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Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$3.98 +$0.015 (+0.38%) |Exceptional · 86
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (73/100) and AI Score (86/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Valuation · Biggest watch-out: Momentum.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $308M| P/E Ratio: 5.80| Vol: 230.2K| Target: $10.00 (+151.6%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $0.92 – $6.11

P/E 5.80 means the share price is 5.80 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $308M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.67: the stock has moved about 33% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) trades at $3.98 with MoonshotScore 86/100 (Grade A+). Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. Market cap: $308M, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company operates five alcohol production facilities, serving industries like health, home, beauty, and food and beverage.

ALTO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $10.00 for Alto Ingredients, Inc., suggesting 151.6% upside from the current price of $3.98. The AI MoonshotScore is 86/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ALTO film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 73/100 · A

ALTO: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 86/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (7/10, Moderate).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOBryon T. McGregor
Employees390
HeadquartersPekin, IL, US
IPO Year2005

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients in the United States. Operating five alcohol production facilities, the company serves diverse sectors, including health, home, beauty, and food and beverage, positioning itself as a key supplier in the specialty chemicals market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ALTO?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Alto Ingredients, Inc. presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's focus on specialty alcohols and essential ingredients caters to stable and growing markets. With a market capitalization of $308M and a P/E ratio of 5.80, the company's valuation reflects current profitability. A gross margin of 5.0% and a profit margin of 3.2% indicate areas for potential improvement. However, investors should monitor the company's ability to manage input costs and navigate fluctuations in ethanol and corn oil prices. The company's beta of 0.67 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALTO Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $308M, reflecting the company's current market value.

  • P/E ratio of 5.80, indicating the price investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings.
  • Gross margin of 5.0%, showing the percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the cost of goods sold.
  • Profit margin of 3.2%, representing the percentage of revenue remaining after deducting all expenses.
  • Beta of 0.67, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are ALTO's Competitors?

ALTO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company $86.91 +0.42% $41.9B 655-pillar
BG Bunge Global S.A. $123.09 -1.20% $23.7B 525-pillar
OEC Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. $5.80 +0.17% $327M 445-pillar
GMGMF Graphene Manufacturing Group Ltd $1.82 -2.18% $228M 449-signal
FLRAF Essentra plc $1.49 0.00% $422M 479-signal
CMT Core Molding Technologies, Inc. $23.68 -0.04% $211M 615-pillar
COOSF Carbios SAS $6.50 0.00% $110M 699-signal
KOP Koppers Holdings Inc. $46.35 +0.63% $891M 525-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ALTO's Key Strengths?

Diverse product portfolio.

  • Strategic location of production facilities.
  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Expertise in ethanol and specialty alcohol production.

What Are ALTO's Weaknesses?

Relatively low gross and profit margins.

  • Dependence on commodity prices.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes in the ethanol market.
  • Limited brand recognition.

What Could Drive ALTO Stock Higher?

Potential increase in demand for specialty alcohols due to heightened hygiene awareness.

  • Expansion of production capacity to meet growing demand.
  • Strategic partnerships to expand market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for ALTO?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.66 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Fluctuations in corn and ethanol prices impacting profitability.
  • Changes in government regulations affecting the ethanol industry.
  • Competition from larger chemical companies.
  • Economic downturn reducing demand for products.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ALTO?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of Specialty Alcohol Production: Alto Ingredients can capitalize on the growing demand for high-purity alcohols used in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and sanitizers. Investing in increased production capacity and advanced purification technologies could significantly boost revenue. The global specialty alcohol market is projected to reach $XX billion by 2028, presenting a substantial opportunity for Alto Ingredients to increase its market share. Timeline: 2-3 years.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Diversification of Essential Ingredients Portfolio: The company can expand its range of essential ingredients, such as animal feed additives and nutritional supplements. This diversification would reduce reliance on ethanol and create new revenue streams. The animal feed additives market is expected to grow to $XX billion by 2027, offering a significant growth avenue. Timeline: 3-4 years.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Forming partnerships with companies in the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical industries can provide access to new markets and distribution channels. Acquisitions of smaller specialty chemical producers could expand the company's product portfolio and geographic reach. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Development of Sustainable Products: Investing in research and development to create sustainable and bio-based alternatives to traditional chemical products can attract environmentally conscious customers. The market for sustainable chemicals is growing rapidly, driven by increasing environmental regulations and consumer demand. Timeline: 4-5 years.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Optimization of Production Processes: Implementing advanced technologies and process improvements to reduce production costs and increase efficiency can improve profitability. This includes optimizing energy consumption, reducing waste, and improving yields. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are ALTO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established production facilities in key agricultural regions.
  • Diverse product portfolio catering to multiple industries.
  • Long-standing relationships with key customers.
  • Expertise in ethanol production and specialty alcohol manufacturing.

What Does ALTO Do?

Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Pekin, Illinois, Alto Ingredients, Inc., formerly known as Pacific Ethanol, Inc., underwent a name change in January 2021, signaling a strategic shift towards specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company operates across three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Production, and Other Production. Alto Ingredients offers specialty alcohols used in various applications, including mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners for the health, home, and beauty markets. Additionally, it produces grain neutral spirits for alcoholic beverages, flavor extracts, and vinegar, along with corn germ for corn oils and carbon dioxide for the food and beverage sectors. Its essential ingredients segment provides dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food. The company also supplies fuel-grade ethanol and distillers corn oil. Alto Ingredients operates five alcohol production facilities located in Illinois, Oregon, and Idaho, serving integrated oil companies, gasoline marketers, dairies, feedlots, poultry farms, and biodiesel customers.

What Products and Services Does ALTO Offer?

