GE Vernova (GEV) closed at $827.42 on Oct. 22, 2026, down 10.64% on the day, after news coverage tied the drop to worries about how AI data-center spending will be financed. The company's most recent report, for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, showed revenue of $11.10B and free cash flow of $5.11B, so the move looks driven by sentiment about the AI-power theme rather than a new company-specific disclosure. The next earnings report, due Oct. 28, 2026, will be the first test of whether demand still backs the story.
Key facts
- Oct. 22, 2026: GEV shares fell 10.64% to $827.42. The 52-week range is $530.16 to $1,195.94. Market cap is $220.37B.
- Second quarter ended June 30, 2026: revenue was $11.10B, higher than $9.11B a year earlier (up 21.9%). Net income was $668.0M, up 30.0% from the year-ago quarter.
- July 22, 2026: diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.47, below the analyst estimate of $3.17. Revenue was above the estimate of $10.79B.
- Balance sheet at June 30, 2026: cash and short-term investments of $13.12B against total debt of $3.96B, leaving net cash of about $9.16B.
- Oct. 28, 2026 (upcoming): the next report. Analysts estimate EPS of $3.99 and revenue of $11.99B.
What happened
The theme. AI data centers use a great deal of electricity, and utilities and developers are racing to add power supply. That means gas turbines, grid equipment and related services, the products GE Vernova makes. Investors have treated the company as a way to own that demand. The flip side is that the theme depends on large technology companies continuing to spend and to find money for it.
The stock move. On Oct. 22, 2026, several outlets, including 247wallst.com and Investors Business Daily, linked the drop to Meta's spending outlook, which they said stoked worries about financing AI buildouts. The same coverage reported that other companies tied to data-center buildouts, such as Vertiv and Eaton, also fell that day. We have no company statement about the move. GE Vernova did not report new results that day, and the explanation comes from press coverage, not the company.
The latest results. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue rose to $11.10B, ahead of the analyst estimate by $314.5M (2.9%). EPS of $2.47 missed the $3.17 estimate by $0.70 (22.1%). A revenue beat with an earnings miss means the extra sales did not turn into as much profit per share as analysts expected.
By segment, product revenue (equipment sales) was $6.46B, higher than $4.89B a year earlier. Service revenue, the recurring work of maintaining and upgrading installed equipment, was $4.64B versus $4.22B a year earlier. Equipment grew faster than service. The data also lists a Power segment line of $12.0M, which looks like a reporting artifact, so we do not draw conclusions from it. We did not have the earnings call transcript or the company release for this piece, so we cannot quote management on its drivers. Check the July 22 call and filing for that.
Why it matters for investors
Margins are improving, but from a low base. Here is the trend over the last five quarters:
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Gross margin | Operating margin | |---|---|---|---| | June 30, 2025 | $9.11B | 20.3% | 4.1% | | Sept. 30, 2025 | $9.97B | 19.0% | 3.7% | | Dec. 31, 2025 | $10.96B | 21.2% | 5.5% | | March 31, 2026 | $9.34B | 19.1% | 1.9% | | June 30, 2026 | $11.10B | 21.3% | 5.9% |
Operating margin (operating profit as a share of sales) was at its highest in this stretch in the latest quarter. It dipped in the March 2026 quarter, so the path has not been smooth. A margin below 6% on this much revenue is still thin for a company priced as a growth leader.
Net income needs a caveat. Net income was $3.66B in the quarter ended Dec. 31, 2025 and $4.75B in the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Both are far above what operating results would suggest, which points to items outside core operations. The figures we have do not explain them. That also inflates the trailing net margin of 23.0%, so operating margin is the cleaner gauge of the business.
Cash flow is the strongest part of the picture. Free cash flow (cash from operations minus capital spending) was $5.11B in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and $4.79B in the March quarter. It was $194.0M in the June 2025 quarter. The data does not say why cash jumped. Large customer prepayments on big equipment orders are one common source in this industry, and those can reverse, so the filing's cash-flow notes are worth reading. The company used some of the cash on share buybacks of $2.39B in the latest quarter and paid $136.0M in dividends. The dividend yield is 0.2%.
