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Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$5.10 -$0.00 (-0.00%) |Weak · 31
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (47/100) while the AI fundamental score is 31/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $673M| P/E Ratio: 32.20| Vol: 1.1M| Target: $10.00 (+96.1%) (Aug 27, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $4.18 – $6.14

P/E 32.20 means the share price is 32.20 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $673M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.22: the stock has moved about 78% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) trades at $5.10 with MoonshotScore 31/100 (Grade D). Market cap: $673M, Sector: Energy.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is an energy company focused on managing private funds with interests in oil and gas exploration and production across various U.S. plays. Based in Dallas, Texas, the company operates with a small team and aims to capitalize on market opportunities in the oil and gas sector.

GRNT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $10.00 for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc, suggesting 96.1% upside from the current price of $5.10. The AI MoonshotScore is 31/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the GRNT film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 47/100 · C

GRNT: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 31/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Financial Safety (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOTyler S. Farquharson
Employees6
HeadquartersDallas, TX, US
IPO Year2020
SectorEnergy

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. specializes in managing private funds for oil and gas exploration and production, emphasizing strategic investments in key U.S. plays such as the Midland and Delaware basins, while maintaining a focus on operational efficiency and market adaptability.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GRNT?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. presents a unique investment thesis centered on its strategic focus on oil and gas exploration and production in several key U.S. plays. The company operates with a market capitalization of approximately $0.70 billion and a dividend yield of 8.80%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. With a gross margin of 23.6%, Granite Ridge demonstrates its ability to maintain profitability despite the challenges of the energy sector, where profit margins can be volatile. The company’s diversified interests across multiple plays provide a buffer against localized downturns, while its operational efficiency, evidenced by a low beta of 0.22, suggests resilience in turbulent market conditions. Growth catalysts include potential increases in oil prices driven by global demand recovery and strategic asset acquisitions in high-potential regions. However, risks such as fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory challenges in the energy sector must be carefully monitored. Overall, Granite Ridge's focused approach and strong financial metrics position it well for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GRNT Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $673M reflects a stable presence in the energy sector.

  • Profit margin of -7.1% indicates current challenges but highlights potential for operational improvements.
  • Gross margin of 23.6% demonstrates efficiency in managing production costs.
  • Dividend yield of 8.80% showcases commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
  • Low beta of 0.22 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Who Are GRNT's Competitors?

GRNT is benchmarked below against 3 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
PXD Pioneer Natural Resources Company $269.62 +0.73% $63.0B
EOG EOG Resources, Inc. $147.46 +0.30% $78.5B 945-pillar
CLR Continental Resources, Inc. $74.27 +0.04%

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are GRNT's Key Strengths?

Focused investment strategy in high-potential oil and gas plays.

  • Strong operational efficiency with a low employee count.
  • Commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends.

What Are GRNT's Weaknesses?

Small team size may limit operational capacity and scalability.

  • Current negative profit margin indicates challenges in cost management.
  • Dependence on commodity price fluctuations can impact profitability.

What Could Drive GRNT Stock Higher?

Increased drilling activity in the Midland Basin as oil prices stabilize.

  • Strategic asset management initiatives to optimize production efficiency.
  • Potential regulatory changes that could favor oil and gas exploration.

What Are the Key Risks for GRNT?

Negative return on equity (-4.7%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 32.20 runs well above the Energy sector’s ~15.80x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Fluctuating oil prices may impact revenue and profit margins.
  • Environmental regulations could impose additional operational costs.
  • Competition from larger firms may limit market share growth.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GRNT?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The Midland Basin is projected to see significant investment growth, with estimates suggesting a market size increase of 15% annually over the next five years. Granite Ridge's established presence in this region positions it to benefit from increased drilling activity and production enhancements, leveraging its operational expertise to maximize returns.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The Delaware Basin continues to attract attention due to its rich reserves and favorable geology, with the market expected to grow by 12% per year. Granite Ridge's strategic investments in this area can yield substantial returns as the demand for oil and gas persists, providing a competitive edge in exploration efforts.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The Bakken play remains a vital area for oil production, with forecasts indicating a market growth rate of 10% annually. Granite Ridge's involvement in this play allows it to tap into ongoing innovations in extraction technologies, enhancing production efficiency and profitability.
  • Growth opportunity 4: The Eagle Ford Shale is anticipated to experience a resurgence, with projections of a 9% annual growth rate as operators seek to optimize production techniques. Granite Ridge's investments in this region can capitalize on the increasing operational efficiencies being implemented by industry players.
  • Growth opportunity 5: The Haynesville play is poised for growth, driven by rising natural gas demand, with market expansion expected at 8% per year. Granite Ridge's strategic focus on this area aligns with broader energy trends, positioning the company to benefit from increased natural gas production and associated revenue streams.

What Opportunities Does GRNT Have?

  • Growing demand for oil and gas amid global economic recovery.
  • Potential for technological advancements to enhance production efficiency.
  • Strategic acquisitions in emerging oil and gas regions.

What Threats Does GRNT Face?

  • Volatility in oil and gas prices can adversely affect revenues.
  • Regulatory challenges and environmental concerns in the energy sector.
  • Competition from larger integrated oil companies with greater resources.

What Are GRNT's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established presence in multiple high-potential oil and gas plays.
  • Operational efficiency demonstrated by a low beta, indicating stability.
  • Strategic focus on asset management and investment optimization.

