Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) — MoonshotScore 77/100 (Strong band), calculated Oct 9, 2026. Price $93.34 (+0.19%), as of the Oct 8, 2026 trading session; market cap $152B. Expected results Feb 24, 2027.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 15.99× (market value Oct 8, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Feb 24, 2027
Rio Tinto Group · RIO · NYSE · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
Research dated 2026-09-12: Rio Tinto mines, processes and transports a broad mineral portfolio, but iron ore remains the economic anchor. The case rests on whether rising production and lower unit costs can expand cash generation faster than heavy capital requirements consume it.
Price as of Oct 8, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Rio Tinto Group (RIO)
StrongWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
High quality, though the balance sheet and growth are only decent; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Fair; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Rising.
- quarterly revenue $31.02B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 2 of 8
- Altman Z 3.64 · Piotroski F 4
Helping: business quality, positive momentum
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Strong | |
| 77 | Strong | |
| 77 | Strong | |
| 77 | Strong | |
| 77 | Strong | |
| 78 | Strong |
The score moved from 78 in the stored Oct 7, 2026 snapshot to 77 in the current publication computed Oct 9, 2026 (-1); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability -3 and Valuation -1. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $93.34 | |
| Change on the day | +0.19% | |
| 52-week range | $65.35 – $112.58 | |
| Market capitalisation | $152B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 12.68 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 1.48M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.66 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $4.65 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 4.98% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
We expect our cash generation to keep improving as we deliver growth, productivity and cost reductions, and we remain on track for a 3% CAGR copper equivalent production uplift to 2030 and a 4% CAGR reduction in unit cost.
Peter Cunningham · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for Rio Tinto Group (RIO): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Oct 2, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 11, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 11, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 9, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the RIO film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Rio Tinto Group (RIO), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Rio Tinto sells exposure to mineral production rather than a uniform industrial product.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Rio Tinto sells exposure to mineral production rather than a uniform industrial product. Its operations span iron ore, bauxite, alumina, aluminium, lithium and copper, supported by mines, refineries, smelters, processing plants, power assets and shipping facilities.
Reported revenue combines these activities, yet the mix is concentrated: iron ore is the largest disclosed revenue pool, the aluminium chain follows, and lithium remains much smaller. Commodity volumes and realized prices therefore matter more than the broad industrial-materials label suggests.
What do the latest results show for Rio Tinto Group (RIO)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $31.02B.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
The latest comparable period brought higher revenue, operating profit, net income and operating cash flow, while capital expenditure also increased. Earnings exceeded consensus even though revenue fell short, suggesting stronger profit conversion than the sales headline alone conveyed.
The annual record is less clean: revenue increased while net income declined, showing that sales growth did not flow fully into earnings. Management says further cash improvement should come from production growth, productivity gains and lower unit costs; those are forward commitments, not explanations proven by the latest accounts.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $31.02B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $0.00 Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $8.70B Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $31.02B | Not available | $0.00 | $8.70B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $30.65B | $524.00M | $246.07M | $7.76B |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $27.10B | Not available | $330.00M | $6.77B |
| Dec 31, 2024 | $26.86B | $398.00M | $711.00M | $7.39B |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $31.03B Jul 28, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $31.62B Jul 28, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Jul 28, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Jul 28, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $31.03B | $31.62B | $4.2100 | $4.0900 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $30.77B | $30.19B | $3.7300 | $3.7100 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $19.72B | $19.78B | $2.2300 | $2.3500 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $21.46B | $21.64B | $2.4900 | $2.5600 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $31.02B | $6.66B | $4.06 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $30.65B | $5.42B | $3.31 (diluted) |
| Q2 FY2025 | $27.10B | $4.57B | $2.79 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2024 | $26.86B | $5.69B | $3.51 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Rio Tinto Group (RIO)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $9.51B at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $9.18B for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Operating cash flow has exceeded capital expenditure throughout the presented history, leaving the business internally funded before financing and distributions. Cash and short-term investments have also remained broadly stable after recovering from an earlier dip.
Debt exceeds cash and short-term investments. Adding long-term investments narrows that gap substantially, but those holdings are unclassified, so they should not be treated as equivalent to readily available cash. Current assets cover near-term liabilities overall, while the quicker liquidity measure is tighter.
The business-specific financial risk is concentration in iron ore alongside sustained spending across capital-intensive assets. A weaker combination of commodity pricing, shipment volumes or cost control could compress profit and free cash flow while investment demands remain high; the distress screen is reassuring, but the broader quality screen is mixed.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $9.18B Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $10.04B Dec 31, 2025
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $9.18B | −$5.95B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $10.04B | −$7.51B |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $7.04B | −$4.77B |
| Dec 31, 2024 | $8.54B | −$5.60B |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Rio Tinto Group (RIO)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Feb 24, 2027.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Production growth and unit-cost reduction are the operating tests to watch. Progress should appear through stronger margins and cash generation rather than revenue growth alone, with capital expenditure monitored against operating cash flow.
