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Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$19.69 -$0.23 (-1.15%) |Fair · 57
Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (54/100) and AI Score (57/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $318M| Vol: 100K| Target: $19.33 (-1.8%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $11.73 – $23.59

Market cap $318M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.22: the stock has moved about 78% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) trades at $19.69 with MoonshotScore 57/100 (Grade B). Clearwater Paper Corporation manufactures and supplies bleached paperboards, and consumer and parent roll tissues in the United States and internationally. Market cap: $318M, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Clearwater Paper Corporation manufactures and supplies bleached paperboards, and consumer and parent roll tissues in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Pulp and Paperboard, and Consumer Products, serving packaging converters, retailers, and wholesale distributors.

CLW stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $19.33 for Clearwater Paper Corporation, suggesting 1.8% downside from the current price of $19.69. The AI MoonshotScore is 57/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the CLW film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 54/100 · B

CLW: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 57/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOArsen S. Kitch
Employees1,900
HeadquartersSpokane, WA, US
IPO Year2008

Clearwater Paper Corporation, a key player in the Basic Materials sector, manufactures and supplies bleached paperboards and consumer tissues. With a focus on Pulp and Paperboard and Consumer Products segments, the company serves diverse markets including packaging converters and retail distributors across the United States and internationally.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for CLW?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Clearwater Paper Corporation presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's established presence in the paperboard and tissue markets provides a stable revenue base, however, a negative profit margin of -1.6% raises concerns about profitability. The company's low beta of 0.22 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Key growth catalysts include potential expansion in the consumer products segment and operational efficiencies. Investors should monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and manage costs effectively. The company's market capitalization is $318M as of 2026-05-10.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CLW Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $318M indicates the company's current valuation in the market.

  • Negative profit margin of -1.6% signals potential challenges in achieving profitability.
  • Gross margin of 5.1% reflects the company's efficiency in managing production costs.
  • Beta of 0.22 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.
  • The company operates in two segments: Pulp and Paperboard, and Consumer Products, diversifying its revenue streams.

Who Are CLW's Competitors?

CLW is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation $21.18 -0.98% $1.97B 405-pillar
IFSPF Interfor Corporation $10.31 +1.06% $678M 369-signal
MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. $12.30 -0.24% $678M 575-pillar
TKFTF Tarkett S.A. $10.74 0.00% $704M
SLVM Sylvamo Corporation $35.39 +1.03% $1.41B 595-pillar
POELF The Navigator Company, S.A. $3.60 0.00% $2.56B 499-signal
NWGL Nature Wood Group Limited $1.33 +23.15% $38.4M 415-pillar
ICLTF GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. $1.29 -7.86% $29.9M 409-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CLW's Key Strengths?

Established presence in the paperboard and tissue markets.

  • Diversified product portfolio catering to various customer segments.
  • Vertically integrated operations providing cost control.
  • Long-standing relationships with key customers.

What Are CLW's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin indicating profitability challenges.

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Dependence on the North American market.

What Could Drive CLW Stock Higher?

Implementation of cost reduction programs to improve profitability.

  • Expansion of the consumer products segment through new product launches.
  • Potential strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors.
  • Introduction of sustainable and eco-friendly paper products.

What Are the Key Risks for CLW?

Negative return on equity (-7.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as pulp and energy.
  • Increasing competition from other paper manufacturers.
  • Economic downturns affecting demand for paper products.
  • Changes in environmental regulations impacting production costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CLW?

  • Expansion in Consumer Products Segment: Clearwater Paper can expand its market share in the consumer products segment by introducing innovative and sustainable tissue products. The global tissue paper market is projected to reach $90 billion by 2028, presenting a substantial growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Operational Efficiencies: Implementing advanced manufacturing technologies and supply chain optimization can improve operational efficiencies and reduce costs. A 5% reduction in operating costs could significantly improve the company's profit margin. Timeline: 1-2 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Forming strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors can enhance market access and distribution capabilities. Securing exclusive supply agreements with major retail chains could drive revenue growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Product Diversification: Diversifying into specialty paper products, such as packaging for the food and beverage industry, can open new revenue streams. The specialty paper market is growing due to increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions. Timeline: 2-3 years.
  • Geographic Expansion: Expanding into new geographic markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America, can drive long-term growth. These regions have a growing demand for paper and tissue products due to increasing urbanization and disposable incomes. Timeline: 3-5 years.

What Are CLW's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established Manufacturing Capabilities: Clearwater Paper has established manufacturing facilities and expertise in producing paperboard and tissue products.
  • Customer Relationships: The company has long-standing relationships with key customers in the packaging and retail sectors.
  • Product Diversification: Clearwater Paper offers a diversified range of products, catering to different customer needs and market segments.
  • Vertically Integrated Operations: The company's vertically integrated operations provide control over the supply chain and cost structure.

What Does CLW Do?

Clearwater Paper Corporation, incorporated in 2005 and headquartered in Spokane, Washington, operates as a manufacturer and supplier of bleached paperboards, and consumer and parent roll tissues, both domestically and internationally. The company is structured into two primary segments: Pulp and Paperboard, and Consumer Products. The Pulp and Paperboard segment provides a range of products, including folding cartons, liquid packaging, cups and plates, blister and carded packaging products, top sheet and commercial printing items, and softwood pulp products. This segment also offers custom services such as sheeting, slitting, and cutting of paperboard products, catering to packaging converters, folding carton converters, merchants, and commercial printers. The Consumer Products segment focuses on at-home tissue products, including bath tissues, paper towels, facial tissues, and napkins, as well as recycled fiber value grade products and away-from-home tissues. These products are sold to retailers and wholesale distributors, including grocery, club, mass merchants, and discount stores. Clearwater Paper aims to provide quality paper products to a wide array of customers.

