Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 4.69 means the share price is 4.69 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $123B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) trades at $19.05 with MoonshotScore 50/100 (Grade B). Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is a Brazilian integrated oil and gas company with international operations. Market cap: $123B, Sector: Energy.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026PBR-A stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is $16.51; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $19.05. The AI MoonshotScore is 50/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
PBR-A: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.
How is this calculated? →AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) Energy Operations & Outlook
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) is a major integrated oil and gas company based in Brazil, engaged in exploration, production, refining, and distribution. With a significant presence in both domestic and international markets, Petrobras navigates the complexities of the energy sector while maintaining a substantial dividend yield.
What Is the Investment Thesis for PBR-A?
Petrobras presents a mixed investment thesis. With a P/E ratio of 4.69 and a dividend yield of 6.78%, the company offers potential value and income. The profit margin of 22.1% and gross margin of 47.6% indicate strong profitability. However, the negative beta of -0.07 suggests the stock may move inversely to the market, potentially offering downside protection but limiting upside. Growth catalysts include ongoing exploration and production advancements, particularly in deepwater oil fields. Potential risks include political interference and fluctuations in global oil prices, which could significantly impact revenue and profitability. Investors should weigh these factors carefully, considering both the attractive valuation metrics and the inherent volatility of the energy sector.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
PBR-A Key Highlights
Market Cap of $123B reflects Petrobras's significant size and influence in the energy sector.
- P/E Ratio of 4.69 indicates that the stock may be undervalued compared to its earnings.
- Profit Margin of 22.1% demonstrates strong operational efficiency and profitability.
- Gross Margin of 47.6% highlights the company's ability to control production costs and maintain pricing power.
- Dividend Yield of 6.78% provides a substantial income stream for investors, making it attractive for income-focused portfolios.
Who Are PBR-A's Competitors?
PBR-A is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP BP p.l.c. | $46.08 | +0.88% | $121B | 805-pillar |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | $45.11 | -0.27% | $108B | 965-pillar |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | $50.80 | -1.07% | $106B | 885-pillar |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | $72.82 | -3.10% | $89.1B | 545-pillar |
| EPD Enterprise Products Partners L.P. | $39.33 | +0.03% | $85.1B | 595-pillar |
| EIPAF Eni S.p.A. | $28.43 | +2.27% | $82.4B | 459-signal |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | $68.93 | -0.13% | $81.4B | 865-pillar |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | $91.12 | -0.12% | $203B | 775-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are PBR-A's Key Strengths?
Large reserves of oil and gas, particularly in deepwater fields.
- Integrated operations across the entire value chain.
- Advanced technological capabilities in exploration and production.
- Strong market position in Brazil.
What Are PBR-A's Weaknesses?
Exposure to political interference and regulatory changes.
- High debt levels.
- Vulnerability to fluctuations in global oil prices.
- Operational inefficiencies.
What Could Drive PBR-A Stock Higher?
PBR-A catalyst: Continued exploration and development of pre-salt oil fields, potentially leading to increased production and revenue.
- Government policies supporting domestic oil and gas production, providing a favorable regulatory environment.
- Potential divestment of non-core assets to reduce debt and improve financial flexibility.
- Completion of refinery upgrades, increasing processing capacity and efficiency.
What Are the Key Risks for PBR-A?
Fluctuations in global oil prices, impacting revenue and profitability.
- Political interference and regulatory changes, affecting investment decisions and operational efficiency.
- High debt levels, limiting financial flexibility and increasing interest expenses.
- Environmental regulations and concerns, requiring additional investments in compliance and sustainability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for PBR-A?
- Expansion in Deepwater Exploration and Production: Petrobras has significant expertise in deepwater oil exploration and production. Continued investment in this area could unlock substantial reserves and increase production capacity. The pre-salt layer off the Brazilian coast holds vast untapped potential, and Petrobras's technological capabilities give it a competitive edge. This expansion aligns with the ongoing global demand for oil and gas, despite the growing focus on renewable energy.