What Does GRNT Do?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. was established to manage private funds with a strategic focus on oil and gas exploration and production. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and has developed a portfolio that includes interests in several prominent oil and gas plays, including the Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville regions. Over the years, Granite Ridge has positioned itself as a nimble player in the energy sector, leveraging its expertise to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities in these high-potential areas. With a small team of just three employees, the company emphasizes operational efficiency and strategic decision-making to navigate the complexities of the oil and gas market. Granite Ridge's investment strategy is centered on acquiring and managing assets that can yield strong returns in a fluctuating market environment. The company's focus on exploration and production allows it to tap into the growing demand for energy resources while managing risks associated with price volatility in the oil and gas sector. As the energy landscape continues to evolve, Granite Ridge remains committed to adapting its strategies to ensure sustainable growth and profitability.

What Products and Services Does GRNT Offer?

  • Manage private funds focused on oil and gas exploration and production.
  • Invest in key U.S. oil and gas plays including Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville.
  • Identify and capitalize on strategic investment opportunities in the energy sector.
  • Focus on operational efficiency to maximize returns on investments.
  • Navigate market complexities to ensure sustainable growth.

How Does GRNT Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through investments in oil and gas exploration and production.
  • Leverage expertise to identify high-potential assets for acquisition.
  • Manage operational costs effectively to maintain profitability.
  • Return capital to shareholders through dividends and strategic asset management.

What Industry Does GRNT Operate In?

The oil and gas exploration and production industry is characterized by significant fluctuations in commodity prices, driven by global supply and demand dynamics. As of 2026, the industry is experiencing a recovery phase following previous downturns, with increasing demand for fossil fuels amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions. Companies like Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. are strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends by focusing on high-potential areas such as the Midland and Delaware basins, which are known for their rich reserves. The competitive landscape includes both large integrated oil companies and smaller independent operators, with each vying for market share in a sector that is expected to grow steadily over the next decade, driven by rising energy needs.

Who Are GRNT's Key Customers?

  • Institutional investors seeking exposure to oil and gas markets.
  • Private equity funds looking for strategic partnerships in energy investments.
  • Energy companies requiring capital for exploration and production activities.
Model self-rating on this text: 65% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 31?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.54 Dividend yield (Valuation)
  • +0.18 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.17 Operating income growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.43 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • -0.30 Free cash flow yield (Valuation)
  • -0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.20 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.24 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc Financial Trajectory

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) reported $149.3M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 16.4% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $30.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.23. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Energy company. Across the four most recent quarters, GRNT averaged $-0.05 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Dallas, US. The company is led by CEO Tyler S. Farquharson. GRNT has traded publicly since 2020.

How Granite Ridge Resources, Inc Is Valued

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc carries a market capitalization of $673M, placing it in the small-cap category.

ROE -5%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc stands at -4.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -11.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.02 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -4.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

GRNT Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Focused investment strategy in high-potential oil and gas plays.
  • Strong operational efficiency with a low employee count.
  • Commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends.
  • Upcoming: Increased drilling activity in the Midland Basin as oil prices stabilize.

Bear Case

  • Small team size may limit operational capacity and scalability.
  • Current negative profit margin indicates challenges in cost management.
  • Dependence on commodity price fluctuations can impact profitability.
  • Potential: Fluctuating oil prices may impact revenue and profit margins.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $149M $30M $0.23
Q1 FY2026 $128M -$47M -$0.36
Q4 FY2025 $105M -$25M -$0.19
Q3 FY2025 $113M $15M $0.11

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GRNT Latest News

No recent news available for GRNT.

GRNT Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for GRNT.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $10.00

GRNT MoonshotScore

31/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. GRNT scores 31/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Tyler S. Farquharson

CEO

Tyler S. Farquharson has extensive experience in the energy sector, having held various leadership roles in oil and gas exploration and production companies. He holds a degree in Petroleum Engineering and has a strong background in managing investment funds focused on energy assets. His strategic vision has been instrumental in guiding Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. through the complexities of the oil and gas market.

Track Record: Under Tyler's leadership, Granite Ridge has successfully navigated challenging market conditions while maintaining a focus on operational efficiency and shareholder returns. His strategic decisions have positioned the company for growth in key U.S. oil and gas plays.

What Investors Ask About Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) — Energy

What does the AI Score mean for GRNT?

GRNT holds an AI Score of 31/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is GRNT a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate GRNT buy, sell or hold. Granite Ridge Resources, Inc carries a MoonshotScore of 31/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Granite Ridge Resources, Inc do?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. specializes in managing private funds that invest in oil and gas exploration and production. The company focuses on key U.S. plays such as the Midland, Delaware, Bakken, Eagle Ford, DJ, and Haynesville regions, aiming to capitalize on market opportunities and generate returns for its investors.

What do analysts say about GRNT stock?

Analysts generally view Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. as a company with potential due to its strategic focus on high-potential oil and gas plays. Key valuation metrics indicate a market cap of $673M and a dividend yield of 8.80%, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns.

What are the main risks for GRNT?

The primary risks for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. include fluctuating oil prices, which can significantly affect revenue and profit margins. The competitive landscape poses another risk, as larger firms may limit Granite Ridge's ability to capture market share in the oil and gas sector.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GRNT?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) holds an AI score of 31/100 (low). P/E: 32.20x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $10.00 (+96%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does GRNT data refresh on this page?

GRNT's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven GRNT's recent stock price performance?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focused investment strategy in high-potential oil and gas plays. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GRNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) trades at 32.20x earnings. Analysts target $10.00 (+96%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available financial and operational information.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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