Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (ALSSF)

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (ALSSF) Consumer Business Overview

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. is a multinational restaurant operator with a strong presence in Latin America and Europe, managing a diverse portfolio of brands like Domino's Pizza, Starbucks, and Burger King. The company's mix of corporate and franchise units positions it within the competitive global restaurant industry.

What Is the Investment Thesis for ALSSF?

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. presents a compelling investment case based on its diversified brand portfolio and extensive geographic reach. The company's mix of corporate and franchise units allows for scalable growth and market penetration. With a P/E ratio of 19.0 and a dividend yield of 2.98%, Alsea offers a blend of value and income potential. Key growth catalysts include continued expansion in emerging markets and leveraging its established brands. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as currency fluctuations and competitive pressures. The company's ability to maintain its 67.7% gross margin and drive same-store sales growth will be critical to its long-term success.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALSSF Key Highlights

• Operates 4,262 units across Latin America and Europe, providing a diversified revenue stream.
• Gross margin of 67.7% indicates strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
• Dividend yield of 2.98% offers an attractive income component for investors.
• P/E ratio of 19.0 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
• Presence in 11 countries provides geographic diversification and reduces reliance on any single market.

Who Are ALSSF's Competitors?

ALSSF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ALSSF's Key Strengths?

• Diversified brand portfolio with globally recognized names.
• Extensive geographic presence in Latin America and Europe.
• Mix of corporate-owned and franchised locations.
• Established supply chain and operational infrastructure.

What Are ALSSF's Weaknesses?

• Exposure to currency fluctuations in multiple countries.
• Dependence on consumer spending and economic conditions.
• Intense competition in the restaurant industry.
• Potential for brand cannibalization within its portfolio.

What Could Drive ALSSF Stock Higher?

• Expansion into new geographic markets, particularly in emerging economies.
• Continued menu innovation and product development to attract new customers.
• Potential strategic acquisitions to expand brand portfolio (timeline: next 12-18 months).
• Digital transformation initiatives to enhance customer experience and drive online sales.
• Franchise expansion to accelerate growth and leverage local expertise.

What Are the Key Risks for ALSSF?

• Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.69 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
• Exposure to currency fluctuations in multiple countries, impacting financial results.
• Economic downturns in key markets, reducing consumer spending on dining out.
• Intense competition in the restaurant industry, requiring continuous innovation and differentiation.
• Rising labor costs and commodity prices, impacting profitability.
• Changes in consumer preferences and dietary trends, requiring adaptation of menu offerings.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ALSSF?

• Expansion in Emerging Markets: Alsea has the opportunity to further expand its presence in emerging markets within Latin America and Europe. These markets offer higher growth potential due to increasing disposable incomes and a growing middle class. By tailoring its brand offerings to local tastes and preferences, Alsea can capture a larger share of these markets. The timeline for significant expansion is estimated at 3-5 years, with a potential market size of $50 billion.
• Digital Transformation and Delivery Services: Investing in digital transformation and enhancing its delivery services can drive revenue growth and improve customer engagement. By leveraging technology, Alsea can optimize its operations, personalize customer experiences, and expand its reach. The adoption of online ordering platforms and mobile apps can attract a younger demographic and increase order frequency. This initiative can be implemented within 1-2 years, targeting a 20% increase in digital sales.
• Brand Portfolio Optimization: Alsea can optimize its brand portfolio by focusing on its strongest performing brands and divesting underperforming ones. This strategic approach can improve overall profitability and resource allocation. By investing in marketing and innovation for its core brands, Alsea can strengthen its market position and drive same-store sales growth. The timeline for this optimization is estimated at 2-3 years, with a potential impact of a 10% increase in overall profitability.
• Franchise Expansion: Expanding its franchise network can provide a capital-light growth strategy for Alsea. By partnering with local entrepreneurs, Alsea can accelerate its expansion into new markets and leverage local expertise. The franchise model allows for faster market penetration and reduces the financial burden on the company. This strategy can be implemented within 2-3 years, targeting a 15% increase in franchise units.
• Menu Innovation and Product Development: Continuously innovating its menu offerings and developing new products can attract new customers and retain existing ones. By introducing new flavors, healthier options, and limited-time offers, Alsea can cater to changing consumer preferences and maintain its competitive edge. This ongoing effort can drive same-store sales growth and enhance brand loyalty. The timeline for regular menu innovation is continuous, with new products introduced quarterly.

