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Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$6.00 +$0.065 (+1.10%) |Weak · 33
Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (38/100) while the AI fundamental score is 33/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Momentum · Biggest watch-out: Business Quality.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
Vol: 17K| Target: $8.50 (+41.8%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $1.31 – $10.75
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Jun 1, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) trades at $6.00 with MoonshotScore 33/100 (Grade D). Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for addiction and related disorders. Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 1, 2026
Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for addiction and related disorders. Their lead product, AD04, is currently in Phase III clinical trials for alcohol use disorder.

ADIL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $8.50 for Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc., suggesting 41.8% upside from the current price of $6.00. The AI MoonshotScore is 33/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ADIL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 38/100 · D

ADIL: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 33/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Business Quality (2/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOCary John Claiborne
Employees5
HeadquartersCharlottesville, US
IPO Year2018

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in therapeutics for addiction, primarily alcohol use disorder, with its lead product AD04 undergoing Phase III trials, positioning it within the competitive biotechnology sector focused on innovative addiction treatments.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Jun 1, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ADIL?

AI-written as of Jun 1, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Adial Pharmaceuticals' investment thesis centers on the successful development and commercialization of AD04 for alcohol use disorder. The ongoing Phase III clinical trial results will be a critical value driver. Positive outcomes could lead to regulatory approval and subsequent market entry, potentially capturing a significant share of the AUD treatment market. The company's focus on non-opioid pain reduction also presents a growth opportunity, although it is in earlier stages of development. Key risks include clinical trial failures, regulatory hurdles, and the need for additional funding to support ongoing research and development activities. The company's small size and limited resources also pose challenges in a competitive biotechnology landscape.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ADIL Key Highlights

AI-written as of Jun 1, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

AD04 is currently in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of alcohol use disorder (AUD).

  • Adial Pharmaceuticals is also developing drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction.
  • The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Charlottesville, Virginia.
  • Adial Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalization of $0.00B.
  • The company employs 5 individuals.

Who Are ADIL's Competitors?

ADIL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
NVO Novo Nordisk A/S $44.01 -1.23% $195B 925-pillar
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated $514.90 +0.07% $131B 965-pillar
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $793.26 -1.78% $81.7B 945-pillar
ARGX argenx SE $984.04 -1.82% $61.2B 975-pillar
UCBJY UCB S.A. $117.06 -1.42% $44.6B 679-signal
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $247.51 -4.07% $33.1B 895-pillar
RPRX Royalty Pharma plc $58.75 -3.04% $26.0B 725-pillar
INCY Incyte Corporation $121.47 -1.47% $24.6B 985-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ADIL's Key Strengths?

Lead product (AD04) in Phase III clinical trials.

  • Focus on a significant unmet medical need (AUD).
  • Potential for non-opioid pain reduction therapies.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are ADIL's Weaknesses?

Limited financial resources.

  • Small number of employees.
  • Reliance on the success of AD04.
  • High risk associated with clinical-stage drug development.

What Could Drive ADIL Stock Higher?

Announcement of Phase III clinical trial results for AD04.

  • Potential regulatory submission for AD04 approval.
  • Development of drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction.

What Are the Key Risks for ADIL?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -12.39 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Failure of Phase III clinical trials for AD04.
  • Regulatory rejection of AD04.
  • Competition from other companies developing AUD treatments.
  • Need for additional funding to support research and development.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ADIL?

