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MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$119.68 +$0.25 (+0.21%) |Strong · 74
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (66/100) and AI Score (74/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $6.68B| P/E Ratio: 24.92| Vol: 742K| Target: $145.00 (+21.2%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $78.80 – $130.46

P/E 24.92 means the share price is 24.92 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $6.68B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.78: the stock has moved about 22% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) trades at $119.68 with MoonshotScore 74/100 (Grade A). MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services. Market cap: $6.68B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services. The company serves a diverse customer base across North America and the United Kingdom through its extensive distribution network and e-commerce platform.

MSM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $145.00 for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., suggesting 21.2% upside from the current price of $119.68. The AI MoonshotScore is 74/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MSM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 66/100 · B+

MSM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 74/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOMartina McIsaac
Employees7,181
HeadquartersMelville, NY, US
IPO Year1995

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. distributes a comprehensive range of metalworking and MRO products, serving diverse industries through its extensive network of branches, fulfillment centers, and e-commerce channels. The company's focus on inventory management solutions and value-added services differentiates it within the industrial distribution sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MSM?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a current market capitalization of $6.68B and a P/E ratio of 24.92, the company demonstrates financial stability. A dividend yield of 3.32% offers investors an attractive income stream. Growth catalysts include expansion of e-commerce capabilities and strategic acquisitions to broaden product lines. Potential risks involve economic downturns affecting manufacturing and increased competition from online retailers. Investors should monitor MSC's ability to maintain its gross margin of 40.8% and adapt to changing market dynamics.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MSM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $6.68B reflects MSC's significant presence in the industrial distribution sector.

  • P/E Ratio of 24.92 indicates investor expectations for future earnings growth.
  • Gross Margin of 40.8% demonstrates effective cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Dividend Yield of 3.32% provides an attractive income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 0.78 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, indicating relative stability.

Who Are MSM's Competitors?

MSM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
POWL Powell Industries, Inc. $176.89 -1.87% $6.44B 765-pillar
ENS EnerSys $179.02 -0.04% $6.53B 885-pillar
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. $115.23 -1.76% $5.88B 745-pillar
OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. $98.13 -1.23% $4.74B 925-pillar
RAL Ralliant Corp. $64.68 -3.46% $7.16B
POOL Pool Corporation $175.76 -1.21% $6.41B 715-pillar
CNM Core & Main, Inc. $40.65 -0.50% $7.61B 685-pillar
FINGF Finning International Inc. $67.43 +0.78% $8.80B 489-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are MSM's Key Strengths?

Extensive product range and distribution network

  • Strong relationships with suppliers and customers
  • Value-added services such as inventory management solutions
  • Established presence in North America and the United Kingdom

What Are MSM's Weaknesses?

Dependence on manufacturing activity

  • Exposure to economic cycles
  • Competition from online retailers
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions

What Could Drive MSM Stock Higher?

Expansion of e-commerce platform to drive online sales growth.

  • Strategic acquisitions to broaden product lines and geographic reach.
  • Development and marketing of new value-added services.
  • Potential for increased manufacturing activity driving demand for MRO products.
  • Government infrastructure projects boosting demand for industrial supplies.

What Are the Key Risks for MSM?

Economic downturns affecting manufacturing activity and demand for MRO products.

  • Increased competition from online retailers and other distributors.
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices impacting profitability.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting product availability.
  • Changes in government regulations impacting operations and compliance costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MSM?

  • Expansion of E-commerce Platform: MSC can further capitalize on the growing trend of online purchasing in the industrial sector by enhancing its e-commerce platform, mscdirect.com. This includes improving user experience, expanding product offerings, and implementing advanced search and recommendation algorithms.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: MSC can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its product lines, geographic reach, and customer base. By acquiring complementary businesses, MSC can enhance its competitive position and create synergies. The industrial distribution market is fragmented, offering numerous acquisition opportunities for MSC to consolidate its position and drive long-term growth. This includes acquiring companies with specialized product offerings or strong regional presence.
  • Enhanced Inventory Management Solutions: MSC can further develop and market its inventory management solutions to help customers optimize their operations and reduce costs. By providing value-added services, MSC can strengthen customer relationships and increase customer loyalty. The market for inventory management solutions is growing, driven by the need for efficient supply chain management and cost control. MSC's expertise in MRO products positions it well to capitalize on this trend.
  • Penetration of New Markets: MSC can expand its geographic presence by entering new markets, both domestically and internationally. This includes targeting regions with strong manufacturing activity and growing demand for MRO products. By diversifying its geographic footprint, MSC can reduce its reliance on any single market and mitigate risk. Market research and strategic partnerships can facilitate successful market entry and expansion.
  • Focus on Value-Added Services: MSC can differentiate itself from competitors by offering a range of value-added services, such as technical support, training, and consulting. By providing comprehensive solutions, MSC can become a trusted partner for its customers and increase customer retention. The demand for value-added services is growing, as customers seek to optimize their operations and improve productivity. MSC's expertise in MRO products and services positions it well to capitalize on this trend.

What Are MSM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive product range with approximately 1.9 million stock-keeping units
  • Established distribution network with branches and fulfillment centers
  • Strong relationships with suppliers and customers
  • Value-added services such as inventory management solutions

What Does MSM Do?

