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Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$54.27 $0.00 (0.00%) |CouncilSplit View · 47 · C
Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (47/100) while the AI fundamental score is 41/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $52.0B| P/E Ratio: 8.90| Vol: 199| Target: $63.43 (+16.9%) (Sep 1, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $48.77 – $72.81

P/E 8.90 means the share price is 8.90 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $52.0B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 16, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) trades at $54.27 with MoonshotScore 41/100 (Grade C). Mercedes-Benz Group AG is a global automotive leader, manufacturing and selling premium and luxury vehicles under brands like Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, and Mercedes-Maybach. Market cap: $52.0B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Mercedes-Benz Group AG is a global automotive leader, manufacturing and selling premium and luxury vehicles under brands like Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, and Mercedes-Maybach. The company also provides financing, leasing, and mobility services.

MBGAF stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $63.43 for Mercedes-Benz Group AG, suggesting 16.9% upside from the current price of $54.27. The AI MoonshotScore is 41/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MBGAF film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 47/100 · C

MBGAF: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) Consumer Business Overview

CEOOla Kallenius
Employees164,120
HeadquartersStuttgart, DE
IPO Year1998

Mercedes-Benz Group AG, a global automotive manufacturer based in Germany, focuses on premium and luxury vehicles, including electric models under the Mercedes-EQ brand. With a strong brand portfolio and integrated financial services, the company competes in a dynamic market undergoing electrification and technological transformation.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MBGAF?

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's current P/E ratio of 8.90 suggests a potentially undervalued stock relative to its peers. A high dividend yield of 7.84% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include the increasing demand for luxury electric vehicles and the expansion of Mercedes-Benz's digital services. However, potential risks include increasing competition in the EV market and macroeconomic factors affecting consumer spending on luxury goods.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MBGAF Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $52.0B reflects its significant presence in the global automotive industry.

  • P/E Ratio of 8.90 indicates a potentially undervalued stock compared to industry averages.
  • Dividend Yield of 7.84% provides a substantial income stream for investors.
  • Gross Margin of 17.2% demonstrates the company's ability to maintain profitability in a competitive market.
  • Employs 163,132 people globally, showcasing its large-scale operations and economic impact.

Who Are MBGAF's Competitors?

MBGAF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
BAMXF Bayerische Motoren Werke AG $73.46 0.00% $44.0B 419-signal
DRPRF Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG $52.62 0.00% $47.9B 489-signal
HNDAF Honda Motor Co., Ltd. $9.90 -7.30% $42.8B
F Ford Motor Company $13.90 +3.35% $55.4B 425-pillar
VLKAF Volkswagen AG $94.86 -1.30% $48.3B 399-signal
MAHMF Mahindra & Mahindra Limited $33.75 0.00% $40.5B 459-signal
TYIDY Toyota Industries Corporation $128.96 0.00% $38.8B 529-signal
RACE Ferrari N.V. $408.64 +1.57% $71.9B 885-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are MBGAF's Key Strengths?

Strong brand reputation and heritage.

  • Extensive global dealer network.
  • Leading position in the luxury vehicle segment.
  • Technological innovation in electric vehicles and autonomous driving.

What Are MBGAF's Weaknesses?

High production costs compared to some competitors.

  • Dependence on traditional combustion engine vehicles.
  • Exposure to cyclical demand in the automotive industry.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.

What Could Drive MBGAF Stock Higher?

Launch of new electric vehicle models under the Mercedes-EQ brand in 2026.

  • Expansion of digital services offerings, including connected car features and mobility solutions.
  • Growth in emerging markets, such as China and India.
  • Advancements in autonomous driving technology.
  • Government incentives and regulations supporting the adoption of electric vehicles.

What Are the Key Risks for MBGAF?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.27 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Increasing competition in the electric vehicle market.
  • Rising raw material costs, particularly for battery components.
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on luxury goods.
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting production and delivery.
  • Evolving regulatory requirements related to emissions and safety.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MBGAF?

