services?

Heritage Global Inc. generates revenue through a combination of service fees for asset transactions, valuations, and secured lending activities. The company acts as both an adviser and a principal, earning income from facilitating acquisitions and dispositions of industrial assets, while also monetizing surplus equipment and intellectual property.

What is Heritage Global Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach?

Heritage Global Inc. maintains a rigorous risk management framework to assess the credit quality of its loan portfolio. The company employs thorough due diligence processes to evaluate potential borrowers and their asset valuations, ensuring that it mitigates risks associated with secured lending. Regular monitoring and assessment of asset performance further enhance its risk management strategies.

What are the main risks for HGBL?

Heritage Global Inc. faces several risks that could impact its business, including economic downturns that may reduce demand for asset services and affect valuations. Additionally, regulatory changes could impose compliance costs and operational challenges. The competitive landscape poses a threat, as larger firms may offer similar services, potentially impacting market share.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HGBL?

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) holds an AI score of 28/100 (low). P/E: 12.9x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $3.42 (+209%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does HGBL data refresh on this page?

HGBL's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven HGBL's recent stock price performance?

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand with a long history in the asset services sector. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HGBL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) trades at 12.9x earnings. Analysts target $3.42 (+209%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research HGBL before investing?

Before investing in Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available information as of May 2026. Market conditions and company performance may vary.
Data Sources

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