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Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) Stock Analysis

$35.54 -$0.54 (-1.50%) |Exceptional · 88
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (72/100) while the AI fundamental score is 88/100 (grade A+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.
MCap: $1.15B| P/E Ratio: 4.6| Vol: 337.8K| Target: $57.25 (+61.1%)| 52-wk range: $29.19 – $50.79
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) trades at $35.54 with AI Score 88/100 (Grade A+). Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing pain management medications. Market cap: $1.15B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing pain management medications. Their portfolio includes abuse-deterrent and extended-release formulations of opioids.

COLL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $57.25 for Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc., suggesting 61.1% upside from the current price of $35.54. The AI MoonshotScore is 88/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the COLL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 72/100 · A

COLL: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 88/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOVikram Karnani
Employees357
HeadquartersStoughton, MA, US
IPO Year2015

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. develops and commercializes pain management medications, including abuse-deterrent opioid formulations, addressing the critical need for safer pain relief options. With a focus on extended-release technology, Collegium aims to provide long-lasting pain relief while mitigating the risk of abuse in the specialty pharmaceutical market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for COLL?

As of May 9, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. presents a compelling investment case centered on its focus on abuse-deterrent opioid formulations and established products. With a market capitalization of $1.15B and a P/E ratio of 4.6, Collegium demonstrates profitability and market valuation. The company's gross margin of 60.7% and profit margin of 9.4% indicate efficient operations and strong pricing power. Growth catalysts include increased adoption of Xtampza ER and Nucynta ER/IR, driven by the ongoing opioid crisis and demand for safer pain management options. Successful execution of marketing strategies and expansion of distribution channels could further boost revenue. However, potential risks include regulatory challenges, competition from generic alternatives, and evolving guidelines on opioid prescribing. The company's beta of 0.77 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

COLL Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $1.15B reflects investor confidence in Collegium's market position and growth potential.
  • P/E ratio of 4.6 indicates a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Gross Margin of 60.7% demonstrates efficient cost management and pricing power.
  • Profit Margin of 9.4% showcases the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
  • Beta of 0.77 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, indicating a relatively stable investment.

Who Are COLL's Competitors?

COLL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited $31.00 -3.22% $36.1B 44
VTRS Viatris Inc. $16.99 -1.74% $19.8B 33
ALVO Alvotech $3.44 -0.43% $1.17B 69
SHPHF Sihuan Pharmaceutical Holdings Group Ltd. $0.12 +0.00% $1.09B 63
CRON Cronos Group Inc. $2.80 +0.36% $1.05B 62
PCRX Pacira BioSciences, Inc. $25.61 +0.04% $1.01B 86
PAHC Phibro Animal Health Corporation $33.05 -0.78% $1.34B 75
CASBF CanSino Biologics Inc. $2.60 +0.00% $908M 63

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are COLL's Key Strengths?

  • Abuse-deterrent technology reduces the risk of opioid misuse.
  • Extended-release formulations provide long-lasting pain relief.
  • Established presence in the pain management market.
  • Experienced management team with a track record of success.

What Are COLL's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on a limited number of products.
  • Exposure to regulatory risks and changing guidelines on opioid prescribing.
  • Competition from generic alternatives.
  • Potential for product liability claims.

What Could Drive COLL Stock Higher?

  • Continued market penetration of Xtampza ER due to its abuse-deterrent properties.
  • Increasing demand for non-opioid pain management options benefiting Nucynta ER/IR sales.
  • Potential regulatory approvals for new formulations or indications.
  • Strategic partnerships to expand product portfolio and market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for COLL?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.70 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny and restrictions on opioid prescribing.
  • Competition from generic alternatives and new pain management therapies.
  • Product liability claims related to opioid medications.
  • Patent expirations and loss of exclusivity for key products.
  • Changes in healthcare reimbursement policies affecting pricing and access.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for COLL?

