Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX) trades at $3.80. Red Trail Energy, LLC is an ethanol producer based in North Dakota, focusing on fuel-grade ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. Market cap: $152.56M, Sector: Energy.
Price live · AI analysis from Mar 18, 2026Analyst Coverage for REGX: REGX does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates REGX against Energy peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.
REGX: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX) Energy Operations & Outlook
Red Trail Energy, LLC, founded in 2003, produces and sells fuel-grade ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. Operating in the continental United States, the company serves the fuel and animal feed industries. It faces competition in a fluctuating commodity market while navigating the evolving landscape of renewable fuel standards.
What Is the Investment Thesis for REGX?
Red Trail Energy, LLC presents a complex investment case. With a market capitalization of $152.56M and a negative P/E ratio of -130.09, profitability is a concern, highlighted by a negative profit margin of -0.8%. The company's gross margin stands at 2.8%. A key risk lies in the company's sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations, particularly corn and ethanol. Potential growth catalysts include increasing demand for ethanol as a fuel additive and expansion into new markets for distillers grains and corn oil. However, the company's negative beta of -0.71 suggests a potential disconnect from broader market trends. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability, manage commodity price risk, and capitalize on growth opportunities within the renewable fuels market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
REGX Key Highlights
- Market Cap of $152.56M indicates the company's size relative to its peers in the ethanol production industry.
- P/E Ratio of -130.09 reflects current losses and suggests caution for investors focused on immediate profitability.
- Profit Margin of -0.8% highlights the company's struggle to generate profit from its revenue.
- Gross Margin of 2.8% indicates a narrow margin after accounting for the cost of goods sold.
- Beta of -0.71 suggests the stock price moves inversely to the market, potentially offering diversification benefits but also indicating unique risk factors.
Who Are REGX's Competitors?
REGX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTURF Bathurst Resources Limited | $0.52 | +16.97% | $123.63M | 38 |
| CETEF Cathedral Energy Services Ltd. | $3.41 | +0.89% | $114.41M | 42 |
| GFGY Granite Falls Energy, LLC | $4866.00 | +0.00% | $148.93M | 50 |
| HRCXF Hurricane Energy plc | $0.08 | +0.00% | $183.97M | 49 |
| ITEEF i3 Energy Plc | $0.14 | +21.85% | $198.45M | 38 |
| REGI Renewable Energy Group, Inc. | $61.50 | +0.00% | $3.11B | 55 |
| FGPR Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. | $23.81 | -0.57% | $115.67M | 54 |
| SUN Sunoco LP | $67.88 | -0.59% | $9.28B | 53 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are REGX's Key Strengths?
- Established ethanol production facility.
- Access to local corn supply.
- Experienced management team.
- Established relationships with customers.
What Are REGX's Weaknesses?
- Dependence on corn prices.
- Exposure to ethanol price volatility.
- Limited product diversification.
- Negative profitability.
What Could Drive REGX Stock Higher?
- Potential changes in government regulations regarding renewable fuel standards could impact demand for ethanol.
- Fluctuations in corn prices will continue to influence the company's profitability.
- Demand for ethanol as a fuel additive will drive revenue growth.
- Expansion into new markets for distillers grains could increase sales.
- Potential partnerships or acquisitions could expand the company's operations.
What Are the Key Risks for REGX?
- Negative return on equity (-1.5%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Decreasing demand for gasoline could reduce demand for ethanol.
- Competition from other ethanol producers could impact market share.
- Changes in government subsidies for renewable fuels could affect profitability.
- Negative profitability and low gross margins raise concerns about financial sustainability.
- Environmental regulations related to ethanol production could increase costs.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for REGX?
- Expansion of Distillers Grains Market: Red Trail Energy can capitalize on the growing demand for animal feed by expanding its market for distillers grains. The global animal feed market is projected to reach $500 billion by 2028, driven by increasing livestock production. By targeting new geographic regions and livestock segments, Red Trail Energy can increase its revenue from distillers grains. This expansion can be achieved within the next 2-3 years through strategic partnerships and marketing efforts.
- Increased Ethanol Production Capacity: With growing demand for ethanol as a fuel additive, Red Trail Energy can increase its production capacity to meet this demand. The global ethanol market is expected to reach $120 billion by 2027. By investing in new production facilities or expanding existing ones, the company can increase its market share and revenue. This expansion can be planned and executed over the next 3-5 years, depending on capital availability and regulatory approvals.
