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Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$127.16 -$4.62 (-3.51%) |Strong · 69
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (65/100) and AI Score (69/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality strong · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $9.75B| P/E Ratio: 21.81| Vol: 889K| Target: $188.56 (+48.3%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $128.03 – $179.31

P/E 21.81 means the share price is 21.81 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $9.75B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.38: the stock has moved about 38% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) trades at $127.16 with MoonshotScore 69/100 (Grade B+). Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (ADS) is a leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipes and water management solutions. Market cap: $9.75B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (ADS) is a leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipes and water management solutions. The company serves the underground construction and infrastructure markets across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.

WMS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $188.56 for Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc., suggesting 48.3% upside from the current price of $127.16. The AI MoonshotScore is 69/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the WMS film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 65/100 · B+

WMS: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 69/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Industrial Operations Profile

CEODonald Scott Barbour
Employees6,425
HeadquartersHilliard, OH, US
IPO Year2014
IndustryConstruction

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) provides water management solutions, specializing in thermoplastic pipes and related products for construction and infrastructure. With a broad geographic reach across North America and a focus on diverse applications, ADS caters to residential, non-residential, agricultural, and infrastructure sectors, maintaining a strong market presence.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for WMS?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 21.81 and a profit margin of 15.7%, the company demonstrates solid profitability. The dividend yield of 0.50% provides a modest income stream for investors. Key growth catalysts include increasing infrastructure spending and the rising demand for sustainable water management solutions. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as fluctuations in raw material costs and economic downturns affecting construction activity. The company's beta of 1.38 indicates higher volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

WMS Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $9.75B reflects strong investor confidence in ADS's market position.

  • Gross margin of 38.2% indicates efficient cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Profit margin of 15.7% demonstrates robust profitability in the industrials sector.
  • Dividend yield of 0.50% provides a steady income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 1.38 suggests higher volatility compared to the overall market, potentially offering higher returns but also increased risk.

Who Are WMS's Competitors?

WMS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. $321.41 +0.15% $17.0B 665-pillar
MAS Masco Corporation $67.64 -2.51% $13.3B 815-pillar
BLD TopBuild Corp. $354.53 -1.45% $9.94B
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. $203.07 -0.73% $10.5B 715-pillar
SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. $89.82 +0.66% $13.6B 655-pillar
OC Owens Corning $127.49 -0.92% $10.3B 475-pillar
AZEK The AZEK Company Inc. $54.35 -0.93% $7.82B
BECN Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. $124.17 -0.08% $7.72B

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are WMS's Key Strengths?

Strong market position in the water management industry.

  • Diversified product portfolio serving multiple sectors.
  • Extensive distribution network across North America.
  • Commitment to innovation and sustainable solutions.

What Are WMS's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices.

  • Dependence on construction activity and infrastructure spending.
  • Limited presence in emerging markets compared to some competitors.
  • Higher beta indicates increased market volatility.

What Could Drive WMS Stock Higher?

Government infrastructure spending initiatives are expected to drive demand for ADS's products.

  • Increasing adoption of sustainable water management practices will favor ADS's eco-friendly solutions.
  • Potential acquisitions of complementary businesses could expand ADS's market reach and product offerings.
  • Product innovation and the introduction of new drainage solutions will enhance ADS's competitive advantage.

What Are the Key Risks for WMS?

Fluctuations in raw material prices, such as polyethylene and polypropylene, could impact ADS's profitability.

  • Economic downturns and reduced construction activity could negatively affect demand for ADS's products.
  • Changes in environmental regulations and building codes could require costly adjustments to ADS's product offerings.
  • Intense competition from established players and new entrants could erode ADS's market share.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for WMS?

