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Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$14.55 +$0.333 (+2.34%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 69 · B+
Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (69/100) while the AI fundamental score is 55/100 (grade B); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Seth Klarman bullish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $26.1B| P/E Ratio: 11.00| Vol: 5.4K| Target: $17.40 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $10.03 – $17.35

P/E 11.00 means the share price is 11.00 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $26.1B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated Jun 15, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) trades at $14.55 with MoonshotScore 55/100 (Grade B). Astellas Pharma Inc. is a global pharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializing in innovative treatments for various medical conditions. Market cap: $26.1B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 15, 2026
Astellas Pharma Inc. is a global pharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializing in innovative treatments for various medical conditions. Founded in 1923, the company has established a strong market presence with a diverse portfolio of products targeting oncology, urology, and transplant medicine.

ALPMY stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Astellas Pharma Inc. is $17.40; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $14.55. The AI MoonshotScore is 55/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ALPMY film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 69/100 · B+

ALPMY: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEONaoki Okamura
Employees14,099
HeadquartersTokyo, JP
IPO Year2009

Astellas Pharma Inc. is a leading global pharmaceutical company focused on delivering innovative therapies across multiple therapeutic areas, including oncology and urology, with a commitment to improving patient outcomes through research and development.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Jun 15, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ALPMY?

AI-written as of Jun 15, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Astellas Pharma Inc. is positioned for growth driven by its strong product pipeline and strategic collaborations. The company's P/E ratio of 11.00 suggests it is valued competitively within the industry, while a gross margin of 76.1% indicates operational efficiency. Key growth catalysts include the expansion of its oncology portfolio, particularly with XTANDI and XOSPATA, which have significant market potential. Additionally, Astellas' focus on chronic conditions, such as kidney disease and urology, aligns with growing healthcare demands, providing a solid foundation for revenue growth. The company's ongoing collaborations with leading research institutions and biotech firms further enhance its innovation capabilities, potentially leading to new product launches and market share expansion.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALPMY Key Highlights

AI-written as of Jun 15, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $26.1B indicates a substantial presence in the pharmaceutical sector.

  • P/E ratio of 11.00 reflects competitive valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Profit margin of 13.6% showcases effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • Gross margin of 76.1% exceeds industry averages, highlighting strong product pricing power.
  • Dividend yield of 3.62% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are ALPMY's Competitors?

ALPMY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
OTSKF Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. $76.10 0.00% $40.0B
ORINY Orion Oyj $46.00 +0.51% $25.9B
SAUHF Straumann Holding AG $113.46 0.00% $18.1B
WXIBF WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. $6.22 0.00% $25.8B 499-signal
GNMSF Genmab A/S $329.25 0.00% $20.2B 559-signal
HZNP Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited Company $116.30 0.00% $26.6B
BIIB Biogen Inc. $215.43 +2.23% $31.8B 645-pillar
DSNKY Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited $17.49 -0.40% $31.8B 559-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ALPMY's Key Strengths?

Strong product pipeline with innovative therapies.

  • High gross margin indicating operational efficiency.
  • Established global presence and distribution network.
  • Robust R&D capabilities through strategic collaborations.

What Are ALPMY's Weaknesses?

Dependence on a few key products for revenue.

  • Exposure to patent expiration risks.
  • Limited market presence in certain therapeutic areas.
  • Potential challenges in regulatory approvals.

What Could Drive ALPMY Stock Higher?

ALPMY catalyst: Expansion of the oncology product line with new therapies expected to launch in the next 12-18 months.

  • Strategic collaborations with biotech firms enhancing R&D capabilities and product development.
  • Continued growth in the chronic kidney disease treatment market driven by increasing patient awareness.
  • Potential new drug approvals in the pipeline that could significantly impact revenue streams.
  • Investment in innovative technologies and research to develop next-generation therapies.

What Are the Key Risks for ALPMY?

Exposure to patent expiration risks affecting key revenue-generating products.

  • Intense competition from both established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech firms.
  • Regulatory challenges that could delay product approvals and market entry.
  • Pricing pressures from healthcare reforms and cost containment measures impacting profitability.
  • Market volatility affecting stock performance and investor sentiment.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ALPMY?

