Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) — MoonshotScore 51/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $10.75 (+6.44%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $6.06B. Expected results Nov 10, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 18.34× (market value Oct 5, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 10, 2026
Adecoagro S.A. · AGRO · NYSE · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products
Research dated 2026-09-13: Adecoagro operates a diverse agricultural portfolio spanning farming operations across Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay, alongside sugar and ethanol production facilities. The primary driver of value rests on balancing volatile revenue streams from raw crops and dairy with higher-margin energy generation and land transformation efforts. The defining tension for prospective shareholders is whether the cash generated from biomethane and carbon credits can adequately service the heavy debt burden required to maintain its massive farmland footprint.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Adecoagro (AGRO)
FairWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
Weak growth and an expensive valuation, though quality and the balance sheet are only middling. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Okay; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Rising.
Enterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.
- quarterly revenue $531M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 1 of 8
- Altman Z 1.79 · Piotroski F 5
Holding back: a rich price, soft growth
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Fair | |
| 50 | Fair | |
| 50 | Fair | |
| 50 | Fair | |
| 50 | Fair | |
| 51 | Fair |
The score moved from 50 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot to 51 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (+1); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +4 and Momentum -1.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $10.75 | |
| Change on the day | +6.44% | |
| 52-week range | $6.89 – $15.89 | |
| Market capitalisation | $6.06B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 158.25 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 784K | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | -0.06 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.30 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 2.93% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
The provider's estimated date can change.
What to watch nextCouncil Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines
Council score for Adecoagro (AGRO): Split View
51/100 · BCouncil is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
5 lenses, 5 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Oct 6, 2026
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 11, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 11, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the AGRO film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Adecoagro (AGRO), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
An agricultural enterprise typically conjures images of straightforward crop sales, but this business derives the bulk of its revenue from manufactured products, services, and energy.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
An agricultural enterprise typically conjures images of straightforward crop sales, but this business derives the bulk of its revenue from manufactured products, services, and energy. The farming segment covers extensive acreage yielding soybeans, corn, and rice, yet the sugarcane processing operations contribute heavily by producing ethanol, sugar, and electricity fed back into the grid. Beyond seasonal harvests, the company also actively buys underdeveloped land, applies modern agronomic practices, and attempts to realize appreciation through improved yields.
What do the latest results show for Adecoagro (AGRO)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $531M.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Recent performance shows widening profitability challenges, with net income falling short of analyst expectations and revenue sliding backward against prior periods. Operating cash flow swung to a positive position in the most recent filing, but consistent capital expenditures required to maintain farming equipment and processing facilities limit the surplus capital available. The gap between estimated earnings and the actual reported figures suggests margin pressure, as processing costs or lower spot prices for ethanol and crops compress the final return on harvested volumes.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $531.01M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $97.90M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $91.95M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $531.01M | Not available | $97.90M | $91.95M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $398.68M | Not available | $58.95M | $27.86M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $415.94M | Not available | $51.45M | $12.70M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $304.21M | Not available | $53.61M | $56.85M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $531.01M Aug 11, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $602.01M Aug 11, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 11, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 11, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $531.01M | $602.01M | $0.1300 | $0.5440 |
| May 11, 2026 | $398.68M | $408.94M | −$0.2400 | $0.2479 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $415.94M | $371.95M | −$0.1800 | −$0.0866 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $304.21M | $409.20M | $0.0642 | $0.0598 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $531M | $18M | $0.03 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $399M | $40M | $0.06 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $416M | -$15M | -$0.03 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $304M | $7M | $0.01 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Adecoagro (AGRO)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $330.51M at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $124.95M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Total obligations heavily outweigh the liquid reserves on hand, creating a capital structure deeply reliant on continuous debt refinancing and crop yields. A failure in a major harvest season or a sustained drop in regional ethanol prices would severely strain the liquidity buffer, as the quick ratio indicates insufficient immediate assets to clear near-term liabilities. The steady dividend payments consume part of the limited free cash flow, leaving minimal room for error if extreme weather patterns disrupt the sugarcane and dairy cycles.
Data-derived red flags
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.79 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 158.25 runs well above the Consumer Defensive sector’s ~27.20x, leaving little room for a miss.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $124.95M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- −$2.58M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $124.95M | −$54.78M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | −$2.58M | −$87.33M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $152.18M | −$60.37M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $9.77M | −$34.13M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Adecoagro (AGRO)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 10, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The upcoming earnings release will test whether the gap between optimistic analyst projections and the recent string of misses can be closed. Shareholders should monitor the operating margins within the sugar and ethanol division, as seasonal fluctuations in sugarcane processing dictate the broader cash generation capacity. Furthermore, recent trading activity shows concentrated selling by management without offsetting purchases, a trend that warrants attention alongside potential changes in institutional backing.