  • Expansion in Infrastructure Projects: Increasing government investments in infrastructure projects, particularly in the United States and Canada, present a significant growth opportunity for ADS. The market for drainage solutions in infrastructure is projected to reach $15 billion by 2028. ADS can leverage its established presence and product portfolio to secure contracts for large-scale infrastructure developments, driving revenue growth and market share.
  • Adoption of Sustainable Water Management Solutions: Growing environmental concerns and regulations are driving the adoption of sustainable water management solutions. ADS can capitalize on this trend by promoting its eco-friendly products, such as recycled plastic pipes and stormwater management systems. The market for sustainable drainage solutions is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8% over the next five years, offering substantial growth potential for ADS.
  • Geographic Expansion in Emerging Markets: Expanding its presence in emerging markets, particularly in Latin America and Asia, represents another growth opportunity for ADS. These regions are experiencing rapid urbanization and infrastructure development, creating a demand for advanced drainage solutions. By establishing strategic partnerships and distribution networks, ADS can tap into these high-growth markets and diversify its revenue streams.
  • Product Innovation and Diversification: Investing in research and development to introduce innovative products and diversify its product portfolio can drive long-term growth for ADS. Developing new solutions for stormwater management, wastewater treatment, and erosion control can address evolving customer needs and expand the company's market reach. Continuous innovation will help ADS maintain its competitive advantage and capture new market segments.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Pursuing strategic acquisitions and partnerships can accelerate ADS's growth and expand its capabilities. Acquiring companies with complementary technologies or market access can enhance ADS's product offerings and geographic footprint. Forming partnerships with engineering firms and construction companies can facilitate the integration of ADS's solutions into large-scale projects, driving sales and market penetration.

What Are WMS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established Market Position: ADS has a strong market position in the thermoplastic pipe and water management solutions industry.
  • Product Diversification: The company offers a wide range of products for various applications, reducing its dependence on any single market segment.
  • Distribution Network: ADS has an extensive network of distribution centers, providing efficient access to customers across North America.
  • Innovation and Technology: Continuous investment in research and development enables ADS to introduce innovative products and maintain a competitive edge.

What Does WMS Do?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc., founded in 1966 and headquartered in Hilliard, Ohio, is a prominent player in the water management and drainage solutions industry. The company designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related products used in underground construction and infrastructure. ADS operates through four segments: Pipe, International, Infiltrator, and Allied Products & Other. Its product portfolio includes single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes, plastic leachfield chambers and systems, EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles, mechanical aeration wastewater solutions, septic tanks and accessories, and combined treatment and dispersal systems. ADS also offers allied products such as storm retention/detention and septic chambers, polyvinyl chloride drainage structures, fittings, and water quality filters and separators. The company further purchases and distributes construction fabrics and other geosynthetic products for soil stabilization, reinforcement, filtration, separation, erosion control, and sub-surface drainage, along with drainage grates and related items. With a network of approximately 38 distribution centers, ADS serves diverse applications across non-residential, residential, agriculture, and infrastructure sectors in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company's commitment to innovation and comprehensive product offerings solidifies its position in the water management market.

What Products and Services Does WMS Offer?

  • Designs and manufactures thermoplastic corrugated pipes.
  • Offers water management products for underground construction.
  • Provides drainage solutions for infrastructure projects.
  • Produces single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes.
  • Develops plastic leachfield chambers and systems.
  • Offers EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles.
  • Distributes construction fabrics and geosynthetic products.
  • Provides storm retention/detention and septic chambers.

How Does WMS Make Money?

  • Manufactures and sells thermoplastic pipes and related water management products.
  • Distributes products through a network of distribution centers.
  • Offers solutions for residential, non-residential, agriculture, and infrastructure applications.
  • Generates revenue through product sales and distribution services.

What Industry Does WMS Operate In?

Advanced Drainage Systems operates within the construction industry, which is influenced by infrastructure spending, residential and non-residential construction activity, and environmental regulations. The market for water management solutions is growing due to increasing urbanization, aging infrastructure, and the need for sustainable drainage systems. ADS competes with companies like Clean Harbors, Inc. (CLH), Masco Corporation (MAS), and TopBuild Corp. (BLD), focusing on innovation and product diversification to maintain its competitive edge. The industry is also affected by fluctuations in raw material prices and economic cycles.

Who Are WMS's Key Customers?