The next release also offers a clean check against current revenue and earnings expectations. Longer-range estimates span a broad range, price targets are dispersed and recent analyst actions disagree, making delivered volumes, costs and cash conversion more informative than consensus labels.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
We expect our cash generation to keep improving as we deliver growth, productivity and cost reductions, and we remain on track for a 3% CAGR copper equivalent production uplift to 2030 and a 4% CAGR reduction in unit cost.
Peter Cunningham ·
What the records here don't tell us
- No insider Form 4 transaction falls inside the window this page reads.
Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.
How does Rio Tinto Group compare with its peers?
Short answer
Rio Tinto Group's score ranks 7th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Rio Tinto differs from a mining pure play because extraction sits inside a wider operating chain that includes refining, smelting, processing, power and shipping. It also differs from a downstream aluminium producer because ownership begins with mineral resources and extends across iron ore, lithium, copper and valuable by-products.
That breadth creates several routes for investment and productivity gains, but it does not produce balanced economics today. Iron ore and the aluminium chain dominate disclosed segment revenue, so the smaller mineral businesses diversify the asset base more than the current sales mix.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $198.66 Oct 8, 2026 | $166B | 98 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $115.55 Oct 8, 2026 | $122B | 98 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $183.87 Oct 8, 2026 | $92.9B | 98 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $84.83 Oct 8, 2026 | $215B | 92 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $12.51 Oct 8, 2026 | $1.66B | 87 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $64.82 Oct 8, 2026 | $31.3B | 82 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| Rio Tinto Group (RIO) — this page | $93.34 | $152B | 77 |
| $277.11 Oct 8, 2026 | $5.76B | 75 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $321.03 Oct 8, 2026 | $76.4B | 68 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $13.42 Oct 8, 2026 | $57.8B | 60 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $3.47 Oct 8, 2026 | $1.22B | 43 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $31.41 Oct 8, 2026 | $3.90B | 40 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 | |
| $46.14 Oct 8, 2026 | $8.21B | 28 5-pillar Oct 9, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $89.50 – $120.00
- Consensus target
- $103.13
- Median target
- $101.50
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $93.34 (as of Oct 8, 2026).
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 7.9% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 7.8% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 1,017 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 996 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Fisher Asset Management, LLC | 20,675,995 |
| State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co | 10,931,820 |
| Goldman Sachs Group INC | 9,490,536 |
| Morgan Stanley | 4,853,229 |
| Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 4,074,849 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
RIO Basic Materials Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-12; the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
Why does Western Australian iron ore matter so much to Rio Tinto?
Iron ore is Rio Tinto’s largest disclosed revenue pool, making Western Australian mining central to group sales and cash generation. Changes in shipment volumes, realized pricing or operating costs can outweigh progress in smaller businesses.
Can aluminium and lithium reduce Rio Tinto’s dependence on iron ore?
The aluminium chain already contributes substantial revenue, while lithium remains far smaller. Diversification becomes more meaningful if those activities grow without requiring capital spending that absorbs the added operating cash.
Why can Rio Tinto’s profit fall while revenue rises?
Rio Tinto’s annual revenue increased while net income declined, so higher sales were offset somewhere between revenue and the bottom line. The combination makes margins, unit costs and cash conversion essential checks alongside commodity sales.
What would validate Rio Tinto’s production and cost plan?
Higher production paired with lower unit costs should support stronger margins and operating cash flow. Validation would require that improvement to persist after capital expenditure rather than appearing only in revenue or adjusted earnings.
What is the RIO stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is $93.34, as of the Oct 8, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the RIO price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is $103.13 (range $89.50 to $120.00, median $101.50), per FMP data captured Oct 9, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Does RIO pay a dividend?
