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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Stock Analysis

$168.66 +$0.19 (+0.11%) |Weak · 37
Bottom line: Split View — our Council read (40/100) and AI Score (37/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Financial Safety strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $2.54B| Vol: 353.5K| Target: $141.33 (-16.2%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) trades at $168.66 with AI Score 37/100 (Grade D). Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing products and services, primarily to the aerospace and defense industries. Market cap: $2.54B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing products and services, primarily to the aerospace and defense industries. The company operates through two segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems.

DCO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $141.33 for Ducommun Incorporated, suggesting 16.2% downside from the current price of $168.66. The AI MoonshotScore is 37/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the DCO film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 40/100 · C

DCO: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 37/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Negative
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOStephen G. Oswald
Employees2,180
HeadquartersSanta Ana, US
IPO Year1973

Ducommun Incorporated delivers engineering and manufacturing solutions for the aerospace and defense sectors, offering electronic and structural systems. With a history dating back to 1849, the company focuses on providing specialized components and assemblies, serving both commercial and military applications, and maintaining a beta of 1.00.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for DCO?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Ducommun Incorporated presents a compelling investment case based on its established position in the aerospace and defense industries. The company's two-segment structure allows for diversified revenue streams, mitigating risk. Key value drivers include continued demand for aerospace components and systems, driven by both commercial and military sectors. While the company currently has a negative profit margin of -4.1%, strategic initiatives aimed at improving operational efficiency and cost management could lead to enhanced profitability. The company's beta of 1.00 suggests market correlation. Investors should monitor gross margin, currently at 26.9%, as an indicator of pricing power and cost control effectiveness.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

DCO Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $2.54B, reflecting investor confidence in the company's market position.
  • Gross margin of 26.9%, indicating the profitability of Ducommun's products and services before operating expenses.
  • Employs 2,180 individuals, showcasing the scale of its operations and manufacturing capabilities.
  • Beta of 1.00, suggesting the stock's volatility is in line with the overall market.
  • Operates through two segments, Electronic Systems and Structural Systems, providing diversified revenue streams.

Who Are DCO's Competitors?

DCO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
ATRO Astronics Corporation $67.26 +1.85% $2.59B 65
VVX V2X, Inc. $76.15 +0.71% $2.38B 64
MIESF Mitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. $35.31 +0.00% $3.56B 52
CZGZF Colt CZ Group SE $46.96 +0.00% $1.63B 58
MDALF MDA Ltd. $33.66 +5.58% $4.26B 65
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. $21.16 +2.32% $5.16B 57
CDRE Cadre Holdings, Inc. $29.17 +0.38% $1.25B 55
AIR AAR Corp. $136.65 +0.97% $5.43B 55

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are DCO's Key Strengths?

  • Established presence in the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Strong engineering and manufacturing capabilities.
  • Long-standing customer relationships.

What Are DCO's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin.
  • Dependence on the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Exposure to cyclical industry trends.
  • Potential for cost overruns on complex projects.

What Could Drive DCO Stock Higher?

  • Increased demand for air travel driving commercial aerospace growth.
  • Rising geopolitical tensions leading to increased defense spending.
  • Potential new contracts with space program agencies.
  • Strategic initiatives to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs.

What Are the Key Risks for DCO?

  • Negative return on equity (-4.9%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Economic downturns affecting the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Increased competition from other manufacturers.
  • Technological obsolescence.
  • Geopolitical instability impacting defense spending.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for DCO?