How does Adecoagro compare with its peers?
Short answer
Adecoagro's score ranks 11th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
While peer agricultural producers often specialize in a focused commodity category, this entity operates a hybrid structure blending raw crop cultivation with vertical integration into bioenergy. The ability to extract biogas from dairy cattle effluents and burn it for electricity generation sets the asset base apart from traditional grain operators. Additionally, the explicit strategy of acquiring underdeveloped farmland for transformation adds a real estate development characteristic not typically found in standard consumer defensive equities.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $38.51 Oct 5, 2026 | $5.30B | 86 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $18.73 Oct 5, 2026 | $7.37B | 79 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $25.65 Oct 5, 2026 | $310M | 75 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $171.81 Oct 5, 2026 | $5.36B | 71 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $1155.36 Oct 5, 2026 | $4.99B | 68 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $2.72 Oct 5, 2026 | $331M | 67 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $82.47 Oct 5, 2026 | $39.8B | 64 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $12.80 Oct 5, 2026 | $1.21B | 62 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $51.71 Oct 5, 2026 | $18.3B | 60 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $64.99 Oct 5, 2026 | $3.13B | 58 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Adecoagro (AGRO) — this page | $10.75 | $6.06B | 51 |
| $107.32 Oct 5, 2026 | $20.5B | 50 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $3.70 Oct 5, 2026 | $369M | 43 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $13.20 – $14.80
- Consensus target
- $14.00
- Median target
- $14.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $10.75 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Apr 21, 2026
- Transactions
- 12
- Identified insiders
- 6
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 6
- Other transactions
- 6
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 2.1% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 2.0% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 95 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 98 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 1,878,635 |
| Discovery Capital Management, LLC / Ct | 1,379,217 |
| Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 909,817 |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 878,060 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., INC. | 791,417 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about Adecoagro (AGRO)?
- The Bull Case For Adecoagro (AGRO) Could Change Following Early Redemption Of 2027 Senior Notes
- Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) and Utz Brands (NYSE:UTZ) Financial Analysis
- Adecoagro Plans Early Redemption of $234.9 Million Senior Notes Due 2027
- Adecoagro Announces Early Redemption of its 6.000% Senior Notes due 2027
Adecoagro Consumer Defensive Stock: Key Questions Answered
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
How does the company utilize its dairy operations beyond traditional milk production?
Beyond packaging raw and flavored milk products, the facilities capture effluents from the dairy cattle to produce biogas. This methane is then burned to generate electricity, offsetting internal energy costs and creating an alternative revenue stream.
Does the debt load present a near-term risk to ongoing agricultural operations?
Total liabilities vastly exceed the current cash balance and short-term investments, resulting in a levered balance sheet. The ability to fund ongoing crop cycles depends heavily on maintaining steady operating cash flow, as immediate liquid assets cannot cover the outstanding obligations without relying on future harvests.
What role does land transformation play in the broader business strategy?
The firm actively acquires underutilized or underdeveloped farmland and applies modern agricultural technology to improve its yield potential. This approach aims to capture value through asset appreciation alongside the recurrent revenue generated by cultivating crops on those newly developed acres.
Are executive officers currently acquiring shares in the open market?
Open market activity shows a distinct lack of buying from the executive team over recent periods. Directors and officers have executed multiple sales of their holdings without logging any corresponding purchases, signaling a desire for personal liquidity rather than stock accumulation.
What is the AGRO stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) is $10.75, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the AGRO price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) is $14.00 (range $13.20 to $14.80, median $14.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Does AGRO pay a dividend?