- Development of Advanced Biofuels: Red Trail Energy can invest in the development of advanced biofuels, such as cellulosic ethanol, which are derived from non-food sources. The market for advanced biofuels is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by government mandates and consumer demand for sustainable fuels. By developing advanced biofuels, Red Trail Energy can diversify its product portfolio and tap into a new market segment. This development can be a long-term project, requiring research and development efforts over the next 5-7 years.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Red Trail Energy can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its operations and market reach. By partnering with other ethanol producers or animal feed companies, the company can gain access to new markets and technologies. Acquisitions can also provide opportunities to increase production capacity and diversify product offerings. These partnerships and acquisitions can be pursued on an ongoing basis, depending on market conditions and available opportunities.
- Government Incentives and Subsidies: Red Trail Energy can leverage government incentives and subsidies to support its operations and growth. Governments around the world are offering incentives for the production and use of renewable fuels, such as ethanol. By taking advantage of these incentives, Red Trail Energy can reduce its costs and increase its profitability. The availability and terms of these incentives can change over time, so the company needs to stay informed and adapt its strategies accordingly.
What Opportunities Does REGX Have?
- Expansion into new markets for distillers grains.
- Increased ethanol production capacity.
- Development of advanced biofuels.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
What Threats Does REGX Face?
- Fluctuations in corn prices.
- Changes in government regulations.
- Competition from other ethanol producers.
- Decreasing demand for gasoline.
What Are REGX's Competitive Advantages?
- Established production facility with existing infrastructure.
- Access to local corn supply in North Dakota.
- Relationships with fuel blenders and animal feed producers.
- Experience in ethanol production and marketing.
- Operational expertise in managing the ethanol production process.
What Does REGX Do?
Red Trail Energy, LLC, established in 2003, is an ethanol production company headquartered in Richardton, North Dakota. The company's primary business involves the production and sale of fuel-grade ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. Ethanol, derived primarily from corn, serves as a fuel component, octane enhancer, and oxygenated fuel additive aimed at reducing vehicle emissions. The company's distillers grains, available in dried and modified forms, cater mainly to the dairy and beef industries as animal feed. Additionally, Red Trail Energy produces corn oil, which finds applications in animal feed, industrial processes, and biodiesel production. Red Trail Energy operates within the continental United States, distributing its products to various sectors. The company's operations are influenced by factors such as corn prices, ethanol demand, and government regulations related to renewable fuels. As a player in the ethanol market, Red Trail Energy competes with other ethanol producers and companies involved in the broader biofuels industry. The company aims to provide value to its customers through its product offerings while navigating the challenges and opportunities presented by the evolving energy landscape.
What Products and Services Does REGX Offer?
- Produces fuel-grade ethanol from corn.
- Sells ethanol as a fuel component and octane enhancer.
- Offers distillers dried grains for the dairy and beef industry.
- Provides modified distillers grains for animal feed.
- Produces corn oil for animal feed, industrial uses, and biodiesel production.
- Contributes to reducing vehicle emissions through oxygenated fuel additives.
How Does REGX Make Money?
- Procures corn and other grains as raw materials.
- Converts raw materials into ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil.
- Sells ethanol to fuel blenders and distributors.
- Sells distillers grains to animal feed producers and farmers.
- Sells corn oil to various industries, including animal feed and biodiesel.
What Industry Does REGX Operate In?
Red Trail Energy, LLC operates within the oil & gas refining & marketing industry, specifically focusing on ethanol production. The industry is influenced by factors such as government regulations, renewable fuel standards, and commodity prices. The market for ethanol is driven by its use as a fuel additive and its role in reducing vehicle emissions. The competitive landscape includes other ethanol producers and companies involved in the broader biofuels industry. The industry is subject to fluctuations in corn prices and ethanol demand, impacting profitability and growth prospects.
Who Are REGX's Key Customers?
- Fuel blenders and distributors who mix ethanol with gasoline.
- Animal feed producers who use distillers grains in their feed formulations.
- Farmers who use distillers grains as a feed supplement for livestock.
- Industrial companies that use corn oil in their processes.
- Biodiesel producers who use corn oil as a feedstock.
Company Profile
Red Trail Energy, LLC operates in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Richardton, US. The company is led by CEO Jodi Johnson. REGX has traded publicly since 2012.
Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX) Valuation Context
Valued at $152.56M, REGX is classified as a micro-cap stock.
ROE -1%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Red Trail Energy, LLC stands at -1.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -1.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 0.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.82 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -0.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 4/9Financial Health
Red Trail Energy, LLC's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.34 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
REGX Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2024
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future prospects, indicating that leadership believes in upcoming growth opportunities.
- Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the potential of Red Trail Energy's strategic initiatives in renewable energy.
- The market is increasingly recognizing the importance of sustainable energy sources, positioning Red Trail Energy favorably in a growing sector.
- Recent partnerships and collaborations have been well-received, enhancing the company's visibility and credibility within the industry.
Bear Case
- Concerns about regulatory changes in the energy sector have led to skepticism among some investors, impacting overall market perception.