  • Expansion of Electric Vehicle Portfolio: Mercedes-Benz is investing heavily in the development and production of electric vehicles under the Mercedes-EQ brand. The global EV market is projected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by increasing consumer demand and government incentives. By expanding its EV portfolio, Mercedes-Benz can capture a larger share of this growing market and reduce its reliance on traditional combustion engine vehicles. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with new EV models being launched regularly.
  • Growth in Digital Services: Mercedes-Benz is expanding its digital services offerings, including connected car features, over-the-air software updates, and personalized mobility solutions. These services provide recurring revenue streams and enhance the customer experience. The market for connected car services is expected to grow rapidly as vehicles become increasingly integrated with the internet and mobile devices. Mercedes-Benz can leverage its strong brand and customer base to capture a significant share of this market. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with new digital services being added continuously.
  • Increased Focus on Autonomous Driving Technology: Mercedes-Benz is investing in the development of autonomous driving technology, which has the potential to revolutionize the automotive industry. Autonomous vehicles could improve safety, reduce traffic congestion, and enhance mobility for people who are unable to drive themselves. The market for autonomous driving technology is still in its early stages, but it is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years. Mercedes-Benz can leverage its engineering expertise and partnerships to become a leader in this field. The timeline for significant autonomous driving capabilities is estimated to be in the next 5-10 years.
  • Growth in Emerging Markets: Mercedes-Benz is expanding its presence in emerging markets, such as China and India, where demand for luxury vehicles is growing rapidly. These markets offer significant growth opportunities for Mercedes-Benz, as they have a large and growing middle class with increasing disposable income. By expanding its presence in these markets, Mercedes-Benz can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on developed markets. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with Mercedes-Benz investing in new production facilities and sales networks in emerging markets.
  • Expansion of Mobility Services: Mercedes-Benz is expanding its mobility services offerings, including car sharing, ride hailing, and subscription services. These services provide customers with flexible and convenient transportation options. The market for mobility services is expected to grow rapidly as urbanization increases and consumers seek alternatives to traditional car ownership. Mercedes-Benz can leverage its brand and technology to capture a significant share of this market. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with Mercedes-Benz launching new mobility services in various cities around the world.

What Are MBGAF's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand reputation and recognition for luxury and quality.
  • Extensive global dealer network providing sales and service support.
  • Technological innovation in areas such as electric vehicles and autonomous driving.
  • Established customer loyalty and brand advocacy.

What Does MBGAF Do?

Founded in 1886 and headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany, Mercedes-Benz Group AG, formerly known as Daimler AG, has evolved into a leading global automotive manufacturer. The company's core business revolves around developing, manufacturing, and selling premium and luxury passenger cars under the Mercedes-Benz brand, which includes high-performance Mercedes-AMG vehicles, the exclusive G-Class, ultra-luxury Mercedes-Maybach models, and the electric Mercedes-EQ range. Additionally, Mercedes-Benz produces small cars under the smart brand and commercial vans under the Mercedes-Benz and Freightliner brands. Beyond vehicle sales, the company offers a comprehensive suite of related spare parts and accessories. Mercedes-Benz also provides a range of financial services, including financing and leasing packages for both end-customers and dealers, automotive insurance brokerage, and banking services. Furthermore, the company is involved in car subscription and rental services, fleet management, and digital services for charging, payment, and mobility solutions. The Mercedes me ecosystem enhances the ownership experience with connected car features and personalized services. With a global presence and a focus on innovation, Mercedes-Benz is navigating the evolving automotive landscape by investing in electric vehicles, autonomous driving technologies, and digital mobility solutions.

What Products and Services Does MBGAF Offer?

  • Develops and manufactures premium and luxury passenger cars under the Mercedes-Benz brand.
  • Produces high-performance vehicles under the Mercedes-AMG sub-brand.
  • Manufactures ultra-luxury vehicles under the Mercedes-Maybach sub-brand.
  • Develops and produces electric vehicles under the Mercedes-EQ brand.
  • Manufactures small cars under the smart brand.
  • Produces commercial vans under the Mercedes-Benz and Freightliner brands.
  • Provides financing and leasing packages for customers and dealers.
  • Offers automotive insurance brokerage and banking services.

How Does MBGAF Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of new and used vehicles.
  • Earns revenue from providing financing and leasing services.
  • Generates revenue from after-sales services, such as maintenance and repairs.
  • Earns revenue from the sale of spare parts and accessories.

What Industry Does MBGAF Operate In?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates in the highly competitive automotive industry, which is undergoing a significant transformation driven by electrification, autonomous driving, and connectivity. The luxury vehicle segment, where Mercedes-Benz holds a strong position, is expected to continue growing, albeit with increasing competition from both established players and new entrants like Tesla. The industry is also facing challenges related to supply chain disruptions, rising raw material costs, and evolving regulatory requirements. Mercedes-Benz's success will depend on its ability to innovate, adapt to changing consumer preferences, and navigate the complex regulatory landscape.

Who Are MBGAF's Key Customers?

  • Individual consumers seeking premium and luxury vehicles.
  • Businesses and corporations purchasing vehicles for their fleets.
  • Dealers who sell Mercedes-Benz vehicles to end customers.
  • Customers utilizing financing and leasing services.
Model self-rating on this text: 81% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 60/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 73 days ago
  • Covered by analysts
  • Reported in EUR, converted to USD

Why 41?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 41
2026-08-26 41
2026-08-29 41
2026-09-01 41
2026-09-04 41
2026-09-07 41
2026-09-10 41

What changed?

The score has stayed at 41.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +2.9%.