Founded in 1941 and headquartered in Melville, New York, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. has evolved into a premier distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services. The company operates across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom, offering approximately 1.9 million stock-keeping units (SKUs). MSC’s product range includes cutting tools, measuring instruments, tooling components, fasteners, abrasives, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, and electrical supplies. MSC serves a diverse customer base, including individual machine shops, Fortune 1000 manufacturing companies, and government agencies. The company’s distribution network comprises 28 branch offices, 11 customer fulfillment centers, and seven regional inventory centers, complemented by a robust e-commerce platform at mscdirect.com. MSC also provides inventory management solutions and operates call centers to enhance customer service and streamline operations, solidifying its position in the industrial distribution market.

What Products and Services Does MSM Offer?

  • Distributes metalworking products
  • Distributes maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products
  • Offers cutting tools and measuring instruments
  • Provides tooling components and metalworking products
  • Supplies fasteners, flat stock products, and raw materials
  • Offers abrasives, machinery hand and power tools
  • Provides safety and janitorial supplies
  • Offers plumbing supplies and materials handling products

How Does MSM Make Money?

  • Sells MRO products through catalogs, brochures, and e-commerce channels
  • Operates a distribution network of branch offices and fulfillment centers
  • Provides inventory management solutions to customers
  • Utilizes call-centers and branches for customer service and sales

What Industry Does MSM Operate In?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. operates within the industrial distribution sector, a market characterized by increasing demand for MRO products and services. The industry is influenced by factors such as manufacturing output, infrastructure development, and technological advancements. Competition includes both large national distributors and smaller regional players, as well as the increasing presence of e-commerce giants. MSC differentiates itself through its extensive product range, value-added services, and established distribution network. The sector is expected to see continued growth, driven by the need for efficient supply chain solutions and inventory management.

Who Are MSM's Key Customers?

  • Individual machine shops
  • Fortune 1000 manufacturing companies
  • Government agencies
  • Manufacturers of various sizes
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 72 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 74?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.28 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.20 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.10 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.09 Operating income growth (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 79
2026-08-26 76
2026-08-29 76
2026-09-01 74
2026-09-04 74
2026-09-07 74
2026-09-10 74

What changed?

The grade moved from 79 to 74 (-5).

What moved it up or down:

  • -15 Growth Durability
  • -11 Valuation

Held back by:

  • +2 Financial Safety

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.3%.

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. Financial Trajectory

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) reported $1.05B in revenue for Q3 FY2026, reflecting 14.1% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $80.4M, with diluted EPS of $1.44. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, MSM averaged $1.03 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. operates in the Industrial - Distribution industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Melville, US. The company is led by CEO Martina McIsaac. MSM has traded publicly since 1995.

How MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. Is Valued

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. carries a market capitalization of $6.68B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $130.00 to $155.00, with a consensus of $145.00. At the current price of $119.68, that implies approximately 21% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MSM's quantitative score of 74/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 74/100.

ROE 20%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. stands at 20.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. MSM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.92, below the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.55 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 6.19 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 5.6% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. insiders filed 2 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 1 purchases. On net that is roughly 13K shares disposed (about $0), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

MSM Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-1.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-22.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
-22.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-22.6%
P/E (TTM)
24.92
Return on Equity (TTM)
+20.3%
Current Ratio
1.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
17.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Extensive product range and distribution network
  • Strong relationships with suppliers and customers
  • Value-added services such as inventory management solutions
  • Established presence in North America and the United Kingdom

Bear Case

  • Dependence on manufacturing activity
  • Exposure to economic cycles
  • Competition from online retailers
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 FY2026 $1.05B $80M $1.44
Q2 FY2026 $918M $42M $0.75
Q1 FY2026 $966M $52M $0.93
Q4 FY2025 $978M $57M $1.01

Q3 FY2026 · filed 1 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MSM Latest News

MSM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MSM.

Price Targets

Low
$130.00
Consensus
$145.00
High
$155.00

Median: $145.00 (+21.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

MSM MoonshotScore

74/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MSM scores 74/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Martina McIsaac

President and Chief Executive Officer

Martina McIsaac is the President and Chief Executive Officer of MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. She has extensive experience in the industrial distribution sector, with a proven track record of driving growth and improving operational efficiency. Prior to joining MSC, McIsaac held leadership positions at various industrial companies, where she focused on sales, marketing, and supply chain management. Her expertise in strategic planning and execution has been instrumental in MSC's success.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Martina McIsaac has focused on expanding MSC's e-commerce capabilities, enhancing its value-added services, and strengthening its relationships with key customers and suppliers. Under her leadership, MSC has achieved significant milestones in revenue growth and profitability. She has also prioritized investments in technology and innovation to drive long-term sustainable growth.

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for MSM?

MSM holds an AI Score of 74/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is MSM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MSM buy, sell or hold. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 74/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. do?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services.

What do analysts say about MSM stock?

Analyst consensus on MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) reflects a generally positive outlook, citing the company's strong market position and growth potential. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 24.92 and a dividend yield of 3.32%.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for MSM?

Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM). Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and increase sales. Gross margin reflects the efficiency of its cost management and pricing strategies. The P/E ratio provides insights into investor expectations for future earnings growth.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MSM?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) holds a MoonshotScore of 74/100 (high). P/E: 24.92x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $145.00 (+21%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does MSM data refresh on this page?

MSM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MSM's recent stock price performance?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive product range and distribution network. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MSM overvalued or undervalued right now?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) trades at 24.92x earnings. Analysts target $145.00 (+21%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
  • Analyst opinions may vary.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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