  • Oncology Expansion: Astellas is focusing on expanding its oncology portfolio, particularly with XTANDI and XOSPATA, which cater to significant unmet medical needs.
  • Chronic Kidney Disease Treatments: The introduction of Evrenzo for anemia associated with chronic kidney disease positions Astellas to tap into a growing patient population. The chronic kidney disease market is projected to grow to $20 billion by 2027, driven by rising prevalence and awareness, offering Astellas a lucrative opportunity.
  • Urology Market Growth: Astellas' products like Betanis/Myrbetriq/BETMIGA and Vesicare address overactive bladder conditions, a market expected to grow significantly due to increasing aging populations. This market is projected to reach $5 billion by 2026, providing Astellas with a chance to strengthen its market share.
  • Strategic Collaborations: Astellas' partnerships with biotech firms and research institutions enhance its R&D capabilities, potentially leading to innovative therapies. Collaborations like those with Merck & Co., Inc. and Harvard University can accelerate product development timelines and improve competitive positioning.
  • Cell Therapy Programs: The strategic collaboration with Minovia Therapeutics Ltd. for cell therapy programs targeting mitochondrial dysfunction presents a unique growth avenue. The cell therapy market is anticipated to grow to $25 billion by 2030, allowing Astellas to diversify its product portfolio and capture emerging opportunities.

What Are ALPMY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong patent portfolio protecting key products from generic competition.
  • Established brand recognition and trust in the pharmaceutical industry.
  • Robust R&D capabilities supported by strategic collaborations.
  • Diverse product portfolio addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Global presence allowing for market penetration and scalability.

What Does ALPMY Do?

Astellas Pharma Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. The company engages in the manufacture, marketing, import, and export of pharmaceuticals worldwide. Over the years, Astellas has evolved through strategic mergers and acquisitions, including the merger of Yamanouchi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and Fujisawa Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., which formed Astellas in 2005. The company has developed a robust portfolio of products, including XTANDI, an androgen receptor signaling inhibitor for prostate cancer; XOSPATA, a FLT3 inhibitor for adult patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia; and PADCEV, a treatment for metastatic urothelial cancer. Other key products include Betanis/Myrbetriq/BETMIGA for overactive bladder, Evrenzo for anemia related to chronic kidney disease, and immunosuppressants like Prograf and Advagraf. Astellas also invests in research collaborations and strategic alliances, such as its partnership with Harvard University for the development of therapeutics and technologies. With approximately 14,754 employees, Astellas operates in numerous countries and continues to focus on expanding its therapeutic offerings and enhancing patient care through innovative solutions.

What Products and Services Does ALPMY Offer?

  • Manufacture and market a wide range of pharmaceuticals globally.
  • Develop innovative therapies for oncology, urology, and transplant medicine.
  • Engage in strategic collaborations with research institutions and biotech companies.
  • Conduct clinical trials to evaluate new drug candidates.
  • Provide treatments for chronic conditions such as kidney disease and overactive bladder.
  • Focus on patient-centric solutions to enhance healthcare outcomes.

How Does ALPMY Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the sale of prescription medications and therapies.
  • Engage in partnerships and collaborations to enhance R&D capabilities.
  • Invest in innovative drug development to address unmet medical needs.
  • Leverage strong intellectual property to protect and monetize product offerings.
  • Utilize a global distribution network to reach diverse markets.

What Industry Does ALPMY Operate In?

The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing healthcare demands and advancements in drug development technologies. Astellas Pharma Inc. operates in a competitive landscape, facing rivals such as Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (OTSKF), Orion Oyj (ORINY), and Genmab A/S (GNMSF). Astellas' focus on innovative therapies positions it well to capitalize on these trends and maintain a competitive edge in the sector.

Who Are ALPMY's Key Customers?

  • Healthcare providers including hospitals and clinics.
  • Patients requiring medications for chronic and acute conditions.
  • Pharmaceutical distributors and wholesalers.
  • Research institutions and academic partners.
  • Regulatory bodies for drug approval and compliance.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Jun 15, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 60/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 73 days ago
  • Covered by analysts
  • Reported in JPY, converted to USD

Why 55?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 55
2026-08-26 55
2026-08-29 55
2026-09-01 55
2026-09-04 55
2026-09-07 55
2026-09-10 55

What changed?

The score has stayed at 55.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.6%.

Astellas Pharma Inc. Financial Trajectory

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) reported $4.23B in revenue for Q1 FY2027, reflecting 0.3% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $934.1M, with diluted EPS of $0.52. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Healthcare company. Across the four most recent quarters, ALPMY averaged $0.35 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Astellas Pharma Inc. operates in the Drug Manufacturers - General industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Tokyo, JP. The company is led by CEO Naoki Okamura. ALPMY has traded publicly since 2009.

How Astellas Pharma Inc. Is Valued

Astellas Pharma Inc. carries a market capitalization of $26.1B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, ALPMY's quantitative score of 55/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 56/100.