- Increased Investment in Refining Capacity: Upgrading and expanding refining capacity can allow Petrobras to process more of its crude oil domestically, reducing reliance on exports and increasing value-added products. This can lead to higher profit margins and greater energy independence for Brazil. The modernization of existing refineries and the construction of new facilities can also create jobs and stimulate economic growth in the region.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Forming strategic partnerships with other energy companies can provide access to new technologies, markets, and resources. Acquisitions of smaller companies with specialized expertise can also enhance Petrobras's capabilities and expand its portfolio. These collaborations can help Petrobras to diversify its operations and reduce risk.
- Development of Natural Gas Infrastructure: Investing in natural gas infrastructure, including pipelines and processing plants, can increase the availability and affordability of natural gas in Brazil. This can support the growth of the industrial sector and reduce reliance on imported energy sources. The development of LNG facilities can also allow Petrobras to export natural gas to other countries, generating additional revenue.
- Diversification into Renewable Energy: While primarily an oil and gas company, Petrobras can explore opportunities in renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, and biofuels. This can help to diversify its revenue streams and reduce its carbon footprint. Investments in renewable energy can also enhance Petrobras's image and attract environmentally conscious investors. This diversification aligns with the global trend towards sustainable energy and can position Petrobras for long-term growth.
What Threats Does PBR-A Face?
- Decline in global oil demand due to the shift to renewable energy.
- Increased competition from other oil and gas companies.
- Geopolitical risks and instability in key regions.
- Environmental regulations and concerns.
What Are PBR-A's Competitive Advantages?
- Integrated Operations: Control over the entire value chain, from exploration to distribution.
- Technological Expertise: Advanced capabilities in deepwater oil exploration and production.
- Strategic Assets: Ownership of key infrastructure, including pipelines, refineries, and terminals.
- Government Support: Strong relationship with the Brazilian government, which is a major shareholder.
What Does PBR-A Do?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, often referred to as Petrobras, was established in 1953 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, with the mission to develop and operate in the oil and gas industry. Over the decades, Petrobras has evolved into a significant player in the global energy market, focusing on exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and gas. The company operates through four primary segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation and Marketing; Gas and Power; and Corporate and Other Businesses. The Exploration and Production segment is responsible for discovering and extracting crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas, primarily to supply domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment handles the refining, logistics, transport, marketing, and trading of crude oil and oil products. This includes the exportation of ethanol and the extraction and processing of shale. The Gas and Power segment manages the logistics and trading of natural gas and electricity, including LNG transportation and trading, electricity generation through thermoelectric power plants, and fertilizer production. The Corporate and Other Businesses segment focuses on the production of biodiesel and its co-products, ethanol, and the distribution of oil products. Petrobras has a substantial presence in Brazil and also operates internationally, contributing significantly to Brazil's energy independence and economic development. With a workforce of 41,778 employees, Petrobras continues to adapt to the changing dynamics of the energy sector, focusing on innovation and sustainability.
What Products and Services Does PBR-A Offer?
- Explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas.
- Refines crude oil into various petroleum products.
- Transports crude oil and refined products via pipelines and tankers.
- Markets and distributes oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons.
- Generates electricity through thermoelectric power plants.
- Produces biodiesel and its co-products, as well as ethanol.
- Engages in the trading of natural gas and electricity, including LNG.
How Does PBR-A Make Money?
- Exploration and Production: Discovering and extracting oil and gas reserves.
- Refining and Processing: Converting crude oil into marketable products.
- Transportation and Distribution: Moving products to consumers and businesses.
- Sales and Marketing: Selling oil, gas, and related products to domestic and international markets.
What Industry Does PBR-A Operate In?
Petrobras operates within the highly competitive and cyclical oil and gas industry. The industry is characterized by fluctuating commodity prices, geopolitical risks, and increasing pressure to transition to cleaner energy sources. Petrobras competes with global giants like BP p.l.c. and Equinor ASA is an energy company involved in the exploration, production, transportation, refining, and marketing of petroleum and petroleum-derived products, as well as other forms of energy. The company. The industry is currently experiencing a shift towards sustainable practices, with companies investing in renewable energy and carbon reduction technologies. Petrobras's ability to adapt to these changes and maintain its market share will be crucial for its long-term success.
Who Are PBR-A's Key Customers?
- Domestic Refineries: Supplying crude oil for processing into fuels and other products.
- Industrial Consumers: Providing natural gas and electricity for manufacturing and other industrial processes.
- Retail Consumers: Selling gasoline, diesel, and other fuels through a network of service stations.