Yes. Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 2.93%, as of Oct 2, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (82 figures)
The 82 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 1 fact from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
id.hq | SEC filing business address | 28, Boulevard F.W. Raiffeeisen, N/A, N4, L-2411 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "28, Boulevard F.W. Raiffeisen, Luxembourg, LU, 2411, LU". |
FMP — 70 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 10, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $10.75 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T20:00:03.000Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +6.44% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $6.06B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T20:00:03.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-06T02:07:36.622Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.65 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $531M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 158.25 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 784K | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | -0.06 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Mariano Bosch | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.founder | Founder named in the filing | Ezequiel Garbers — Co-Founder and Vice President of Crops & Rice Businesses for Argentina & Uruguay | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 10,283 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $1.12B, net result $130.67M; FY2022 revenue $1.35B, net result $108.14M; FY2023 revenue $1.30B, net result $226.29M; FY2024 revenue $1.52B, net result $92.34M; FY2025 revenue $1.43B, net result −$8.35M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Rice $182.26M · Sugar $265.69M · Ethanol $337.55M · Fluid Milk (UHT) $115.33M · Manufactured Products And Services Rendered $1.43B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 30.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $531.01M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $97.90M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $91.95M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $398.68M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $58.95M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $27.86M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $415.94M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $51.45M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $12.70M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $304.21M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $53.61M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $56.85M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-11 | $531.01M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-11 | $602.01M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-11 | $0.1300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-11 | $0.5440 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-05-11 | $398.68M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-05-11 | $408.94M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-05-11 | −$0.2400 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-05-11 | $0.2479 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-03-16 | $415.94M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-03-16 | $371.95M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-03-16 | −$0.1800 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-03-16 | −$0.0866 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-11 | $304.21M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-11 | $409.20M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-11 | $0.0642 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-11 | $0.0598 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $330.51M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $124.95M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $0.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $2.33B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 4.23× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $124.95M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | −$2.58M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$54.78M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$87.33M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $152.18M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$60.37M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $9.77M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$34.13M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $13.20 – $14.80 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $14.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $14.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 12 transactions · 0 purchases, 6 sales, 6 other transactions · 6 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Apr 21, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 2.1% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 2.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 95 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 98 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Two Sigma Investments, LP — shares in provider snapshot | 1,878,635 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Discovery Capital Management, LLC / Ct — shares in provider snapshot | 1,379,217 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. — shares in provider snapshot | 909,817 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Capital Wealth Planning, LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 878,060 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | D. E. Shaw & Co., INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 791,417 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 1 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-13 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 1.79 · Piotroski F 5 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $6.89 – $15.89 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-06 |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 18.34× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $330.51M at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.30 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 2 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 2.93% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($531.01M) with the recorded estimate ($602.01M) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.1300) with the recorded estimate ($0.5440) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 3 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 51 of 100 · Fair · pillars 46 / 52 / 21 / 29 / 63 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.valuation_driver | Recorded valuation score driver | Enterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers. | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine · stored factor contributions | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 50 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 51 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (+1) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-11. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-11.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-11.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $2.33B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $3.37B; Cash and short-term investments: $330.51M; Cash and investments: $330.50M; Long-term investments: $0; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Revenue by segment | Rice: $182.26M; Sugar: $265.69M; Ethanol: $337.55M; Fluid Milk (UHT): $115.33M; Manufactured Products And Services Rendered: $1.43B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Consumer Defensive / Agricultural Farm Products The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 0100 — Agricultural Production-Crops. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-11 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.89; Current ratio: 1.73; Debt to equity: 1.34; Net margin: 3%; Gross margin: 30%; Operating margin: 11.5%; Return on assets: 0.9%; Return on equity: 3% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Recent dividends paid | Captured record · 4 entries
Declared amounts per share on their ex-dates. A single payment does not establish an annual rate, and a special dividend is not separated here. | 2026-05-04 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-10; EPS estimate: $0.3623 per share; Revenue estimate: $664.21M The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Insider transactions, last 180 days | Net shares: -73,094; Window days: 180; Price low: $13.03; Clustered days: 2026-04-15; 2026-04-21; Price high: $15.03; Buy transactions: 0; Distinct insiders: 7; Sell transactions: 8; Other transactions: 6; Total transactions: 14; Other transaction types: A-Award: 6; Unknown direction transactions: 0 Purchase and sale counts require explicit provider transaction types, without a conflicting acquisition/disposition direction. Other transactions retain their provider type; awards, exercises, gifts and in-kind transactions are not counted as purchases or sales. Net shares sums acquired minus disposed shares across direction-known records, including other transaction types; unknown directions are excluded. It is not net purchases or a verified change in beneficial ownership. Named-insider counts, same-day clusters and positive reported prices cover all retained records. Filing dates are used only when transaction dates are absent. Neither timing nor price establishes motive or whether a transaction was on the open market. | 2026-04-21 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) insider transactions, from Form 4 filings |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Named officers | CEO: Mariano Bosch; Officers: Emilio Federico Gnecco — Title: Chief Financial Officer, Born: 1976; Victoria Cabello — Title: Investor Relations Officer; Mariano Bosch — Title: Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Born: 1970; Juan Jose-Pineyro Sartori — Title: Executive Chairman, Born: 1981; Renato Junqueira-Santos Pereira — Title: Vice President of Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business, Born: 1977; Alejandro López Moriena — Title: Sustainability Director; Ezequiel Garbers — Title: Co-Founder and Vice President of Crops & Rice Businesses for Argentina & Uruguay, Born: 1966; Josefina Diaz Vega — Title: General Counsel Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) |
| Largest 5 institutional holders | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings |
Data provided for informational purposes only.