ROE 17%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Astellas Pharma Inc. stands at 17.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ALPMY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.00, below the Healthcare sector average of ~21.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 12.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.17 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Astellas Pharma Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.95 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

7/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Astellas Pharma Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 46.4% above estimates on average.

ALPMY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+18.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+293.1%
P/E (TTM)
11.00
Return on Equity (TTM)
+17.4%
Current Ratio
1.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
7.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong product pipeline with innovative therapies.
  • High gross margin indicating operational efficiency.
  • Established global presence and distribution network.
  • Robust R&D capabilities through strategic collaborations.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on a few key products for revenue.
  • Exposure to patent expiration risks.
  • Limited market presence in certain therapeutic areas.
  • Potential challenges in regulatory approvals.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · June 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 FY2027 $4.23B $934M $0.52
Q4 FY2026 $4.21B $377M $0.21
Q3 FY2026 $3.78B $665M $0.37
Q2 FY2026 $3.47B $524M $0.29

Q1 FY2027 · filed 30 Jun 2026 · Financial Modeling Prep

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from JPY at today's rate

ALPMY Latest News

ALPMY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ALPMY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $17.40

ALPMY MoonshotScore

55/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ALPMY scores 55/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Leadership: Naoki Okamura

CEO

Naoki Okamura has been leading Astellas Pharma Inc. as CEO, bringing extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry. He holds a degree in pharmacy and has held various leadership roles within the company, focusing on strategic growth and innovation. His leadership style emphasizes collaboration and patient-centered approaches, driving the company's mission forward.

Track Record: Under Naoki Okamura's leadership, Astellas has expanded its product portfolio and strengthened its market position through strategic collaborations. His focus on innovation and operational efficiency has resulted in improved financial performance and enhanced shareholder value.

Astellas Pharma Inc. ADR Information Unsponsored

An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a financial instrument that represents shares in a foreign company, allowing U.S. investors to buy shares in foreign companies without dealing with foreign stock exchanges. ALPMY is a Level I ADR, which means it is traded over-the-counter in the U.S. and is subject to less stringent reporting requirements than higher-level ADRs.

  • Home Market Ticker: Tokyo, JP
  • ADR Level: 1
  • ADR Ratio: 1:1
  • Home Market Ticker: ALPM
Currency Risk: As ALPMY is an ADR, U.S. investors are exposed to currency risk due to fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. Changes in currency values can impact the returns on investments and the value of dividends paid in yen.
Tax Implications: Foreign dividend withholding tax rates vary by country; for Japan, the standard rate is 15% for dividends paid to U.S. investors, but tax treaties may reduce this rate. Investors should consult tax professionals for specific implications.
Trading Hours: Tokyo's stock market operates from 9:00 AM to 3:00 PM JST, while U.S. markets operate from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST. This time difference can affect trading strategies and liquidity for ADR investors.

ALPMY OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier includes companies that trade on the over-the-counter market but do not meet the stringent listing requirements of major exchanges like NYSE or NASDAQ. This tier allows for broader access to smaller or foreign companies, but it may involve less liquidity and transparency.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Trading volume for OTC stocks like ALPMY can be lower than for those on major exchanges, potentially leading to wider bid-ask spreads. Investors may face challenges in executing large trades without impacting the stock price.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Lower liquidity compared to stocks listed on major exchanges.
  • Potential for higher volatility in stock price.
  • Less regulatory oversight may lead to information asymmetry.
  • Limited analyst coverage can affect market perception.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's financial health through recent reports.
  • Assess the competitive landscape and market position.
  • Understand the regulatory environment affecting the company.
  • Evaluate the management team's experience and track record.
  • Monitor market trends relevant to the pharmaceutical industry.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established history and reputation in the pharmaceutical industry.
  • Strong partnerships with reputable research institutions.
  • Transparency in financial reporting and disclosures.
  • Active engagement with investors and stakeholders.

What Investors Ask About Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) — Healthcare

What does the AI Score mean for ALPMY?

ALPMY holds an AI Score of 55/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Is ALPMY a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ALPMY buy, sell or hold. Astellas Pharma Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 55/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Astellas Pharma Inc. do?

Astellas Pharma Inc. is a global pharmaceutical company that engages in the manufacture, marketing, import, and export of a wide range of pharmaceutical products.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ALPMY?

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) holds a MoonshotScore of 55/100 (moderate). P/E: 11.00x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ALPMY data refresh on this page?

ALPMY's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ALPMY's recent stock price performance?

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong product pipeline with innovative therapies. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ALPMY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) trades at 11.00x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ALPMY?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ALPMY's earnings and financial reports?

Astellas Pharma Inc. (ALPMY) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ALPMY earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • All data sourced from provided company information and financial metrics.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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