Valuation versus peers. Based on trailing 12-month earnings, GEV trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.47. The comparison with the peers FMP lists:
| Company | P/E | Net margin | |---|---|---| | GE Vernova (GEV) | 23.47 | 23.0% | | Constellation Energy (CEG) | 24.78 | 11.1% | | NextEra Energy (NEE) | 14.68 | 39.9% | | Dongfang Electric (DNGFF) | 16.46 | 5.9% | | INNIO (INIO) | negative (-497.04) | -1.4% |
GEV sits near Constellation and above NextEra and Dongfang on P/E. These companies are not like-for-like. NextEra and Constellation are power producers, while Dongfang is an equipment maker, so use the table for rough context only. Other trailing measures for GEV are price-to-sales of 5.33, EV/EBITDA of 23.26 and price to free cash flow of 17.72.
Analysts and our score. Of 29 analyst ratings, 22 are Buy, 7 are Hold and none are Sell, for a consensus of "Buy." Analysts' price targets average $1,270.21, with a median of $1,284.00, a high of $1,450.00 and a low of $949.00. The Oct. 22 close of $827.42 is below even the lowest target, though targets are opinions and can lag sharp moves. Recent rating actions included Susquehanna, Guggenheim and JP Morgan each maintaining positive ratings in the two weeks before the drop. For contrast, FMP's discounted cash flow model estimates a value of $325.29 per share, far below the market price. Such models depend heavily on their assumptions, and this one is much more cautious than analysts.
Stock Expert AI's MoonshotScore V2 rates GEV 67.4, labeled Strong. Compared with its sector, the pillars read:
- Growth: 77
- Quality: 76
- Momentum: 70
- Safety: 47
- Valuation: 36
What could go wrong
- AI funding risk. The Oct. 22 drop shows how quickly the stock can react if investors doubt that technology companies will keep spending or can finance it. The stock's wide 52-week range reflects that.
- Earnings quality. The latest EPS missed analyst expectations even as sales beat them. If that gap repeats, the premium valuation looks harder to support.
- Thin operating margin. An operating margin of 5.9% leaves little room if costs rise or pricing softens.
- Financial health scores are middling. The Piotroski score (a 0-to-9 gauge of financial health) is 6, and the Altman Z-score (a bankruptcy-risk gauge) is 3.09. The balance sheet itself is solid, with net cash and debt-to-equity of 0.33.
What to watch next
- Oct. 28, 2026 results. The estimates are EPS of $3.99 and revenue of $11.99B. Watch whether EPS lands near that figure after the earlier miss.
- Operating margin. Does it hold near the latest level, or slip back as it did in the March 2026 quarter?
- Free cash flow. Whether cash stays strong or normalizes, and what the company says is behind it.
- Product versus service mix. Equipment growth is fast, but service revenue tends to be steadier.
- Management's tone on demand. Any comment on customer orders and financing conditions after the Oct. 22 selloff.
Frequently asked questions
Q: Why did GE Vernova stock fall on Oct. 22, 2026?
Shares fell 10.64% to $827.42. Press coverage, including 247wallst.com and Investors Business Daily, tied the drop to Meta's spending outlook and renewed worries about financing AI infrastructure. Other data-center suppliers also fell. GE Vernova had no new results that day, and we have no company statement on the move.
Q: Is GE Vernova profitable, and how fast is it growing?
Yes. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, it reported revenue of $11.10B, higher than a year earlier, and net income of $668.0M. Operating income was $655.0M. Operating margin was 5.9%, up from 4.1% a year earlier. Reported EPS of $2.47 was below the analyst estimate of $3.17.
Q: When does GE Vernova report earnings next, and what do analysts expect?
The next report is due Oct. 28, 2026. Analysts estimate EPS of $3.99 and revenue of $11.99B. The report will be the first full update since the Oct. 22 selloff, and it is not investment advice to say that it is worth reading closely.
This is educational content, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.