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GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL)

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat Aydin, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) trades at $39.77 with AI Score 45/100 (Weak). GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company operating in Canada and the United States. Market cap: 14B, Sector: Industrials.

Last analyzed: Feb 8, 2026
GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company operating in Canada and the United States. They provide non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services.
45/100 AI Score Target $60.00 (+50.9%) MCap 14B Vol 3M

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOPatrick Dovigi
Employees15000
HeadquartersVaughan, ON, CA
IPO Year2020

GFL Environmental Inc. offers a notable research candidate within the waste management sector, providing essential non-hazardous waste solutions across North America, boasting a diversified service portfolio and a strategic focus on sustainable growth despite current profitability challenges.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Feb 8, 2026

Investment Thesis

Investing in GFL Environmental Inc. presents a notable opportunity due to the company's diversified service offerings and strategic positioning in the growing waste management industry. While the company currently exhibits a negative P/E ratio of -13.70 and a negative profit margin of -25.0%, the potential for future profitability is significant. Key value drivers include the increasing demand for environmental services, driven by stricter regulations and growing environmental awareness. Upcoming catalysts include potential acquisitions and expansion into new geographic markets. The company's beta of 0.56 suggests lower volatility compared to the market, making it a noteworthy option for risk-averse investors. The dividend yield of 0.15% provides a small income component.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $14.77B reflects significant investor interest in the waste management sector.
  • Gross Margin of 20.4% indicates potential for improved profitability through operational efficiencies.
  • Employs 15,000 people, demonstrating a substantial operational footprint across North America.
  • Beta of 0.56 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market.
  • Dividend Yield of 0.15% provides a small income component for investors.

Competitors & Peers

Strengths

  • Diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and infrastructure remediation.
  • Established presence in both Canada and the United States.
  • Strong relationships with municipal and commercial customers.
  • Experienced management team with a proven track record of growth.

Weaknesses

  • Negative profit margin and P/E ratio indicate current profitability challenges.
  • High debt levels due to acquisitions and capital expenditures.
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations for recycled materials.
  • Dependence on landfill capacity and regulatory approvals.

Catalysts

  • Ongoing: Continued execution of strategic acquisitions to expand geographic footprint and service offerings.
  • Upcoming: Potential for improved profitability through operational efficiencies and cost reductions.
  • Ongoing: Increasing demand for sustainable waste management solutions driving revenue growth.
  • Upcoming: Favorable regulatory changes promoting waste diversion and recycling.
  • Ongoing: Infrastructure development projects creating demand for soil remediation services.

Risks

  • Potential: Economic downturn impacting waste generation and industrial activity.
  • Ongoing: Increased competition from other waste management companies.
  • Potential: Changes in environmental regulations and policies.
  • Ongoing: Environmental liabilities and potential litigation.
  • Potential: Fluctuations in commodity prices for recycled materials.

Growth Opportunities

  • Expansion of Solid Waste Management Services: GFL can capitalize on the increasing demand for solid waste management services in both urban and rural areas. The market for solid waste management is projected to grow as populations increase and consumption patterns generate more waste. By expanding its collection, transportation, and disposal infrastructure, GFL can increase its market share and revenue. This includes focusing on municipal contracts and commercial partnerships.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: GFL has a history of growth through strategic acquisitions. By acquiring smaller, regional waste management companies, GFL can expand its geographic footprint and service offerings. The waste management industry is fragmented, providing ample opportunities for consolidation. These acquisitions can lead to synergies and cost savings, improving overall profitability. Identifying and integrating suitable targets will be key to success.
  • Focus on Sustainable Waste Management Solutions: The growing emphasis on sustainability presents a significant growth opportunity for GFL. By investing in recycling technologies and waste-to-energy facilities, GFL can attract environmentally conscious customers and generate new revenue streams. This includes expanding its recycling programs and developing partnerships with companies that are focused on reducing their environmental impact. The market for sustainable waste management is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years.
  • Expansion of Infrastructure and Soil Remediation Services: GFL's infrastructure and soil remediation business line offers significant growth potential. As environmental regulations become stricter, the demand for soil remediation services is expected to increase. By expanding its capabilities in this area, GFL can capitalize on this growing market. This includes investing in new technologies and expanding its team of environmental experts. Focusing on government contracts and private sector partnerships will be crucial.
  • Penetration of the US Market: While GFL already operates in the United States, there is still significant room for growth. By expanding its operations in key US markets, GFL can increase its revenue and market share. This includes targeting areas with strong economic growth and a growing population. Building strong relationships with local communities and government agencies will be essential for success.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets through acquisitions and organic growth.
  • Increased demand for sustainable waste management solutions.
  • Stricter environmental regulations driving demand for remediation services.
  • Technological advancements in waste processing and recycling.

Threats

  • Increased competition from other waste management companies.
  • Changes in environmental regulations and policies.
  • Economic downturn impacting waste generation and industrial activity.
  • Environmental liabilities and potential litigation.