What Products and Services Does CLW Offer?

  • Manufactures bleached paperboards for packaging and printing applications.
  • Produces consumer tissue products, including bath tissues, paper towels, and napkins.
  • Offers parent roll tissues for conversion into various tissue products.
  • Provides recycled fiber value grade products for environmentally conscious consumers.
  • Supplies softwood pulp products for paper manufacturing.
  • Offers custom sheeting, slitting, and cutting of paperboard products.

How Does CLW Make Money?

  • Manufactures and sells pulp and paperboard products to packaging converters, merchants, and commercial printers.
  • Produces and distributes consumer tissue products to retailers and wholesale distributors.
  • Generates revenue through product sales and custom service offerings.
  • Focuses on both branded and private-label products to cater to diverse customer needs.

What Industry Does CLW Operate In?

Clearwater Paper Corporation operates within the paper, lumber, and forest products industry, which is influenced by factors such as raw material costs, environmental regulations, and consumer demand for paper and tissue products. The industry is competitive, with companies vying for market share through product innovation, cost efficiency, and customer relationships. Market trends include a growing emphasis on sustainable and recycled products. Clearwater Paper competes with other paper manufacturers and suppliers, including Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (HYMC), focusing on specific niches within the broader market.

Who Are CLW's Key Customers?

  • Packaging converters who use paperboard for creating various packaging solutions.
  • Folding carton converters who specialize in producing folding cartons.
  • Merchants and commercial printers who require paper for printing applications.
  • Retailers, including grocery, club, mass merchants, and discount stores, who sell consumer tissue products.
  • Wholesale distributors who supply tissue products to various end-users.
Model self-rating on this text: 68% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 45 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 57?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.54 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
  • +0.54 Price to book (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.60 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.41 Earnings yield (Valuation)
  • -0.36 5-year net income per share (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 56
2026-08-26 56
2026-08-29 55
2026-09-01 58
2026-09-04 57
2026-09-07 57
2026-09-10 57

What changed?

The grade moved from 56 to 57 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +7 Business Quality
  • +5 Growth Durability
  • +3 Valuation

Held back by:

  • -9 Momentum
  • -4 Financial Safety

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -8.4%.

Company Profile

Clearwater Paper Corporation operates in the Paper, Lumber & Forest Products industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Spokane, US. The company is led by CEO Arsen S. Kitch. CLW has traded publicly since 2008.

ROE -7%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Clearwater Paper Corporation stands at -7.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. A current ratio of 2.60 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

CLW Valuation & Market Position

With a $318M market cap, Clearwater Paper Corporation sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $17.00 to $21.00, with a consensus of $19.33. At the current price of $19.69, that implies roughly 2% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, CLW's quantitative score of 57/100 is above the peer average of 46/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Clearwater Paper Corporation

Revenue for Clearwater Paper Corporation came in at $374.8M during Q2 FY2026, a 4.0% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $21.5M, with diluted EPS of $-1.33. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Basic Materials. Across the four most recent quarters, CLW averaged $-0.76 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Clearwater Paper Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.01 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Clearwater Paper Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 92.7% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Clearwater Paper Corporation insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 75K shares acquired (about $919K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

CLW Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+12.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+83.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+82.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+99.9%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-7.3%
Current Ratio
2.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established presence in the paperboard and tissue markets.
  • Diversified product portfolio catering to various customer segments.
  • Vertically integrated operations providing cost control.
  • Long-standing relationships with key customers.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin indicating profitability challenges.
  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Dependence on the North American market.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $375M -$22M -$1.33
Q1 FY2026 $360M -$13M -$0.80
Q4 FY2025 $386M $38M $2.38
Q3 FY2025 $399M -$53M -$3.30

Q2 FY2026 · filed 28 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CLW Latest News

CLW Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for CLW.

Price Targets

Low
$17.00
Consensus
$19.33
High
$21.00

Median: $20.00 (-1.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

CLW MoonshotScore

57/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. CLW scores 57/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Clearwater Paper Corporation Analysis

Leadership: Arsen S. Kitch

CEO

Arsen S. Kitch serves as the CEO of Clearwater Paper Corporation, bringing extensive experience in the paper and packaging industry. Prior to his role at Clearwater Paper, Kitch held various leadership positions at Boise Cascade, including serving as Senior Vice President. His background includes a strong focus on operations, supply chain management, and strategic planning. Kitch holds a Bachelor's degree in Economics from Boise State University and an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Arsen S. Kitch has focused on improving operational efficiency and driving growth in the consumer products segment. Key initiatives include implementing cost reduction programs and expanding the company's product offerings. Under his leadership, Clearwater Paper has navigated challenging market conditions and maintained its position as a key player in the paper and tissue industry.

CLW Basic Materials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for CLW?

CLW holds an AI Score of 57/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is CLW a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate CLW buy, sell or hold. Clearwater Paper Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 57/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Clearwater Paper Corporation do?

Clearwater Paper Corporation manufactures and supplies bleached paperboards and consumer tissue products. The company operates through two segments: Pulp and Paperboard, which offers products for packaging and printing, and Consumer Products, which provides tissue products to retailers and wholesale distributors.

What are the key factors to evaluate for CLW?

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) holds a MoonshotScore of 57/100 (moderate). Analysts target $19.33 (-2%). The company's low beta of 0.22 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Not financial advice.

How frequently does CLW data refresh on this page?

CLW's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven CLW's recent stock price performance?

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established presence in the paperboard and tissue markets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider CLW overvalued or undervalued right now?

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-10.18x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $19.33 (-2%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of CLW?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track CLW's earnings and financial reports?

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for CLW earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial data may be subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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