Redwire Corporation (RDW)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Redwire Corporation (RDW) trades at $11.35 with AI Score 14/100 (Grade F). Redwire Corporation is a space infrastructure company providing mission-critical solutions for national security, civil, and commercial space markets. Market cap: $2.71B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026RDW stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $15.00 for Redwire Corporation, suggesting 32.2% upside from the current price of $11.35. The AI MoonshotScore is 14/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
RDW: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Redwire Corporation (RDW) Industrial Operations Profile
Redwire Corporation develops and manufactures space infrastructure solutions, including antennas, sensors, and software, serving national security, civil, and commercial space sectors. With a focus on on-orbit services and digital engineering, Redwire aims to capitalize on the growing demand for space-based technologies and infrastructure.
What Is the Investment Thesis for RDW?
Redwire Corporation presents an investment opportunity within the expanding space infrastructure market. The company's diverse product portfolio, including antennas, sensors, and software solutions, positions it to capitalize on the increasing demand for space-based technologies. Redwire's focus on on-orbit servicing and digital engineering offers potential for long-term growth. However, the company's negative profit margin of -80.9% raises concerns about profitability. Investors should monitor the company's ability to improve its financial performance and secure key contracts in the competitive space market. The company's high beta of 2.50 indicates higher volatility compared to the overall market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
RDW Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $2.71B reflects investor valuation of Redwire's growth potential in the space infrastructure market.
- Gross margin of 9.2% indicates the percentage of revenue exceeding the cost of goods sold, highlighting the need for improved operational efficiency.
- Negative profit margin of -80.9% signals challenges in achieving profitability, requiring strategic cost management and revenue optimization.
- Beta of 2.50 suggests higher volatility compared to the market, potentially influenced by the high-growth nature of the space industry.
- No dividend yield reflects the company's focus on reinvesting earnings for growth and expansion in the space infrastructure sector.
Who Are RDW's Competitors?
RDW is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | $301.66 | -0.14% | $56.20B | 59 |
| NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation | $546.29 | -0.50% | $77.59B | 63 |
| BA The Boeing Company | $232.69 | +2.74% | $183.43B | 40 |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | $27.88 | -3.53% | $4.58B | 68 |
| DUKR DUKE Robotics Corp. | $5.23 | +8.73% | $11.53M | 67 |
| PL Planet Labs PBC | $31.04 | -1.10% | $10.33B | 66 |
| MDALF MDA Ltd. | $33.66 | +5.58% | $4.26B | 65 |
| AVIJF AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited | $0.55 | +22.81% | $3.39B | 51 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are RDW's Key Strengths?
- Diverse product portfolio of antennas, sensors, and software.
- Expertise in on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing.
- Strong relationships with government and commercial space customers.
- Proprietary enterprise software suite for digital engineering.
What Are RDW's Weaknesses?
- Negative profit margin.
- High beta indicating higher volatility.
- Reliance on government contracts.
- Limited brand recognition compared to larger aerospace companies.
What Could Drive RDW Stock Higher?
- Continued growth in the space infrastructure market driven by increasing demand for satellite services.
- Expansion of Redwire's on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing capabilities.
- Increased adoption of Redwire's digital engineering and simulation tools.
- Potential new contracts with government and commercial space customers.
- Launch of new products and services in the space domain awareness market.
What Are the Key Risks for RDW?
- Negative return on equity (-29.0%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $436.1M recently.
- Intense competition from established aerospace companies and emerging space technology firms.
- Delays or cancellations of government contracts.
- Technological obsolescence.
- Negative profit margin and the need to improve financial performance.
- Economic downturn affecting government and commercial space spending.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for RDW?
- Expansion of On-Orbit Servicing, Assembly, and Manufacturing (OSAM) Capabilities: Redwire can capitalize on the growing demand for OSAM services, which include repairing, refueling, and upgrading satellites in orbit. The OSAM market is projected to reach billions of dollars in the next decade, driven by the need to extend the lifespan of existing satellites and reduce the cost of launching new ones. Redwire's expertise in robotics and automation gives it a competitive advantage in this market.
- Growth in the Space Domain Awareness (SDA) Market: With the increasing number of satellites in orbit, there is a growing need for SDA solutions to track and monitor space objects. Redwire can leverage its sensor and software capabilities to provide SDA services to government and commercial customers. The SDA market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by concerns about space debris and potential collisions.