  • Expansion in the Commercial Aerospace Sector: The increasing demand for air travel and the subsequent need for new aircraft and maintenance services present a significant growth opportunity for Ducommun. By leveraging its expertise in structural and electronic systems, Ducommun can secure contracts with aircraft manufacturers and airlines, driving revenue growth. The commercial aerospace market is projected to grow, offering a substantial addressable market for Ducommun.
  • Increased Government Defense Spending: Rising geopolitical tensions and increased defense budgets in various countries create opportunities for Ducommun to expand its presence in the defense sector. The company's expertise in manufacturing components for military aircraft and defense systems positions it well to capitalize on this trend. Securing contracts with defense agencies and prime contractors can lead to significant revenue growth.
  • Penetration of the Space Program Market: With renewed interest in space exploration and the growth of the commercial space industry, Ducommun can leverage its engineering and manufacturing capabilities to provide components and systems for spacecraft and related infrastructure. This market offers high growth potential as space programs expand and new technologies are developed. The space program market represents a long-term growth opportunity for Ducommun.
  • Diversification into Medical and Industrial Markets: While aerospace and defense are core markets, Ducommun can diversify its revenue streams by expanding into the medical and industrial sectors. Leveraging its expertise in manufacturing high-precision components and systems, Ducommun can target opportunities in medical devices, industrial equipment, and other related fields. Diversification can reduce reliance on the aerospace and defense industries and provide more stable revenue streams.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Ducommun can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its capabilities, market reach, and customer base. Acquiring companies with complementary technologies or market access can accelerate growth and enhance Ducommun's competitive position. Forming partnerships with other industry players can also provide access to new markets and technologies.

What Opportunities Does DCO Have?

  • Expansion in the commercial aerospace sector.
  • Increased government defense spending.
  • Penetration of the space program market.
  • Diversification into medical and industrial markets.

What Threats Does DCO Face?

  • Economic downturns affecting the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Increased competition from other manufacturers.
  • Technological obsolescence.
  • Geopolitical instability.

What Are DCO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized Engineering Expertise: Ducommun possesses specialized engineering expertise in designing and manufacturing complex electronic and structural systems for aerospace and defense applications.
  • Long-Standing Customer Relationships: The company has established long-standing relationships with key customers in the aerospace and defense industries, providing a stable revenue base.
  • High Barriers to Entry: The aerospace and defense industries have high barriers to entry due to stringent regulatory requirements, long development cycles, and the need for specialized expertise.
  • Reputation for Quality and Reliability: Ducommun has a reputation for providing high-quality and reliable products and services, which is critical in the aerospace and defense industries.

What Does DCO Do?

Founded in 1849 and headquartered in Santa Ana, California, Ducommun Incorporated has evolved from its origins into a key provider of engineering and manufacturing solutions. The company operates through two primary segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The Electronic Systems segment focuses on cable assemblies, interconnect systems, printed circuit board assemblies, and higher-level electronic, electromechanical, and mechanical components. This segment also offers engineering expertise for aerospace system design, development, integration, and testing. The Structural Systems segment designs, engineers, and manufactures contoured aluminum, titanium, and Inconel aero structure components, structural assembly products, and metal and composite bonded structures. Ducommun serves a diverse range of markets, including commercial aircraft, military fixed-wing and rotary-wing aircraft, space programs, and industrial and medical sectors. With 2,180 employees, Ducommun continues to adapt to the evolving needs of its core industries.

What Products and Services Does DCO Offer?

  • Designs and manufactures electronic systems for aerospace and defense applications.
  • Produces structural components for aircraft, including winglets and fuselage panels.
  • Provides cable assemblies and interconnect systems.
  • Offers printed circuit board assemblies.
  • Supplies illuminated pushbutton switches and panels for aviation.
  • Delivers microwave and millimeter switches and filters for radio frequency systems.
  • Provides engineering expertise for aerospace system design and testing.

How Does DCO Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through the sale of electronic systems and structural components.
  • Secures contracts with aerospace and defense companies for manufacturing and engineering services.
  • Provides aftermarket support and maintenance services for its products.
  • Focuses on long-term relationships with key customers in the aerospace and defense industries.

What Industry Does DCO Operate In?

Ducommun Incorporated operates within the aerospace and defense industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry, stringent regulatory requirements, and long-term contracts. The industry is influenced by factors such as government defense spending, commercial aircraft production rates, and technological advancements. Ducommun's position as a provider of both electronic and structural systems allows it to capitalize on various segments within this market. The competitive landscape includes larger aerospace and defense contractors as well as specialized component manufacturers. The company's ability to secure and maintain long-term contracts is crucial for sustained growth.

Who Are DCO's Key Customers?

