Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Consumer Business Overview

Alico, Inc. is an agribusiness and land management company focused on citrus cultivation and land management in Florida. With 83,000 acres, the company operates through its Alico Citrus and Land Management segments, serving both processed and fresh citrus markets while leasing land for diverse activities.

What Is the Investment Thesis for ALCO?

Alico, Inc. presents a unique investment opportunity within the agribusiness and land management sectors. The company's dual focus on citrus cultivation and land management provides diversified revenue streams. However, its negative P/E ratio of -22.73 and a negative profit margin of -487.4% raise concerns about profitability. The company's free cash flow stands at $0.01 billion, while the dividend yield is 0.49%. Key growth catalysts include potential increases in citrus demand and strategic land development opportunities. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve its financial performance and capitalize on its land assets. The beta of 1.05 indicates market correlation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALCO Key Highlights

Market Cap of $293M reflects the company's size and investor valuation in the agribusiness sector.

• P/E ratio of -22.73 indicates the company is currently unprofitable, requiring further investigation into the causes and potential turnaround strategies.
• Profit Margin of -487.4% highlights significant operational challenges and the need for cost management and revenue enhancement.
• Free Cash Flow of $0.01 billion demonstrates the company's ability to generate some cash, but it is relatively low compared to its market cap.
• Dividend Yield of 0.49% provides a modest return to investors, but its sustainability depends on improved profitability.

Who Are ALCO's Competitors?

ALCO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ALCO's Key Strengths?

Extensive land holdings in Florida.

• Diversified revenue streams from citrus and land management.
• Established relationships with citrus processors and distributors.
• Experienced management team.

What Are ALCO's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margins and P/E ratio.

• Dependence on weather conditions and citrus commodity prices.
• Potential environmental risks associated with land management activities.
• Limited geographic diversification.

What Could Drive ALCO Stock Higher?

Potential increase in citrus prices due to supply chain disruptions or weather-related events.

• Strategic land development projects that unlock value from Alico's land holdings.
• Expansion of citrus production capacity through acquisition or optimization of existing groves.
• Diversification into new revenue streams such as renewable energy or carbon sequestration.

What Are the Key Risks for ALCO?

Negative return on equity (-15.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

• Rich valuation — a P/E of 189.00 runs well above the Consumer Defensive sector’s ~27.60x, leaving little room for a miss.
• Outbreaks of citrus greening disease or other agricultural pests that could impact citrus yields.
• Fluctuations in citrus commodity prices that could affect revenue and profitability.
• Regulatory changes affecting land use and environmental regulations.
• Weather-related events such as hurricanes or droughts that could damage citrus crops and land assets.
• Competition from other agricultural companies and land developers.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ALCO?

• Expansion of Citrus Production: Alico can increase its citrus production capacity by optimizing existing groves and acquiring new land suitable for citrus cultivation. The global citrus fruit market is projected to reach $25.7 billion by 2027, presenting a significant opportunity for Alico to increase its market share. This expansion would require strategic investments in irrigation, pest control, and harvesting technologies, potentially improving yields and profitability. Timeline: 3-5 years.
• Strategic Land Development: Alico's extensive land holdings offer opportunities for strategic development, including residential, commercial, or recreational projects. Florida's population growth and tourism industry create demand for land development. By partnering with developers or undertaking projects independently, Alico can unlock significant value from its land assets. This could involve rezoning land for higher-value uses and investing in infrastructure improvements. Timeline: 5-10 years.
• Diversification of Land Management Activities: Alico can diversify its land management activities by expanding into new areas such as renewable energy projects (solar farms) or carbon sequestration initiatives. These activities can generate additional revenue streams and enhance the sustainability of its operations. The market for renewable energy is rapidly growing, driven by government incentives and corporate sustainability goals. Timeline: 2-4 years.
• Enhancement of Supply Chain Efficiency: Alico can invest in technologies and infrastructure to improve the efficiency of its supply chain, from citrus harvesting to distribution. This includes implementing advanced inventory management systems, optimizing transportation routes, and reducing post-harvest losses. Improved supply chain efficiency can lower costs, increase product quality, and enhance customer satisfaction. Timeline: 1-3 years.
• Leveraging Conservation Easements and Mitigation Banking: Alico can further leverage its land holdings through conservation easements and mitigation banking. By selling conservation easements, Alico can receive payments for preserving the natural habitat on its land. Mitigation banking involves restoring or enhancing wetlands and selling credits to developers who need to offset environmental impacts. These activities can generate revenue while promoting environmental stewardship. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are ALCO's Competitive Advantages?