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) Valuation Context

Valued at $52.0B, MBGAF is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, MBGAF's quantitative score of 41/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 51/100.

MBGAF Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, MBGAF generated $37.14B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 0.9%. The company recorded net income of $1.23B, with diluted EPS of $1.29. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, MBGAF averaged $1.51 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates in the Auto - Manufacturers industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Stuttgart, DE. The company is led by CEO Ola Kallenius. MBGAF has traded publicly since 1998.

ROE 5%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Mercedes-Benz Group AG stands at 5.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. MBGAF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.90, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 21.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.39 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 11.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Mercedes-Benz Group AG's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.27 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Mercedes-Benz Group AG has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 0.7% above estimates on average.

MBGAF Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-9.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-49.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
-47.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+38.0%
P/E (TTM)
8.90
Return on Equity (TTM)
+5.3%
Current Ratio
1.4
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand reputation and heritage.
  • Extensive global dealer network.
  • Leading position in the luxury vehicle segment.
  • Technological innovation in electric vehicles and autonomous driving.

Bear Case

  • High production costs compared to some competitors.
  • Dependence on traditional combustion engine vehicles.
  • Exposure to cyclical demand in the automotive industry.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $37.14B $1.23B $1.29
Q1 FY2026 $36.81B $1.65B $1.73
Q4 FY2025 $39.03B $1.59B $1.60
Q3 FY2025 $37.30B $1.36B $1.41

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jun 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from EUR at today's rate

MBGAF Latest News

MBGAF Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MBGAF.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $63.43

MBGAF MoonshotScore

41/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MBGAF scores 41/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Latest Mercedes-Benz Group AG Analysis

Leadership: Ola Kallenius

Chairman of the Board of Management

Ola Källenius has been Chairman of the Board of Management of Mercedes-Benz Group AG since 2019. He joined the former Daimler AG in 1993 and has held various management positions within the company, including Head of Mercedes-Benz Cars Marketing & Sales and Head of Group Research & Mercedes-Benz Cars Development. He holds degrees in International Management and Finance & Accounting from the Stockholm School of Economics and the University of St. Gallen.

Track Record: Under Ola Källenius's leadership, Mercedes-Benz Group AG has accelerated its transition to electric mobility and has focused on increasing profitability and efficiency. He has overseen the launch of several new electric vehicle models and has implemented cost-cutting measures to improve the company's financial performance. He also led the strategic decision to rename Daimler AG to Mercedes-Benz Group AG in 2022.

MBGAF OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) may have limited regulatory oversight and reporting requirements compared to companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. Companies in this tier may not meet the minimum financial standards or disclosure requirements necessary for listing on higher-tier exchanges, leading to increased risks for investors. This tier often includes companies with limited operating history, smaller market capitalization, or those that have been delisted from major exchanges. Investors should exercise extreme caution and conduct thorough due diligence before investing in OTC Other securities.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: As an OTC stock, MBGAF may experience lower trading volumes and wider bid-ask spreads compared to exchange-listed stocks. This can make it more difficult to buy or sell shares quickly and at a desired price. The limited liquidity can also increase price volatility, making the stock more susceptible to large price swings. Investors should be aware of these liquidity challenges and consider the potential impact on their investment strategy.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited regulatory oversight and disclosure requirements.
  • Lower trading volumes and wider bid-ask spreads.
  • Increased price volatility.
  • Potential for fraud or manipulation.
  • Difficulty in obtaining reliable information about the company.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's registration and legal status.
  • Review the company's financial statements, if available.
  • Research the company's management team and their track record.
  • Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC securities.
  • Consult with a qualified financial advisor.
  • Check for any regulatory actions or legal proceedings against the company.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established brand recognition and reputation.
  • Global operations and presence in multiple markets.
  • Listing on a foreign stock exchange (e.g., Frankfurt Stock Exchange).
  • Availability of some financial information, even if limited.
  • Active investor relations and communication efforts.

Mercedes-Benz Group AG Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for MBGAF?

MBGAF holds an AI Score of 41/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Is MBGAF a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MBGAF buy, sell or hold. Mercedes-Benz Group AG carries a MoonshotScore of 41/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What is MBGAF's dividend and shareholder return track record?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG has a history of providing attractive shareholder returns through dividends. The company's dividend policy aims to distribute a significant portion of its profits to shareholders.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MBGAF?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) holds a MoonshotScore of 41/100 (low). P/E: 8.90x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $63.43 (+17%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does MBGAF data refresh on this page?

MBGAF's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MBGAF's recent stock price performance?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand reputation and heritage. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MBGAF overvalued or undervalued right now?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) trades at 8.90x earnings. Analysts target $63.43 (+17%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MBGAF?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MBGAF's earnings and financial reports?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGAF) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MBGAF earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC market data may be less reliable than exchange-listed data.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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