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Coty Inc. (COTY)

$2.25 $-0.06 (-2.39%) |Avoid · 15
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans SELL (34/100) while the AI fundamental score is 15/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $1.98B| Vol: 9.71M| Target: $3.95 (+75.9%)| 52-wk range: $1.84 – $5.33
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Coty Inc. (COTY) trades at $2.25 with AI Score 15/100 (Grade F). Coty Inc. is a global beauty company that manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a wide range of beauty products. Market cap: $1.98B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Coty Inc. is a global beauty company that manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a wide range of beauty products. Their portfolio includes both prestige and mass-market brands across fragrances, cosmetics, skin, and body care.

COTY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $3.95 for Coty Inc., suggesting 75.9% upside from the current price of $2.25. The AI MoonshotScore is 15/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
SELL 34/100 · D

COTY: the 7 perspectives are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Coty Inc. (COTY) Consumer Business Overview

CEOMarkus Strobel
Employees11791
HeadquartersNew York City, NY, US
IPO Year2013

Coty Inc. is a global beauty company with a diverse portfolio of prestige and mass-market brands, including Calvin Klein, Gucci, and CoverGirl. Operating in the competitive household and personal products sector, Coty distributes its products through various retail channels and third-party distributors in approximately 150 countries.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for COTY?

Coty Inc. presents a complex investment case. While the company possesses a strong portfolio of well-known beauty brands and a global distribution network, its negative profit margin of -9.3% raises concerns about profitability. Growth catalysts include strategic brand acquisitions, expansion in emerging markets, and a focus on direct-to-consumer channels. However, potential risks include intense competition in the beauty industry, fluctuating consumer preferences, and the need for effective brand management to maintain market share. Investors should closely monitor Coty's ability to improve profitability, drive organic growth, and capitalize on evolving beauty trends. The company's beta of 0.97 indicates moderate volatility relative to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

COTY Key Highlights

  • Coty Inc. operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, providing stability during economic downturns.
  • The company boasts a gross margin of 61.9%, indicating a strong ability to manage production costs.
  • Coty's global presence in approximately 150 countries offers diversification and growth opportunities in emerging markets.
  • The company's portfolio includes both prestige and mass-market brands, catering to a wide range of consumer preferences.
  • Coty's beta of 0.97 suggests moderate volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are COTY's Competitors?

COTY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
AGRO Adecoagro S.A. $9.51 -1.35% $5.37B 48
TBBB BBB Foods Inc. $41.66 -0.96% $4.83B 56
PSMT PriceSmart, Inc. $194.73 -1.60% $6.02B 80
ATGE Adtalem Global Education Inc. $106.64 +1.49% $3.87B 55
FACYF Fancl Corporation $17.45 +0.00% $2.37B 63
SGI Somnigroup International Inc $78.20 -0.29% $16.45B 62
ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. $74.33 -2.73% $4.42B 59
MIOFF Milbon Co., Ltd. $52.60 +0.00% $1.71B 58

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are COTY's Key Strengths?

  • Strong portfolio of well-known beauty brands.
  • Global distribution network reaching approximately 150 countries.
  • Diversified product offerings across prestige and mass-market segments.
  • Established presence in key markets.

What Are COTY's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin of -9.3%.
  • Intense competition in the beauty industry.
  • Exposure to fluctuating consumer preferences.
  • Need for effective brand management to maintain market share.

What Could Drive COTY Stock Higher?

  • Strategic partnerships with key retailers to expand distribution and market reach.
  • Investment in digital marketing and e-commerce to drive online sales and customer engagement.
  • Launch of new product lines and brand extensions to attract new customers and increase market share.
  • Cost optimization initiatives to improve profitability and operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for COTY?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.21 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-15.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Intense competition from established players and new entrants in the beauty industry.
  • Fluctuations in consumer preferences and trends impacting demand for specific products.
  • Economic downturns reducing consumer spending on discretionary items like beauty products.
  • Supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures increasing input costs.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the beauty industry, such as labeling requirements and product safety standards.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for COTY?