- Increased Adoption of Digital Engineering and Simulation Tools: Redwire's proprietary enterprise software suite enables digital engineering and simulation of spacecraft components and constellations. As the complexity of space missions increases, there is a growing demand for these tools to reduce development costs and improve mission performance. Redwire can expand its SaaS business model by targeting aerospace companies and government agencies.
- Penetration of the Commercial Space Market: Redwire can expand its presence in the commercial space market by providing solutions for satellite operators, launch providers, and other commercial space companies. This includes providing antennas, sensors, and other components for commercial satellites, as well as offering on-orbit servicing and manufacturing capabilities. The commercial space market is growing rapidly, driven by increasing demand for satellite-based services such as broadband internet and Earth observation.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Redwire can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product portfolio, geographic reach, and customer base. This includes partnering with other space companies to offer integrated solutions, as well as acquiring companies with complementary technologies or capabilities. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions can help Redwire accelerate its growth and strengthen its competitive position in the space infrastructure market.
What Opportunities Does RDW Have?
- Growth in the space infrastructure market driven by increasing demand for satellite services.
- Expansion of on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing capabilities.
- Increased adoption of digital engineering and simulation tools.
- Penetration of the commercial space market.
What Threats Does RDW Face?
- Intense competition from established aerospace companies and emerging space technology firms.
- Potential delays or cancellations of government contracts.
- Technological obsolescence.
- Economic downturn affecting government and commercial space spending.
What Are RDW's Competitive Advantages?
- Proprietary technology and intellectual property in antennas, sensors, and software.
- Strong relationships with government and commercial space customers.
- Expertise in on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing.
- Reputation for providing mission-critical space solutions.
What Does RDW Do?
Redwire Corporation was founded with the vision of becoming a leading provider of space infrastructure solutions. The company develops, manufactures, and sells mission-critical space solutions and components for national security, civil, and commercial space markets. Redwire's offerings include a diverse portfolio of antennas, advanced sensors, solar arrays, composite booms, radio frequency antennas, payload adapters, space-qualified camera systems, and star trackers and sun sensors. These products are used in a variety of space applications, from satellite communications to scientific research. Redwire also provides a proprietary enterprise software suite that enables digital engineering and interactive modeling and simulations of spacecraft components and constellations. This software is offered as a cloud-based Software as a Service (SaaS) business model. In addition to its hardware and software offerings, Redwire provides on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing solutions, as well as low-earth orbit commercialization and space domain awareness technologies. The company operates in the United States, Luxembourg, Germany, South Korea, and Poland, serving a global customer base.
What Products and Services Does RDW Offer?
- Develops and manufactures antennas for space applications.
- Provides advanced sensors and components for satellites and spacecraft.
- Offers solar arrays and composite booms for power generation and structural support.
- Sells radio frequency antennas and payload adapters.
- Provides space-qualified camera systems and star trackers.
- Offers a proprietary enterprise software suite for digital engineering and simulation.
- Provides on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing solutions.
- Develops low-earth orbit commercialization technologies.
How Does RDW Make Money?
- Sells mission-critical space solutions and components to government and commercial customers.
- Offers a cloud-based Software as a Service (SaaS) model for its digital engineering software.
- Provides on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing solutions on a contract basis.
What Industry Does RDW Operate In?
Redwire Corporation operates in the aerospace and defense industry, specifically within the rapidly growing space infrastructure market. The industry is driven by increasing demand for satellite communications, space exploration, and national security applications. The competitive landscape includes established aerospace companies and emerging space technology firms. Redwire differentiates itself through its focus on mission-critical space solutions, on-orbit servicing, and digital engineering capabilities. The global space economy is projected to reach trillions of dollars in the coming decades, presenting significant growth opportunities for companies like Redwire.
Who Are RDW's Key Customers?
- National security agencies and government space programs.
- Civil space agencies such as NASA.
- Commercial space companies, including satellite operators and launch providers.
How Redwire Corporation Is Valued
Redwire Corporation carries a market capitalization of $2.71B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Relative to its peer group, RDW's quantitative score of 14/100 is below the peer average of 59/100.
Company Profile
Redwire Corporation operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Jacksonville, US. The company is led by CEO Peter Anthony Cannito Jr.. RDW has traded publicly since 2021.
ROE -29%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Redwire Corporation stands at -29.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -19.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -9.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.75 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -14.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 3/9Financial Health
Redwire Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.98 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Redwire Corporation revenue of about $471.1M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.82. The estimate reflects 7 contributing analysts.