  • Expansion of Xtampza ER Market Share: Xtampza ER, Collegium's abuse-deterrent oxycodone formulation, has the potential to capture a larger share of the opioid pain management market. As awareness of the risks associated with traditional opioids grows, healthcare providers are increasingly seeking safer alternatives. By focusing on educating physicians and patients about the benefits of Xtampza ER's abuse-deterrent properties, Collegium can drive adoption and increase sales. The opioid pain market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually, providing a significant opportunity for Collegium to expand its market presence. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Adoption of Nucynta ER/IR: Nucynta ER and Nucynta IR, Collegium's tapentadol formulations, offer alternative pain relief options for patients who may not be suitable for traditional opioids. By targeting specific patient populations and highlighting the unique benefits of tapentadol, Collegium can drive increased adoption of Nucynta ER/IR. The non-opioid pain market is growing rapidly, driven by concerns about opioid addiction and side effects. Collegium can capitalize on this trend by positioning Nucynta ER/IR as a safer and more effective alternative. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Collegium can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and geographic reach. By collaborating with other pharmaceutical companies or acquiring complementary assets, Collegium can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on a limited number of products. The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by consolidation, and Collegium can benefit from participating in this trend. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • International Expansion: Collegium can explore opportunities to expand its operations into international markets. By partnering with local distributors or establishing its own sales force, Collegium can bring its pain management medications to patients in other countries. The global pain market is substantial, and Collegium can tap into this market by expanding its geographic footprint. Timeline: 2027-2029.
  • Development of Novel Pain Management Therapies: Collegium can invest in research and development to create novel pain management therapies that address unmet needs in the market. By focusing on innovative approaches to pain relief, Collegium can differentiate itself from competitors and establish a leadership position in the industry. The market for novel pain therapies is growing rapidly, driven by the limitations of existing treatments. Timeline: 2028-2030.

What Opportunities Does COLL Have?

  • Expansion of Xtampza ER market share.
  • Increased adoption of Nucynta ER/IR.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
  • International expansion.

What Threats Does COLL Face?

  • Increased regulatory scrutiny of opioid medications.
  • Competition from new pain management therapies.
  • Patent expirations and generic competition.
  • Evolving guidelines on opioid prescribing.

What Are COLL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary abuse-deterrent technology.
  • Patent protection for key products.
  • Established relationships with healthcare providers.
  • Brand recognition in the pain management market.

What Does COLL Do?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc., established in 2002 and headquartered in Stoughton, Massachusetts, is a specialty pharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing innovative medicines for pain management. The company's core focus lies in creating formulations that address the challenges of opioid abuse while providing effective pain relief. Collegium's journey began with a commitment to improving the lives of patients suffering from chronic pain by offering safer and more manageable treatment options. The company changed its name to Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. in October 2003. Collegium's portfolio includes Xtampza ER, an abuse-deterrent, extended-release, oral formulation of oxycodone, designed to reduce the potential for misuse and abuse. Additionally, the company markets Nucynta ER and Nucynta IR, which are extended-release and immediate-release formulations of tapentadol, offering alternative pain relief options. Xtampza ER is specifically indicated for the management of pain severe enough to require daily, around-the-clock, long-term opioid treatment and for which alternative treatment options are inadequate. Collegium's products are available in the United States, targeting patients with chronic pain conditions who require opioid therapy. Collegium Pharmaceutical operates within the highly regulated pharmaceutical industry, adhering to strict guidelines set by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The company's success is driven by its ability to innovate in formulation technology, navigate the regulatory landscape, and effectively commercialize its products to healthcare providers and patients. Collegium continues to focus on research and development to expand its portfolio and address unmet needs in pain management.

What Products and Services Does COLL Offer?

  • Develop and commercialize pain management medications.
  • Offer abuse-deterrent opioid formulations.
  • Provide extended-release and immediate-release pain relief options.
  • Focus on improving the lives of patients suffering from chronic pain.
  • Market Xtampza ER, an abuse-deterrent, extended-release, oral formulation of oxycodone.
  • Market Nucynta ER and Nucynta IR, extended-release and immediate-release formulations of tapentadol.

How Does COLL Make Money?

  • Develop proprietary formulations of pain medications.
  • Obtain regulatory approvals from the FDA.
  • Manufacture and market their products through a sales force.
  • Generate revenue through sales of prescription medications.

What Industry Does COLL Operate In?