What Opportunities Does ALSSF Have?

• Expansion in emerging markets with high growth potential.
• Leveraging digital technology to enhance customer experience.
• Optimizing brand portfolio through strategic acquisitions and divestitures.
• Expanding franchise network to accelerate growth.

What Threats Does ALSSF Face?

• Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends.
• Rising labor costs and commodity prices.
• Increased competition from new entrants and existing players.
• Economic downturns and geopolitical instability.

What Are ALSSF's Competitive Advantages?

• Strong brand recognition and loyalty across its portfolio of brands.
• Extensive geographic footprint in Latin America and Europe.
• Diversified revenue streams from company-owned and franchised locations.
• Established supply chain and operational infrastructure.

What Does ALSSF Do?

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V., incorporated in 1997 and headquartered in Mexico City, operates a diverse portfolio of restaurant brands across Latin America and Europe. The company manages a mix of fast food, cafeteria, casual dining, and family restaurants. Its brand portfolio includes globally recognized names such as Domino's Pizza, Starbucks, Burger King, Chili's, PF Chang's, Italianni's, The Cheesecake Factory, Vips, Vips Smart, El Portón, Archies, Foster's Hollywood, Ginos, TGI Fridays, Ole Mole, and Corazón de Barro. As of the latest report, Alsea operates 4,262 units, comprising 3,289 corporate-owned and 973 franchised locations. The company's geographic footprint spans across Chile, France, Portugal, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Uruguay, Mexico, Spain, Argentina, and Colombia, demonstrating a significant international presence. In addition to its restaurant operations, Alsea also engages in factoring and financial leasing activities, diversifying its business model within the consumer cyclical sector. Alsea's evolution has been marked by strategic brand acquisitions and geographic expansion, solidifying its position as a leading player in the restaurant industry.

What Products and Services Does ALSSF Offer?

• Operates fast food restaurants under brands like Domino's Pizza and Burger King.
• Manages cafeteria-style dining establishments.
• Runs casual dining restaurants such as Chili's and Italianni's.
• Oversees casual fast food restaurants.
• Operates family restaurants including Vips and El Portón.
• Engages in factoring and financial leasing activities.

How Does ALSSF Make Money?

• Generates revenue through company-owned restaurant sales.
• Collects franchise fees and royalties from franchised locations.
• Derives income from factoring and financial leasing activities.
• Manages a diverse portfolio of restaurant brands to cater to various consumer segments.

What Industry Does ALSSF Operate In?

Alsea operates within the highly competitive restaurant industry, characterized by evolving consumer preferences and intense rivalry. The global restaurant market is experiencing growth, driven by increasing disposable incomes and changing lifestyles. Alsea's diversified brand portfolio allows it to cater to a wide range of consumer tastes and preferences. Competitors include companies like ARBFF (Arby's), CYRBY (Yum! Brands), and LKFLF (Restaurant Brands International), which also operate multiple restaurant brands across various geographies. Alsea's ability to differentiate itself through brand management and operational efficiency will be crucial for maintaining its market position.

Who Are ALSSF's Key Customers?

• Families seeking casual dining experiences.
• Individuals looking for quick and convenient fast food options.
• Business professionals seeking lunch and dinner venues.
• Tourists and travelers seeking familiar restaurant brands.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. revenue of about $88.71B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $3.63. The estimate reflects 12 contributing analysts.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.

Revenue for Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. came in at $20.04B during Q1 2026, a 8.9% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $89.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.11. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, ALSSF averaged $0.70 in diluted EPS.

ALSSF Valuation & Market Position

With a $2.03B market cap, Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ALSSF's quantitative score of 56/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 48/100.

ROE 26%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. stands at 25.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ALSSF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 18.97, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~39x. Its free cash flow yield is 16.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.56 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.69 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Company Profile

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. operates in the Restaurants industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Mexico City, MX. The company is led by CEO Christian Gurria Dubernard. ALSSF has traded publicly since 2014.

ALSSF Financials

ALSSF Latest News

ALSSF Analyst Consensus

ALSSF MoonshotScore

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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