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Coty has the opportunity to expand its presence in emerging markets such as Asia-Pacific and Latin America, where the demand for beauty products is growing rapidly. By tailoring its product offerings to local preferences and leveraging its distribution network, Coty can tap into these high-growth markets. The global cosmetics market is projected to reach $463.5 billion by 2027, with emerging markets contributing significantly to this growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Focus on Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Channels: Coty can further develop its DTC capabilities by investing in e-commerce platforms, social media marketing, and personalized customer experiences. This will allow the company to build stronger relationships with consumers, gather valuable data insights, and increase brand loyalty. The global e-commerce beauty market is expected to reach $80 billion by 2025. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Brand Acquisitions: Coty can continue to acquire complementary brands to expand its portfolio and strengthen its market position. By targeting brands with strong growth potential and loyal customer bases, Coty can enhance its revenue streams and gain access to new markets. The beauty industry is highly fragmented, offering numerous acquisition opportunities. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Innovation in Product Development: Coty can drive growth by investing in research and development to create innovative and differentiated products that meet evolving consumer needs. This includes developing products with natural and sustainable ingredients, as well as personalized beauty solutions. The global skincare market is projected to reach $180 billion by 2027, driven by innovation in product development. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Digital Marketing and Social Media: Coty can enhance its brand awareness and engagement by leveraging digital marketing and social media platforms. This includes creating engaging content, partnering with influencers, and utilizing data analytics to optimize marketing campaigns. The global digital advertising market is expected to reach $520 billion by 2024, with a significant portion allocated to the beauty industry. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does COTY Have?

  • Expansion in emerging markets with high growth potential.
  • Development of direct-to-consumer channels to build stronger customer relationships.
  • Strategic brand acquisitions to expand portfolio and market reach.
  • Innovation in product development to meet evolving consumer needs.

What Threats Does COTY Face?

  • Increasing competition from established players and new entrants.
  • Changing consumer preferences and trends.
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the beauty industry.

What Are COTY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand Recognition: Coty possesses a portfolio of well-known and established beauty brands, providing a competitive advantage in attracting and retaining customers.
  • Global Distribution Network: The company's extensive distribution network allows it to reach a wide range of markets and consumers worldwide.
  • Scale and Scope: Coty's size and scale provide economies of scale in manufacturing, marketing, and distribution.
  • Product Diversification: The company's diverse product portfolio across prestige and mass-market segments reduces its reliance on any single product or market.

What Does COTY Do?

Founded in Paris in 1904 by François Coty, Coty Inc. has evolved from a fragrance house into a global beauty powerhouse. Initially focused on revolutionizing the fragrance industry with innovative scents and accessible pricing, the company expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and brand development. Today, Coty operates in two primary segments: Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The Prestige segment includes luxury fragrances, skincare, and cosmetics sold through high-end retailers such as department stores, perfumeries, and duty-free shops. Key brands in this segment include Alexander McQueen, Burberry, Gucci, Hugo Boss, and Tiffany & Co. The Consumer Beauty segment offers mass-market color cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, and body care products available in hypermarkets, supermarkets, drug stores, and e-commerce platforms. Notable brands in this segment include CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, and Sally Hansen. Coty distributes its products worldwide through a network of retailers and third-party distributors, reaching consumers in approximately 150 countries and territories. The company's headquarters are located in New York City, and it operates as a subsidiary of Cottage Holdco B.V.

What Products and Services Does COTY Offer?

  • Manufactures prestige fragrances, skin care, and color cosmetics.
  • Offers mass color cosmetics, fragrance, skin care, and body care products.
  • Distributes products through prestige retailers, including perfumeries and department stores.
  • Sells products through hypermarkets, supermarkets, and drug stores.
  • Utilizes e-commerce retailers and direct-to-consumer websites.
  • Partners with third-party distributors to reach approximately 150 countries and territories.

How Does COTY Make Money?

  • Develops and markets a diverse portfolio of beauty brands across prestige and mass-market segments.
  • Generates revenue through the sale of products to retailers, distributors, and consumers.
  • Focuses on brand building and marketing to drive consumer demand.
  • Leverages a global distribution network to reach a wide range of markets.

What Industry Does COTY Operate In?

Coty Inc. operates in the highly competitive global beauty industry, which is characterized by evolving consumer trends, intense competition, and the increasing importance of digital channels. The industry is driven by factors such as rising disposable incomes, growing awareness of personal grooming, and the influence of social media. Coty competes with large multinational corporations like L'Oréal and Estée Lauder, as well as smaller niche brands. The market is witnessing a shift towards natural and sustainable products, personalized beauty solutions, and direct-to-consumer sales. Coty's ability to adapt to these trends and differentiate its brands will be crucial for maintaining its market position.

