Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Newmont Corporation (NEM) Materials & Commodity Exposure

Newmont Corporation, a global leader in gold production, explores for other metals and operates across diverse geographies. With substantial gold reserves and a focus on sustainable mining practices, Newmont distinguishes itself through its scale, diversification, and commitment to responsible resource development within the Basic Materials sector.

What Is the Investment Thesis for NEM?

With a market capitalization of $133B and a P/E ratio of 15.87, the company demonstrates financial stability and profitability, supported by a strong profit margin of 34.6% and a gross margin of 55.1%. Key value drivers include sustained gold prices, efficient cost management, and successful exploration efforts to replenish reserves. Upcoming catalysts include potential expansions in existing mines and the development of new projects. However, potential risks include fluctuations in gold prices, geopolitical instability in operating regions, and environmental regulations. The company's beta of 0.47 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NEM Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $133B reflects Newmont's significant size and market dominance in the gold mining industry.

• P/E ratio of 15.87 indicates a reasonable valuation compared to earnings, suggesting potential for future appreciation.
• Profit margin of 34.6% showcases Newmont's ability to generate substantial profits from its operations.
• Gross margin of 55.1% highlights efficient cost management in gold production.
• Proven and probable gold reserves of 92.8 million ounces as of December 31, 2021, provide a strong foundation for future production and revenue.

Who Are NEM's Competitors?

NEM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are NEM's Key Strengths?

Large gold reserves.

• Geographic diversification.
• Strong financial performance.
• Commitment to sustainability.

What Are NEM's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuating gold prices.

• High operating costs.
• Environmental risks.
• Geopolitical risks.

What Could Drive NEM Stock Higher?

Sustained high gold prices will drive increased profitability.

• Potential expansion of existing mines to increase production capacity by 2028.
• Development of new mining projects in promising regions by 2030.
• Continued exploration success leading to increased gold reserves.

What Are the Key Risks for NEM?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $3.4M recently.

• Decline in gold prices could negatively impact revenue and profitability.
• Increased operating costs due to rising energy prices and labor costs.
• Stricter environmental regulations could increase compliance costs.
• Political instability in operating regions could disrupt mining operations.
• Geopolitical risks may impact supply chains.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NEM?

• Expansion of existing mines: Newmont has the opportunity to increase production capacity at its existing mines through further exploration and infrastructure development. This can lead to higher gold output and lower unit costs, enhancing profitability. The timeline for these expansions varies depending on the specific project, but typically ranges from 2 to 5 years. The market size for gold production is substantial, with global demand consistently exceeding supply.
• Development of new mining projects: Newmont can pursue the development of new mining projects in promising regions. This involves exploration, feasibility studies, and construction of mining infrastructure. Successful development of new projects can significantly increase Newmont's gold reserves and production capacity. The timeline for developing a new mine can range from 5 to 10 years, and requires significant capital investment. The potential market size is tied to the gold reserves discovered and the prevailing gold price.
• Acquisition of other mining companies or assets: Newmont can acquire other mining companies or assets to expand its portfolio and increase its gold reserves. This can provide access to new mining regions and diversify its production base. The timeline for acquisitions depends on the specific transaction, but can typically be completed within a few months. The market size for acquisitions is substantial, with numerous mining companies and assets available for purchase.
• Technological innovation: Newmont can invest in technological innovation to improve mining efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance safety. This includes the use of automation, data analytics, and advanced mining techniques. Successful implementation of these technologies can provide a competitive advantage and improve profitability. The timeline for implementing new technologies varies depending on the specific technology, but can typically be achieved within 1 to 3 years. The market size for mining technology is growing rapidly, driven by the need for more efficient and sustainable mining practices.
• Exploration for other metals: Newmont can leverage its expertise in exploration to discover and develop deposits of other valuable metals such as copper, silver, zinc, and lead. This can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on gold. The timeline for exploration and development of new metal deposits can range from 3 to 7 years. The market size for these metals is substantial, driven by demand from various industries such as construction, manufacturing, and electronics.

What Are NEM's Competitive Advantages?

• Large-scale operations provide economies of scale.
• Geographic diversification reduces risk.
• Substantial gold reserves ensure long-term production.
• Commitment to sustainable mining practices enhances reputation.

What Does NEM Do?

Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont Corporation has evolved into one of the world's largest gold producers. The company's core business revolves around gold production, complemented by exploration activities targeting other valuable metals such as copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Newmont boasts a significant global presence, with operations and assets spanning the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. This geographic diversification helps mitigate risk and provides access to diverse ore bodies. As of December 31, 2021, Newmont held proven and probable gold reserves of 92.8 million ounces, underscoring its long-term resource base. The company's extensive land position of 62,800 square kilometers further supports its exploration and growth potential. Newmont distinguishes itself through its commitment to sustainable mining practices, technological innovation, and responsible resource management, aiming to create long-term value for its stakeholders while minimizing environmental impact.

What Products and Services Does NEM Offer?

• Engages in the production of gold.
• Explores for gold deposits.
• Explores for copper deposits.
• Explores for silver deposits.
• Explores for zinc deposits.
• Explores for lead deposits.
• Operates mines in the United States.
• Operates mines in Canada.

How Does NEM Make Money?

• Extracts gold and other metals from its mining operations.
• Sells the extracted gold and other metals in the global market.
• Generates revenue from the sale of gold and other metals.
• Reinvests profits into exploration and development of new mining projects.

What Industry Does NEM Operate In?

Newmont Corporation operates within the gold mining industry, which is influenced by macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment. The industry is characterized by cyclical price fluctuations, driven by supply and demand dynamics. Key trends include increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, rising production costs due to depleting ore grades, and growing emphasis on sustainable mining practices. Newmont competes with other major gold producers such as BHP Group Limited (BHP) and Rio Tinto Group (RIO). The company's scale, geographic diversification, and focus on responsible mining position it favorably within this competitive landscape.

Who Are NEM's Key Customers?

• Jewelry manufacturers.
• Industrial users of gold.
• Investors seeking a safe-haven asset.
• Central banks.

Company Profile

Newmont Corporation operates in the Gold industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Denver, US. The company is led by CEO Natascha Viljoen. NEM has traded publicly since 1980.

Return on equity for Newmont Corporation stands at 25.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 14.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NEM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 15.87, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 10.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.55 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

NEM Valuation & Market Position

With a $133B market cap, Newmont Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $110.00 to $170.00, with a consensus of $136.83. At the current price of $126.02, that implies approximately 9% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, NEM's quantitative score of 98/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 90/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Newmont Corporation

Revenue for Newmont Corporation came in at $3.45B during Q2 FY2026, a 51.9% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $2.20B, with diluted EPS of $2.06. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Basic Materials. Across the four most recent quarters, NEM averaged $1.98 in diluted EPS.

Newmont Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.96 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Newmont Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 24.7% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Newmont Corporation insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 4K shares disposed (about $3.4M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

NEM Financials

Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026

NEM Latest News

NEM Analyst Consensus

NEM MoonshotScore

Latest Newmont Corporation Analysis

Common Questions About NEM (Basic Materials)

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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