Yes. Rio Tinto Group (RIO) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 4.98%, as of Oct 8, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-12. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (82 figures)
The 82 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Peter Cunningham (Jul 28, 2026): We expect our cash generation to keep improving as we deliver growth, productivity and cost reductions, and we remain on track for a 3% CAGR copper equivalent production uplift to 2030 and a 4% CAGR reduction in unit cost. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | 6 ST James's Square, London, SW1Y 4AD, X0, 00000 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "6 St James's Square, London, GL, SW1Y 4AD, GB". |
FMP — 70 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Feb 24, 2027 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $93.34 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +0.19% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalization | $152B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote — Provider market cap uses the share class it prices; a company with more than one class may show a larger total elsewhere. Market cap record date: 2026-10-08. Source capture time was not supplied. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.18 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $31.02B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 12.68 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 1.48M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.66 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Simon Callas Trott | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 56,890 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $63.49B, net result $21.11B; FY2022 revenue $55.55B, net result $12.39B; FY2023 revenue $54.04B, net result $10.06B; FY2024 revenue $53.66B, net result $11.55B; FY2025 revenue $57.77B, net result $9.99B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Copper $6.30B · Iron ore $28.53B · Industrial minerals $2.37B · Aluminium, alumina and bauxite $15.24B · Other products and freight services $1.96B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 27.3% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $31.02B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $0.00 | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $8.70B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $30.65B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.rd_k | R&D — period end 2025-12-31 | $524.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $246.07M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $7.76B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-06-30 | $27.10B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-06-30 | $330.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-06-30 | $6.77B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2024-12-31 | $26.86B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.rd_k | R&D — period end 2024-12-31 | $398.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2024-12-31 | $711.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2024-12-31 | $7.39B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-07-28 | $31.03B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-07-28 | $31.62B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-07-28 | $4.2100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-07-28 | $4.0900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-19 | $30.77B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-19 | $30.19B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-19 | $3.7300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-19 | $3.7100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-07-29 | $19.72B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-07-29 | $19.78B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-07-29 | $2.2300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-07-29 | $2.3500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-02-19 | $21.46B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-02-19 | $21.64B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-02-19 | $2.4900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-02-19 | $2.5600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $9.51B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $9.18B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $8.67B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $22.85B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 2.30× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $9.18B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $10.04B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$5.95B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$7.51B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-06-30 | $7.04B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-06-30 | −$4.77B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2024-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2024-12-31 | $8.54B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2024-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2024-12-31 | −$5.60B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $89.50 – $120.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 9, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $103.13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 9, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $101.50 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 9, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 7.9% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 7.8% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 1,017 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 996 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Fisher Asset Management, LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 20,675,995 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co — shares in provider snapshot | 10,931,820 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Goldman Sachs Group INC — shares in provider snapshot | 9,490,536 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Morgan Stanley — shares in provider snapshot | 4,853,229 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. — shares in provider snapshot | 4,074,849 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 2 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-09 | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 3.64 · Piotroski F 4 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-08 · Expired observation | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $65.35 – $112.58 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-09 |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 15.99× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $9.51B at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-08. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $4.65 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 2 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-09, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 4.98% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($31.03B) with the recorded estimate ($31.62B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($4.2100) with the recorded estimate ($4.0900) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 77 of 100 · Strong · pillars 82 / 63 / 63 / 56 / 77 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 78 (stored snapshot Oct 7, 2026) → 77 (current publication computed Oct 9, 2026) (-1) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2024-12-31.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-07-28. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-28.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-19.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-07-29.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-02-19.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2024-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2024-12-31.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-12
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal name | RIO TINTO PLC Our market-data provider lists the name as "Rio Tinto Group"; the filer's own record is used here. | 2026-09-12 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer record |
| Business description | Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum and lithium segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting, and recycling, as well as mining and processing of lithium. The Copper segment engages in mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products and exploration activities. It also owns and operates open pit and underground mines; and refineries, smelters, processing plants and power, and shipping facilities. The company was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Lithium: $944.00M; Iron Ore: $28.53B; Industrial Minerals: $2.37B; Aluminium, Alumina And Bauxite: $15.39B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 1 entry
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-07-28 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Basic Materials / Industrial Materials The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 1000 — Metal Mining. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-07-28 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $22.85B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $61.80B; Cash and short-term investments: $9.51B; Cash and investments: $18.18B; Long-term investments: $8.67B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $18.18B; Cash and short-term investments: $9.51B; Long-term investments: $8.67B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$13.35B; Total debt: $22.85B; Cash and investments: $9.51B Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.93; Current ratio: 1.42; Debt to equity: 0.35; Net margin: 19.6%; Gross margin: 27.3%; Operating margin: 27.3%; Return on assets: 9%; Return on equity: 18.9% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Distress and quality screens | Altman Z-score: 3.75; Piotroski F-score: 4 Altman Z below 1.8 is the conventional distress zone. For a company holding large cash against negative retained earnings the score mostly reflects the retained-earnings term. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) financial scores |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2027-02-24; EPS estimate: $3.89 per share; Revenue estimate: $32.45B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
| Analyst actions, most recent per firm | Captured record · 10 entries
One row per firm — the firm's most recent action in our feed. Other data vendors may carry firms ours does not. | 2026-09-09 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst grades |
| Price targets in force | Low: $77; High: $133; Target count: 12 | 2026-09-09 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) price targets |
Data provided for informational purposes only.