Watsco, Inc. (WSO) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) Industrial Operations Profile

Watsco, Inc. distributes air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, holding a leading market position in North America. With a wide network of locations and a focus on serving contractors, Watsco benefits from both replacement and new construction markets, demonstrating consistent growth and a solid dividend yield.

What Is the Investment Thesis for WSO?

The company's consistent performance is supported by a robust replacement market and growth in new construction. With a market capitalization of $12.8B and a P/E ratio of 26.85, Watsco demonstrates financial stability. The company's dividend yield of 2.85% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include expansion into new geographic markets and strategic acquisitions. Potential risks include economic downturns affecting construction and replacement demand and increasing competition from online retailers.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

WSO Key Highlights

Market Cap of $12.8B reflects Watsco's strong position in the HVAC/R distribution market.

• P/E ratio of 26.85 indicates investor confidence in Watsco's earnings potential.
• Gross Margin of 28.4% demonstrates Watsco's ability to maintain profitability in a competitive market.
• Dividend Yield of 2.85% provides a steady income stream for investors.
• Watsco operates from 671 locations across North America and the Caribbean, showcasing its extensive distribution network.

Who Are WSO's Competitors?

WSO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are WSO's Key Strengths?

Largest distributor of HVAC/R equipment and supplies in North America.

• Extensive distribution network with 671 locations.
• Strong relationships with leading manufacturers.
• Recurring revenue stream from the replacement market.

What Are WSO's Weaknesses?

Exposure to cyclical construction and housing markets.

• Dependence on a limited number of key suppliers.
• Potential for margin pressure from online retailers.
• Geographic concentration in North America.

What Could Drive WSO Stock Higher?

Potential acquisitions of regional distributors to expand market presence.

• Continued growth in the replacement market for HVAC/R systems.
• Increasing demand for energy-efficient HVAC/R equipment.
• Expansion of digital platform to improve customer service and streamline operations.

What Are the Key Risks for WSO?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.

• Economic downturns affecting construction and replacement demand.
• Increasing competition from online retailers.
• Rising interest rates impacting construction activity.
• Changes in government regulations related to energy efficiency.
• Fluctuations in raw material prices affecting product costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for WSO?

• Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Watsco has the opportunity to expand its presence in underserved markets within North America and Latin America. By establishing new distribution centers and acquiring regional distributors, Watsco can increase its market share and revenue. The Latin American HVAC market is projected to grow at a rate of 5-7% annually, presenting a significant opportunity for Watsco to capitalize on this demand. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Strategic Acquisitions: Watsco can continue to pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller distributors to consolidate its market position and expand its product offerings. Acquisitions can provide access to new customer segments and geographic regions, as well as enhance Watsco's supply chain capabilities. The fragmented nature of the HVAC/R distribution market provides ample opportunities for acquisitions. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Increased Focus on Energy-Efficient Products: With growing demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems, Watsco can focus on expanding its offerings of high-efficiency equipment and components. This includes promoting products that meet or exceed energy efficiency standards, such as those set by the EPA. The market for energy-efficient HVAC systems is expected to grow at a rate of 8-10% annually. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Enhancement of Digital Capabilities: Watsco can further invest in its digital platform to improve customer service and streamline operations. This includes enhancing its online ordering system, providing real-time inventory information, and offering online training and support for contractors. A robust digital platform can improve customer loyalty and drive sales growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Leveraging Data Analytics: Watsco can leverage data analytics to optimize its inventory management, pricing strategies, and marketing efforts. By analyzing sales data and customer behavior, Watsco can identify trends and opportunities to improve its profitability and market share. Data-driven insights can help Watsco make more informed decisions and allocate resources more effectively. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are WSO's Competitive Advantages?

• Extensive Distribution Network: Watsco's large network of locations provides a competitive advantage in terms of reach and customer service.
• Strong Supplier Relationships: The company has established long-standing relationships with leading HVAC/R equipment manufacturers.
• Broad Product Offering: Watsco offers a comprehensive range of products, making it a one-stop shop for contractors and dealers.
• Value-Added Services: The company provides technical support, training, and other services that enhance customer loyalty.

What Does WSO Do?

Watsco, Inc., founded in 1945 and headquartered in Miami, Florida, has evolved into the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) equipment and related parts and supplies in North America. The company's extensive product range includes residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, gas, electric, and oil furnaces, commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems, and specialized equipment. In addition to equipment, Watsco offers a comprehensive selection of parts, such as replacement compressors and evaporator coils, and supplies like thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductwork, and tools. Watsco serves a diverse customer base of contractors and dealers involved in the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial HVAC/R systems. As of December 31, 2021, Watsco operated from 671 locations across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Puerto Rico, and exports its products to Latin America and the Caribbean Basin. The company's strategic focus on distribution and customer service has solidified its position as a key player in the HVAC/R industry.

What Products and Services Does WSO Offer?

• Distributes air conditioning equipment for residential and commercial use.
• Distributes heating equipment, including furnaces and heat pumps.
• Distributes refrigeration equipment for various applications.
• Provides replacement parts for HVAC/R systems.
• Offers a wide range of supplies, including refrigerants, ductwork, and tools.
• Serves contractors and dealers in the replacement and new construction markets.
• Operates through a network of distribution locations across North America.

How Does WSO Make Money?

• Watsco generates revenue by selling HVAC/R equipment, parts, and supplies to contractors and dealers.
• The company operates a distribution network, purchasing products from manufacturers and selling them to customers.
• Watsco focuses on providing value-added services, such as technical support and training, to its customers.
• The company benefits from the recurring revenue stream generated by the replacement market.

What Industry Does WSO Operate In?

Watsco operates within the HVAC/R distribution industry, which is influenced by factors such as construction activity, climate change, and energy efficiency standards. The market is characterized by a mix of large distributors and smaller regional players. Watsco's extensive network and product range give it a competitive edge. The industry is expected to see continued growth driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems and the need for replacement of aging equipment. Competitors include Textron Inc. (TXT), IDEX Corporation (IEX), ITT Inc. (ITT), Nordson Corporation (NDSN), and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL).

Who Are WSO's Key Customers?

• HVAC contractors who install and service HVAC/R systems.
• Dealers who sell HVAC/R equipment and supplies to contractors.
• Residential customers who purchase HVAC/R systems through contractors.
• Commercial customers who require HVAC/R systems for their buildings.

Watsco, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) reported $2.10B in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 37.3% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $163.3M, with diluted EPS of $4.29. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, WSO averaged $3.13 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Watsco, Inc. operates in the Industrial - Distribution industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Miami, US. The company is led by CEO Albert H. Nahmad. WSO has traded publicly since 1984.

How Watsco, Inc. Is Valued

Watsco, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $12.8B, placing it in the large-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $330.00 to $485.00, with a consensus of $405.00. At the current price of $310.90, that implies approximately 30% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, WSO's quantitative score of 65/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 72/100.

Return on equity for Watsco, Inc. stands at 16.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. WSO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 26.85, roughly in line with the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.20 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Watsco, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 7.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Watsco, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 5.5% below estimates on average.

The most recent 5 insider filings for Watsco, Inc. break down as 0 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 14K shares acquired (about $32K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

WSO Financials

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Latest Watsco, Inc. Analysis

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Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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