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Carvana Co. (CVNA) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$70.27 -$3.14 (-4.28%) |Fair · 50
Carvana Co. (CVNA) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (56/100) while the AI fundamental score is 50/100 (grade B); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Valuation weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $77.1B| P/E Ratio: 24.28| Vol: 6.81M| Target: $84.55 (+20.3%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $54.46 – $97.38

P/E 24.28 means the share price is 24.28 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $77.1B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 3.61: the stock has moved about 261% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Carvana Co. (CVNA) trades at $70.27 with MoonshotScore 50/100 (Grade B). Carvana Co. operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Market cap: $77.1B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Carvana Co. operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company provides a range of services including vehicle acquisition, inspection, reconditioning, financing, and post-sale support.

CVNA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $84.55 for Carvana Co., suggesting 20.3% upside from the current price of $70.27. The AI MoonshotScore is 50/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the CVNA film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 56/100 · B

CVNA: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 50/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (2/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Carvana Co. (CVNA) Consumer Business Overview

CEOErnest C. Garcia
Employees23,100
HeadquartersTempe, AZ, US
IPO Year2017

Carvana Co. is an e-commerce platform transforming the used car market by offering online buying, selling, and financing. The company differentiates itself through its unique car vending machines and end-to-end digital experience, positioning it as a disruptor in the traditional auto dealership sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for CVNA?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a current P/E ratio of 24.28 and a profit margin of 7.1%, the company demonstrates strong growth potential. Key value drivers include its ability to scale its online platform, increase market penetration, and improve operational efficiencies. Growth catalysts include expanding its geographic footprint, enhancing its vehicle reconditioning capabilities, and leveraging data analytics to optimize pricing and inventory management. Potential risks include increased competition from traditional dealerships and other online platforms, fluctuations in used car prices, and the ability to manage its debt effectively. The company's high beta of 3.61 indicates significant market volatility.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CVNA Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $77.1B reflects investor confidence in Carvana's growth potential.

  • P/E Ratio of 24.28 indicates a premium valuation based on expected future earnings growth.
  • Profit Margin of 7.1% demonstrates the company's ability to generate profits from its operations.
  • Gross Margin of 20.0% highlights the efficiency of Carvana's vehicle acquisition and sales process.
  • Beta of 3.61 suggests high volatility relative to the market, indicating potential for significant gains or losses.

Who Are CVNA's Competitors?

CVNA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MAR Marriott International, Inc. $329.07 -0.74% $85.8B 615-pillar
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. $167.65 -1.17% $99.5B 925-pillar
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. $85.18 -1.05% $70.6B 725-pillar
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. $306.67 -0.10% $69.0B 655-pillar
GM General Motors Company $85.65 +2.26% $77.5B 585-pillar
PAG Penske Automotive Group $216.61 -0.78% $14.2B 635-pillar
SIETY D'Ieteren Group S.A. $100.50 -4.29% $10.6B 429-signal
KMX CarMax, Inc. $60.52 +0.38% $8.59B 555-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CVNA's Key Strengths?

Innovative e-commerce platform

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive logistics network
  • Customer-centric approach

What Are CVNA's Weaknesses?

High debt levels

  • Dependence on used car market conditions
  • Operational challenges in scaling
  • High marketing expenses

What Could Drive CVNA Stock Higher?

Expansion of Carvana's geographic footprint into new markets, increasing its potential customer base.

  • Continued investment in technology to enhance the online car buying and selling experience.
  • Launch of new complementary products and services, such as extended warranties and insurance products.
  • Improvement in operational efficiencies through automation and process optimization.
  • Strategic partnerships to expand vehicle acquisition channels and improve inventory management.

What Are the Key Risks for CVNA?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $35.6M recently.

  • Increased competition from traditional dealerships and other online platforms.
  • Fluctuations in used car prices impacting profitability.
  • Economic downturns reducing consumer demand for used cars.
  • High debt levels and interest expenses impacting financial performance.
  • Challenges in managing logistics and vehicle delivery operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CVNA?

