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Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$12.05 -$0.285 (-2.31%) |Exceptional · 98
Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) bottom line: Strongly Bullish — our Council read (81/100) and AI Score (98/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $3.65B| P/E Ratio: 9.72| Vol: 3M| Target: $14.50 (+20.3%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $7.69 – $13.85

P/E 9.72 means the share price is 9.72 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $3.65B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.12: the stock has moved about 112% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) trades at $12.05 with MoonshotScore 98/100 (Grade A+). Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a precious metals mining company focused on silver and gold production in the Americas and West Africa. Market cap: $3.65B, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a precious metals mining company focused on silver and gold production in the Americas and West Africa. The company operates multiple mines and exploration projects across several countries.

FSM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $14.50 for Fortuna Mining Corp., suggesting 20.3% upside from the current price of $12.05. The AI MoonshotScore is 98/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FSM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Strongly Bullish 81/100 · A+

FSM: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 98/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (7/10, Moderate).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOJorge A. Ganoza Durant
Employees4,294
HeadquartersVancouver, BC, CA
IPO Year2007

Fortuna Silver Mines is a precious metals producer focused on silver and gold mining across the Americas and West Africa, operating mines in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Burkina Faso and Côte d'Ivoire. With a diversified portfolio and a focus on operational efficiency, Fortuna aims to deliver sustainable value to shareholders.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FSM?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 9.72 and a profit margin of 31.1%, the company demonstrates strong profitability. Key value drivers include the ramp-up of production at the Séguéla gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire and continued operational efficiencies across its existing mines. Upcoming catalysts include exploration results from its various projects and potential acquisitions. Potential risks include fluctuations in metal prices and geopolitical instability in its operating regions. The company's beta of 2.12 indicates higher volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $3.65B reflects investor confidence in Fortuna's diversified asset base and growth prospects.

  • P/E ratio of 9.72 indicates that the company is trading at a relatively low valuation compared to its earnings.
  • Profit margin of 31.1% demonstrates strong operational efficiency and cost management.
  • Gross margin of 54.6% highlights the company's ability to generate significant profit from its mining operations.
  • Operations across five countries (Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire) provide geographic diversification and reduce reliance on any single region.

Who Are FSM's Competitors?

FSM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited, formerly known as DiamonEx Limited, $53.44 -6.52% $4.02B 355-pillar
AUGO Aura Minerals Inc. $87.32 +1.52% $7.32B 975-pillar
MEOH Methanex Corporation $62.72 +0.72% $4.85B 725-pillar
CGAU Centerra Gold Inc. $22.79 +0.82% $4.46B 975-pillar
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. $23.93 +1.12% $2.99B 425-pillar
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation $19.41 -3.55% $4.01B 925-pillar
TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. $33.78 +2.49% $6.98B 955-pillar
ABBRF AbraSilver Resource Corp. $10.84 -8.91% $1.74B 489-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are FSM's Key Strengths?

Diversified production base across multiple countries.

  • Low-cost operations.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Strong financial position.

What Are FSM's Weaknesses?

Exposure to political risk in certain operating regions.

  • Dependence on metal prices.
  • High beta indicates higher volatility.
  • No dividend yield.

What Could Drive FSM Stock Higher?

Continued ramp-up of production at the Séguéla gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire.

  • Exploration results from the company's various projects.
  • Potential acquisitions to expand the company's asset base.
  • Continued focus on operational efficiencies and cost reductions.
  • Favorable movements in silver and gold prices.

What Are the Key Risks for FSM?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 reported quarters.

  • Fluctuations in silver and gold prices.
  • Geopolitical instability in operating regions.
  • Environmental regulations and permitting challenges.
  • Increased competition from other mining companies.
  • Operational risks associated with mining activities.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FSM?

  • Expansion of the Séguéla Gold Mine: The Séguéla gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire represents a significant growth opportunity for Fortuna. With commercial production already underway as of 2023, increasing output from Séguéla is expected to drive revenue growth and improve profitability. The mine has a projected life of mine of over 10 years, providing long-term growth potential.
  • Exploration and Development of Existing Assets: Fortuna has a portfolio of exploration projects across its operating regions. Continued exploration and development of these assets could lead to new discoveries and increased reserves, extending the life of mine for existing operations and creating new growth opportunities. Focus on near-mine exploration to leverage existing infrastructure.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Fortuna has a history of growth through strategic acquisitions. The company may pursue additional acquisitions to expand its asset base and diversify its production profile. Potential targets could include advanced-stage exploration projects or producing mines in politically stable jurisdictions. This strategy allows for rapid expansion and market share gains.
  • Technological Innovation and Operational Efficiency: Investing in new technologies and improving operational efficiency can reduce costs and increase production. Fortuna can explore opportunities to implement automation, data analytics, and other technologies to optimize its mining operations. This can lead to higher margins and improved competitiveness.
  • Increasing Silver and Gold Prices: Rising prices for silver and gold would directly benefit Fortuna by increasing the revenue generated from its mining operations. Factors such as inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical instability can drive demand for precious metals as safe-haven assets. Fortuna is well-positioned to capitalize on favorable price trends.

What Are FSM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Diversified asset base across multiple countries.
  • Low-cost production profile.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Strong exploration pipeline.

What Does FSM Do?