  • Successful completion of Phase III clinical trials for AD04 represents a significant growth opportunity. Positive trial results would pave the way for regulatory approval and commercialization, potentially capturing a substantial share of the alcohol use disorder (AUD) treatment market. The global market for AUD treatments is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, offering significant revenue potential for Adial Pharmaceuticals. The timeline for this growth opportunity is dependent on the successful completion of the trials and subsequent regulatory review, with potential market entry within the next 2-3 years.
  • Development of drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction presents another growth avenue for Adial Pharmaceuticals. The opioid crisis has created a significant need for alternative pain management solutions, and Adial's research in this area could lead to the development of novel therapies with a large market potential. The market for non-opioid pain relievers is projected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by increasing awareness of the risks associated with opioid use. The timeline for this growth opportunity is longer-term, as these drug candidates are in earlier stages of development.
  • Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies could accelerate the development and commercialization of Adial's drug candidates. Collaborations with established players in the pharmaceutical industry could provide access to funding, expertise, and distribution networks, enhancing Adial's ability to bring its therapies to market. The potential for partnerships exists across both the addiction treatment and pain management areas, offering multiple avenues for growth. The timeline for this opportunity is dependent on Adial's ability to attract and secure strategic alliances.
  • Expansion into new geographic markets represents a potential growth opportunity for Adial Pharmaceuticals. Initially focusing on the US market, the company could explore opportunities to expand into Europe and other regions with a high prevalence of alcohol use disorder. The global market for AUD treatments is substantial, and expanding into new geographic markets could significantly increase Adial's revenue potential. The timeline for this growth opportunity is dependent on regulatory approvals and market access in each region.
  • The application of AD04 to other addiction-related disorders beyond alcohol use disorder could unlock further growth opportunities. The underlying mechanism of action of AD04, as a selective serotonin-3 antagonist, may have therapeutic potential in other addiction areas, such as opioid or nicotine addiction. Exploring these potential applications could broaden the market for AD04 and increase its overall value. The timeline for this growth opportunity is dependent on further research and clinical trials to evaluate the efficacy of AD04 in these other addiction areas.

What Threats Does ADIL Face?

  • Clinical trial failures.
  • Regulatory hurdles.
  • Competition from existing and emerging AUD treatments.
  • Need for additional funding.

What Are ADIL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Patent protection for AD04 and other drug candidates.
  • Proprietary knowledge and expertise in serotonin-3 antagonist mechanisms.
  • Clinical trial data demonstrating efficacy and safety.
  • Potential first-mover advantage in the AUD treatment market with AD04.

What Does ADIL Do?

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc., founded in 2010 and based in Charlottesville, Virginia, is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing therapies for the treatment and prevention of addiction and related disorders. The company's primary focus is on addressing alcohol use disorder (AUD) through its lead product, AD04, a selective serotonin-3 antagonist. AD04 is currently in Phase III clinical trials, representing a significant milestone in its development. Beyond AD04, Adial Pharmaceuticals is also engaged in the discovery and development of drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction and other diseases and disorders, expanding its potential therapeutic scope. The company operates within the competitive biotechnology landscape, striving to innovate and provide solutions for unmet medical needs in addiction treatment and pain management. Adial's commitment to research and development aims to create impactful therapies that improve patient outcomes and address critical healthcare challenges. The company's strategic focus on addiction and related disorders positions it within a growing market with substantial unmet needs, offering the potential for significant future growth and impact.

What Products and Services Does ADIL Offer?

  • Develop therapeutics for the treatment of addiction.
  • Focus on alcohol use disorder (AUD) treatment.
  • Develop drug candidates for non-opioid pain reduction.
  • Conduct Phase III clinical trials for AD04.
  • Research and develop novel therapies for related disorders.
  • Seek regulatory approval for their drug candidates.
  • Potentially commercialize approved therapies.

How Does ADIL Make Money?

  • Develop and patent novel drug candidates.
  • Conduct clinical trials to demonstrate efficacy and safety.
  • Seek regulatory approval from agencies like the FDA.
  • Potentially commercialize approved drugs directly or through partnerships.

What Industry Does ADIL Operate In?

Adial Pharmaceuticals operates within the biotechnology industry, which is characterized by intense research and development, high regulatory scrutiny, and significant investment in innovative therapies. The market for addiction treatment is substantial, driven by the increasing prevalence of substance use disorders and the growing recognition of addiction as a chronic disease. The competitive landscape includes both large pharmaceutical companies and smaller biotechnology firms focused on developing novel treatments. Adial's focus on AD04 positions it within a niche market for AUD treatments, where there is a need for more effective and targeted therapies.