• Significant Land Holdings: Alico's ownership of 83,000 acres of land in Florida provides a valuable asset base and a barrier to entry for competitors.
• Established Citrus Operations: The company's long-standing experience in citrus cultivation and established relationships with processors and distributors provide a competitive advantage.
• Diversified Revenue Streams: Alico's dual focus on citrus and land management provides diversified revenue streams, reducing reliance on a single market.
• Strategic Location: Alico's land is located in key agricultural regions of Florida, benefiting from favorable climate and access to markets.

What Does ALCO Do?

Alico, Inc., founded in 1960 and headquartered in Fort Myers, Florida, operates as an agribusiness and land management company. The company's operations are divided into two segments: Alico Citrus and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment focuses on cultivating citrus trees to produce citrus for delivery to both the processed and fresh citrus markets. This segment is a core revenue driver, leveraging Florida's favorable climate for citrus production. The Land Management and Other Operations segment owns and manages a significant land portfolio, primarily located in Collier, Glades, and Hendry Counties. This land is leased for various purposes, including recreational activities, grazing, conservation efforts, and mining operations, providing a diversified revenue stream. As of September 30, 2021, Alico managed approximately 83,000 acres of land across eight counties in Florida, including Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, and Polk. The company's strategic land holdings and diversified operations position it as a key player in Florida's agricultural and land management sectors.

What Products and Services Does ALCO Offer?

• Cultivates citrus trees for both processed and fresh citrus markets.
• Manages a large portfolio of land in Florida.
• Leases land for recreational purposes, such as hunting and fishing.
• Provides land for grazing livestock.
• Offers land for conservation efforts.
• Leases land for mining activities.

How Does ALCO Make Money?

• Generates revenue from the sale of citrus fruits to processors and fresh markets.
• Earns income from leasing land for recreational, grazing, conservation, and mining purposes.
• Potentially generates revenue from land development projects.
• May receive payments for conservation easements and mitigation banking.

What Industry Does ALCO Operate In?

Alico, Inc. operates within the agricultural farm products industry, which is influenced by factors such as weather patterns, commodity prices, and consumer demand for citrus products. The industry is competitive, with both large-scale agricultural companies and smaller, regional players. Alico's focus on land management provides a unique diversification strategy compared to companies solely focused on citrus production. The agricultural sector is experiencing trends such as increased adoption of precision farming techniques and a growing emphasis on sustainable land management practices. The global citrus market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars, with Florida remaining a key production region.

Who Are ALCO's Key Customers?

• Citrus processing companies that use Alico's citrus fruits to produce juice and other products.
• Fresh citrus markets, including grocery stores and distributors.
• Individuals and organizations that lease land for recreational activities.
• Cattle ranchers who lease land for grazing.
• Mining companies that lease land for extraction activities.

Over the past six months, Alico, Inc. insiders filed 10 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 166K shares acquired (about $148K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Alico, Inc.

Revenue for Alico, Inc. came in at $9.0M during Q3 FY2026, a 69.3% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $2.1M, with diluted EPS of $0.29. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this micro-cap Consumer Defensive company. Across the four most recent quarters, ALCO averaged $0.05 in diluted EPS.

ALCO Valuation & Market Position

With a $293M market cap, Alico, Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $45.00 to $45.00, with a consensus of $45.00. At the current price of $39.50, that implies approximately 14% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ALCO's quantitative score of 37/100 is below the peer average of 53/100.

Return on equity for Alico, Inc. stands at -15.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 22.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. A current ratio of 9.63 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

Alico, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.11 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Alico, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 466.9% below estimates on average.

Company Profile

Alico, Inc. operates in the Agricultural Farm Products industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Fort Myers, US. The company is led by CEO John E. Kiernan. ALCO has traded publicly since 1973.

ALCO Financials

ALCO Latest News

ALCO Analyst Consensus

ALCO MoonshotScore

What Investors Ask About Alico, Inc. (ALCO) — Consumer Defensive

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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