Who Are COTY's Key Customers?

  • Consumers of prestige fragrances, skin care, and color cosmetics.
  • Consumers of mass color cosmetics, fragrance, skin care, and body care products.
  • Retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, and drug stores.
  • Third-party distributors operating in approximately 150 countries and territories.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

ROE -15%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Coty Inc. stands at -15.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -5.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 18.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.82 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -30.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Coty Inc. (COTY) Valuation Context

Valued at $1.98B, COTY is classified as a small-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, COTY's quantitative score of 15/100 is below the peer average of 60/100.

Company Profile

Coty Inc. operates in the Household & Personal Products industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Markus Strobel. COTY has traded publicly since 2013.

F-Score 5/9Financial Health

Coty Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.21 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Coty Inc. revenue of about $5.73B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.22. The estimate reflects 11 contributing analysts.

COTY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-3.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-24.9%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-15.1%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
49.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Coty has seen a surge in insider buying, indicating strong confidence from leadership in its growth potential.
  • Recent product launches have received positive feedback on social media, suggesting a revival in brand popularity.
  • The company's strategic partnerships with influencers have enhanced its market presence, resonating well with younger consumers.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting Coty's commitment to sustainability and innovation.

Bear Case

  • Concerns persist about the overall beauty market's recovery post-pandemic, which could impact Coty's sales performance.
  • Negative sentiment has emerged regarding supply chain challenges, potentially affecting product availability and distribution.
  • Some analysts express skepticism about Coty's ability to maintain its recent momentum amidst increasing competition in the beauty sector.
  • Recent quarterly earnings reports have shown mixed results, leading to cautious sentiment among investors and traders.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

COTY Latest News

COTY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for COTY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $3.95

COTY MoonshotScore

15/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates COTY's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Coty Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Markus Strobel

CEO

Markus Strobel is the Chief Executive Officer of Coty Inc. His career spans several decades in the consumer goods industry, with a focus on beauty and personal care. Before joining Coty, he held leadership positions at Procter & Gamble, where he managed various global brands and business units. Strobel brings extensive experience in brand management, marketing, and international operations. His expertise lies in driving growth, innovation, and operational efficiency. He is known for his strategic vision and ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Markus Strobel has focused on streamlining Coty's operations, strengthening its brand portfolio, and driving digital transformation. He has overseen strategic acquisitions and divestitures to optimize the company's business segments. Strobel has also prioritized innovation and sustainability to meet evolving consumer demands. Under his leadership, Coty has aimed to improve its financial performance and enhance its competitive position in the global beauty market.

What Investors Ask About Coty Inc. (COTY) — Consumer Defensive

What does Coty Inc. do?

Coty Inc. is a global beauty company that manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a wide range of beauty products. The company operates through two segments: Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The Prestige segment focuses on luxury fragrances, skincare, and cosmetics sold through high-end retailers. The Consumer Beauty segment offers mass-market color cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, and body care products available in hypermarkets, supermarkets, and drug stores. Coty's portfolio includes well-known brands such as Calvin Klein, Gucci, CoverGirl, and Rimmel, catering to diverse consumer preferences worldwide.

What do analysts say about COTY stock?

Analyst consensus on Coty Inc. is mixed, reflecting the company's ongoing turnaround efforts and the competitive nature of the beauty industry. Key valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings ratio and enterprise value-to-EBITDA, are closely monitored to assess the company's financial performance. Growth considerations include Coty's ability to drive organic growth, improve profitability, and capitalize on emerging market opportunities. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. This is not investment advice.

What are the main risks for COTY?

Coty Inc. faces several risks, including intense competition in the beauty industry, fluctuating consumer preferences, and economic downturns impacting consumer spending. The company's high debt levels and negative profit margin also pose financial risks. Additionally, Coty is exposed to supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and regulatory changes affecting the beauty industry. Effective brand management and cost optimization are crucial for mitigating these risks and maintaining a competitive edge. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Coty.

What are the key factors to evaluate for COTY?

Coty Inc. (COTY) holds an AI score of 15/100 (low). Analysts target $3.95 (+76%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does COTY data refresh on this page?

COTY prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven COTY's recent stock price performance?

Coty Inc. (COTY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong portfolio of well-known beauty brands. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider COTY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Coty Inc. (COTY) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $3.95 (+76%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying COTY?

Before investing in Coty Inc. (COTY), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources

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