  • Expanding Geographic Footprint: Carvana has the opportunity to further expand its geographic presence across the United States. By entering new markets and increasing its presence in existing ones, Carvana can tap into a larger customer base and drive revenue growth. The used car market is vast, and with a growing preference for online car buying, Carvana's expansion strategy can significantly boost its market share. This expansion includes establishing new inspection centers and vending machines in strategic locations, enhancing its brand visibility and customer accessibility. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Enhancing Vehicle Reconditioning Capabilities: Improving the efficiency and quality of its vehicle reconditioning process is a key growth opportunity for Carvana. By investing in advanced technologies and skilled technicians, Carvana can reduce reconditioning costs and improve the quality of its vehicles, leading to higher customer satisfaction and repeat business. A streamlined reconditioning process also allows Carvana to increase its inventory turnover and improve its overall operational efficiency. Market size: The market for automotive reconditioning services is substantial, with increasing demand for high-quality used vehicles. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Data Analytics: Carvana can leverage data analytics to optimize its pricing strategies, inventory management, and marketing efforts. By analyzing customer data and market trends, Carvana can identify the most profitable vehicles to acquire, set competitive prices, and target its marketing campaigns more effectively. This data-driven approach can lead to increased sales, improved margins, and enhanced customer loyalty. Market size: The market for data analytics in the automotive industry is growing rapidly, with companies investing heavily in data-driven solutions to improve their operations. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increasing Financing Penetration: Carvana has the opportunity to increase the penetration of its financing products among its customers. By offering competitive financing rates and a seamless online application process, Carvana can capture a larger share of the financing market and generate additional revenue. This also enhances customer convenience and loyalty, as customers can finance their vehicle purchase directly through Carvana's platform. Market size: The market for auto financing is substantial, with a significant portion of used car buyers relying on financing to make their purchase. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Developing Complementary Products and Services: Carvana can develop and offer complementary products and services, such as extended warranties, insurance products, and maintenance plans, to generate additional revenue and enhance customer loyalty. By bundling these products and services with its vehicle sales, Carvana can provide a more comprehensive and convenient customer experience. Market size: The market for automotive aftermarket products and services is substantial, with increasing demand for extended warranties and maintenance plans. Timeline: Upcoming.

What Are CVNA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand Recognition: Carvana has established a strong brand presence in the online used car market.
  • Proprietary Technology: The company's e-commerce platform and logistics network provide a competitive advantage.
  • Economies of Scale: Carvana's scale allows it to offer competitive pricing and a wide selection of vehicles.
  • Customer Experience: Carvana's focus on customer experience and convenience enhances customer loyalty.

What Does CVNA Do?

Founded in 2012 and based in Tempe, Arizona, Carvana Co. has revolutionized the used car market with its innovative e-commerce platform. The company provides customers with a seamless online experience for buying, selling, and financing used vehicles. Carvana's platform offers a wide selection of vehicles, detailed inspection reports, and a 7-day return policy, enhancing customer trust and convenience. Carvana's services include vehicle acquisition through direct purchases from consumers and auctions, rigorous inspection and reconditioning processes, and a user-friendly online shopping experience. The company also provides financing options, complementary products like extended warranties, and a sophisticated logistics network to deliver vehicles directly to customers or to its signature car vending machines. Carvana's post-sale customer support ensures a hassle-free ownership experience, solidifying its position as a leader in the online used car market. The company operates auction sites to manage inventory and optimize its vehicle acquisition strategy.

What Products and Services Does CVNA Offer?

  • Operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars.
  • Offers vehicle acquisition services through direct purchases and auctions.
  • Provides vehicle inspection and reconditioning services.
  • Offers online search and shopping experience for used cars.
  • Provides financing options for used car purchases.
  • Offers complementary products like extended warranties.
  • Manages a logistics network for vehicle delivery.
  • Provides post-sale customer support services.

How Does CVNA Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of used cars through its online platform.
  • Earns revenue from financing services offered to customers.
  • Generates revenue from the sale of complementary products and services.
  • Acquires vehicles through direct purchases from consumers and auctions.

What Industry Does CVNA Operate In?

Carvana Co. operates within the auto dealership industry, which is undergoing a significant transformation driven by e-commerce and changing consumer preferences. The used car market is substantial, with increasing demand for online buying experiences. Carvana competes with traditional dealerships and other online platforms. The industry is characterized by intense competition, with companies focusing on enhancing customer experience, offering competitive pricing, and leveraging technology to streamline operations. Carvana's innovative approach and focus on digital solutions position it favorably in this evolving landscape.

Who Are CVNA's Key Customers?

  • Individuals looking to buy used cars online.
  • Individuals looking to sell their used cars.
  • Customers seeking financing options for used car purchases.
  • Customers looking for a convenient and hassle-free car buying experience.
Model self-rating on this text: 74% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 44 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 50?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.50 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.47 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.60 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.60 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.15 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 47
2026-08-26 48
2026-08-29 48
2026-09-01 49
2026-09-04 50
2026-09-07 50
2026-09-10 50

What changed?

The grade moved from 47 to 50 (+3).

What moved it up or down:

  • +28 Momentum
  • +2 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -11 Valuation
  • -1 Financial Strength

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +5.1%.

