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Mercer International Inc. (MERC) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$0.3768 -$0.0068 (-1.77%) |Weak · 24
Mercer International Inc. (MERC) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (30/100) and AI Score (24/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $25.2M| Vol: 677.6K| Target: $1.13 (+199.9%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $0.35 – $3.29

Market cap $25.2M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.78: the stock has moved about 22% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) trades at $0.3768 with MoonshotScore 24/100 (Grade F). Mercer International Inc. is a global manufacturer of pulp and wood products, operating in Europe, the United States, and Asia. Market cap: $25.2M, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Mercer International Inc. is a global manufacturer of pulp and wood products, operating in Europe, the United States, and Asia. The company also generates green energy from biomass.

MERC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $1.13 for Mercer International Inc., suggesting 199.9% upside from the current price of $0.38. The AI MoonshotScore is 24/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MERC film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 30/100 · D

MERC: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Momentum weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 24/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (2/10, Weak). Weakest side: Momentum (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Negative
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOJuan Carlos Bueno
Employees3,545
HeadquartersVancouver, BC, CA
IPO Year1988

Mercer International Inc. manufactures and sells NBSK pulp and wood products globally, with a focus on sustainable practices through biomass energy generation. Operating in a cyclical industry, Mercer caters to tissue, specialty paper, and construction markets, while navigating fluctuating commodity prices and demand.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MERC?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Mercer International Inc. presents a complex investment case. While the company operates in a cyclical industry and faces challenges related to fluctuating commodity prices, its focus on sustainable practices and diversified product offerings could provide long-term value. The company's dividend yield of 7.65% may attract income-seeking investors. However, the negative profit margin of -28.5% and gross margin of -3.7% raise concerns about profitability. Key catalysts include potential increases in pulp and lumber prices and further expansion into the green energy market. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve its financial performance and capitalize on growth opportunities in a competitive landscape.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MERC Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $25.2M indicates a small-cap company with potential for growth but also higher volatility.

  • Negative profit margin of -28.5% reflects current challenges in achieving profitability.
  • Gross margin of -3.7% suggests difficulties in managing production costs effectively.
  • Beta of 0.78 indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market.
  • Dividend yield of 7.65% offers an attractive income stream for investors, but sustainability depends on improved financial performance.

Who Are MERC's Competitors?

MERC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
IP International Paper Company $34.38 +0.26% $18.2B 415-pillar
WRK WestRock Company $51.51 +3.54% $13.3B
ICLTF GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. $1.29 -7.86% $29.9M 409-signal
NWGL Nature Wood Group Limited $1.33 +23.15% $38.4M 415-pillar
JCTC Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd. $2.93 -2.82% $10.3M 485-pillar
CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation $19.69 -1.15% $318M 575-pillar
IFSPF Interfor Corporation $10.31 +1.06% $678M 369-signal
MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. $12.30 -0.24% $678M 575-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are MERC's Key Strengths?

Green energy production capabilities.

  • Diversified product offerings (pulp and wood products).
  • Global presence in Europe, the United States, and Asia.
  • Established relationships with key customers.

What Are MERC's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • Exposure to cyclical industry dynamics.
  • Dependence on commodity prices.
  • High debt levels.

What Could Drive MERC Stock Higher?

Potential increase in pulp and lumber prices due to supply chain disruptions.

  • Expansion of green energy production capacity.
  • Potential strategic acquisitions to expand product portfolio.
  • Implementation of cost-reduction initiatives to improve profitability.

What Are the Key Risks for MERC?

Listing risk — at $0.3768 the shares sit below the $1.00 minimum bid NASDAQ requires for continued listing.

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.00 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Fluctuations in pulp and lumber prices impacting revenue and profitability.
  • Increased competition from lower-cost producers.
  • Changes in environmental regulations increasing compliance costs.
  • Economic downturns reducing demand for paper and construction materials.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MERC?

  • Expansion in Green Energy: Mercer's biomass cogeneration power plants offer a significant growth opportunity. As demand for renewable energy increases, Mercer can expand its green energy production and sales to third-party utilities. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Pulp Production Efficiency: Optimizing pulp production processes to reduce costs and increase efficiency can significantly improve Mercer's profitability. Investments in modernizing equipment and implementing advanced technologies can lead to higher yields and lower operating expenses. This can enhance Mercer's competitiveness in the global pulp market. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Mercer can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its product portfolio, geographic reach, and market share. Acquiring complementary businesses in the pulp, lumber, or green energy sectors can create synergies and enhance Mercer's overall value proposition. Due diligence and careful integration are crucial for successful acquisitions. Timeline: Potential.
  • Product Diversification: Diversifying into higher-value wood products, such as engineered wood products or specialty lumber, can improve Mercer's revenue mix and margins. These products often command higher prices and are less susceptible to commodity price fluctuations. Market research and product development are essential for successful diversification. Timeline: Potential.
  • Penetration of Asian Markets: Expanding sales and distribution networks in Asia, particularly in China and India, can tap into growing demand for pulp and wood products. These markets are experiencing rapid economic growth and increasing consumption of paper and construction materials. Establishing partnerships with local distributors can facilitate market entry. Timeline: Potential.

What Are MERC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Sustainable practices in green energy production.
  • Established relationships with pulp and lumber customers.
  • Strategic locations of manufacturing facilities.
  • Vertical integration in wood sourcing.

What Does MERC Do?

Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, Mercer International Inc. has evolved into a prominent player in the pulp and wood products industry. The company operates through two primary segments: Pulp and Wood Products. Mercer manufactures and sells northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp, which is used in the production of tissue, specialty paper, and printing and writing paper. The company sources its pulp primarily from wood chips, pulp logs, and sawlogs. In addition to pulp, Mercer manufactures and distributes lumber and other wood residuals, catering to distributors, construction firms, secondary manufacturers, retail yards, and home centers. A key aspect of Mercer's operations is its focus on sustainability. The company generates and sells green energy produced from its biomass cogeneration power plants to third-party utilities. This green energy is derived from carbon-neutral bio-fuels, such as black liquor and wood waste. Mercer also produces tall oil, a chemical additive and green energy source. Mercer's global reach extends across Europe, the United States, and Asia, allowing it to serve a diverse customer base and capitalize on regional market dynamics. The company's commitment to sustainable practices and diversified product offerings positions it as a notable player in the basic materials sector.

What Products and Services Does MERC Offer?

  • Manufactures and sells Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) pulp.
  • Produces lumber and other wood residuals.
  • Generates and sells green energy from biomass cogeneration power plants.
  • Sells pulp to tissue, specialty paper, and printing and writing paper manufacturers.
  • Distributes lumber products to distributors, construction firms, and retail yards.
  • Produces tall oil for use as a chemical additive and green energy source.

How Does MERC Make Money?

  • Manufactures and sells NBSK pulp to paper manufacturers.
  • Produces and sells lumber and wood residuals to distributors and construction companies.
  • Generates and sells green energy to third-party utilities.
  • Utilizes wood chips, pulp logs, and sawlogs as primary raw materials.

What Industry Does MERC Operate In?

Mercer International Inc. operates within the paper, lumber, and forest products industry, a sector characterized by cyclical demand and sensitivity to economic conditions. The industry faces ongoing trends such as increasing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly products, driven by environmental concerns and regulatory pressures. Competition is intense, with major players including [see competitors list]. Mercer's focus on NBSK pulp and wood products positions it within specific segments of this broader industry. The company's green energy generation also aligns with the growing emphasis on renewable energy sources. Overall, the industry is subject to fluctuations in commodity prices and global economic cycles.

Who Are MERC's Key Customers?

  • Tissue paper manufacturers
  • Specialty paper manufacturers
  • Printing and writing paper manufacturers
  • Distributors of lumber products
  • Construction firms
Model self-rating on this text: 82% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 85% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 24?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.25 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
  • +0.17 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • -0.74 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.65 Return on equity (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.99 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.42 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 41
2026-08-26 41
2026-08-29 41
2026-09-01 24
2026-09-04 23
2026-09-07 24
2026-09-10 24

What changed?

The grade moved from 41 to 24 (-17).

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -9.8%.

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) Valuation Context

Valued at $25.2M, MERC is classified as a micro-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $1.00 to $1.25, with a consensus of $1.13. At the current price of $0.38, that implies approximately 200% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MERC's quantitative score of 24/100 is below the peer average of 46/100.

MERC Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, MERC generated $460.3M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 5.9%. The company recorded a net loss of $76.0M, with diluted EPS of $-1.13. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Basic Materials. Across the four most recent quarters, MERC averaged $-1.93 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Mercer International Inc. operates in the Paper, Lumber & Forest Products industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Vancouver, CA. The company is led by CEO Juan Carlos Bueno. MERC has traded publicly since 1988.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -26.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. A current ratio of 2.17 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Mercer International Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.00 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

1/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Mercer International Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 70.0% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Mercer International Inc. insiders filed 39 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 39 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.9M shares acquired (about $1.3M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

MERC Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-8.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-484.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
-485.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-243.0%
Current Ratio
2.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Green energy production capabilities.
  • Diversified product offerings (pulp and wood products).
  • Global presence in Europe, the United States, and Asia.
  • Established relationships with key customers.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin.
  • Exposure to cyclical industry dynamics.
  • Dependence on commodity prices.
  • High debt levels.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $460M -$76M -$1.13
Q1 FY2026 $489M -$52M -$0.78
Q4 FY2025 $450M -$309M -$4.61
Q3 FY2025 $458M -$81M -$1.21

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MERC Latest News

MERC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MERC.

Price Targets

Low
$1.00
Consensus
$1.13
High
$1.25

Median: $1.13 (+199.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

MERC MoonshotScore

24/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MERC scores 24/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Juan Carlos Bueno

CEO

Juan Carlos Bueno is the Chief Executive Officer of Mercer International Inc. He brings extensive experience in the pulp and paper industry, with a background in operations, sales, and marketing. Prior to joining Mercer, he held leadership positions at major pulp and paper companies, where he focused on driving growth and improving operational efficiency. He has a proven track record of strategic decision-making and successful execution.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Juan Carlos Bueno has focused on improving Mercer's financial performance and expanding its presence in key markets. He has overseen initiatives to optimize production processes, reduce costs, and enhance the company's sustainability efforts. Under his leadership, Mercer has also explored strategic acquisitions and partnerships to drive growth.

What Investors Ask About Mercer International Inc. (MERC) — Basic Materials

What does the AI Score mean for MERC?

MERC holds an AI Score of 24/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is MERC a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MERC buy, sell or hold. Mercer International Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 24/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Mercer International Inc. do?

Mercer International Inc. is a global manufacturer of pulp and wood products. The company operates through two segments: Pulp and Wood Products. It produces northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp, which is sold to tissue, specialty paper, and printing and writing paper manufacturers.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MERC?

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) holds a MoonshotScore of 24/100 (low). Analysts target $1.13 (+200%). Mercer International Inc. presents a complex investment case. Not financial advice.

How frequently does MERC data refresh on this page?

MERC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MERC's recent stock price performance?

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Green energy production capabilities. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MERC overvalued or undervalued right now?

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $1.13 (+200%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MERC?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Mercer International Inc. (MERC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MERC's earnings and financial reports?

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MERC earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data based on the most recent available information.
  • Industry analysis based on current market trends and expert opinions.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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