- International Markets: Exporting crude oil, refined products, and natural gas to other countries.
Research confidence
Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.
- ● Scoring coverage unknown
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 35 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 50?
This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 50 |
| 2026-08-26 | 50 |
| 2026-08-29 | 50 |
| 2026-09-01 | 50 |
| 2026-09-04 | 50 |
| 2026-09-07 | 50 |
| 2026-09-10 | 50 |
What changed?
The score has stayed at 50.
Over the same 18 days the stock moved +12.3%.
Company Profile
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras operates in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, BR. The company is led by CEO Magda Maria de Regina Chambriard. PBR-A has traded publicly since 2003.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras stands at 30.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PBR-A trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 4.69, below the Energy sector average of ~15.80x. Its free cash flow yield is 13.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.85 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 20.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
PBR-A Valuation & Market Position
With a $123B market cap, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, PBR-A's quantitative score of 50/100 is below the peer average of 73/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Revenue for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras came in at $33.61B during Q2 FY2026, a 72.8% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $10.43B, with diluted EPS of $1.62. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, PBR-A averaged $1.38 in diluted EPS.
Financial Health
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.53 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
Earnings Track Record
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 3.6% above estimates on average.
PBR-A Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Large reserves of oil and gas, particularly in deepwater fields.
- Integrated operations across the entire value chain.
- Advanced technological capabilities in exploration and production.
- Strong market position in Brazil.
Bear Case
- Exposure to political interference and regulatory changes.
- High debt levels.
- Vulnerability to fluctuations in global oil prices.
- Operational inefficiencies.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · May 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $33.61B | $10.43B | $1.62 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $123.69B | $32.66B | $2.52 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $23.61B | $2.88B | $0.45 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $23.48B | $6.03B | $0.94 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 7 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
PBR-A Latest News
-
Sector Update: Energy Stocks Decline Premarket Friday
MT Newswires · Sep 11, 2026
-
Market Chatter: Petrobras Mulls Increase in Diesel Prices
MT Newswires · Sep 11, 2026
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Braskem Extends Natural Gas Supply Agreement With Petrobras Through 2029
MT Newswires · Sep 10, 2026
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Is Petrobras (PBR) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?
Zacks · Sep 10, 2026
PBR-A Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PBR-A.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $16.51
PBR-A MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PBR-A scores 50/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.
Latest News
Sector Update: Energy Stocks Decline Premarket Friday
Market Chatter: Petrobras Mulls Increase in Diesel Prices
Braskem Extends Natural Gas Supply Agreement With Petrobras Through 2029
Is Petrobras (PBR) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?
Leadership: Magda Maria de Regina Chambriard
CEO
Magda Chambriard is a seasoned professional in the Brazilian energy sector, bringing extensive experience in regulatory and technical aspects of the oil and gas industry. Before assuming the role of CEO at Petrobras, she held significant positions within the Brazilian government, including a key role at the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP). Her background includes a strong technical foundation and a deep understanding of the Brazilian energy landscape.
Track Record: As the newly appointed CEO, Magda Chambriard's track record at Petrobras is still developing. However, her prior experience at ANP demonstrates her ability to navigate complex regulatory environments and implement strategic policies. Her leadership is expected to focus on enhancing operational efficiency, optimizing investments, and ensuring Petrobras's long-term sustainability.
PBR-A Energy Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for PBR-A?
PBR-A holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is a Brazilian integrated oil and gas company with international operations.
Is PBR-A a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate PBR-A buy, sell or hold. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras carries a MoonshotScore of 50/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What does Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras do?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is an integrated energy company primarily engaged in the exploration, production, refining, transportation, and marketing of oil and gas.
What are the key factors to evaluate for PBR-A?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) holds a MoonshotScore of 50/100 (moderate). P/E: 4.69x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.
How frequently does PBR-A data refresh on this page?
PBR-A's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven PBR-A's recent stock price performance?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Large reserves of oil and gas, particularly in deepwater fields. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider PBR-A overvalued or undervalued right now?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) trades at 4.69x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of PBR-A?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track PBR-A's earnings and financial reports?
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PBR-A earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data and market conditions are subject to change.
- This analysis is based on available information and should not be considered investment advice.