Company Profile

Carvana Co. operates in the Auto - Dealerships industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Tempe, US. The company is led by CEO Ernest C. Garcia. CVNA has traded publicly since 2017.

ROE 60%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Carvana Co. stands at 60.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CVNA trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.28, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. A current ratio of 4.09 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

CVNA Valuation & Market Position

With a $77.1B market cap, Carvana Co. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $67.00 to $120.00, with a consensus of $84.55. At the current price of $70.27, that implies approximately 20% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, CVNA's quantitative score of 50/100 is below the peer average of 64/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Carvana Co.

Revenue for Carvana Co. came in at $7.38B during Q2 FY2026, a 14.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $310.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.42. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Consumer Cyclical company. Across the four most recent quarters, CVNA averaged $0.43 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Carvana Co.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 7.15 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Carvana Co. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 13.2% above estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Carvana Co. insiders filed 100 SEC Form 4 transactions — 78 sales and 22 purchases. On net that is roughly 288K shares acquired (about $35.6M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

CVNA Financials

Next earnings report:

CVNA earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+48.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+493.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+7.5%
P/E (TTM)
24.28
Return on Equity (TTM)
+60.2%
Current Ratio
4.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative e-commerce platform
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive logistics network
  • Customer-centric approach

Bear Case

  • High debt levels
  • Dependence on used car market conditions
  • Operational challenges in scaling
  • High marketing expenses

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Looking toward Q2 and assuming the environment remains stable, we expect a sequential increase in both retail units sold and adjusted EBITDA, leading to all-time company records on both metrics. We remain on track to deliver significant growth in both retail units sold and adjusted EBITDA in full year 2026.”

— Mark Jenkins, CFO

“The first quarter was another outstanding quarter for Carvana. It was another quarter full of records, including a record 187,000 cars sold in a single quarter, a record GAAP operating income of $581 million and record adjusted EBITDA of $672 million, and it was our ninth straight quarter of being the most profitable and fastest-growing automotive retailer as well as our sixth straight quarter of 40% year-over-year g…”

— Ernest Garcia, CEO

CVNA Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-29

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $7.38B $310M $0.42
Q1 FY2026 $6.43B $250M $0.34
Q4 FY2025 $5.60B $857M $0.76
Q3 FY2025 $5.65B $151M $0.21

Q2 FY2026 · filed 29 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CVNA Latest News

CVNA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for CVNA.

Price Targets

Low
$67.00
Consensus
$84.55
High
$120.00

Median: $82.00 (+20.3% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

CVNA MoonshotScore

50/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. CVNA scores 50/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Carvana Co. Analysis

Leadership: Ernest C. Garcia

CEO

Ernest C. Garcia has served as the CEO of Carvana Co. since its inception. He brings extensive experience in the automotive industry, having previously held leadership positions at DriveTime Automotive Group, a large used car retailer. Garcia's strategic vision and leadership have been instrumental in Carvana's growth and success. He has focused on leveraging technology and innovation to transform the used car buying experience. His expertise in finance and operations has enabled Carvana to scale its business and expand its market presence.

Track Record: Under Ernest Garcia's leadership, Carvana has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its geographic footprint, increasing its market share, and developing its proprietary e-commerce platform. He has overseen the company's growth from a startup to a publicly traded company with a multi-billion dollar market capitalization. Garcia has also focused on building a strong company culture and attracting top talent to support Carvana's growth. His strategic decisions have positioned Carvana as a leader in the online used car market.

Common Questions About CVNA (Consumer Cyclical)

What does the AI Score mean for CVNA?

CVNA holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Carvana Co. operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States.

Is CVNA a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate CVNA buy, sell or hold. Carvana Co. carries a MoonshotScore of 50/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Carvana Co. do?

Carvana Co. operates as an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company provides an end-to-end online experience, allowing customers to browse, finance, purchase, and schedule delivery or pickup of used vehicles from the comfort of their homes.

What do analysts say about CVNA stock?

Analyst consensus on Carvana Co. (CVNA) stock is mixed, reflecting the company's high growth potential and inherent risks. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 24.28, suggest a premium valuation based on future earnings expectations.

What are the main risks for CVNA?

Carvana Co. faces several key risks, including intense competition in the used car market from both traditional dealerships and other online platforms.

What are the key factors to evaluate for CVNA?

Carvana Co. (CVNA) holds an AI score of 50/100 (moderate). P/E: 24.28x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $84.55 (+20%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does CVNA data refresh on this page?

CVNA's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven CVNA's recent stock price performance?

Carvana Co. (CVNA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative e-commerce platform. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider CVNA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Carvana Co. (CVNA) trades at 24.28x earnings. Analysts target $84.55 (+20%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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