- Social sentiment has shown mixed opinions, with a segment of the community expressing doubts about the company's ability to scale operations effectively.
- Recent industry reports indicate increased competition in the renewable energy space, raising questions about Red Trail Energy's market positioning.
- Some analysts have highlighted potential operational challenges that could hinder growth, leading to a cautious outlook among certain community members.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
REGX Latest News
No recent news available for REGX.
REGX Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for REGX.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for REGX.
REGX MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates REGX's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Leadership: Jodi Johnson
Managing
Jodi Johnson is the managing leader at Red Trail Energy, LLC, overseeing the company's operations and strategic direction. Information regarding Johnson's specific educational background and prior professional experience is not available in the provided data. However, as the managing leader, Johnson is responsible for guiding the company's ethanol production, sales, and overall business strategy.
Track Record: As the managing leader, Jodi Johnson is responsible for the overall performance of Red Trail Energy, LLC. Specific achievements and milestones under Johnson's leadership are not detailed in the provided data. However, the company's continued operation and production of ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil suggest ongoing management and strategic decision-making.
REGX OTC Market Information
The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Red Trail Energy, LLC may not meet the minimum financial standards or disclosure requirements for higher tiers like OTCQX or OTCQB. Companies in this tier may have limited financial reporting and may not be subject to the same level of regulatory oversight as companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. This tier is often associated with higher risk and greater potential for volatility.
- OTC Tier: OTC Other
- Disclosure Status: Unknown
- Limited financial disclosure increases information asymmetry.
- Low trading volume and wide bid-ask spreads can lead to price volatility.
- Potential for fraud or manipulation is higher on the OTC Other tier.
- Lack of regulatory oversight increases investment risk.
- Company may not meet minimum financial standards for higher tiers.
- Verify the company's registration and legal status.
- Review any available financial statements and disclosures.
- Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
- Evaluate the management team and their track record.
- Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks.
- Monitor trading volume and price activity.
- Consult with a financial advisor.
- Company has been in operation since 2003.
- Produces and sells tangible products (ethanol, distillers grains, corn oil).
- Operates a production facility in Richardton, North Dakota.
- Employs 48 people.
- Has a market capitalization of $152.56M.
REGX Energy Stock FAQ
What does Red Trail Energy, LLC do?
Red Trail Energy, LLC produces and sells fuel-grade ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. The company's primary product is ethanol, which is used as a fuel component, octane enhancer, and oxygenated fuel additive. They also produce distillers grains, a byproduct of ethanol production, which is sold as animal feed. Additionally, they produce corn oil for animal feed, industrial uses and biodiesel production. Red Trail Energy operates within the continental United States, contributing to the fuel and animal feed markets.
What are the main risks for REGX?
Red Trail Energy, LLC faces several risks, including fluctuations in corn prices, which directly impact the cost of production. Ethanol price volatility also poses a risk, as it affects the company's revenue and profitability. Changes in government regulations related to renewable fuel standards and subsidies could significantly impact the demand for ethanol and the company's financial performance. Competition from other ethanol producers and the potential for decreasing gasoline demand are also key risks to consider. The company's negative profitability and low gross margins further exacerbate these risks.
How exposed is REGX to commodity price fluctuations?
Red Trail Energy, LLC is significantly exposed to commodity price fluctuations, particularly in corn and ethanol markets. Corn is the primary raw material for ethanol production, so any increase in corn prices directly impacts the company's cost of goods sold. Ethanol prices are also subject to volatility due to factors such as supply and demand, government regulations, and energy market conditions. The company's ability to manage these commodity price risks through hedging strategies or other risk management techniques will be crucial for its profitability and financial stability.
How does Red Trail Energy, LLC balance traditional and renewable energy?
Red Trail Energy, LLC operates primarily within the renewable energy sector, focusing on the production of ethanol, a biofuel derived from corn. While ethanol is considered a renewable fuel, its production relies on traditional agricultural practices and infrastructure. The company contributes to the renewable energy sector by providing an alternative to fossil fuels, but its operations are also intertwined with the traditional agricultural and energy industries. The company's sustainability efforts and investments in advanced biofuels could further enhance its balance between traditional and renewable energy sources.
What are the key factors to evaluate for REGX?
Evaluate REGX on fundamentals, analyst consensus, and risk factors. Not financial advice.
How frequently does REGX data refresh on this page?
REGX prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven REGX's recent stock price performance?
Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established ethanol production facility. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider REGX overvalued or undervalued right now?
Valuing Red Trail Energy, LLC (REGX) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Limited financial information available for Red Trail Energy, LLC.
- OTC market stocks carry higher risk than exchange-listed stocks.
- AI analysis is pending, so analyst consensus is not available.