Skip to main content
Skip to main content
RARE logo

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE)

$33.88 +$0.41 (+1.23%) |Avoid · 10
Bottom line: STRONG SELL — our Council read (10/100) and AI Score (10/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $3.34B| Vol: 596.2K| Target: $49.08 (+44.9%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) trades at $33.88 with AI Score 10/100 (Grade F). Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Market cap: $3.34B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. The company's portfolio includes multiple approved products and a pipeline of gene therapy and antibody candidates.

RARE stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $49.08 for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., suggesting 44.9% upside from the current price of $33.88. The AI MoonshotScore is 10/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
STRONG SELL 10/100 · F

RARE: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOEmil D. Kakkis
Employees1294
HeadquartersNovato, CA, US
IPO Year2014

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. specializes in developing and commercializing therapies for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases, distinguishing itself through a diverse portfolio of approved biologic products and a robust pipeline of gene therapy candidates, operating within the competitive biotechnology sector and serving a global patient base.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for RARE?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its focus on rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases, a market with significant unmet needs and potential for high-value therapies. The company's existing portfolio of approved products, including Crysvita, Mepsevii, Dojolvi, and Evkeeza, generates substantial revenue, evidenced by a gross margin of 83.6%. The company's pipeline of gene therapy candidates, such as DTX401 and DTX301, represents a significant growth opportunity. However, the company's negative profit margin of -91.0% indicates ongoing challenges with profitability. Upcoming catalysts include clinical trial results for its gene therapy programs and potential regulatory approvals. Potential risks include clinical trial failures and competition from other companies developing therapies for rare diseases.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RARE Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $3.34B reflects investor valuation of Ultragenyx's portfolio and pipeline.
  • Gross margin of 83.6% demonstrates strong pricing power and efficient manufacturing of its approved products.
  • Negative profit margin of -91.0% indicates significant ongoing investment in research and development.
  • Beta of 0.25 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market.
  • No dividend yield reflects the company's focus on reinvesting earnings into growth opportunities.

Who Are RARE's Competitors?

RARE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
CELC Celcuity Inc. $108.37 +0.39% $5.28B 50
CNTA Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc $40.50 +0.00% $6.27B 52
CGON CG Oncology Inc $69.26 -1.56% $6.11B
APGE Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. $133.50 +0.44% $8.24B 71
XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc. $59.93 -1.69% $4.73B 56
SNDX Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $22.11 +1.33% $1.96B 79
ANAB AnaptysBio, Inc. $63.69 +0.43% $2.75B 79
ABVX Abivax S.A. $145.38 +0.51% $9.53B 76

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are RARE's Key Strengths?

  • Diverse portfolio of approved products.
  • Robust pipeline of gene therapy candidates.
  • Strong intellectual property protection.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are RARE's Weaknesses?

  • High research and development costs.
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals.
  • Negative profit margin.
  • Competition from other rare disease companies.

What Could Drive RARE Stock Higher?

  • Clinical trial results for DTX401 in Glycogen Storage Disease Type Ia.
  • Clinical trial results for DTX301 in Ornithine Transcarbamylase Deficiency.
  • Regulatory decisions on UX143 for Osteogenesis Imperfecta.
  • Expansion of Crysvita into new geographic markets.
  • Continued revenue growth from existing commercial products.

What Are the Key Risks for RARE?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -4.34 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Clinical trial failures for gene therapy candidates.
  • Regulatory delays or rejections.
  • Competition from other rare disease therapies.
  • High research and development costs.
  • Dependence on key personnel.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RARE?

  • Expansion of Crysvita into new indications and geographies represents a significant growth opportunity. Crysvita, an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23, is already approved for X-linked hypophosphatemia and tumor-induced osteomalacia. Expanding its use to other related conditions and geographic regions could drive substantial revenue growth. The market for hypophosphatemia treatments is estimated to reach $1 billion by 2028, providing a clear target for Ultragenyx.
  • Advancement of gene therapy pipeline, particularly DTX401 and DTX301, offers substantial long-term growth potential. These AAV8 gene therapies target glycogen storage disease type Ia and ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, respectively. Successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals could result in transformative therapies for these rare genetic disorders. The gene therapy market is projected to reach $13 billion by 2025, offering a significant opportunity for Ultragenyx.
  • Development of UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for osteogenesis imperfecta, presents a targeted growth opportunity. Osteogenesis imperfecta, also known as brittle bone disease, affects a significant number of individuals worldwide. A successful therapy could capture a substantial portion of this market. The market for osteogenesis imperfecta treatments is estimated to reach $500 million by 2027.
  • Strategic collaborations and partnerships can accelerate the development and commercialization of Ultragenyx's pipeline. Collaborations with companies like Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd., REGENXBIO Inc., and Bayer Healthcare LLC provide access to expertise, resources, and technologies that can enhance Ultragenyx's capabilities. These partnerships can also de-risk development programs and expand market reach.
  • Expansion of Evkeeza into broader patient populations with hypercholesterolemia represents a growth opportunity. Evkeeza is currently approved for homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. Expanding its use to patients with other forms of hypercholesterolemia could significantly increase its market potential. The market for hypercholesterolemia treatments is substantial, with statins and other therapies generating billions of dollars in annual revenue.