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc., established in 1990 and headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, is a precious metals mining company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. Originally named Fortuna Ventures Inc., the company rebranded in June 2005 to reflect its focus on silver mining. Fortuna operates mines in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. Its portfolio includes the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine in southern Peru, the San Jose silver and gold mine in southern Mexico, the Lindero gold project in Argentina, the Yaramoko gold mine in southwestern Burkina Faso, and the Séguéla gold mine in southwestern Côte d'Ivoire. These assets provide a diversified production base across the Americas and West Africa. Fortuna is committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable development in the regions where it operates.

What Products and Services Does FSM Offer?

  • Acquires and explores precious and base metal deposits.
  • Operates the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine in Peru.
  • Manages the San Jose silver and gold mine in Mexico.
  • Develops the Lindero gold project in Argentina.
  • Operates the Yaramoko gold mine in Burkina Faso.
  • Operates the Séguéla gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire.

How Does FSM Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of silver, gold, lead, and zinc concentrates.
  • Focuses on operating mines with low production costs.
  • Invests in exploration to expand reserves and resources.
  • Pursues strategic acquisitions to grow its asset base.

What Industry Does FSM Operate In?

Fortuna Silver Mines operates within the precious metals mining industry, which is influenced by global economic conditions, metal prices, and geopolitical factors. The industry is characterized by high capital expenditures, long lead times for project development, and stringent environmental regulations. Key trends include increasing demand for precious metals as safe-haven assets and growing interest in sustainable mining practices. Fortuna competes with other precious metals miners, including Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO), in a fragmented market.

Who Are FSM's Key Customers?

  • Metal traders and refiners.
  • Industrial consumers of precious and base metals.
  • Financial institutions and investors.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 98?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.73 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.30 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
  • -0.15 Revenue growth (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 51
2026-08-26 51
2026-08-29 51
2026-09-01 99
2026-09-04 99
2026-09-07 98
2026-09-10 98

What changed?

The grade moved from 51 to 98 (+47).

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +2.2%.

Company Profile

Fortuna Mining Corp. operates in the Gold industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Vancouver, CA. The company is led by CEO Jorge A. Ganoza Durant. FSM has traded publicly since 2007.

ROE 21%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Fortuna Mining Corp. stands at 20.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 13.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FSM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.72, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 14.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.17 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 13.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

FSM Valuation & Market Position

With a $3.65B market cap, Fortuna Mining Corp. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $14.50 to $14.50, with a consensus of $14.50. At the current price of $12.05, that implies approximately 20% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, FSM's quantitative score of 98/100 is above the peer average of 72/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Fortuna Mining Corp.

Revenue for Fortuna Mining Corp. came in at $318.4M during Q2 FY2026, a 7.0% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $75.5M, with diluted EPS of $0.23. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Basic Materials. Across the four most recent quarters, FSM averaged $0.29 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Fortuna Mining Corp.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.15 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

1/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Fortuna Mining Corp. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 19.2% below estimates on average.

FSM Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-9.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+134.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
+133.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+81.8%
P/E (TTM)
9.72
Return on Equity (TTM)
+20.8%
Current Ratio
3.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
2.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diversified production base across multiple countries.
  • Low-cost operations.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Strong financial position.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to political risk in certain operating regions.
  • Dependence on metal prices.
  • High beta indicates higher volatility.
  • No dividend yield.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $318M $76M $0.23
Q1 FY2026 $342M $111M $0.33
Q4 FY2025 $272M $69M $0.23
Q3 FY2025 $251M $124M $0.37

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSM Latest News

FSM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FSM.

Price Targets

Low
$14.50
Consensus
$14.50
High
$14.50

Median: $14.50 (+20.3% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

FSM MoonshotScore

98/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FSM scores 98/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Jorge A. Ganoza Durant

CEO

Jorge A. Ganoza Durant has served as the President, CEO, and Director of Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. since its inception. His extensive experience in the mining industry spans over 30 years, with a focus on precious metals exploration, development, and operations. He holds a degree in Mining Engineering from the Universidad Nacional de Ingenieria in Peru and has completed advanced management programs at leading business schools. His leadership has been instrumental in guiding Fortuna through various stages of growth and development.

Track Record: Under Jorge A. Ganoza Durant's leadership, Fortuna Silver Mines has grown from a small exploration company to a mid-tier precious metals producer with operations in multiple countries. Key achievements include the successful development and operation of the Caylloma, San Jose, Lindero, Yaramoko and Séguéla mines. He has also overseen strategic acquisitions and exploration programs that have expanded the company's resource base.

FSM Basic Materials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for FSM?

FSM holds an AI Score of 98/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is FSM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate FSM buy, sell or hold. Fortuna Mining Corp. carries a MoonshotScore of 98/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Fortuna Mining Corp. do?

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a precious metals mining company focused on the production of silver and gold. The company operates mines in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. It generates revenue from the sale of silver, gold, lead, and zinc concentrates.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FSM?

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) holds a MoonshotScore of 98/100 (high). P/E: 9.72x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $14.50 (+20%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FSM data refresh on this page?

FSM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FSM's recent stock price performance?

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified production base across multiple countries. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FSM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) trades at 9.72x earnings. Analysts target $14.50 (+20%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of FSM?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track FSM's earnings and financial reports?

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FSM earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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