  • Commercial aircraft manufacturers.
  • Military aircraft manufacturers.
  • Defense contractors.
  • Space program agencies and companies.
  • Industrial and medical equipment manufacturers.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 10, 2026

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Valuation Context

Valued at $2.54B, DCO is classified as a mid-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, DCO's quantitative score of 37/100 is below the peer average of 61/100.

ROE -5%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Ducommun Incorporated stands at -4.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -1.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.67 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -1.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Ducommun Incorporated's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.52 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Ducommun Incorporated revenue of about $884.9M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $4.16. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

DCO Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+4.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-218.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
-217.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-342.6%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-4.9%
Current Ratio
3.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Insider buying activity has increased, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
  • Recent contract wins in aerospace and defense sectors have bolstered positive sentiment among investors.
  • Social media discussions have shifted towards optimism, highlighting Ducommun's innovative solutions and growth potential.
  • Analysts have noted the company's strong backlog, suggesting sustained revenue growth in the upcoming quarters.

Bear Case

  • Concerns over supply chain disruptions have raised questions about Ducommun's ability to meet demand efficiently.
  • Recent earnings calls revealed challenges in cost management, which could impact margins moving forward.
  • Community sentiment has seen some bearish comments, particularly regarding the competitive landscape in the aerospace sector.
  • Market perception has been clouded by broader economic uncertainties, leading to cautious investor sentiment.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

DCO Latest News

DCO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for DCO.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $141.33

DCO MoonshotScore

37/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates DCO 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Stephen G. Oswald

CEO

Stephen G. Oswald serves as the CEO of Ducommun Incorporated, managing a workforce of 2,180 employees. His background includes extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industries. Prior to joining Ducommun, Oswald held leadership positions at various companies within the sector, focusing on strategic growth and operational efficiency. He brings a wealth of knowledge in engineering, manufacturing, and business development to his role at Ducommun.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Stephen G. Oswald has focused on driving operational improvements and expanding Ducommun's market presence. Key initiatives have included streamlining manufacturing processes, enhancing customer relationships, and pursuing strategic growth opportunities. Under his leadership, the company has aimed to improve profitability and strengthen its position in the aerospace and defense industries.

DCO Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for DCO?

DCO holds an AI Score of 37/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing products and services, primarily to the aerospace and defense industries. The company operates through two segments: Electronic Systems …

What does Ducommun Incorporated do?

Ducommun Incorporated is a provider of engineering and manufacturing products and services, primarily serving the aerospace and defense industries. The company operates through two segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The Electronic Systems segment focuses on cable assemblies, interconnect systems, and printed circuit board assemblies. The Structural Systems segment designs and manufactures contoured aluminum, titanium, and Inconel aero structure components.

What do analysts say about DCO stock?

Analyst coverage of Ducommun Incorporated focuses on its position in the aerospace and defense industries, growth prospects, and financial performance. Key valuation metrics include market capitalization, gross margin, and profit margin. Analysts monitor the company's ability to secure contracts, manage costs, and capitalize on industry trends.

What are the main risks for DCO?

Ducommun Incorporated faces several risks, including economic downturns affecting the aerospace and defense industries, increased competition from other manufacturers, technological obsolescence, and geopolitical instability. A significant portion of the company's revenue is derived from these sectors, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in demand and government spending. Competition from other manufacturers could put pressure on pricing and margins.

How does Ducommun Incorporated compare to competitors in its industry?

Ducommun Incorporated competes with various companies in the aerospace and defense industries, ranging from large prime contractors to specialized component manufacturers. Key differentiators include its diversified product and service offerings, long-standing customer relationships, and engineering expertise. While some competitors may have greater scale or broader market reach, Ducommun focuses on providing specialized solutions and maintaining strong customer relationships.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for DCO?

Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Ducommun Incorporated, including revenue growth, gross margin, profit margin, and earnings per share (EPS). Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market presence and secure new contracts. Gross margin reflects the profitability of its products and services before operating expenses. Profit margin measures overall profitability after all expenses.

What are the key factors to evaluate for DCO?

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) holds an AI score of 37/100 (low). Analysts target $141.33 (-16%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does DCO data refresh on this page?

DCO's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven DCO's recent stock price performance?

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established presence in the aerospace and defense industries. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual research and risk assessment.
Data Sources

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