What Opportunities Does RARE Have?

  • Expansion into new indications and geographies.
  • Strategic collaborations and partnerships.
  • Advancements in gene therapy technologies.
  • Increasing awareness of rare diseases.

What Threats Does RARE Face?

  • Clinical trial failures.
  • Regulatory setbacks.
  • Competition from biosimilars.
  • Economic downturns.

What Are RARE's Competitive Advantages?

  • Focus on rare diseases creates a niche market with less competition.
  • Strong intellectual property protection through patents and exclusivity.
  • Specialized expertise in developing and commercializing rare disease therapies.
  • Established relationships with key opinion leaders and patient advocacy groups.

What Does RARE Do?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., founded in 2010 and headquartered in Novato, California, is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to identifying, acquiring, developing, and commercializing novel treatments for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. The company's mission is to provide life-changing therapies for patients with serious, unmet medical needs. Ultragenyx has established a diverse portfolio of approved biologic products, including Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia and tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. In addition to its commercialized products, Ultragenyx has a robust pipeline of product candidates, including DTX401 and DTX301, adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapies for glycogen storage disease type Ia and ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, respectively. Other candidates include UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for Angelman syndrome; UX701 for Wilson disease; and UX053 for glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx collaborates with various organizations, including Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd., REGENXBIO Inc., and Bayer Healthcare LLC, to advance its research and development efforts. Ultragenyx operates in North America, Europe, and internationally, focusing on addressing the unique challenges of rare disease drug development and commercialization.

What Products and Services Does RARE Offer?

  • Develops and commercializes therapies for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases.
  • Focuses on biologic products, including enzyme replacement therapies and monoclonal antibodies.
  • Advances gene therapy candidates for genetic disorders.
  • Collaborates with pharmaceutical companies and research institutions.
  • Conducts clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its product candidates.
  • Seeks regulatory approvals from agencies like the FDA and EMA.
  • Markets and distributes its approved products globally.

How Does RARE Make Money?

  • Develops and patents novel therapies for rare genetic diseases.
  • Generates revenue through the sale of approved products like Crysvita, Mepsevii, Dojolvi, and Evkeeza.
  • Partners with other companies for research, development, and commercialization.
  • Out-licenses certain technologies and products to generate additional revenue.

What Industry Does RARE Operate In?

The biotechnology industry is characterized by high innovation, long development timelines, and significant regulatory hurdles. Ultragenyx operates within the rare disease segment, which is experiencing increased attention and investment due to unmet medical needs and favorable regulatory pathways. The competitive landscape includes companies like CELC: Celcuity Inc., CNTA: Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc, and XENE: Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc., each focusing on different therapeutic areas and technologies. The market for rare disease therapies is projected to grow significantly, driven by advances in genetic research and increasing awareness of rare conditions.

Who Are RARE's Key Customers?

  • Patients with rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases.
  • Hospitals and clinics that treat patients with these conditions.
  • Specialty pharmacies that distribute rare disease therapies.
  • Healthcare providers who prescribe Ultragenyx's products.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 9, 2026

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 6 sales and 24 purchases. On net that is roughly 655K shares acquired (about $10.6M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. revenue of about $741.4M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-4.36. The estimate reflects 13 contributing analysts.

F-Score 2/9Financial Health

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -4.34 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -47.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -16.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.02 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -20.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) Valuation Context

Valued at $3.34B, RARE is classified as a mid-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, RARE's quantitative score of 10/100 is below the peer average of 57/100.