Competitive Advantages

  • Significant capital investment required for landfills and waste processing facilities creates a barrier to entry.
  • Strong relationships with municipalities and commercial customers provide recurring revenue streams.
  • Geographic density of operations allows for efficient waste collection and transportation.
  • Diversified service offerings provide a competitive advantage over specialized waste management companies.

About GFL

GFL Environmental Inc., founded in 2007 and headquartered in Vaughan, Canada, has rapidly evolved into a leading diversified environmental services company operating across Canada and the United States. The company's core business revolves around providing comprehensive waste management solutions, encompassing non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services. GFL's solid waste management operations include the collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste, catering to a diverse clientele including municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Their infrastructure and soil remediation services address contaminated soil issues, offering civil, demolition, excavation, and shoring services. Furthermore, GFL's liquid waste management segment focuses on the collection, management, transportation, processing, and disposal of industrial and commercial liquid wastes, while also engaging in the resale of liquid waste products. With a workforce of 15,000 employees, GFL has established a significant presence in the environmental services market, positioning itself as a key player in North America's waste management landscape.

What They Do

  • Collects and transports non-hazardous solid waste from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Operates transfer stations to consolidate waste for efficient transportation.
  • Manages recycling programs to recover valuable materials from waste streams.
  • Disposes of non-hazardous solid waste in landfills.
  • Provides infrastructure and soil remediation services for contaminated sites.
  • Collects, transports, and processes liquid waste from industrial and commercial sources.
  • Resells liquid waste products after processing.
  • Offers civil, demolition, excavation, and shoring services.

Business Model

  • Generates revenue through contracts with municipalities for waste collection services.
  • Charges fees for waste disposal at its landfills and transfer stations.
  • Sells recycled materials recovered from waste streams.
  • Provides remediation services for contaminated soil and liquid waste.

Industry Context

GFL Environmental operates within the waste management industry, a sector experiencing steady growth driven by increasing urbanization, stricter environmental regulations, and growing public awareness of waste disposal issues. The industry is characterized by a mix of large national players and smaller regional firms. GFL competes with companies like Clean Harbors Inc. (CLH) and Waste Connections Inc. (WCN), focusing on providing comprehensive waste management solutions. The market is expected to continue growing, driven by the need for sustainable waste management practices and increasing demand for recycling and waste-to-energy solutions.

Key Customers

  • Municipalities and local governments.
  • Commercial businesses, including retail stores, restaurants, and office buildings.
  • Industrial facilities, such as factories and manufacturing plants.
  • Residential households.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: Feb 8, 2026

Financials

Chart & Info

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock price: $39.77 (+0.10, +0.25%)

Latest News

Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GFL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $60.00

MoonshotScore

45/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates GFL's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest GFL Environmental Inc. Analysis

GFL Environmental Inc. Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does GFL Environmental Inc. do?

GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company that operates in Canada and the United States. The company provides a range of services, including non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management. Their solid waste management services encompass the collection, transportation, recycling, and disposal of waste from municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. GFL also offers services like soil remediation and the processing and disposal of industrial and commercial liquid wastes, positioning them as a comprehensive environmental solutions provider.

Is GFL stock worth researching?

GFL stock presents a mixed investment picture. While the company operates in a growing industry and has a diversified service portfolio, its current financial metrics, such as a negative P/E ratio and profit margin, raise concerns. However, the company's potential for growth through strategic acquisitions, expansion into new markets, and a focus on sustainable waste management could drive future profitability. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and conduct thorough due diligence before investing, weighing the growth potential against the current financial challenges.

What are the main risks for GFL?

GFL faces several key risks. Economic downturns could reduce waste generation, impacting revenue. Increased competition in the waste management industry could pressure pricing and market share. Changes in environmental regulations could increase compliance costs or limit disposal options. Environmental liabilities and potential litigation pose ongoing threats. Finally, fluctuations in commodity prices for recycled materials could affect profitability. These risks require careful monitoring and proactive management to mitigate their potential impact on GFL's financial performance.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GFL?

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) currently holds an AI score of 45/100, indicating low score. Analysts target $60.00 (+51% from $39.77). Key strength: Diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and infrastructure remediation.. Primary risk to monitor: Potential: Economic downturn impacting waste generation and industrial activity.. This is not financial advice.

How frequently does GFL data refresh on this page?

GFL prices update in real time during U.S. market hours (9:30 AM-4:00 PM ET, weekdays). Fundamentals refresh after quarterly or annual filings. Analyst ratings and AI insights update daily. News is aggregated continuously from financial sources.

What has driven GFL's recent stock price performance?

Recent price movement in GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) can be influenced by earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and broader market sentiment. The current analyst target of $60.00 implies 51% upside from here. Notable catalyst: Diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and infrastructure remediation.. Check the News and Technical Analysis tabs for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GFL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Determining whether GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) is overvalued or undervalued requires examining multiple metrics. Analysts target $60.00 (+51% from current price), suggesting analysts see upside potential. Compare valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA) against sector peers for a comprehensive view.

What research should beginners do before buying GFL?

Before investing in GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources

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