  • Produces specialty alcohols for mouthwash, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals.
  • Manufactures grain neutral spirits for alcoholic beverages and flavor extracts.
  • Supplies corn germ for corn oils and carbon dioxide for food and beverage markets.
  • Offers essential ingredients like dried yeast and corn gluten meal for animal feed.
  • Provides fuel-grade ethanol as transportation fuel.
  • Produces distillers corn oil for biodiesel feedstock.
  • Offers transportation, storage, and delivery services.

How Does ALTO Make Money?

  • Produces and sells specialty alcohols and essential ingredients.
  • Generates revenue from three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Production, and Other Production.
  • Sells ethanol to integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers.
  • Sells essential ingredient feed products to dairies and feedlots.
  • Sells corn oil to poultry and biodiesel customers.

What Industry Does ALTO Operate In?

Alto Ingredients operates within the specialty chemicals industry, which is influenced by demand from various sectors, including healthcare, food and beverage, and animal feed. The market is characterized by increasing demand for sustainable and bio-based products. Competition includes both large chemical companies and smaller specialty producers. Alto Ingredients differentiates itself through its focus on specialty alcohols and essential ingredients derived from ethanol production. The company's strategic location of production facilities in the Midwest and Western states provides logistical advantages.

Who Are ALTO's Key Customers?

  • Integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers.
  • Dairies and feedlots.
  • Poultry farms and biodiesel customers.
  • Companies in the health, home, and beauty markets.
  • Food and beverage companies.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 75/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • No filing on record
  • Covered by analysts

Why 86?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)
  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
  • +0.49 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.23 3-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.21 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.17 Gross margin (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.03 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 88
2026-08-26 88
2026-08-29 88
2026-09-01 89
2026-09-04 89
2026-09-07 86
2026-09-10 86

What changed?

The grade moved from 88 to 86 (-2).

What moved it up or down:

  • -28 Momentum
  • -2 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • +17 Growth Durability
  • +2 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -9.0%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Alto Ingredients, Inc. insiders filed 18 SEC Form 4 transactions — 6 sales and 12 purchases. On net that is roughly 196K shares acquired (about $610K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Alto Ingredients, Inc. revenue of about $954.3M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.38.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Alto Ingredients, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 167.0% above estimates on average.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.66 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 13%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Alto Ingredients, Inc. stands at 12.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ALTO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 5.80, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.81 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Valuation Context

Valued at $308M, ALTO is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $10.00 to $10.00, with a consensus of $10.00. At the current price of $3.98, that implies approximately 152% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ALTO's quantitative score of 86/100 is above the peer average of 54/100.

ALTO Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Jun 2026, ALTO generated $245.7M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 9.4%. The company recorded net income of $11.4M, with diluted EPS of $0.15. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Basic Materials. Across the four most recent quarters, ALTO averaged $0.17 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Alto Ingredients, Inc. operates in the Chemicals - Specialty industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Pekin, US. The company is led by CEO Bryon T. McGregor. ALTO has traded publicly since 2005.

ALTO Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-4.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+122.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+119.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+159.3%
P/E (TTM)
5.80
Return on Equity (TTM)
+12.7%
Current Ratio
3.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diverse product portfolio.
  • Strategic location of production facilities.
  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Expertise in ethanol and specialty alcohol production.

Bear Case

  • Relatively low gross and profit margins.
  • Dependence on commodity prices.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes in the ethanol market.
  • Limited brand recognition.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Jun 2026 $246M $11M $0.15
Mar 2026 $225M $4M $0.06
Dec 2025 $232M $22M $0.28
Sep 2025 $241M $14M $0.19

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALTO Latest News

ALTO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ALTO.

Price Targets

Low
$10.00
Consensus
$10.00
High
$10.00

Median: $10.00 (+151.6% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

ALTO MoonshotScore

86/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ALTO scores 86/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Alto Ingredients, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Bryon T. McGregor

President and Chief Executive Officer

Bryon T. McGregor serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Alto Ingredients, Inc. His career spans several leadership roles within the renewable energy and agricultural sectors. Prior to joining Alto Ingredients, McGregor held executive positions at major ethanol production companies, where he focused on operational efficiency, strategic planning, and market development. He brings extensive experience in managing complex production facilities and navigating the regulatory landscape of the biofuels industry. McGregor's background also includes a strong emphasis on sustainability and environmental stewardship.

Track Record: Under Bryon T. McGregor's leadership, Alto Ingredients has focused on expanding its specialty alcohol production and diversifying its product portfolio. Key achievements include streamlining operations to improve profitability and strengthening relationships with strategic customers. McGregor has also overseen initiatives to enhance the company's sustainability efforts and reduce its environmental footprint. His strategic decisions have positioned Alto Ingredients for growth in the evolving market for specialty chemicals and renewable fuels.

Common Questions About ALTO (Basic Materials)

What does the AI Score mean for ALTO?

ALTO holds an AI Score of 86/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients.

Is ALTO a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ALTO buy, sell or hold. Alto Ingredients, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 86/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about ALTO stock?

Analyst coverage of Alto Ingredients, Inc. focuses on the company's potential for growth in the specialty alcohol market and its ability to manage commodity price fluctuations. Key valuation metrics include the company's P/E ratio, gross margin, and profit margin.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ALTO?

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) holds a MoonshotScore of 86/100 (high). P/E: 5.80x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $10.00 (+152%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ALTO data refresh on this page?

ALTO's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ALTO's recent stock price performance?

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse product portfolio. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ALTO overvalued or undervalued right now?

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) trades at 5.80x earnings. Analysts target $10.00 (+152%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ALTO?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ALTO's earnings and financial reports?

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ALTO earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on publicly available information.
  • Market projections are based on industry reports and analyst estimates.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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