Collegium Pharmaceutical operates within the specialty pharmaceutical industry, which is characterized by high research and development costs, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. The market for pain management medications is substantial, driven by the prevalence of chronic pain conditions and the aging population. However, the opioid crisis has led to increased scrutiny and regulatory efforts to curb opioid abuse. Collegium's focus on abuse-deterrent formulations positions it favorably within this evolving landscape, as healthcare providers and patients seek safer alternatives. The industry is also influenced by patent expirations, generic competition, and the rise of biosimilars, requiring companies to continually innovate and protect their intellectual property.

Who Are COLL's Key Customers?

  • Patients suffering from chronic pain conditions.
  • Healthcare providers who prescribe pain medications.
  • Pharmacies that dispense prescription medications.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. operates in the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Stoughton, US. The company is led by CEO Vikram Karnani. COLL has traded publicly since 2015.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) Valuation Context

Relative to its peer group, COLL's quantitative score of 88/100 is above the peer average of 54/100.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.70 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. revenue of about $872.9M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $7.78. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

COLL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+23.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-9.1%
EPS Growth (FY)
-7.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+61.1%
P/E (TTM)
4.7
Return on Equity (TTM)
+27.4%
Current Ratio
1.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Abuse-deterrent technology reduces the risk of opioid misuse.
  • Extended-release formulations provide long-lasting pain relief.
  • Established presence in the pain management market.
  • Experienced management team with a track record of success.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on a limited number of products.
  • Exposure to regulatory risks and changing guidelines on opioid prescribing.
  • Competition from generic alternatives.
  • Potential for product liability claims.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

COLL Latest News

COLL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for COLL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $57.25

COLL MoonshotScore

88/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates COLL 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Vikram Karnani

Chief Executive Officer

Vikram Karnani serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. His career spans various leadership roles within the pharmaceutical industry, demonstrating expertise in strategic planning, commercial operations, and business development. Prior to joining Collegium, Karnani held key positions at leading pharmaceutical companies, where he oversaw product launches, market expansion initiatives, and strategic partnerships. His educational background includes advanced degrees in business and science, providing a strong foundation for his leadership role at Collegium.

Track Record: Under Vikram Karnani's leadership, Collegium Pharmaceutical has focused on expanding the market reach of Xtampza ER and Nucynta ER/IR. He has overseen strategic initiatives to enhance the company's commercial operations and strengthen its relationships with healthcare providers. Key milestones during his tenure include successful product launches, increased market share, and improved financial performance.

COLL Healthcare Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for COLL?

COLL holds an AI Score of 88/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing pain management medications. Their portfolio includes abuse-deterrent …

What does Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. do?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes pain management medications. The company focuses on creating formulations with abuse-deterrent properties to address the opioid crisis. Its portfolio includes Xtampza ER, an abuse-deterrent, extended-release, oral formulation of oxycodone, and Nucynta ER/IR, extended-release and immediate-release formulations of tapentadol.

What do analysts say about COLL stock?

Analyst coverage of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. typically focuses on the company's growth prospects, driven by its abuse-deterrent opioid formulations and established products. Key valuation metrics include the company's P/E ratio, gross margin, and profit margin. Analysts consider the potential impact of regulatory changes, competition from generic alternatives, and evolving guidelines on opioid prescribing.

What are the main risks for COLL?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. faces several key risks, including increased regulatory scrutiny of opioid medications, competition from generic alternatives and new pain management therapies, and potential product liability claims related to opioid medications. Patent expirations and loss of exclusivity for key products could also negatively impact revenue. Changes in healthcare reimbursement policies could affect pricing and access to the company's medications.

What are the key factors to evaluate for COLL?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) holds an AI score of 88/100 (high). P/E: 4.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $57.25 (+61%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does COLL data refresh on this page?

COLL's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven COLL's recent stock price performance?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Abuse-deterrent technology reduces the risk of opioid misuse. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider COLL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) trades at 4.6x earnings. Analysts target $57.25 (+61%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research COLL before investing?

Before investing in Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-09.
  • Financial metrics are subject to change based on market conditions and company performance.
Data Sources

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