Who Are ADIL's Key Customers?

  • Patients suffering from alcohol use disorder (AUD).
  • Healthcare providers who treat patients with AUD.
  • Pharmacies and hospitals that dispense AUD medications.
  • Potential pharmaceutical partners for licensing or co-development agreements.
Model self-rating on this text: 64% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Jun 1, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 28 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 33?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • +0.54 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)
  • +0.36 6-month price trend (Momentum)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • -0.54 Earnings yield (Valuation)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.89 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 31
2026-08-26 31
2026-08-29 31
2026-09-01 32
2026-09-04 32
2026-09-07 33
2026-09-10 33

What changed?

The grade moved from 31 to 33 (+2).

What moved it up or down:

  • +2 Financial Safety
  • +2 Momentum
  • +1 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -1 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.7%.

Company Profile

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Glen Allen, US. The company is led by CEO Cary John Claiborne. ADIL has traded publicly since 2018.

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) reported $0 in revenue for Q2 FY2026, based on the latest filing compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $52.0M, with diluted EPS of $-11.25. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a unknown company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, ADIL averaged $-4.14 in diluted EPS.

How Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Is Valued

Analyst price targets span from $6.00 to $11.00, with a consensus of $8.50. At the current price of $6.00, that implies approximately 42% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ADIL's quantitative score of 33/100 is below the peer average of 88/100.

F-Score 2/9

Financial Health

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -12.39 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

7/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 98.4% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. insiders filed 18 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 18 purchases. On net that is roughly 718K shares acquired (about $793K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

ADIL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
+39.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+32.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+6.2%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-162.8%
Current Ratio
3.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Lead product (AD04) in Phase III clinical trials.
  • Focus on a significant unmet medical need (AUD).
  • Potential for non-opioid pain reduction therapies.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Limited financial resources.
  • Small number of employees.
  • Reliance on the success of AD04.
  • High risk associated with clinical-stage drug development.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $0 -$52M -$11.25
Q1 FY2026 $0 -$2M -$1.48
Q4 FY2025 $0 -$2M -$1.80
Q3 FY2025 $0 -$2M -$2.02

Q2 FY2026 · filed 14 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ADIL Latest News

ADIL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ADIL.

Price Targets

Low
$6.00
Consensus
$8.50
High
$11.00

Median: $8.50 (+41.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

ADIL MoonshotScore

33/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ADIL scores 33/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Cary John Claiborne

CEO

Cary John Claiborne serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. His leadership is pivotal in guiding the company through its clinical development programs and strategic initiatives. However, as CEO, he is responsible for overseeing the company's operations, financial performance, and overall strategic direction.

Track Record: As CEO of Adial Pharmaceuticals, Cary John Claiborne is currently overseeing the Phase III clinical trial of AD04, a critical milestone for the company. His leadership is focused on advancing the development of AD04 and exploring opportunities for non-opioid pain reduction therapies. Specific achievements and strategic decisions under his leadership are not detailed in the provided data.

ADIL Healthcare Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for ADIL?

ADIL holds an AI Score of 33/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for addiction and related disorders.

Is ADIL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ADIL buy, sell or hold. Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 33/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for ADIL?

The main risks for Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. are inherent in its clinical-stage status and the biotechnology industry. A primary risk is the potential failure of AD04's Phase III clinical trials, which would significantly impact the company's value.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ADIL?

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) holds a MoonshotScore of 33/100 (low). Analysts target $8.50 (+42%). The ongoing Phase III clinical trial results will be a critical value driver. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ADIL data refresh on this page?

ADIL's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ADIL's recent stock price performance?

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Lead product (AD04) in Phase III clinical trials. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ADIL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-0.39x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $8.50 (+42%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ADIL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ADIL's earnings and financial reports?

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ADIL) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ADIL earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on limited data provided.
  • Analyst consensus and detailed financial metrics are not available.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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