  • Construction companies involved in infrastructure projects.
  • Residential and commercial developers.
  • Agricultural businesses requiring drainage solutions.
  • Government agencies responsible for infrastructure maintenance and development.
  • Distributors and retailers of construction materials.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 69?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.29 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.28 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.22 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.22 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.13 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.09 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 72
2026-08-26 73
2026-08-29 73
2026-09-01 69
2026-09-04 69
2026-09-07 70
2026-09-10 70

What changed?

The grade moved from 72 to 70 (-2).

What moved it up or down:

  • -7 Valuation
  • -3 Momentum
  • -1 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -12.0%.

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Valuation Context

Valued at $9.75B, WMS is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $175.00 to $207.00, with a consensus of $188.56. At the current price of $127.16, that implies approximately 48% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, WMS's quantitative score of 69/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 66/100.

WMS Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q1 FY2027, WMS generated $1.00B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 47.9%. The company recorded net income of $168.5M, with diluted EPS of $2.19. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, WMS averaged $1.45 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. operates in the Construction Materials industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Hilliard, US. The company is led by CEO Donald Scott Barbour. WMS has traded publicly since 2014.

ROE 23%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. stands at 23.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. WMS trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21.81, below the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.12 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.29 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 7.3% above estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. insiders filed 64 SEC Form 4 transactions — 30 sales and 34 purchases. On net that is roughly 127K shares acquired (about $4.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

WMS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+5.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-5.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-5.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+54.5%
P/E (TTM)
21.81
Return on Equity (TTM)
+23.4%
Current Ratio
2.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
12.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong market position in the water management industry.
  • Diversified product portfolio serving multiple sectors.
  • Extensive distribution network across North America.
  • Commitment to innovation and sustainable solutions.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices.
  • Dependence on construction activity and infrastructure spending.
  • Limited presence in emerging markets compared to some competitors.
  • Higher beta indicates increased market volatility.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 FY2027 $1.00B $169M $2.19
Q4 FY2026 $677M $33M $0.42
Q3 FY2026 $693M $94M $1.20
Q2 FY2026 $850M $156M $1.99

Q1 FY2027 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

WMS Latest News

WMS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for WMS.

Price Targets

Low
$175.00
Consensus
$188.56
High
$207.00

Median: $190.00 (+48.3% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

WMS MoonshotScore

69/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. WMS scores 69/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Donald Scott Barbour

CEO

Donald Scott Barbour serves as the CEO of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. His career spans several decades in the construction and infrastructure industries. Prior to joining ADS, Barbour held leadership positions at various companies focused on building materials and engineering solutions. He brings extensive experience in strategic planning, operational management, and market development. His educational background includes a degree in Engineering and an MBA from a leading business school, providing him with a strong foundation in both technical and business aspects of the industry.

Track Record: Under Donald Scott Barbour's leadership, Advanced Drainage Systems has focused on expanding its product portfolio and strengthening its market position. Key achievements include the successful integration of strategic acquisitions and the implementation of sustainable manufacturing practices. Barbour has also overseen the expansion of ADS's distribution network and the introduction of innovative water management solutions, contributing to the company's growth and profitability.

What Investors Ask About Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) — Industrials

What does the AI Score mean for WMS?

WMS holds an AI Score of 69/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (ADS) is a leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipes and water management solutions.

Is WMS a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate WMS buy, sell or hold. Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 69/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about WMS stock?

Analyst consensus on Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock reflects a generally positive outlook, driven by the company's strong market position and growth prospects. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and profit margin, are closely monitored.

What are the key factors to evaluate for WMS?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) holds a MoonshotScore of 69/100 (moderate). P/E: 21.81x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $188.56 (+48%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does WMS data refresh on this page?

WMS's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven WMS's recent stock price performance?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong market position in the water management industry. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider WMS overvalued or undervalued right now?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) trades at 21.81x earnings. Analysts target $188.56 (+48%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of WMS?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track WMS's earnings and financial reports?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for WMS earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on available data and market analysis as of 2026-05-10.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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