The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

The AES Corporation (AES) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

The AES Corporation stands as a leading diversified power generation and utility company, leveraging a broad portfolio of energy sources and technologies to deliver reliable electricity across multiple global markets.

What Is the Investment Thesis for AES?

The company boasts a profit margin of 8.4% and a gross margin of 14.2%, reflecting operational efficiency and cost management. With a focus on renewable energy and a generation portfolio of 31,459 megawatts, AES is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions, particularly as global energy consumption rises. The company's ongoing commitment to diversifying its energy sources, including investments in solar and wind technologies, aligns with market trends favoring clean energy. Furthermore, AES's dividend yield of 4.91% provides a steady income stream for investors, enhancing its attractiveness. However, potential risks, including regulatory changes and market volatility, must be monitored closely as they could impact future performance.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AES Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $10.6B, positioning AES as a significant player in the utilities sector.

• P/E ratio of 5.63, indicating a favorable earnings valuation compared to industry peers.
• Profit margin of 8.4%, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
• Gross margin of 14.2%, reflecting the company's ability to maintain profitability amid competitive pressures.
• Dividend yield of 4.91%, providing investors with a reliable income stream.

Who Are AES's Competitors?

AES is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are AES's Key Strengths?

Extensive global presence with operations in multiple regions.

• Diverse energy generation portfolio reducing dependency on specific fuels.
• Strong commitment to renewable energy and sustainability initiatives.
• Established relationships with a wide range of customers.

What Are AES's Weaknesses?

Exposure to regulatory changes that can impact operations.

• Dependence on fossil fuels in certain regions may pose risks.
• High capital expenditure requirements for new projects.
• Potential volatility in energy prices affecting profitability.

What Could Drive AES Stock Higher?

Expansion of renewable energy projects in key markets to capture growing demand.

• Implementation of energy storage solutions to enhance grid reliability and service offerings.
• Development of infrastructure for electric vehicle charging stations to meet rising electricity demand.
• Strategic partnerships with governments and organizations to promote sustainability initiatives.
• Potential regulatory incentives for renewable energy projects that could enhance profitability.

What Are the Key Risks for AES?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.52 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Regulatory changes that could impact operational costs and profitability.
• Market volatility affecting energy prices and revenue stability.
• Environmental challenges related to energy production and compliance with regulations.
• Competition from other utility companies and renewable energy providers.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for AES?

• AES's investments in solar and wind technologies position it to capture significant market share, particularly as governments implement policies to reduce carbon emissions and promote sustainable energy sources.
• Growth opportunity 2: AES's expansion into emerging markets, particularly in Latin America and Asia, presents substantial growth potential. With a growing middle class and rising energy demands in these regions, AES can leverage its expertise in power generation to establish a strong foothold and enhance its revenue streams.
• AES's focus on integrating energy storage technologies into its operations will enhance its service offerings and improve grid reliability, further solidifying its market position.
• Growth opportunity 4: The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is anticipated to drive electricity demand substantially. AES can capitalize on this trend by developing infrastructure for EV charging stations and expanding its services to accommodate the growing need for electricity in this sector.
• Growth opportunity 5: Regulatory incentives and subsidies for renewable energy projects are expected to increase, providing AES with opportunities to expand its renewable energy portfolio. By strategically investing in new projects, AES can enhance its competitive advantage and align with global sustainability goals.

What Are AES's Competitive Advantages?

• Diverse energy generation portfolio that mitigates risks associated with reliance on a single energy source.
• Established presence in multiple geographic markets enhances competitive positioning.
• Strong focus on renewable energy aligns with global sustainability trends, attracting environmentally-conscious customers.
• Robust operational expertise in managing complex power generation and distribution networks.
• Long-term contracts with customers provide stable revenue streams and reduce market volatility.

What Does AES Do?

The AES Corporation, incorporated in 1981 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, operates as a diversified power generation and utility company. Originally known as Applied Energy Services, Inc., the company rebranded in April 2000 to reflect its broader focus on energy solutions. AES owns and operates power plants that generate electricity for a variety of customers, including utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries. Its operations extend across the United States, Puerto Rico, and several countries in Latin America, Europe, and Asia, with a generation portfolio totaling approximately 31,459 megawatts. The company employs a diverse range of fuels and technologies, including coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, and biomass, emphasizing its commitment to renewable energy sources and sustainability. AES not only generates electricity but also engages in the purchasing, distribution, transmission, and selling of electricity to end-user customers across residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors. This multifaceted approach positions AES as a key player in the global energy market, adapting to evolving energy demands and regulatory environments while striving to provide reliable and sustainable energy solutions.

What Products and Services Does AES Offer?

• Owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities.
• Generates electricity using various fuels, including coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, and biomass.
• Provides electricity to utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries.
• Engages in the distribution, transmission, and sale of electricity to end-user customers.
• Focuses on renewable energy solutions and sustainability initiatives.
• Operates in multiple regions, including North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia.

How Does AES Make Money?

• Generates revenue through the sale of electricity to utilities and end-users.
• Operates power plants that utilize a mix of traditional and renewable energy sources.
• Engages in wholesale electricity markets to optimize revenue generation.
• Invests in renewable energy projects to align with market trends and regulatory incentives.
• Provides services related to energy management and infrastructure development.

What Industry Does AES Operate In?

The utilities sector, particularly diversified utilities, is experiencing significant transformation driven by the global shift towards renewable energy and sustainability. The market is projected to grow steadily, with increasing investments in clean energy technologies and infrastructure. AES Corporation is strategically positioned within this evolving landscape, leveraging its extensive generation portfolio and diverse energy sources to meet the rising demand for electricity. Competitors like Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP) and Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) are also adapting to these trends, highlighting the competitive nature of the market as companies innovate to capture market share and respond to regulatory changes.

Who Are AES's Key Customers?

• Utilities that require reliable electricity supply.
• Industrial users seeking large-scale energy solutions.
• Residential customers utilizing electricity for daily needs.
• Commercial enterprises requiring consistent energy for operations.
• Governmental sectors involved in public infrastructure and services.

The AES Corporation (AES) Valuation Context

Valued at $10.6B, AES is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $7.00 to $32.00, with a consensus of $18.75. At the current price of $14.79, that implies approximately 27% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, AES's quantitative score of 41/100 is below the peer average of 58/100.

AES Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Jun 2026, AES generated $3.42B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 7.6%. The company recorded net income of $465.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.65. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Utilities company. Across the four most recent quarters, AES averaged $0.67 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

The AES Corporation operates in the Diversified Utilities industry within the Utilities sector. It is headquartered in Arlington, US. The company is led by CEO Andres Ricardo Gluski Weilert. AES has traded publicly since 1991.

Return on equity for The AES Corporation stands at 28.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. AES trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 5.63, below the Utilities sector average of ~16.60x. Its free cash flow yield is -14.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.73 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 12.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

The AES Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.52 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

The AES Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 17.1% above estimates on average.

Wall Street analysts project The AES Corporation revenue of about $12.82B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $2.29.

Over the past six months, The AES Corporation insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 302K shares acquired (about $0) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

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The AES Corporation Utilities Stock: Key Questions Answered

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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