RARE Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+20.1%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-1.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+7.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-11.9%
Current Ratio
2.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in Ultragenyx's future prospects, mirroring scenarios like when insiders loaded up on Amazon before its e-commerce boom.
  • Community sentiment indicates growing optimism around Ultragenyx's pipeline, similar to the buzz surrounding Moderna's mRNA technology before its COVID-19 vaccine success.
  • Positive market perception of Ultragenyx's rare disease focus positions it favorably, much like Vertex Pharmaceuticals' dominance in cystic fibrosis treatment.
  • Bullish community views highlight Ultragenyx's potential for long-term growth, akin to the early enthusiasm surrounding Tesla's energy solutions.

Bear Case

  • Recent insider selling, even if routine, can sometimes signal concerns, reminiscent of some executive exits before major corporate restructurings.
  • Bearish community views express worries about competition in the rare disease space, similar to concerns about generic drug competition impacting established pharmaceutical companies.
  • Community sentiment reflects uncertainty around Ultragenyx's clinical trial outcomes, comparable to the market's cautious stance on biotech firms with pending FDA decisions.
  • Market perception suggests Ultragenyx may face challenges in achieving widespread adoption of its therapies, similar to the initial skepticism surrounding gene therapy treatments.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

RARE Latest News

RARE Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for RARE.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $49.08

RARE MoonshotScore

10/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates RARE's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Emil D. Kakkis

CEO

Emil D. Kakkis is the CEO of Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. He holds an MD and PhD in Genetics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Dr. Kakkis completed his residency in pediatrics at the University of California, San Francisco. Before founding Ultragenyx, he served as the Chief Medical Officer of BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc., where he played a key role in developing several rare disease therapies. He has extensive experience in drug development, clinical research, and regulatory affairs.

Track Record: Under Dr. Kakkis' leadership, Ultragenyx has successfully developed and commercialized multiple therapies for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases, including Crysvita, Mepsevii, Dojolvi, and Evkeeza. He has overseen the expansion of the company's pipeline of gene therapy candidates and established strategic collaborations with leading pharmaceutical companies and research institutions. His vision has driven Ultragenyx to become a leading player in the rare disease space.

RARE Healthcare Stock FAQ

What does Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. do?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. The company's portfolio includes approved products like Crysvita, Mepsevii, Dojolvi, and Evkeeza, which address conditions such as X-linked hypophosphatemia, Mucopolysaccharidosis VII, long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders and homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. Additionally, Ultragenyx has a pipeline of gene therapy candidates targeting diseases like glycogen storage disease and ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, positioning it as a key player in the rare disease therapeutics market.

What do analysts say about RARE stock?

Analyst consensus on Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) reflects a mixed outlook, with some highlighting the company's strong portfolio of approved products and promising gene therapy pipeline. Key valuation metrics include market capitalization and revenue growth. However, the company's negative profit margin and high R&D expenses are also noted as factors influencing analyst sentiment. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

What are the main risks for RARE?

The main risks for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. include the potential for clinical trial failures, which could significantly impact the company's pipeline and future revenue. Regulatory setbacks, such as delays or rejections of product approvals, also pose a risk. Competition from other companies developing therapies for rare diseases could erode market share. Additionally, the company faces ongoing challenges related to high research and development costs and dependence on key personnel. These factors should be carefully considered by investors.

How does Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. manage patent expiration risks?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. mitigates patent expiration risks through a multi-faceted approach. This includes actively pursuing new patent applications for novel formulations, methods of use, and manufacturing processes related to its existing products. The company also focuses on developing next-generation therapies and expanding into new indications to diversify its revenue streams and reduce reliance on individual products facing patent cliffs. Strategic collaborations and acquisitions further bolster its intellectual property portfolio and lifecycle management strategies.

How does Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. navigate regulatory approval processes?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. navigates regulatory approval processes by maintaining close communication with regulatory agencies like the FDA and EMA, conducting rigorous clinical trials, and adhering to strict quality control standards. The company leverages its experience in rare disease drug development to design efficient clinical trial protocols and compile comprehensive regulatory submissions. Ultragenyx also utilizes expedited review pathways, such as orphan drug designation and breakthrough therapy designation, to accelerate the approval of its therapies for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases.

What are the key factors to evaluate for RARE?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) holds an AI score of 10/100 (low). Analysts target $49.08 (+45%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does RARE data refresh on this page?

RARE prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven RARE's recent stock price performance?

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse portfolio of approved products. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-09.
  • Financial data may be subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and due diligence.
Data Sources

Popular Stocks