Net sellingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Redwire Corporation insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 8 purchases. On net that is roughly 24.2M shares disposed (about $436.1M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
RDW Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in Redwire's future, indicating that executives believe in the company's growth potential.
- Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting Redwire's innovative space technology and its relevance in current market trends.
- The company's strategic partnerships have been well-received, enhancing its reputation and potential for future contracts.
- Investors are increasingly optimistic about the space sector, positioning Redwire as a key player in a rapidly expanding industry.
Bear Case
- Concerns over execution risks have emerged, with some analysts questioning Redwire's ability to deliver on ambitious projects.
- Recent earnings reports have shown mixed results, leading to skepticism about the company's short-term profitability.
- Social sentiment has highlighted fears of increasing competition in the space technology sector, potentially impacting Redwire's market share.
- The overall market volatility has created a cautious atmosphere, with some investors hesitant to commit to stocks like Redwire amidst broader economic uncertainties.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026
RDW Latest News
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Redwire up 10% This Week — Here's What's Driving the Space Stock Higher
benzinga · Jul 2, 2026
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Redwire to Increase Revolving Credit Facility Commitments to $50 Million
MT Newswires · Jul 2, 2026
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Why Are Redwire (RDW) Shares Soaring Today
Yahoo! Finance: RDW News · Jun 30, 2026
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Update: Redwire Shares Rise After Taiwan Drone Contract Win
MT Newswires · Jun 30, 2026
RDW Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for RDW.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $15.00
RDW MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates RDW's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
Redwire up 10% This Week — Here's What's Driving the Space Stock Higher
Redwire to Increase Revolving Credit Facility Commitments to $50 Million
Why Are Redwire (RDW) Shares Soaring Today
Update: Redwire Shares Rise After Taiwan Drone Contract Win
Latest Redwire Corporation Analysis
Leadership: Peter Anthony Cannito Jr.
Chief Executive Officer
Peter Cannito serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Redwire. His career spans leadership roles in the aerospace and defense sectors. Prior to Redwire, he held executive positions at various technology and engineering companies. His background includes extensive experience in strategic planning, business development, and operations management. Cannito's expertise lies in driving growth and innovation within complex organizations. He is responsible for overseeing Redwire's overall strategy and execution, managing a workforce of 750 employees.
Track Record: Under Peter Cannito's leadership, Redwire has focused on expanding its presence in the space infrastructure market through strategic acquisitions and partnerships. Key milestones include securing contracts for on-orbit servicing and manufacturing, as well as expanding the company's digital engineering capabilities. Cannito has emphasized innovation and customer focus, driving the development of new products and services to meet the evolving needs of the space industry.
Redwire Corporation Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does Redwire Corporation do?
Redwire Corporation is a space infrastructure company that develops, manufactures, and sells mission-critical space solutions and components. The company provides antennas, sensors, software, and on-orbit services to national security, civil, and commercial space markets. Redwire's offerings enable satellite communications, space exploration, and other space-based activities. The company aims to be a leading provider of space infrastructure solutions, capitalizing on the growing demand for space technologies.
What do analysts say about RDW stock?
Analyst coverage of RDW stock focuses on the company's growth potential in the space infrastructure market. Key valuation metrics include revenue growth, gross margin, and profitability. Analysts consider Redwire's ability to secure key contracts, expand its product portfolio, and improve its financial performance. The company's high beta suggests higher volatility compared to the overall market. Analyst consensus is influenced by the company's execution of its growth strategy and its ability to capitalize on industry trends.
What are the main risks for RDW?
The main risks for RDW include intense competition, potential delays or cancellations of government contracts, technological obsolescence, and economic downturns. The space infrastructure market is highly competitive, with established aerospace companies and emerging space technology firms vying for market share. Redwire's reliance on government contracts exposes it to the risk of funding cuts or changes in government priorities. Rapid technological advancements could render Redwire's products and services obsolete. An economic downturn could reduce government and commercial space spending, impacting Redwire's revenue.
What are the key factors to evaluate for RDW?
Redwire Corporation (RDW) holds an AI score of 14/100 (low). Analysts target $15.00 (+32%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does RDW data refresh on this page?
RDW prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven RDW's recent stock price performance?
Redwire Corporation (RDW) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse product portfolio of antennas, sensors, and software. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider RDW overvalued or undervalued right now?
Valuing Redwire Corporation (RDW) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $15.00 (+32%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying RDW?
Before investing in Redwire Corporation (RDW), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
- Financial metrics are based on the most recent available data.
- Future performance is subject to various risks and uncertainties.